Flash Flood Warning 50, NWS Springfield, MO

789 
WGUS73 KSGF 301244
FFSSGF

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
744 AM CDT Mon Jun 30 2025

MOC043-077-209-301254-
/O.EXP.KSGF.FF.W.0050.000000T0000Z-250630T1245Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Christian MO-Greene MO-Stone MO-
744 AM CDT Mon Jun 30 2025

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 745 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR 
CENTRAL CHRISTIAN, SOUTHWESTERN GREENE AND NORTHERN STONE COUNTIES...

Flooding is no longer expected to pose a threat. Please continue to 
heed remaining road closures.

&&

LAT...LON 3727 9347 3706 9325 3681 9304 3682 9334
      3699 9361 3726 9361

$$

MB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1247 AM CDT Mon Jun 30 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Line of storms will continue to move south through central
  Missouri early this evening. Gusty winds and heavy rainfall
  and a localized flooding risk will occur with the strongest
  storms early this evening.

- Additional rounds of showers and storms will be possible late
  tonight into Monday ahead of a cold front, but there is still
  uncertainty in exact timing and track of storms. Nevertheless,
  there is a Marginal (1 of 5) Risk for some of these storms to
  become severe on Monday afternoon.

- Some mild heat relief during the middle of next week following
  the frontal passage before long-range forecasts suggest heat
  and humidity returning for the 4th of July weekend and
  onwards.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Issued at 313 PM CDT Sun Jun 29 2025

Thunderstorms occurred across portions of central Missouri
overnight into this morning, producing locally heavy rainfall.
These storms have dissipated but produced an outflow boundary
that is pushing south across south central Missouri this
afternoon and generate some scattered showers and storms. this
activity will continue for the next few hours then push off to
the south and east.

Additional storms have developed across central Kansas into
west central Missouri. These storms are forming into a cluster
and a line of storms will more south through the area this
afternoon into early this evening. An unstable air mass is in
place ahead of these storms across southeastern Kansas and
southwestern and southern Missouri. Instability is weaker across
central Missouri do to morning convection that impacted these
locations. The line of storms are expected to continue to move
south along the instability gradient across southeastern Kansas
and southwestern Missouri. Deep layer shear will not be overly
strong but given the amount of instability and Theta-E
gradients, there will be the potential for some strong to
severe wind gusts up to 50 to 60 mph with the strongest storms
within the line, mainly along and west of Highway 65 in the
better thermo. The storm flow is slow so locally heavy rainfall
will also occur with this activity. Storms will be possible east
of Highway 65, but with the weaker instability intensity should
be weaker overall but locally heavy rainfall will be possible.

This activity will move south through the area early this
evening and could see a break in the rain the rest of the
evening and tonight. There is some potential for additional
convection to develop north of the area and track south into the
area tonight into Monday morning. There are still questions on
if this activity develops and where it will track. The current
storms may limit instability some and the activity weakens as
it moves into the area or weakens prior to getting into the
area. A low level jet does develop again tonight into early
Monday and there may be enough uncapped elevated instability for
some potential for at least isolated storms to get into
portions of the area late tonight into Monday morning, but will
be dependent on exactly where storms develop to the north and
instability recovering.

An upper level shortwave trough and front will move east through
the area on Monday and additional showers and storms will
develop ahead of these features and move east across the area.
Heavy down pours will occur with the storms again but should
move off to the east fast enough to limit a widespread flooding
risk. Some gusty winds up to 50 to 60mph will be possible with
the storms especially east of Highway 65 Monday
afternoon/evening as better instability will develop with the
heating of the day.

Where sun occurs today and on Monday highs will warm into the
upper 80s to the lower 90s with heat index values in the middle
90s to around 100. Clouds from the storms will limit
temperatures across portions of the area with highs in the
lower 80s.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Issued at 313 PM CDT Sun Jun 29 2025

A slightly less humid air mass will move into the area behind
the front for Tuesday and Wednesday with highs in the middle
80s. Mainly dry conditions will occur across the area on these
day as a drier air mass and weaker instability.

The upper level ridge will build back over the region late week
into next weekend with highs return to around the 90 degree mark
and lows in the lower 70s. Heat index values in the middle 90s
to around 100 will also return to the area late week into next
weekend. With humidity values increase there will be a 10 to 30%
chance for daily showers and storms across the area, but with
the ridge build back over the area limiting the widespread
rainfall chances across the area.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 1245 AM CDT Mon Jun 30 2025

A NW to SE band of very slow-moving thunderstorms has developed
just SW of SGF, with some cells developing near BBG.
Simultaneously, a rain shield with embedded lightning is pushing
eastward into JLN. Therefore, thunderstorms can be expected at
or near the TAF sites until at least 08-10Z. Evolution of storms
is then uncertain after the 12Z timeframe with the potential for
multiple bands of scattered showers and thunderstorms along
outflow boundaries and/or an advancing cold front. BBG has the
highest chance of seeing storms during the 17-21Z timeframe,
with scattered development around all other TAF sites
potentially from 12-02Z. If a storm moves over the TAF sites,
heavy downpours limiting visibility, lightning, and wind gusts
up to 50-60 kts will all be possible.

