River Flood Warning 15, NWS Springfield, MO

526 
WGUS83 KSGF 200105
FLSSGF

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
805 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Roubidoux Creek Near Waynesville affecting Pulaski County.

  Big Piney below Fort Leonard Wood  -East Gate affecting Pulaski 
  County. 

  Gasconade River at Jerome affecting Phelps County.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  James River near Boaz affecting Stone and Christian Counties.

  Current River near Powder Mill affecting Shannon County.

For the Roubidoux Creek...including Waynesville...Minor flooding is 
forecast.
For the Big Piney River...including Fort Leonard Wood - East Gate...
Minor flooding is forecast.
For the James River...including Galena, Boaz...Minor flooding is 
forecast.
For the Gasconade River...including Jerome, Hazelgreen...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Many flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued by Sunday evening at 815 PM CDT.

&&

MOC043-209-210115-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0016.250420T0700Z-250422T1936Z/
/JAMM7.1.ER.250420T0700Z.250420T1200Z.250421T1936Z.NO/
805 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT TO EARLY TUESDAY 
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...James River near Boaz.

* WHEN...From late tonight to early Tuesday afternoon.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 4:45 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 6.6 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 10.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage just after
    midnight tonight to 12.0 feet tomorrow morning. It will then
    fall tomorrow evening. It will rise to 11.5 feet Monday
    morning. It will then fall below flood stage early Monday
    afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3706 9343 3706 9336 3702 9333 3696 9335
      3697 9338 3702 9339


$$

MOC169-210115-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0012.250420T2052Z-250422T2034Z/
/BIGM7.1.ER.250420T2052Z.250421T1200Z.250422T1434Z.NO/
805 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON TO TUESDAY 
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Big Piney  below Fort Leonard Wood - East Gate.

* WHEN...From Sunday afternoon to Tuesday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 14.0 feet, water at the lower TA 250 Training Ground 
  is two feet deep.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:00 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 4.5 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 8.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river will rise to 6.1 feet just after
    midnight tonight. It will then fall to 5.9 feet tomorrow
    morning. It will rise above flood stage tomorrow afternoon to
    13.4 feet Monday morning. It will then fall below flood stage
    late Tuesday morning.
  - Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3788 9207 3787 9204 3782 9205 3781 9203
      3777 9200 3767 9203 3767 9210 3777 9209
      3783 9210 3786 9209


$$

MOC169-210115-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0015.250420T2100Z-250421T2116Z/
/RBXM7.1.ER.250420T2100Z.250421T1200Z.250421T1516Z.NO/
805 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON TO MONDAY 
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Roubidoux Creek near Waynesville.

* WHEN...From Sunday afternoon to Monday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 8.0 feet, low parts of Spring Road south of Business 
  66 in Waynesville flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:30 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 5.0 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 7.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    tomorrow afternoon to a crest of 7.6 feet Monday morning. It
    will then fall below flood stage late Monday morning.
  - Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3786 9220 3784 9219 3783 9219 3780 9216
      3778 9216 3774 9222 3775 9227 3778 9220
      3785 9222


$$

MOC161-210115-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0014.250421T0949Z-250423T1800Z/
/JRMM7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
805 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT TO EARLY 
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Gasconade River at Jerome.

* WHEN...From late Sunday night to early Wednesday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 18.5 feet, flood waters affect low lying residential 
  areas.


* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:45 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 7.5 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 15.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    early Monday morning to a crest of 17.1 feet early Tuesday
    morning. It will then fall below flood stage early Wednesday
    morning.
  - Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3814 9180 3801 9190 3789 9196 3785 9210
      3785 9220 3783 9225 3791 9224 3794 9217
      3794 9207 3814 9196


$$

MOC203-210115-
/O.CON.KSGF.FL.W.0013.250420T0630Z-250424T1400Z/
/PWDM7.1.ER.250420T0630Z.250421T0600Z.250423T1400Z.NO/
805 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT TO LATE 
THURSDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Current River near Powder Mill.

* WHEN...From late tonight to late Thursday morning.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 6:45 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 7.0 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 8.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    just after midnight tonight to a crest of 11.0 feet early
    Monday morning. It will then fall below flood stage late
    Wednesday morning.
  - Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3720 9126 3720 9117 3713 9105 3710 9114
      3712 9119 3717 9129


$$

PC

578 
WGUS83 KSGF 200256
FLSSGF

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
956 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Roubidoux Creek Near Waynesville affecting Pulaski County.

