High Wind Warning 1, NWS Springfield, MO

036 
WWUS73 KSGF 050715
NPWSGF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Springfield MO
115 AM CST Wed Mar 5 2025

MOZ056-060000-
/O.UPG.KSGF.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-250306T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KSGF.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-250306T0000Z/
Morgan-
Including the cities of Rocky Mount, Stover, Laurie, and
Versailles
115 AM CST Wed Mar 5 2025

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 25 to 30 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

* WHERE...Morgan County.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM CST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and some power 
  lines. Scattered power outages are possible. Travel will be 
  difficult, especially for high profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and 
avoid windows. Watch for falling debris and tree limbs. Use caution 
if you must drive.

&&

$$

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055-066-067-077-060000-
/O.CON.KSGF.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-250306T0000Z/
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Vernon-St. Clair-Barton-
Including the cities of Pawnee Station, Lamar, Fort Scott, Mora,
Pittsburg, Columbus, Chicopee, Crockerville, Cole Camp, Appleton
City, Lone Oak, Neutral, Stippville, Johnson City, Kenoma, Baxter
Springs, Tiffin, Lowell, Whitakerville, Warsaw, Sherwin,
Edmonson, Nevada, Riverton, and Lincoln
115 AM CST Wed Mar 5 2025

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

* WHERE...In Kansas, Bourbon, Cherokee, and Crawford Counties. In 
  Missouri, Benton, Barton, St. Clair, and Vernon Counties.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM CST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and some power 
  lines. Scattered power outages are possible. Travel will be 
  difficult, especially for high profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and 
avoid windows. Watch for falling debris and tree limbs. Use caution 
if you must drive.

&&

$$

MOZ057-058-068>071-078>083-088>098-101>106-060000-
/O.CON.KSGF.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-250306T0000Z/
Miller-Maries-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
Including the cities of Nixa, Pittsburg, West Plains, Lynchburg,
March, Elsey, Hollister, Eldon, Christian Center, Couch, Ava,
Edgewater Beach, Roach, Bangert, Lake Spring, Laquey, South West
City, Rolla, Cassville, Powersite, Seymour, Rogersville, Salem,
Branson, Selmore, Plato, Plad, Quincy, Wasola, Silver Dollar
City, Arnica, Village of Four Seasons, Ozark Beach, Carthage,
Cedar Springs, Thayer, Howes, Mansfield, Ozark, Stockton, Madry,
Goodhope, Marionville, Birch Tree, Jadwin, Teresita, Monett,
Rome, Winona, South Fork, Vichy, Kirbyville, Lebanon, Windyville,
Marshfield, Siloam Springs, Forsyth, White Church, Mount Vernon,
Foose, Fort Leonard Wood, Joplin, Wilderness, Squires, El Dorado
Springs, Decaturville, Meinert, Noel, Wheatland, Aurora Springs,
Filley, Lake Ozark, Bolivar, Vanzant, Weaubleau, Buffalo,
Northwye, Gladden, Northview, Charity, Neosho, Caplinger Mills,
Graff, Thomasville, Duncan, Pottersville, Crane, Waynesville,
Huggins, Montier, Bendavis, Pomona, Aurora, Pineville, Indian
Point, Camdenton, Cross Timbers, Osage Beach, Hermitage, Roby,
Dogwood, Greer, Darien, Kimberling City, Lockwood, Alton,
Mountain Grove, Anderson, Greenfield, Dawson, Goodman,
Springfield, Rocky Comfort, and Olive
115 AM CST Wed Mar 5 2025

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of central, east central, south central, and 
  southwest Missouri.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM CST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service, visit 
http://weather.gov/sgf

EW

938 
WWUS73 KSGF 051543
NPWSGF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Springfield MO
Issued by National Weather Service Paducah KY
943 AM CST Wed Mar 5 2025

