Alert archive / Arkansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2025

Mesoscale Discussion 409

April 5, 20254 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Apr 5, 2025, 9:31 AM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 119 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 5, 2025, 9:31 AM CDT (14:31 UTC)
Expired
Apr 5, 2025, 11:30 AM CDT
In force
119 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe potential...watch likely
Chance of a watch
80%
All 52 counties

Arkansas County, AR, Ashley County, AR, Bradley County, AR, Calhoun County, AR, Clark County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Columbia County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Grant County, AR, Hempstead County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lafayette County, AR, Lee County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Miller County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Pike County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Saline County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Union County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Bossier Parish, LA, Caddo Parish, LA, Claiborne Parish, LA, Webster Parish, LA, Bolivar County, MS, Coahoma County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Panola County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Crockett County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Tipton County, TN

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 88 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 12:00Z, 2.5 hours before the alert went out and 215 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2025-04-05Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 26 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2025-04-05The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 41 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
26 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-150 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
816 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
63 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
41 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
216 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
2.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 4, 8:04 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Cleburne, Cleveland, Columbia, Conway, Craighead and 28 more86 min
Apr 4, 8:50 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCCalhoun, Clark, Clay, Cleburne, Cleveland, Columbia and 29 more9 hr
Apr 4, 11:16 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCalhoun, Clark, Clay, Cleveland, Columbia, Craighead and 23 more119 min
Apr 5, 2:11 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMississippi2 hr
Apr 5, 4:23 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Crawford, Franklin, Logan, Scott, Sebastian and 1 more2 hr
Apr 5, 9:56 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Clark and 31 more9 hr
Apr 5, 11:36 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrittenden, Cross, Lee, Lonoke, Monroe, Prairie and 3 more114 min
Apr 5, 12:48 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHempstead, Howard, Little River, Pike, Polk, Sevier117 min
Apr 5, 3:14 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChicot, Desha, Phillips2 hr
Apr 5, 4:50 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAshley, Chicot7 hr
Apr 5, 10:06 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Cameron, Jefferson Davis, Vernon2 hr
Apr 5, 12:36 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBeauregard, Vernon8 hr
Apr 5, 2:37 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeauregard, Sabine, Vernon83 min
Apr 5, 6:39 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAvoyelles, Beauregard, Caldwell, Grant, Jackson, LaSalle and 6 more5 hr
Apr 5, 2:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlcorn, Benton116 min
Apr 5, 6:18 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlcorn, Calhoun, Carroll, Chickasaw, Choctaw, Clay and 12 more87 min
Apr 5, 1:03 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHenry, Lake, Montgomery, Obion, Stewart, Weakley87 min
Apr 5, 1:43 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBedford, Cannon, Cheatham, Clay, Coffee, Davidson and 30 more7 hr
Apr 5, 5:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCampbell, Claiborne, Clay, Fentress, Grainger, Hancock and 7 more63 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Arkansas, 2025Mesoscale Discussions in Mississippi, 2025Mesoscale Discussions in Tennessee, 2025Every mesoscale discussion in 2025

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.