Alert archive / Ohio / Mesoscale Discussions in 2025

Mesoscale Discussion 252

March 19, 2025Ohio County, Switzerland County, Indiana; 9 counties in Kentucky; 16 counties in Ohio

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Mar 19, 2025, 11:04 PM EDT for Ohio County, Switzerland County, Indiana; 9 counties in Kentucky; 16 counties in Ohio. It was in force for 86 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 19, 2025, 11:04 PM EDT (03:04 UTC)
Expired
Mar 20, 2025, 12:30 AM EDT
In force
86 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe thunderstorm watch 59
All 27 counties

Ohio County, IN, Switzerland County, IN, Boone County, KY, Bracken County, KY, Campbell County, KY, Gallatin County, KY, Grant County, KY, Kenton County, KY, Owen County, KY, Pendleton County, KY, Robertson County, KY, Brown County, OH, Butler County, OH, Champaign County, OH, Clark County, OH, Clermont County, OH, Clinton County, OH, Delaware County, OH, Fayette County, OH, Greene County, OH, Hamilton County, OH, Highland County, OH, Madison County, OH, Marion County, OH, Montgomery County, OH, Union County, OH, Warren County, OH

The radar

The Cincinnati radar (KILN), 27 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:07 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 00:00Z, 3.1 hours before the alert went out and 29 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 00:00Z on 2025-03-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 00:00Z on 2025-03-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 139 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1732 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
53 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
139 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
134 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

305 
ACUS11 KWNS 200305
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 200304 
OHZ000-KYZ000-INZ000-200430-

Mesoscale Discussion 0252
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1004 PM CDT Wed Mar 19 2025

Areas affected...southeastern Indiana...southwestern Ohio...and a
small portion of northern Kentucky

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 59...

Valid 200304Z - 200430Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 59
continues.

SUMMARY...Severe risk continues to gradually diminish across the WW
area.

DISCUSSION...Radar data continues to show a gradual decrease in
convective intensity with storms moving across Indiana/WW 69 over
the past couple of hours.  This coincides with an associated,
gradual decrease in buoyancy, with RAP-based objective analysis now
showing mixed-layer CAPE below 500 J/kg across the WW area, and even
less with eastward extent toward central Ohio.

Expectations continue to be that storms will continue to gradually
weaken, and thus risk for severe-caliber gusts waning.  While local
WW extension in area may be considered for a couple of counties in
western Ohio, overall risk should remain minimal for the remainder
of the evening.

..Goss.. 03/20/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CLE...ILN...LMK...

LAT...LON   38448486 38808507 40208407 40658308 40228286 38528398
            38448486

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 19, 8:48 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Allen, Bartholomew, Blackford, Brown, Dearborn and 35 more87 min
Mar 19, 8:56 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrawford, Harrison, Perry, Spencer2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Ohio, 2025Mesoscale Discussions in Kentucky, 2025Mesoscale Discussions in Indiana, 2025Every mesoscale discussion in 2025

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.