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055-066-067-077-060000-
/O.CAN.KSGF.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-250306T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KSGF.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-250306T0000Z/
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Vernon-St. Clair-Barton-
Including the cities of Tiffin, Kenoma, Pawnee Station, Mora,
Pittsburg, Columbus, Cole Camp, Lamar, Stippville, Baxter
Springs, Lone Oak, Chicopee, Lowell, Lincoln, Sherwin, Neutral,
Fort Scott, Nevada, Warsaw, Johnson City, Edmonson, Crockerville,
Whitakerville, Riverton, and Appleton City
943 AM CST Wed Mar 5 2025

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* WHERE...In Kansas, Bourbon, Cherokee, and Crawford Counties. In 
  Missouri, Benton, Barton, St. Clair, and Vernon Counties.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM CST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

MOZ056>058-068>071-078>083-088>098-101>106-060000-
/O.CON.KSGF.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-250306T0000Z/
Morgan-Miller-Maries-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Cedar-Polk-
Dallas-Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-
Newton-Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-
Stone-Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
Including the cities of Nixa, Rome, Filley, Elsey, Forsyth, Lake
Ozark, Springfield, Goodman, Ozark, Charity, Lake Spring,
Versailles, Gladden, Neosho, Squires, Aurora, March, Powersite,
Wheatland, Meinert, Eldon, Greer, Thomasville, Thayer, Ozark
Beach, Fort Leonard Wood, Hollister, Vanzant, Edgewater Beach,
Monett, Darien, Laurie, Vichy, Cassville, Christian Center,
Bangert, Rogersville, Stockton, Pittsburg, Cedar Springs,
Anderson, Jadwin, Lynchburg, Bendavis, Silver Dollar City,
Dogwood, Quincy, Joplin, Osage Beach, Rocky Comfort, Pomona,
Branson, Plato, Kimberling City, Alton, Selmore, Howes, Mountain
Grove, Huggins, Greenfield, Foose, Windyville, Waynesville,
Teresita, South West City, Arnica, Marshfield, Pottersville,
Plad, Indian Point, West Plains, Wilderness, Cross Timbers,
Wasola, Kirbyville, Seymour, South Fork, Carthage, Bolivar,
Northview, Madry, Weaubleau, Stover, Lebanon, Olive, Graff, White
Church, Caplinger Mills, Pineville, Camdenton, Aurora Springs,
Montier, Northwye, Roach, Mansfield, Winona, Noel, Siloam
Springs, El Dorado Springs, Dawson, Rocky Mount, Mount Vernon,
Hermitage, Laquey, Rolla, Couch, Salem, Goodhope, Duncan, Crane,
Roby, Ava, Birch Tree, Lockwood, Village of Four Seasons,
Buffalo, Marionville, and Decaturville
943 AM CST Wed Mar 5 2025

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of central, east central, south central, and 
  southwest Missouri.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM CST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service, visit 
http://weather.gov/sgf

DWS

621 
WWUS73 KSGF 051608
NPWSGF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1008 AM CST Wed Mar 5 2025

MOZ056-060000-
/O.CAN.KSGF.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-250306T0000Z/
/O.CON.KSGF.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-250306T0000Z/
Morgan-
Including the cities of Stover, Rocky Mount, Versailles, and
Laurie
1008 AM CST Wed Mar 5 2025

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* WHERE...Morgan County.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM CST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055-066-067-077-060000-
/O.CON.KSGF.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-250306T0000Z/
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Vernon-St. Clair-Barton-
Including the cities of Lowell, Columbus, Johnson City, Lone Oak,
Neutral, Mora, Stippville, Appleton City, Crockerville,
Whitakerville, Sherwin, Tiffin, Lamar, Edmonson, Riverton,
Pittsburg, Fort Scott, Kenoma, Chicopee, Lincoln, Baxter Springs,
Nevada, Pawnee Station, Cole Camp, and Warsaw
1008 AM CST Wed Mar 5 2025

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* WHERE...In Kansas, Bourbon, Cherokee, and Crawford Counties. In 
  Missouri, Benton, Barton, St. Clair, and Vernon Counties.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM CST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

