Tornado Warning 44, NWS Springfield, MO

836 
WWUS53 KSGF 202224
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
524 PM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025

MOC105-215-229-202245-
/O.CON.KSGF.TO.W.0044.000000T0000Z-250420T2245Z/
Wright MO-Laclede MO-Texas MO-
524 PM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM CDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN WRIGHT...SOUTHEASTERN LACLEDE AND NORTHWESTERN TEXAS
COUNTIES...

At 524 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located 16 miles northeast of Hartville, or 18 miles west of
Houston, moving northeast at 55 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Plato, Manes, Lynchburg, Graff, Success, and Roby.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3731 9227 3732 9239 3749 9238 3753 9237
      3750 9190
TIME...MOT...LOC 2224Z 222DEG 48KT 3740 9227 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

Perez

821 
WWUS53 KSGF 202231
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
531 PM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025

MOC105-229-202240-
/O.CAN.KSGF.TO.W.0044.000000T0000Z-250420T2245Z/
Wright MO-Laclede MO-
531 PM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN WRIGHT AND SOUTHEASTERN
LACLEDE COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The tornadic thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out 
of the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 700 PM CDT for south central
Missouri.

&&

LAT...LON 3739 9225 3752 9225 3750 9190
TIME...MOT...LOC 2230Z 222DEG 48KT 3747 9219 

$$

MOC215-202245-
/O.CON.KSGF.TO.W.0044.000000T0000Z-250420T2245Z/
Texas MO-
531 PM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN TEXAS COUNTY...

At 530 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located 16 miles northwest of Houston, moving northeast at 55
mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Plato and Success.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3739 9225 3752 9225 3750 9190
TIME...MOT...LOC 2230Z 222DEG 48KT 3747 9219 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

Melto

246 
WWUS53 KSGF 202235
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
535 PM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025

MOC215-202244-
/O.CAN.KSGF.TO.W.0044.000000T0000Z-250420T2245Z/
Texas MO-
535 PM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN TEXAS COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

The tornado threat has diminished and the Tornado Warning has been
cancelled. However, large hail and damaging winds remain likely and a
Severe Thunderstorm Warning remains in effect for the area.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 700 PM CDT for south central
Missouri.

Remember, a Tornado Warning still remains in effect for southern 
Texas County.

&&

LAT...LON 3739 9225 3752 9225 3750 9190
TIME...MOT...LOC 2232Z 222DEG 48KT 3752 9214 

$$

Melto

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
127 PM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- There remains an Enhanced Risk for severe thunderstorms across
  much of the area this afternoon and evening. Tornadoes
  (potentially a couple being strong), large hail and damaging
  winds are all possible with this system.

- Localized additional flooding may occur as storms will produce
  heavy rainfall with rates from 1 to 1.5 inches per hour over
  already saturated soils.

- Additional rain chances (40-70%) return Tuesday through late
  week.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Issued at 1225 PM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025

Enhanced Severe Risk this afternoon and evening:

A warm front had lifted through most of southwestern Missouri
early this afternoon with a low top supercell already having
taken advantage as the frontal boundary to produce a likely
tornado. The warm front and attendant warm air and moisture
advection will continue in earnest through this afternoon and
early evening.

Confidence remains is high for the development of supercells
with a squall line developing on a cold front as it makes its
way into the western portions of southwestern missouri out of
Kansas and Oklahoma. As the line pushes east bowing linear
segments or embedded super cells will become the mode of
storms.

The western extent of the risk looks to be around the Kansas and
Missouri state line where increasing instability from there to
the east across the region will occur. SBCAPE values from
800-2000 J/kg is expected. While the better instability will be
farther east, around Highway 65 and east, the combination of
shear, low LCL's, instability and frontal forcing will allow for
tornado development with any storm the can become rooted to the
surface in the warm sector. Strong deep layer shear around 60
kts and strongly arcing hodographs are more than sufficient for
organized severe weather with all hazard modes.

Hazards: Afternoon/evening hazards are for golf ball size hail,
70 mph winds (maybe up to 80), and tornadoes. Given shear
profiles, a strong tornado or two would be possible. Most
favored conditions for strong tornadoes would be in cells that
are more isolated or perhaps in stronger bowing segments. This
will be especially concerning in segments that bow to the North
to northeast.