For the Roubidoux Creek...including Waynesville...Minor flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Many flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued Sunday evening at 1000 PM CDT.

&&

MOC169-210300-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0015.250420T0519Z-250421T2149Z/
/RBXM7.1.ER.250420T0519Z.250421T0600Z.250421T1549Z.NO/
956 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Roubidoux Creek near Waynesville.

* WHEN...Until Monday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 8.0 feet, low parts of Spring Road south of Business 
  66 in Waynesville flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:30 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 6.6 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 7.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage to 7.1 feet
    just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below flood
    stage just after midnight tonight to 6.7 feet early tomorrow
    afternoon. It will rise above flood stage again tomorrow
    afternoon to 7.7 feet Monday morning. It will then fall below
    flood stage again late Monday morning.
  - Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3786 9220 3784 9219 3783 9219 3780 9216
      3778 9216 3774 9222 3775 9227 3778 9220
      3785 9222


$$

PC

101 
WGUS83 KSGF 200710
FLSSGF

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
210 AM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Roubidoux Creek Near Waynesville affecting Pulaski County.

For the Roubidoux Creek...including Waynesville...Minor flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Many flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued late tonight at 215 AM CDT.

&&

MOC169-210715-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-250421T1930Z/
/RBXM7.1.ER.250420T0307Z.250420T0630Z.250421T1330Z.NO/
210 AM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY TOMORROW AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Roubidoux Creek near Waynesville.

* WHEN...Until early tomorrow afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 8.0 feet, low parts of Spring Road south of Business 
  66 in Waynesville flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 1:30 AM CDT Sunday the stage was 8.3 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 7.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 1:30 AM CDT Sunday was 8.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river will fall below flood stage this morning
    to 5.1 feet this evening. It will then rise above flood stage
    late tonight to 7.2 feet tomorrow morning. It will fall below
    flood stage again tomorrow morning.
  - Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    8.3 feet on 06/10/2020.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3786 9220 3784 9219 3783 9219 3780 9216
      3778 9216 3774 9222 3775 9227 3778 9220
      3785 9222


$$

RN

539 
WGUS83 KSGF 201258
FLSSGF

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
758 AM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Roubidoux Creek Near Waynesville affecting Pulaski County.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Big Piney below Fort Leonard Wood  -East Gate affecting Pulaski 
  County. 

  Gasconade River at Jerome affecting Phelps County.

For the Roubidoux Creek...including Waynesville...Minor flooding is 
forecast.
For the Big Piney River...including Fort Leonard Wood - East Gate...
Minor flooding is forecast.
For the Gasconade River...including Jerome...Minor flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Many flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued Monday morning at 800 AM CDT.

&&

MOC169-211300-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-250421T2015Z/
/RBXM7.1.ER.250420T0307Z.250420T0815Z.250421T1415Z.NO/
758 AM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TOMORROW AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Roubidoux Creek near Waynesville.

* WHEN...Until tomorrow afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 8.0 feet, low parts of Spring Road south of Business 
  66 in Waynesville flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:30 AM CDT Sunday the stage was 7.3 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 7.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 7:30 AM CDT Sunday was 8.4 feet.
  - Forecast...The river will fall below flood stage late this
    morning to 6.4 feet this evening. It will then rise above
    flood stage late tonight to 7.3 feet tomorrow morning. It
    will fall below flood stage again late tomorrow morning.
  - Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    7.2 feet on 04/06/2017.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3786 9220 3784 9219 3783 9219 3780 9216
      3778 9216 3774 9222 3775 9227 3778 9220
      3785 9222


$$

MOC169-211300-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0012.250420T1349Z-250422T1600Z/
/BIGM7.1.ER.250420T1349Z.250422T0000Z.250422T1000Z.NO/
758 AM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TUESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Big Piney  below Fort Leonard Wood - East Gate.