MOZ057-058-068>071-078>083-088>098-101>106-060000-
/O.CON.KSGF.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-250306T0000Z/
Miller-Maries-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
Including the cities of Graff, Selmore, Goodhope, South West
City, Ava, Wasola, Mansfield, Hollister, Buffalo, Howes, Eldon,
Mountain Grove, Aurora Springs, Wilderness, Bangert, Forsyth,
Ozark Beach, Plad, Cedar Springs, Lake Spring, El Dorado Springs,
Branson, Cassville, Bolivar, Couch, Squires, Jadwin, Plato,
Montier, Alton, Vanzant, Indian Point, Madry, Fort Leonard Wood,
Caplinger Mills, Pomona, Powersite, South Fork, Laquey, Olive,
Thayer, Roby, Marionville, Lebanon, Meinert, Aurora, White
Church, Greenfield, Rome, Village of Four Seasons, Rocky Comfort,
Joplin, Springfield, Birch Tree, Elsey, March, Weaubleau,
Northview, Waynesville, Winona, Kimberling City, Northwye, Mount
Vernon, Ozark, Teresita, Noel, Marshfield, Pottersville,
Pittsburg, Anderson, Dogwood, Crane, Silver Dollar City,
Lockwood, Huggins, Stockton, Duncan, Monett, Quincy, Kirbyville,
Hermitage, Osage Beach, Windyville, Goodman, Filley, Gladden,
West Plains, Arnica, Lynchburg, Lake Ozark, Cross Timbers, Roach,
Neosho, Salem, Thomasville, Seymour, Siloam Springs, Dawson,
Vichy, Pineville, Foose, Darien, Christian Center, Rolla,
Edgewater Beach, Greer, Bendavis, Charity, Decaturville,
Carthage, Camdenton, Rogersville, Nixa, and Wheatland
1008 AM CST Wed Mar 5 2025

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of central, east central, south central, and 
  southwest Missouri.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM CST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service, visit 
http://weather.gov/sgf

KP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
111 PM CST Tue Mar 4 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Marginal (1 of 5) risk for severe storms this morning through
  the evening. Small hail and wind gusts up to 40-60 mph
  possible between 3 to 9 AM. Quarter-sized hail, wind gusts up
  to 60 mph, and a low potential (2% chance) for tornadoes with
  any afternoon storms.

- Marginal (1 of 5) risk for excessive rainfall Tuesday with
  most locations receiving 0.75 to 1.25 inches. Locally higher
  amounts up to 1 to 2.5 inches for locations experiencing
  multiple thunderstorms.

- A Wind Advisory is in effect for tonight through Wednesday
  evening. Gusty south-southeast winds of 30 to 45 mph today.
  Even stronger northwest wind gusts of 40 to 55 mph late
  Tuesday night through Wednesday.

- Rain transitions to a rain/snow mix late this evening, before
  turning to all snow overnight tonight into Wednesday. Some
  accumulations up to an inch to inch and a half will be
  possible with increasing confidence in a few travel
  inconveniences for the Wednesday morning commute.

&&

.MESOSCALE...
Issued at 110 PM CST Tue Mar 4 2025

Redevelopment Potential This Afternoon:
Surface observations depict a rapidly intensifying low pressure
(~990mb) system across portions of south central Kansas. The
initial showers and thunderstorms associated with the occluded
front are currently lifting north and east of the area. On the
backside of this activity, a wake low has been observed
supporting wind gusts upwards of 40 to 50 mph. This will
gradually weaken on its eastward trajectory. Meanwhile, visible
satellite imagery depicts a large clearing across south central
Kansas into central Oklahoma. This clearing is associated with
the dry slot of the low pressure system. The cold front is
draped just behind this clearing, and will shift east over the
next few hours.

Recent mesoscale trends would suggest some marginal
destabilization to occur in the clearing to the west, and will
be the focus for potential redevelopment of isolated showers and
a few thunderstorms as it nudges into far southeast Kansas and
southwest Missouri through mid-afternoon. However, the remaining
uncertainty is the extent of destabilization. RAP analysis
would suggest upwards of 250-500 J/kg CAPE nosing into our area
by late afternoon. This begs an additional question, is there
enough forcing present to overcome an existing cap and
subsidence? While that it is to be determined as the mesoscale
environment shows its cards, there remains a favorable shear
environment across the Ozarks region to sustain convective
updrafts.