Additional thunderstorms may be possible over the far
southeastern Kansas and west-central Missouri in the late
afternoon and evening as the surface low makes its way to the
northeast across that region. These storms may be low-topped
supercells given the proximity to the deep upper shortwave, but
confidence in this outcome is lower. Hazards with the
potential low-topped supercells over the NW in the late
afternoon and evening would be large hail to the size of half
dollars, winds to 60 mph and potentially tornadoes.

In addition to thunderstorm hazards, non-thunderstorm wind
gusts up to 45 mph (possibly higher) are expected through
tonight in advance of the cold front as the pressure gradient
tightens.

With the wet antecedent conditions and rainfall from the
morning (along with lingering ongoing flooding), additional
flooding will again be a concern. This will occur despite the
potential quick (50-60mph) storm motion of the storms as
precipitable water values from 1.2 to 1.5 inches and a saturated
vertical profile will allow for hourly rainfall rates from 1 to
1.5 inches per hour.

The storm system and associated cold front, along with the
severe storms, are expected to move north and east of the
region by later this evening, from 5-8pm. In the wake of the
front, Surface winds will shift out of the west and remain gusty
as low ceilings fill in across the region. Overnight low will
drop into the middle 40s to near 50 behind the front.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1225 PM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025

Ensemble data continues to be consistent in bringing several
additional shortwaves into and through the area from the
west/southwest Tuesday through Friday. NBM rainfall probs
continue to increase, especially Thursday and Friday and we will
need to monitor where this rainfall sets up given the heavy
rainfall from this weekend.

In general, the week looks like it will be rather damp over all.
For now, there is not much potential noted in the model output
for additional severe weather this week, but will monitor as we
proceed through the week.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 1212 PM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025

A warm from lifted through the region this morning allowing for
a few storms and heavy rainfall this morning which brought
periods of MVFR to IFR conditions.

A cold front will move through the region this afternoon into
the evening and bring showers and storms again with severe
storms expected as it moves through the area. Until the front
begins to move into and through the region, Flight conditions
will be mainly VFR with middle level ceilings.

Improvement is expected behind the line of storms, but a return
to IFR to MVFR ceilings is expected late this evening into
tonight as ceilings fall below 1kft. Winds will increase behind
the front with surface gusts from 35 to 45kts.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...Flood Watch until 7 PM CDT this evening for KSZ073-097-101.
MO...Flood Watch until 7 PM CDT this evening for MOZ055>058-066>071-
     077>083-088>098-101>106.

&&

SHORT TERM...Hatch
LONG TERM...Hatch
AVIATION...Hatch

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
139 PM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-211845-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
139 PM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Enhanced tornado risk.
  Slight hail risk.
  Enhanced thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Elevated lightning risk.
  Elevated excessive rainfall risk
  Elevated non thunderstorm wind risk.

DISCUSSION...

Severe thunderstorms are expected this afternoon and evening
across all or most of the Ozarks region. Threats with the
strongest storms will be winds up to 70 mph, golf ball sized
hail, and tornadoes. A strong tornado or two are possible.

Non-thunderstorm wind gusts up to 45 mph are expected today.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will be needed through this evening.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Hatch

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
456 PM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0405 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Rockaway Beach          36.70N 93.16W
04/20/2025                   Taney              MO   Fire Dept/Rescue

            tree down over a mobile home in Rockaway
            Beach.

&&

MB

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
459 PM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0434 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Goodhope                36.91N 92.80W
04/20/2025                   Douglas            MO   Amateur Radio

            tree down in goodhope area.

&&

MB

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
502 PM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0405 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Rockaway Beach          36.70N 93.16W
04/20/2025                   Taney              MO   Emergency Mngr

            Trees and powerlines down. Tree down on a
            mobile home.

&&

AS

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
506 PM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0443 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     6 ESE Florence          38.55N 92.88W
04/20/2025                   Morgan             MO   Emergency Mngr

            Significant barn damage relayed to us at
            State Highway D and bluebird road. Possible
            tornado.

&&

MB

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
510 PM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0450 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     5 WNW Duncan            37.31N 92.77W
04/20/2025                   Webster            MO   Broadcast Media

            Damage to a barn at Highway 38 and blue stem
            road.

&&

MB

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
512 PM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0440 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     4 ENE Versailles        38.45N 92.77W
04/20/2025  M64 MPH          Morgan             MO   Mesonet

            Mesonet station GW3917 VERSAILLES.

&&

MB