Alert archive / New York / Mesoscale Discussions in 2025

Mesoscale Discussion 237

March 16, 202515 counties in New York; 7 counties in Pennsylvania

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Mar 16, 2025, 6:20 PM EDT for 15 counties in New York; 7 counties in Pennsylvania. It was in force for 115 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 16, 2025, 6:20 PM EDT (22:20 UTC)
Expired
Mar 16, 2025, 8:15 PM EDT
In force
115 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe thunderstorm watch 54...55
All 22 counties

Albany County, NY, Delaware County, NY, Essex County, NY, Franklin County, NY, Fulton County, NY, Greene County, NY, Hamilton County, NY, Herkimer County, NY, Montgomery County, NY, Otsego County, NY, Saratoga County, NY, Schenectady County, NY, Schoharie County, NY, Sullivan County, NY, Warren County, NY, Lackawanna County, PA, Luzerne County, PA, Monroe County, PA, Pike County, PA, Susquehanna County, PA, Wayne County, PA, Wyoming County, PA

The radar

The Albany radar (KENX), 87 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:20 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 10.3 hours before the alert went out and 309 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2025-03-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2025-03-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 485 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1012 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
63 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
485 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
627 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 16, 12:08 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegany, Cattaraugus97 min
Mar 16, 1:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllegany, Broome, Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua, Chemung and 20 more5 hr
Mar 16, 1:42 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegany, Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chemung, Cortland, Erie and 16 more93 min
Mar 16, 4:02 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBroome, Cayuga, Chemung, Chenango, Cortland, Delaware and 16 more88 min
Mar 16, 10:04 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegheny, Armstrong, Beaver, Butler, Clarion, Crawford and 12 more86 min
Mar 16, 10:31 AM EDTTornado WatchSPCAllegheny, Armstrong, Beaver, Butler, Clarion, Crawford and 11 more5 hr
Mar 16, 12:50 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCBedford, Blair, Cambria, Cameron, Centre, Clearfield and 17 more7 hr
Mar 16, 2:07 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Bedford, Blair, Bradford, Cambria, Cameron and 28 more53 min
Mar 16, 4:26 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Berks, Carbon, Columbia, Cumberland, Dauphin and 15 more94 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in New York, 2025Mesoscale Discussions in Pennsylvania, 2025Every mesoscale discussion in 2025

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.