Exploring the scenario further of isolated showers and a few
thunderstorms successfully developing, what are the associated
hazards? The background environment in the wake of the departing
line is quite overworked. But, as previously mentioned, can we
modify that environment to the west. In the scenario we do, a
few isolated cells develop across southeast Kansas into
southwest Missouri by late afternoon. A few CAMs highlighted
this potential over the last 12 to 24 hours, but have sense
become less aggressive in the extent of coverage, with less
consistency from run to run. A modified environment with modest
mid-level and low-level lapse rates would support some stronger
updrafts, generally low-topped supercells in nature. Potential
hazards with an established low-topped supercell include hail up
to the size of quarters, damaging wind gusts up to 60 mph, and
an isolated tornado. Overall, confidence has decreased in the
development of low-topped supercells. However, an additional
concern is any cells that do develop may produce a stray
loudspout or two given the presence of 0-3km low-level CAPE with
high amounts of surface vorticity.

Overall, we are not looking at widespread strong to severe
thunderstorms. Rather, a low confidence scenario in an isolated
strong to marginally severe thunderstorm remains plausible, in
addition to the landspout potential. This activity dissipates
beyond the early evening hours after sunset, as instability is
already a factor working against development. Localized heavy
downpours may accompany any isolated cells, though flooding is
not a concern at this time.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 204 AM CST Tue Mar 4 2025

Synoptic overview and current conditions:  Water vapor imagery and
upper level analysis show a deep upper level circulation over
northwest Kansas early this morning and strong southwest flow on
the south-southeast side of the low where 120-150kt upper level
jet was located. A bit lower in the atmosphere, a 40 to 55 kts
low level jet was located from eastern OK into eastern KS and
western MO which was drawing Gulf moisture northward and PW
values have increased into the 0.9 to 1.0" range (from 0.75" at
the 00z SGF sounding). This is near max values climatologically
speaking for this time of year. A linear band of storms
developed during the mid evening ahead of a dry line in the warm
sector of western OK into south central KS in an area of higher
surface based CAPES. The line has become more broken as the
northern portion has shifted into eastern KS out ahead of the
surface based CAPE but still within some marginal elevated CAPE.

Severe weather chances today: Will begin to see this initial
activity shift into our western CWA between 3 and 6 am with a
low end chance of some small hail. Some of the stronger storms may
produce some wind gusts up to 50 mph with this initial
convection. As we head through the morning hours, especially
from mid morning into the early afternoon, when the divergence
aloft from the exit region of the strong upper level jet and a
convergence region of a strong low level jet will interact with
PW values increasing into the 1.0 to 1.25" range for a
widespread area of showers and thunderstorms with heavy rain
potential across the CWA. While we can't rule out a severe
storm, the instability drops off during this time frame and the
main risk would be with damaging winds given the already strong
synoptic scale winds over the area. As we head through the
afternoon, drier air will move into the area as the upper low
shifts east into the area and the bulk of the convection shifts
into the eastern CWA and points east of us. As the low begins to
move into the area however, colder air aloft will be drawn into
the region which will help to destabilize the atmosphere again.
Our best chance of any severe storms(marginal risk 1 of 5) will
likely be in the mid afternoon to early evening with a scattered
low top supercell potential. This is where the 2% isolated
tornado potential will exist along with a chance of hail.

Excessive rainfall chances today: In addition to the strong to
severe storm potential today, PW values will rise to near
climatological max values and above (1.0 to 1.25") during the
day as the strong low level winds continue to advect Gulf
moisture into the area. Heavy rain is expected with the
convection throughout the day with a marginal(1 of 4) to
slight(2 of 4) risk of excessive rainfall occurring. Widespread
0.75" to 1.25" of rain is expected across the area with some
localized amounts of 1.5 to 2.5" possible with any training of
thunderstorms. This may lead to some (mainly localized)
flooding.