* WHEN...Until late Tuesday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 9.0 feet, the Happy Hollow Picnic Area floods.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:00 AM CDT Sunday the stage was 7.5 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 8.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    this morning to a crest of 9.1 feet this afternoon. It will
    then fall below flood stage early Tuesday morning.
  - Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    9.1 feet on 06/05/2016.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3788 9207 3787 9204 3782 9205 3781 9203
      3777 9200 3767 9203 3767 9210 3777 9209
      3783 9210 3786 9209


$$

MOC161-211300-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0014.250421T1124Z-250422T1800Z/
/JRMM7.1.ER.250421T1124Z.250421T1800Z.250422T0600Z.NO/
758 AM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING TO EARLY TUESDAY 
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Gasconade River at Jerome.

* WHEN...From Monday morning to early Tuesday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 15.0 feet, minor flooding occurs near the gage site. 
  Flood waters reach the lower edge of the concrete building where 
  the gage equipment is located.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:45 AM CDT Sunday the stage was 8.4 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 15.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    tomorrow morning to a crest of 15.5 feet early tomorrow
    afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage early Tuesday
    morning.
  - Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    15.5 feet on 03/29/2018.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3814 9180 3801 9190 3789 9196 3785 9210
      3785 9220 3783 9225 3791 9224 3794 9217
      3794 9207 3814 9196


$$

EW

286 
WGUS83 KSGF 201847
FLSSGF

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
147 PM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Roubidoux Creek Near Waynesville affecting Pulaski County.

  Big Piney below Fort Leonard Wood  -East Gate affecting Pulaski 
  County. 

  Gasconade River at Jerome affecting Phelps County.

For the Roubidoux Creek...including Waynesville...Minor flooding is 
forecast.
For the Big Piney River...including Fort Leonard Wood - East Gate...
Minor flooding is forecast.
For the Gasconade River...including Jerome...Minor flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Many flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued Monday afternoon at 200 PM CDT.

&&

MOC169-211900-
/O.CON.KSGF.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-250421T2015Z/
/RBXM7.1.ER.250420T0307Z.250420T0815Z.250421T1415Z.NO/
147 PM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL TOMORROW AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Roubidoux Creek near Waynesville.

* WHEN...Until tomorrow afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 8.0 feet, low parts of Spring Road south of Business 
  66 in Waynesville flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 1:30 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 5.8 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 7.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    late tonight to a crest of 7.3 feet tomorrow morning. It will
    then fall below flood stage late tomorrow morning.
  - Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    7.2 feet on 04/06/2017.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3786 9220 3784 9219 3783 9219 3780 9216
      3778 9216 3774 9222 3775 9227 3778 9220
      3785 9222


$$

MOC169-211900-
/O.CON.KSGF.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-250422T1600Z/
/BIGM7.1.ER.250420T1312Z.250422T0000Z.250422T1000Z.NO/
147 PM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TUESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Big Piney  below Fort Leonard Wood - East Gate.

* WHEN...Until late Tuesday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 9.0 feet, the Happy Hollow Picnic Area floods.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 1:00 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 8.9 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 8.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 1:00 PM CDT Sunday was 8.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river will fall to 8.4 feet this evening. It
    will then rise to 9.0 feet this evening. It will fall to 8.1
    feet tomorrow morning. It will then rise to 9.2 feet tomorrow
    evening. It will fall below flood stage early Tuesday
    morning.
  - Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    9.1 feet on 06/05/2016.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3788 9207 3787 9204 3782 9205 3781 9203
      3777 9200 3767 9203 3767 9210 3777 9209
      3783 9210 3786 9209


$$

MOC161-211900-
/O.CON.KSGF.FL.W.0014.250421T1124Z-250422T1800Z/
/JRMM7.1.ER.250421T1124Z.250421T1800Z.250422T0600Z.NO/
147 PM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING TO EARLY 
TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Gasconade River at Jerome.

* WHEN...From Monday morning to early Tuesday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 15.0 feet, minor flooding occurs near the gage site. 
  Flood waters reach the lower edge of the concrete building where 
  the gage equipment is located.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 12:45 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 10.1 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 15.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    tomorrow morning to a crest of 15.5 feet early tomorrow
    afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage early Tuesday
    morning.
  - Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    15.5 feet on 03/29/2018.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3814 9180 3801 9190 3789 9196 3785 9210
      3785 9220 3783 9225 3791 9224 3794 9217
      3794 9207 3814 9196


$$

EW

201 
WGUS83 KSGF 210056
FLSSGF

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
756 PM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Roubidoux Creek Near Waynesville affecting Pulaski County.

