Alert archive / Kentucky / Mesoscale Discussions in 2025

Mesoscale Discussion 396

April 4, 202548 counties in Kentucky; 17 counties in Tennessee; Lee County, Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Apr 4, 2025, 3:29 PM CDT for 48 counties in Kentucky; 17 counties in Tennessee; Lee County, Virginia. It was in force for 3 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 4, 2025, 3:29 PM CDT (20:29 UTC)
Expired
Apr 4, 2025, 6:00 PM CDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe potential...watch possible
Chance of a watch
60%
All 66 counties

Adair County, KY, Allen County, KY, Barren County, KY, Bell County, KY, Boyle County, KY, Breathitt County, KY, Butler County, KY, Casey County, KY, Clay County, KY, Clinton County, KY, Cumberland County, KY, Edmonson County, KY, Estill County, KY, Garrard County, KY, Grayson County, KY, Green County, KY, Hardin County, KY, Harlan County, KY, Hart County, KY, Jackson County, KY, Knott County, KY, Knox County, KY, Larue County, KY, Laurel County, KY, Lee County, KY, Leslie County, KY, Letcher County, KY, Lincoln County, KY, Logan County, KY, Madison County, KY, Marion County, KY, McCreary County, KY, Mercer County, KY, Metcalfe County, KY, Monroe County, KY, Nelson County, KY, Owsley County, KY, Perry County, KY, Pulaski County, KY, Rockcastle County, KY, Russell County, KY, Simpson County, KY, Taylor County, KY, Warren County, KY, Washington County, KY, Wayne County, KY, Whitley County, KY, Wolfe County, KY, Campbell County, TN, Claiborne County, TN, Clay County, TN, Davidson County, TN, Fentress County, TN, Jackson County, TN, Macon County, TN, Morgan County, TN, Overton County, TN, Pickett County, TN, Putnam County, TN, Robertson County, TN, Scott County, TN, Smith County, TN, Sumner County, TN, Trousdale County, TN, Wilson County, TN, Lee County, VA

The radar

The Nashville radar (KOHX), 139 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:28 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 12:00Z, 8.5 hours before the alert went out and 311 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2025-04-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2025-04-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 144 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
705 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
75 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
144 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
312 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 3, 7:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFulton64 min
Apr 3, 8:58 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Ballard, Barren, Boyle, Breckinridge and 38 more92 min
Apr 4, 12:57 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCalloway, Fulton, Graves, Hickman, Trigg2 hr
Apr 4, 2:56 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBallard, Caldwell, Calloway, Carlisle, Christian, Crittenden and 11 more7 hr
Apr 4, 4:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdair, Allen, Barren, Bell, Boyle, Breathitt and 45 more3 hr
Apr 4, 6:16 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Anderson, Barren, Boyle, Breathitt, Breckinridge and 46 more59 min
Apr 4, 2:06 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCShelby, Tipton114 min
Apr 4, 2:52 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArlington, Clarke, Fairfax, Fauquier, Frederick, Loudoun and 11 more53 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Kentucky, 2025Mesoscale Discussions in Tennessee, 2025Mesoscale Discussions in Virginia, 2025Every mesoscale discussion in 2025

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.