Windy conditions today into Wednesday: Winds will be gusty today
as the storm system approaches and moves through. Wind gusts of
25 to 35 mph will be widespread with some localized gusts up to
45 mph possible. Within the convection, some of the stronger
storms may also produce wind gusts of 50 to 60 mph. As we head
into tonight and Wednesday, even stronger winds are expected to
develop behind the low pressure system and we'll likely see
widespread 40 to 50 mph with some localized gusts up to 55 mph.
For this reason, we are continuing with the wind advisory which
was previously issued and goes from Midnight later tonight
until 6 pm Wednesday.

Winter conditions for late tonight into Wednesday: Even though
climatological Winter ends at the end of February, we will still
see some Winter type conditions behind this strong low pressure
system beginning late this evening. HREF members have started
coming in colder at the surface from previous runs and are
hinting at some low end accumulating snowfall over the area from
late tonight into Wednesday. Much colder air will be drawn into
the area from the northwest side of the low to support snowfall
and as surface temperatures begin to drop into the mid 30s we
should see a transition to a rain/snow mix and then all snow
late tonight into Wednesday. Latest indications are for
snowfall from a trace up to an inch and a half, but may cause
some morning commute issues, especially with a 35 to 50 mph
wind. Probabilistic snow data show between 35% to 75% chance of
a dusting and zero up to around 45% for an inch or more. Have
also lowered temperatures a bit from the NBM values on Wednesday
with the cloud cover, snowfall and cold air advection. With the
strong winds and temperatures generally in the 30s on
Wednesday, we'll see wind chill values in the teens and 20s.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
Issued at 204 AM CST Tue Mar 4 2025

The Winter like conditions will not linger too long with
temperatures warming back into the 50s and the 60s by Thursday
and Friday as upper level ridging replaces the storm system
currently moving into the region. Shortwave energy and a frontal
boundary will begin to move back into the area Friday into
Saturday and will bring some low end precipitation
chances(15-25%).

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1140 AM CST Tue Mar 4 2025

A system is bringing widespread showers and thunderstorms to the
area. MVFR to LIFR flight conditions accompany this activity
through the early afternoon, with ceilings around 900 to 1500
feet and visibilities around 2 for 4 miles. Meanwhile, flight
conditions are quickly improving behind this line of activity
as we approach the dry slot of the surface low. These VFR
ceilings will be short-lived before the backside of the system
begins to swing through the area. Additional showers and a few
isolated thunderstorms return over the area late afternoon into
the evening, before changing over to snow late tonight. MVFR to
IFR flight conditions persist with this activity overnight, with
snow lingering through early Wednesday morning. Expect
precipitation to come to an end from west to east through 12Z,
with MVFR ceilings lingering through the remainder of the TAF
period. Meanwhile, strong wind gusts persist through the entire
period. Expect southerly wind gusts upwards of 25 to 35 knots
through the afternoon, becoming west to northwest behind the
frontal passage. Northwest wind gusts into Wednesday morning
approach 40 knots or higher in most locations.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...Wind Advisory from midnight tonight to 6 PM CST Wednesday for
     KSZ073-097-101.
MO...Wind Advisory from midnight tonight to 6 PM CST Wednesday for
     MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106.

&&

MESOSCALE...
SHORT TERM...Lindenberg
LONG TERM...Lindenberg
AVIATION...Perez

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
259 AM CST Tue Mar 4 2025

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-050900-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
259 AM CST Tue Mar 4 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Marginal tornado risk.
  Marginal hail risk.
  Slight thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Limited lightning risk.
  Elevated excessive rainfall risk
  Elevated non thunderstorm wind risk.
  Limited snow risk.

DISCUSSION...

Widespread showers and thunderstorms with heavy rain are expected
across the area today in several waves. Some strong to marginally
severe storms will be possible with hail to the size of quarters,
damaging wind gusts up to 60 mph and and isolated tornado risk
during the afternoon.

