Alert archive / Nebraska / Mesoscale Discussions in 2025

Mesoscale Discussion 2149

October 16, 2025Kit Carson County, Colorado; Cheyenne County, Rawlins County, Sherman County, Kansas; 5 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Oct 16, 2025, 5:16 PM MDT for Kit Carson County, Colorado; Cheyenne County, Rawlins County, Sherman County, Kansas; 5 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 119 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 16, 2025, 5:16 PM MDT (23:16 UTC)
Expired
Oct 16, 2025, 7:15 PM MDT
In force
119 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe potential...watch unlikely
Chance of a watch
20%

Counties Kit Carson County, CO, Cheyenne County, KS, Rawlins County, KS, Sherman County, KS, Chase County, NE, Dundy County, NE, Hayes County, NE, Hitchcock County, NE, Lincoln County, NE

The radar

The Goodland radar (KGLD), 83 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:16 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 11.3 hours before the alert went out and 295 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Dodge City, at 12:00Z on 2025-10-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Dodge City, at 12:00Z on 2025-10-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 84 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1806 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
84 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
33 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Nebraska, 2025Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2025Mesoscale Discussions in Colorado, 2025Every mesoscale discussion in 2025

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.