Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2025

Mesoscale Discussion 2192

October 28, 20255 parishes in Louisiana; 15 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Oct 28, 2025, 2:49 PM CDT for 5 parishes in Louisiana; 15 counties in Texas. It was in force for 116 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Oct 28, 2025, 2:49 PM CDT (19:49 UTC)
Expired: Oct 28, 2025, 4:45 PM CDT
In force: 116 min
Issued by: the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning: Severe potential...watch possible
Chance of a watch: 60%

Counties De Soto Parish, LA, Natchitoches Parish, LA, Red River Parish, LA, Sabine Parish, LA, Vernon Parish, LA, Angelina County, TX, Hardin County, TX, Jasper County, TX, Liberty County, TX, Montgomery County, TX, Nacogdoches County, TX, Newton County, TX, Panola County, TX, Polk County, TX, Sabine County, TX, San Augustine County, TX, San Jacinto County, TX, Shelby County, TX, Trinity County, TX, Tyler County, TX

The radar

The Houston radar (KHGX), 142 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

Tornado Watch 634Oct 28, 3:45 PM CDT

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 12:00Z, 7.8 hours before the alert went out and 342 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 504 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -229 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 966 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 55 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 373 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 415 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 2.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Oct 28, 3:48 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	Allen, Beauregard, Bienville, Bossier, Caddo, Calcasieu and 13 more	5 hr
Oct 28, 5:21 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Acadia, Allen, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Cameron, De Soto and 7 more	114 min
Oct 28, 12:46 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Bowie, Camp, Cass, Delta, Franklin, Hopkins and 9 more	119 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2025 Mesoscale Discussions in Louisiana, 2025 Every mesoscale discussion in 2025

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.