Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Mesoscale Discussions in 2025

Mesoscale Discussion 482

April 19, 20254 counties in New York; 23 counties in Pennsylvania; Hancock County, West Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Apr 19, 2025, 1:16 PM EDT for 4 counties in New York; 23 counties in Pennsylvania; Hancock County, West Virginia. It was in force for 119 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 19, 2025, 1:16 PM EDT (17:16 UTC)
Expired
Apr 19, 2025, 3:15 PM EDT
In force
119 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe potential...watch unlikely
Chance of a watch
20%
All 28 counties

Allegany County, NY, Chemung County, NY, Schuyler County, NY, Steuben County, NY, Allegheny County, PA, Armstrong County, PA, Beaver County, PA, Butler County, PA, Cameron County, PA, Centre County, PA, Clarion County, PA, Clearfield County, PA, Clinton County, PA, Elk County, PA, Forest County, PA, Indiana County, PA, Jefferson County, PA, Lawrence County, PA, Lycoming County, PA, McKean County, PA, Mercer County, PA, Montour County, PA, Potter County, PA, Tioga County, PA, Union County, PA, Venango County, PA, Warren County, PA, Hancock County, WV

The radar

The State College radar (KCCX), 82 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:17 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 5.3 hours before the alert went out and 198 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2025-04-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 5 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2025-04-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 276 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
5 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-146 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
613 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
276 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
249 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 19, 6:20 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegheny, Bedford, Blair, Cambria, Fayette, Franklin and 8 more85 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Pennsylvania, 2025Mesoscale Discussions in New York, 2025Mesoscale Discussions in West Virginia, 2025Every mesoscale discussion in 2025

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.