Otherwise, 8-12 kt winds will shift from southwesterly to
westerly by 15Z, then to northerly by 02-06Z. Skies will also be
chaotic due to convective influences, with a small chance for
below MVFR cigs without precipitation (15-30% chance).

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...None.
MO...None.

&&

SHORT TERM...Wise
LONG TERM...Wise
AVIATION...Price

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
902 PM CDT Sun Jun 29 2025

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-010215-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
902 PM CDT Sun Jun 29 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Marginal hail risk.
  Slight thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Elevated lightning risk.
  Elevated excessive rainfall risk

DISCUSSION...

Showers and thunderstorms will continue to exit the area late this
evening. Lightning and residual flooding will be the primary
threats with this activity.

Additional showers and thunderstorms are then possible tonight
into Monday morning. Locally heavy rainfall, isolated hail to the
size of quarters, and isolated wind gusts up to 60 mph will be
possible with this activity.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Additional showers and storms will develop across portions of the
the area on Monday. There is a marginal risk for localized flash
flooding in addition to wind gusts up to 50 to 60 mph with the
storms on Monday.

Daily shower and thunderstorm chances of 10 to 30 percent will
then occur late week into the weekend.

Heat Index values between 95 and 100 then return into the
Independence Day Weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

 Spotter activation is not expected through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Titus

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
957 PM CDT Sun Jun 29 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0542 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 SW Republic           37.11N 93.49W
06/29/2025                   Greene             MO   Public

            Large branch fell on house. Time based on
            radar estimated.

&&

TEO

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1124 PM CDT Sun Jun 29 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0442 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Republic                37.12N 93.48W
06/29/2025                   Greene             MO   Emergency Mngr

            Extensive tree damage on the north side of
            Republic. Estimated 40 percent of the city
            without power. Time estimated from radar.

&&

Titus

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1128 PM CDT Sun Jun 29 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0445 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     5 NNE Republic          37.19N 93.44W
06/29/2025  M75 MPH          Greene             MO   Public

            MOCOMAGNET (University of Missouri Ag
            Network) station near James River and
            Interstate 44.

&&

Titus

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1129 PM CDT Sun Jun 29 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0442 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 SW Republic           37.11N 93.49W
06/29/2025                   Greene             MO   Public

            Corrects time of previous tstm wnd dmg
            report from 1 SW Republic. Large branch fell
            on house. Time based on radar estimated.

&&

Titus

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1247 AM CDT Mon Jun 30 2025

MOZ090-094-095-103-300615-
Greene MO-Lawrence MO-Christian MO-Stone MO-
1247 AM CDT Mon Jun 30 2025

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN CHRISTIAN...NORTH
CENTRAL STONE...NORTHEASTERN LAWRENCE AND SOUTHWESTERN GREENE
COUNTIES THROUGH 115 AM CDT...

At 1246 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms along a line extending from near Ash Grove to Republic
to near Nixa. Movement was southwest at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Nixa, Republic, Clever, Billings, Halltown, Boaz, and Bois D'arc.

This includes Interstate 44 between mile markers 57 and 69.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3726 9368 3704 9359 3691 9342 3701 9327
      3714 9342 3730 9349
TIME...MOT...LOC 0546Z 048DEG 8KT 3726 9357 3711 9349 3699 9335

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Titus

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
121 AM CDT Mon Jun 30 2025

MOZ090-095-103-300645-
Greene MO-Christian MO-Stone MO-
121 AM CDT Mon Jun 30 2025

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT WESTERN CHRISTIAN...NORTHEASTERN
STONE AND SOUTHWESTERN GREENE COUNTIES THROUGH 145 AM CDT...

At 120 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 6 miles south of Ash Grove to Highlandville.
These storms were nearly stationary.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Nixa, Ozark, Republic, Battlefield, Clever, Ash Grove, Billings,
Highlandville, Brookline, Spokane, Bois D'arc, Selmore, Ponce de
Leon, Boaz, and Christian Center.

This includes Interstate 44 between mile markers 59 and 69.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3709 9361 3728 9361 3732 9357 3695 9315
      3685 9333
TIME...MOT...LOC 0620Z 359DEG 2KT 3722 9359 3693 9327

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Titus