Alert archive / Tennessee / Mesoscale Discussions in 2025

Mesoscale Discussion 643

May 2, 20254 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 2, 2025, 8:28 AM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 92 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 2, 2025, 8:28 AM CDT (13:28 UTC)
Expired
May 2, 2025, 10:00 AM CDT
In force
92 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe potential...severe thunderstorm watch likely
Chance of a watch
80%
All 73 counties

Colbert County, AL, Lauderdale County, AL, Allen County, KY, Barren County, KY, Calloway County, KY, Logan County, KY, Monroe County, KY, Simpson County, KY, Todd County, KY, Trigg County, KY, Alcorn County, MS, Benton County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Itawamba County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Lee County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Panola County, MS, Pontotoc County, MS, Prentiss County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tippah County, MS, Tishomingo County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Union County, MS, Bedford County, TN, Benton County, TN, Cannon County, TN, Carroll County, TN, Cheatham County, TN, Chester County, TN, Clay County, TN, Crockett County, TN, Davidson County, TN, Decatur County, TN, DeKalb County, TN, Dickson County, TN, Dyer County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Giles County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Hardin County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Henderson County, TN, Henry County, TN, Hickman County, TN, Houston County, TN, Humphreys County, TN, Jackson County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Lawrence County, TN, Lewis County, TN, Macon County, TN, Madison County, TN, Marshall County, TN, Maury County, TN, McNairy County, TN, Montgomery County, TN, Perry County, TN, Putnam County, TN, Robertson County, TN, Rutherford County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Smith County, TN, Stewart County, TN, Sumner County, TN, Tipton County, TN, Trousdale County, TN, Wayne County, TN, Weakley County, TN, Williamson County, TN, Wilson County, TN

The radar

The Ft Campbell radar (KHPX), 151 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 13:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 1.5 hours before the alert went out and 155 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2025-05-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1065 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2025-05-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 82 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1065 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-8 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
597 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
82 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
100 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.3
Supercell composite
2.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 2, 9:58 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCColbert, Franklin, Lauderdale, Lawrence, Limestone8 hr
May 2, 11:29 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColbert, Cullman, Franklin, Lauderdale, Lawrence, Limestone and 4 more91 min
May 2, 1:02 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlount, Colbert, Cullman, DeKalb, Etowah, Fayette and 12 more118 min
May 2, 1:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAutauga, Bibb, Blount, Calhoun, Cherokee, Chilton and 30 more7 hr
May 2, 3:03 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBibb, Blount, Calhoun, Cherokee, Cullman, DeKalb and 19 more117 min
May 2, 5:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBibb, Blount, Calhoun, Cherokee, Chilton, Clay and 12 more116 min
May 2, 12:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAnderson, Bath, Bell, Boone, Bourbon, Boyle and 72 more7 hr
May 2, 3:22 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bath, Bell, Boone, Bourbon, Boyle and 57 more113 min
May 2, 9:39 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlcorn, Attala, Benton, Bolivar, Calhoun, Carroll and 40 more2 hr
May 2, 12:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Attala, Bolivar, Carroll, Choctaw, Claiborne and 27 more9 hr
May 2, 1:47 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Attala, Carroll, Choctaw, Claiborne, Clay and 22 more118 min
May 2, 3:54 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Attala, Calhoun, Carroll, Chickasaw, Choctaw and 29 more96 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Tennessee, 2025Mesoscale Discussions in Mississippi, 2025Mesoscale Discussions in Kentucky, 2025Every mesoscale discussion in 2025

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.