Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2025

Mesoscale Discussion 2170

October 24, 20254 counties in Oklahoma; 20 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Oct 24, 2025, 3:33 PM CDT for 4 counties in Oklahoma; 20 counties in Texas. It was in force for 117 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 24, 2025, 3:33 PM CDT (20:33 UTC)
Expired
Oct 24, 2025, 5:30 PM CDT
In force
117 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe potential...watch possible
Chance of a watch
60%
All 24 counties

Cotton County, OK, Jefferson County, OK, Love County, OK, Tillman County, OK, Archer County, TX, Callahan County, TX, Clay County, TX, Comanche County, TX, Cooke County, TX, Denton County, TX, Eastland County, TX, Erath County, TX, Hood County, TX, Jack County, TX, Montague County, TX, Palo Pinto County, TX, Parker County, TX, Stephens County, TX, Tarrant County, TX, Throckmorton County, TX, Wichita County, TX, Wilbarger County, TX, Wise County, TX, Young County, TX

The radar

The Dyess AFB radar (KDYX), 104 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 12:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 130 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2025-10-24Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2025-10-24The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -87 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1656 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-87 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
132 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 24, 12:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCHarmon, Jackson, Tillman8 hr
Oct 24, 1:04 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeckham, Custer, Dewey, Ellis, Greer, Kiowa and 3 more2 hr
Oct 23, 8:35 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBorden, Ector, Fisher, Glasscock, Haskell, Howard and 9 more115 min
Oct 24, 11:05 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrews, Borden, Childress, Coke, Cottle, Crane and 39 more2 hr
Oct 24, 2:55 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrewster, Crockett, Irion, Pecos, Reagan, Schleicher and 5 more3 hr
Oct 24, 5:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBosque, Brown, Collin, Comanche, Cooke, Coryell and 31 more7 hr
Oct 24, 6:00 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHood, Jack, Montague, Palo Pinto, Parker, Wise90 min
Oct 24, 6:21 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCEdwards, Kinney, Real, Uvalde, Val Verde114 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2025Mesoscale Discussions in Oklahoma, 2025Every mesoscale discussion in 2025

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.