Alert archive / Minnesota / Mesoscale Discussions in 2025

Mesoscale Discussion 1813

July 27, 20255 counties in Minnesota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jul 27, 2025, 4:54 PM CDT for 5 counties in Minnesota. It was in force for 3 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 27, 2025, 4:54 PM CDT (21:54 UTC)
Expired
Jul 27, 2025, 7:30 PM CDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe potential...watch possible
Chance of a watch
60%

Counties Beltrami County, MN, Itasca County, MN, Koochiching County, MN, Lake County, MN, Saint Louis County, MN

The radar

The Duluth radar (KDLH), 143 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 12:00Z, 9.9 hours before the alert went out and 338 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2025-07-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1189 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2025-07-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 80 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1189 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-261 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1455 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
80 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
85 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 26, 11:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBeltrami, Clearwater, Kittson, Lake of the Woods, Mahnomen, Marshall and 5 more7 hr
Jul 27, 1:09 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBecker, Beltrami, Cass, Clay, Clearwater, Hubbard and 9 more96 min
Jul 27, 3:23 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBecker, Beltrami, Cass, Clearwater, Hubbard, Itasca and 3 more97 min
Jul 27, 12:49 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChippewa, Kandiyohi, Lac qui Parle, Lincoln, Lyon, Meeker and 4 more116 min
Jul 27, 4:25 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Big Stone, Chippewa, Douglas, Grant, Kandiyohi and 14 more35 min
Jul 27, 4:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAnoka, Benton, Big Stone, Blue Earth, Brown, Carver and 46 more9 hr
Jul 27, 5:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAitkin, Carlton, Cass, Cook, Crow Wing, Itasca and 4 more5 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Minnesota, 2025Every mesoscale discussion in 2025

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.