  Big Piney below Fort Leonard Wood  -East Gate affecting Pulaski 
  County. 

  Gasconade River at Jerome affecting Phelps County.

MOC169-210200-
/O.CAN.KSGF.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-250421T0056Z/
/RBXM7.1.ER.250420T0307Z.250420T0815Z.250420T1320Z.NO/
756 PM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Roubidoux Creek Near Waynesville.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:30 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 5.3 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 7.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 5.2
    feet tomorrow morning.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3786 9220 3784 9219 3783 9219 3780 9216
      3778 9216 3774 9222 3775 9227 3778 9220
      3785 9222


$$

MOC169-210200-
/O.CAN.KSGF.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-250421T0056Z/
/BIGM7.1.ER.250420T1312Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
756 PM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Big Piney  below Fort Leonard Wood - East Gate.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:00 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 7.3 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 8.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 3.6 feet Friday
    evening.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3788 9207 3787 9204 3782 9205 3781 9203
      3777 9200 3767 9203 3767 9210 3777 9209
      3783 9210 3786 9209


$$

MOC161-210200-
/O.CAN.KSGF.FL.W.0014.250421T1124Z-250421T0056Z/
/JRMM7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
756 PM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Gasconade River at Jerome.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:45 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 11.6 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 15.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 13.7
    feet tomorrow evening.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3814 9180 3801 9190 3789 9196 3785 9210
      3785 9220 3783 9225 3791 9224 3794 9217
      3794 9207 3814 9196


$$

KP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1233 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Slight risk for severe thunderstorms south of Interstate 44
  this morning and again tonight 60 mph winds and quarter size
  hail the primary risks.

 -The severe risk Sunday continues to increase with an enhanced
  risk expanded across much of the area. Tornadoes, large hail
  and damaging winds are all possible with this system.

- A Flood Watch is in effect tonight through the weekend.
  Additional rainfall between 2-4 inches, with localized amounts
  up to 7 inches, is expected across most of the area due to
  multiple rounds of heavy rainfall. This will cause an
  increase in creek and river levels. Flooding of low water
  crossings is likely.

- Additional rain chances (40-70%) return Tuesday through
  Thursday of next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Issued at 257 AM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025

Through this morning: Ongoing convection is widespread across
the area, but most intense along cold pool outflow which is
southeast of Springfield. That outflow will push southeast of
the CWA, but the front will remain roughly along I-44. Along the
outflow, storms will continue to pose a strong to severe threat
with 1" hail and 60 mph winds into this morning over south-
central MO. Flooding will continue to be a concern across the
area with training convection bring an additional 1-3" (locally
higher) through this morning south of I-44.

Rest of today: Once thee morning storms clear the area, the
rest of today looks fairly quiet with residual flooding but no
additional heavy rainfall until later in the evening. Highs will
range from the mid 50s NW to the mid 70s SE.

Late evening and tonight: Shortwave energy and a strengthening
LLJ will bring another round of strong to severe thunderstorms
and flooding. Similar in nature to Friday evening/night but a
little weaker and focused more to the southeast (mainly
southeast of I-44). Current expectation is for 1" hail and 60
mph winds to be the primary severe threats. Flooding will also
be a concern with an additional 1-3" (locally higher) of
rainfall south of I-44.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Issued at 257 AM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025

Sunday: Severe risk for Sunday continues to increase with SPC
expanding the Enhanced risk area across most of the CWA. This is
in response to models showing the shortwave and resulting
surface low moving just NW of the CWA during the afternoon and
evening. Some uncertainty exists in how warm/unstable we get,
but HREF probabilities for >1,000 J/kg off SBCAPE is around 70%
over most of the area, which increases confidence. Shear
magnitudes and profiles will not be a limiting factor given the
strength of the system and negative tilting of the shortwave.
SSE surface winds with long, arcing hodographs are likely. HREF
probabilities of >60 kts of 0-6km shear is 70-100%. At this
time, a line of storms with embedded supercells is expected to
move west to east through the area from around noon to 8pm.
Advertising golf ball size hail at this time, which may need to
be adjusted if instability increases/decreases. Thunderstorm
winds up to 70 mph are possible given strong wind fields. Even
non- thunderstorm winds are expected to gust to 35-45 mph, or
possibly higher. Tornadoes will also be possible. SPC has a 10%
tornado probability across much of the area, which matches
closely with HREF calibrated tornado probabilities. Will need to
monitor for possible inclusion of strong tornadoes, but at this
time the convection appears to not be isolated enough to
advertise this threat.

