Alert archive / Mississippi / Mesoscale Discussions in 2025

Mesoscale Discussion 101

February 15, 202532 counties in Alabama; Catoosa County, Dade County, Walker County, Georgia; 44 counties in Mississippi

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Feb 15, 2025, 8:37 PM CST for 32 counties in Alabama; Catoosa County, Dade County, Walker County, Georgia; 44 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 53 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 15, 2025, 8:37 PM CST (02:37 UTC)
Expired
Feb 15, 2025, 9:30 PM CST
In force
53 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe potential...watch likely
Chance of a watch
95%
All 79 counties

Bibb County, AL, Blount County, AL, Choctaw County, AL, Clarke County, AL, Colbert County, AL, Cullman County, AL, DeKalb County, AL, Etowah County, AL, Fayette County, AL, Franklin County, AL, Greene County, AL, Hale County, AL, Jackson County, AL, Jefferson County, AL, Lamar County, AL, Lauderdale County, AL, Lawrence County, AL, Limestone County, AL, Madison County, AL, Marengo County, AL, Marion County, AL, Marshall County, AL, Morgan County, AL, Perry County, AL, Pickens County, AL, Shelby County, AL, St. Clair County, AL, Sumter County, AL, Tuscaloosa County, AL, Walker County, AL, Washington County, AL, Winston County, AL, Catoosa County, GA, Dade County, GA, Walker County, GA, Amite County, MS, Attala County, MS, Chickasaw County, MS, Choctaw County, MS, Clarke County, MS, Clay County, MS, Copiah County, MS, Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, Franklin County, MS, Greene County, MS, Hinds County, MS, Itawamba County, MS, Jasper County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Jones County, MS, Kemper County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Lauderdale County, MS, Lawrence County, MS, Leake County, MS, Lee County, MS, Lincoln County, MS, Lowndes County, MS, Madison County, MS, Marion County, MS, Monroe County, MS, Neshoba County, MS, Newton County, MS, Noxubee County, MS, Oktibbeha County, MS, Perry County, MS, Pike County, MS, Prentiss County, MS, Rankin County, MS, Scott County, MS, Simpson County, MS, Smith County, MS, Tishomingo County, MS, Walthall County, MS, Wayne County, MS, Webster County, MS, Wilkinson County, MS, Winston County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 102 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:38 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 00:00Z, 2.6 hours before the alert went out and 109 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 00:00Z on 2025-02-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 9 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 00:00Z on 2025-02-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 58 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
9 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-227 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
909 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
58 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
96 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 15, 9:11 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCAutauga, Baldwin, Barbour, Bibb, Blount, Bullock and 56 more9 hr
Feb 15, 11:40 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBibb, Choctaw, Cullman, Fayette, Greene, Hale and 10 more2 hr
Feb 16, 12:51 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Barbour, Bibb, Blount, Bullock, Butler and 41 more114 min
Feb 16, 2:42 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCCoffee, Dale, Geneva, Henry, Houston6 hr
Feb 16, 3:01 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarbour, Bullock, Butler, Chambers, Clay, Cleburne and 13 more2 hr
Feb 16, 1:02 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCBaldwin, Bartow, Bibb, Bleckley, Butts, Carroll and 73 more7 hr
Feb 16, 4:52 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBurke, Columbia, Elbert, Glascock, Greene, Hancock and 9 more2 hr
Feb 16, 5:32 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAppling, Atkinson, Bacon, Baker, Ben Hill, Berrien and 52 more118 min
Feb 16, 6:33 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAppling, Atkinson, Bacon, Brantley, Bryan, Bulloch and 20 more5 hr
Feb 16, 7:48 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAppling, Atkinson, Bacon, Berrien, Brantley, Brooks and 25 more117 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Mississippi, 2025Mesoscale Discussions in Alabama, 2025Mesoscale Discussions in Georgia, 2025Every mesoscale discussion in 2025

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.