Winds will be southerly ahead of the low today with gusts of 35 to
45 mph possible.

Rain will begin to mix with snow later this evening and change
over to light snow tonight as colder air filters into the area.
Winds will also increase out of the northwest with some gusts of
40 to 50 mph possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Light snow will likely be going on early Wednesday and through the
morning commute. A dusting up to an inch and a half will be
possible with the best chances of accumulating snow northwest of a
Branson to Salem line. Some minor impacts will be possible when
combined with the 40 to 55 mph winds that are expected on
Wednesday causing blowing of snow and lower visibility. Wind
chills during the day Wednesday will be in the teens to 20s.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

 Spotter activation may be needed today for the potential of an
 isolated tornado during the afternoon.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Lindenberg

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1145 AM CST Tue Mar 4 2025

MOZ077>079-088>090-094-041815-
Cedar MO-Polk MO-Barton MO-Greene MO-Jasper MO-Dade MO-Lawrence MO-
1145 AM CST Tue Mar 4 2025

...GUSTY SHOWERS WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN BARTON...CEDAR...
SOUTHWESTERN POLK...NORTHERN LAWRENCE...NORTHWESTERN GREENE...
NORTHEASTERN JASPER AND DADE COUNTIES THROUGH 1215 PM CST...

At 1145 AM CST, Doppler radar was tracking gusty showers along a line
extending from 7 miles east of Lamar to 8 miles northeast of Mount
Vernon. Movement was northeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Cane Hill, Lamar Heights, Umber View Heights, Cave Springs, Mount
Vernon, Eudora, Pennsboro, Neola, Morrisville, Boston, Oakton,
Aldrich, Olympia, Red Oak, Golden City, Caplinger Mills, Wagoner,
Stockton State Park, Jerico Springs, and Kenoma.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 44 between mile markers 37 and 46.
 Interstate 49 between mile markers 55 and 67.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3764 9408 3775 9407 3789 9395 3789 9381
      3783 9381 3782 9364 3742 9334 3703 9390
      3743 9444
TIME...MOT...LOC 1745Z 214DEG 30KT 3752 9415 3717 9369

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

Didio

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1212 PM CST Tue Mar 4 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1203 PM     Non-Tstm Wnd Dmg 2 E Hoberg              37.07N 93.81W
03/04/2025                   Lawrence           MO   Law Enforcement

            Report of a tree down in the roadway from
            non-thunderstorm winds.

&&

SLM

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1214 PM CST Tue Mar 4 2025

MOZ066>068-077>080-089>091-094-041845-
Vernon MO-Cedar MO-Dallas MO-Polk MO-Barton MO-Greene MO-Dade MO-
Webster MO-Hickory MO-St. Clair MO-Lawrence MO-
1214 PM CST Tue Mar 4 2025

...GUSTY SHOWERS WILL IMPACT WESTERN HICKORY...NORTHEASTERN BARTON...
NORTHWESTERN WEBSTER...SOUTHERN DALLAS...CEDAR...POLK...NORTHEASTERN
LAWRENCE...NORTHERN GREENE...SOUTHEASTERN ST. CLAIR...SOUTHEASTERN
VERNON AND DADE COUNTIES THROUGH 1245 PM CST...

At 1213 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking gusty showers along a line
extending from near El Dorado Springs to near Willard. Movement was
northeast at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Vista, Elkland, Glidewell, Flemington, Pittsburg, Fair Grove, Cane
Hill, Umber View Heights, Cave Springs, Eudora, Pennsboro, Neola,
Goodson, Morrisville, Wheatland, Buffalo, Aldrich, Olympia, Ebenezer,
and Pomme De Terre State Park.

This includes Interstate 44 between mile markers 109 and 111.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3753 9285 3748 9285 3721 9353 3720 9364
      3724 9370 3751 9412 3759 9414 3764 9419
      3769 9426 3811 9358
TIME...MOT...LOC 1813Z 235DEG 43KT 3779 9406 3724 9339

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

Didio