Additional rainfall during the day Sunday will not be as much of
an issue since training is less likely. Still, it won't take
much rainfall on our saturated soils to cause problems.

Next Week: Latest ensemble data continues to be consistent in
bringing additional shortwaves into the area from the
west/southwest Tuesday through Thursday. NBM rainfall probs
continue to increase, especially Thursday and Friday and we
will need to monitor where this rainfall sets up given the heavy
rainfall from this weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 1227 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025

Showers and isolated storms will continue to impacts the region
and the areas terminals through this evening and the overnight
hours. While a surface front has moves south of the region, and
elevated front (approximately 5kft AGL) was helping to focus
rainfall over the area. Through this afternoon and evening,
showers area forecast to expend and increase in intensity,
especially overnight.

A few breaks in the clouds with some areas seeing VFR ceilings
and some sunshine will occur, but be limited in time. Otherwise,
ceilings and visibilities will be IFR to low end MVFR. Where
storms occur, predictability will be limited.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...Flood Watch through Sunday evening for KSZ073-097-101.
MO...Flood Watch through Sunday evening for MOZ055>058-066>071-
     077>083-088>098-101>106.

&&

SHORT TERM...Titus
LONG TERM...Titus
AVIATION...Hatch

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
453 AM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-201000-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
453 AM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Slight hail risk.
  Slight thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Significant lightning risk.
  Significant excessive rainfall risk

DISCUSSION...

Ongoing thunderstorms over south-central Missouri this morning may
be capable of producing quarter size hail and 60 mph winds. Heavy
rainfall may also lead to flash flooding.

Additional strong to severe thunderstorms and heavy rain are
expected south of Interstate 44 late this evening into tonight.
Flash flooding will be possible where training of thunderstorms
occur.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The severe weather risk continues to increase for Sunday. Large
hail to the size of golf balls, damaging winds up to 70 mph, and
tornadoes are possible. Additional updates are likely with this
system.

With the additional rounds of rainfall Saturday through Sunday
afternoon, flooding will remain a concern and a Flood Watch is in
effect.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

 Spotter activation may be needed on Sunday.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Titus

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
839 AM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025

MOZ098-191415-
Shannon MO-
839 AM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SHANNON COUNTY THROUGH 915 AM
CDT...

At 838 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Birch Tree, or 10 miles northeast of Mountain View, moving northeast
at 55 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Montier, Alley Spring, Midridge, Winona, Ozark National Scenic
Riverways, West Eminence, Eminence, and Birch Tree.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3708 9122 3694 9122 3693 9157 3711 9166
      3714 9165 3737 9119 3731 9116 3726 9116
      3725 9112 3720 9112 3720 9109 3718 9109
      3714 9102 3709 9102
TIME...MOT...LOC 1338Z 245DEG 49KT 3708 9154

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Wise

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1128 AM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1123 AM     Flood            2 SSE Cassville         36.66N 93.85W
04/19/2025                   Barry              MO   Dept of Highways

            MO 76 closed due to flooding.

&&

EW

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1142 AM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0440 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     4 SW West Plains        36.68N 91.89W
04/19/2025                   Howell             MO   Broadcast Media

            Some trees and large tree limbs were downed.

&&

EW

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1246 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1217 PM     Flood            4 SSW Hardenville       36.54N 92.41W
04/19/2025                   Ozark              MO   Dept of Highways

            Route T closed due to flooding south of
            Gainesville.

&&

EW

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1249 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1228 PM     Flood            2 E Rockbridge          36.78N 92.37W
04/19/2025                   Ozark              MO   Dept of Highways

            MO 95 closed due to flooding along Bryant
            Creek.

&&

EW

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1253 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1240 PM     Flood            Mcdowell                36.82N 93.79W
04/19/2025                   Barry              MO   Dept of Highways

            Route C is closed due to flooding along Flat
            Creek.

&&

EW