Alert archive / Virginia / Wind Advisories in 2025
Wind Advisory 7, NWS Blacksburg, VA
NWS Blacksburg, VA issued this wind advisory at Feb 15, 2025, 2:57 PM EST for 9 counties in North Carolina; 37 counties in Virginia; 4 counties in West Virginia. It took effect at Feb 16, 2025, 12:00 PM EST. It was in force for 17 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 15, 2025, 2:57 PM EST (19:57 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 16, 2025, 12:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Feb 17, 2025, 4:35 AM EST
- In force
- 17 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Blacksburg, VA
All 50 counties
Alleghany County, NC, Ashe County, NC, Caswell County, NC, Rockingham County, NC, Stokes County, NC, Surry County, NC, Watauga County, NC, Wilkes County, NC, Yadkin County, NC, Alleghany County, VA, Amherst County, VA, Appomattox County, VA, Bath County, VA, Bedford County, VA, Bland County, VA, Botetourt County, VA, Buckingham County, VA, Campbell County, VA, Carroll County, VA, Charlotte County, VA, City of Buena Vista, VA, City of Covington, VA, City of Danville, VA, City of Galax, VA, City of Lexington, VA, City of Lynchburg, VA, City of Martinsville, VA, City of Radford, VA, City of Roanoke, VA, City of Salem, VA, Craig County, VA, Floyd County, VA, Franklin County, VA, Giles County, VA, Grayson County, VA, Halifax County, VA, Henry County, VA, Montgomery County, VA, Patrick County, VA, Pittsylvania County, VA, Pulaski County, VA, Roanoke County, VA, Rockbridge County, VA, Smyth County, VA, Tazewell County, VA, Wythe County, VA, Greenbrier County, WV, Mercer County, WV, Monroe County, WV, Summers County, WV
The radar
The Roanoke radar (KFCX), 11 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Roanoke, VA (KRNK), launched 12:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 61 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1409 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 69 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 521 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 471 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
031 WWUS71 KRNK 151957 NPWRNK URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Blacksburg VA 257 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025 NCZ001-002-018-VAZ014>017-022>024-032>035-160400- /O.UPG.KRNK.HW.A.0001.250216T1700Z-250217T1700Z/ /O.NEW.KRNK.WI.Y.0007.250216T1700Z-250217T2100Z/ Ashe-Alleghany NC-Watauga-Montgomery-Grayson-Carroll-Floyd- Roanoke-Botetourt-Rockbridge-Patrick-Franklin-Bedford-Amherst- Including the cities of Galax, Blacksburg, Salem, Sparta, Roanoke, Lexington, Independence, Buena Vista, Boone, Volney, Fincastle, West Jefferson, Rocky Mount, Troutdale, Whitetop, Stuart, Amherst, Floyd, and Bedford 257 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON SUNDAY TO 4 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...West winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 55 mph expected. Locally higher gusts are possible at higher elevations. * WHERE...Portions of northwest North Carolina and central, south central, southwest, and west central Virginia. * WHEN...From noon Sunday to 4 PM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and power outages may result. Many tree limbs that were broken or partially broken during the freezing rain earlier this week may be blown down resulting in debris on roads and additional power outages. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use caution parking or working around trees that may have broken or weak branches. Be prepared for debris on roadways and sidewalks. && $$ VAZ010>013-018>020-WVZ042>044-507-508-160400- /O.UPG.KRNK.HW.A.0001.250216T1700Z-250217T1700Z/ /O.NEW.KRNK.WI.Y.0007.250216T1700Z-250217T1800Z/ Bland-Giles-Wythe-Pulaski-Craig-Alleghany VA-Bath-Mercer-Summers- Monroe-Eastern Greenbrier-Western Greenbrier- Including the cities of Covington, Wytheville, Radford, Flat Top, Rainelle, Bluefield, Lewisburg, Pearisburg, Bland, Hix, Union, Alderson, Quinwood, Hot Springs, White Sulphur Springs, Hinton, Duo, New Castle, Clifton Forge, and Pulaski 257 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON SUNDAY TO 1 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. Locally higher gusts are possible at higher elevations. * WHERE...Portions of southwest and west central Virginia and southeast West Virginia. * WHEN...From noon Sunday to 1 PM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Many tree limbs that were broken or partially broken during the freezing rain earlier this week may be blown down resulting in debris on roads and additional power outages. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use caution parking or working around trees that may have broken or weak branches. Be prepared for debris on roadways and sidewalks. && $$ NCZ003-019-160400- /O.NEW.KRNK.WI.Y.0007.250216T1700Z-250217T2100Z/ Surry-Wilkes- Including the cities of Wilkesboro and Dobson 257 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON SUNDAY TO 4 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...West winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 55 mph expected. Locally higher gusts are possible at higher elevations. * WHERE...Surry and Wilkes Counties. * WHEN...From noon Sunday to 4 PM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and power outages may result. Many tree limbs that were broken or partially broken during the freezing rain earlier this week may be blown down resulting in debris on roads and additional power outages. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use caution parking or working around trees that may have broken or weak branches. Be prepared for debris on roadways and sidewalks. && $$ NCZ004>006-020-VAZ043>047-058-059-160400- /O.NEW.KRNK.WI.Y.0007.250216T1700Z-250217T2100Z/ Stokes-Rockingham-Caswell-Yadkin-Henry-Pittsylvania-Campbell- Appomattox-Buckingham-Halifax-Charlotte- Including the cities of Eden, Appomattox, Keysville, Yanceyville, Danbury, Martinsville, Danville, South Boston, Yadkinville, and Lynchburg 257 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON SUNDAY TO 4 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of northwest North Carolina and south central Virginia. * WHEN...From noon Sunday to 4 PM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. && $$ VAZ007-009-160400- /O.NEW.KRNK.WI.Y.0007.250216T1700Z-250217T1800Z/ Tazewell-Smyth- Including the cities of Marion and Tazewell 257 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON SUNDAY TO 1 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. Locally higher gusts are possible at higher elevations. * WHERE...Smyth and Tazewell Counties. * WHEN...From noon Sunday to 1 PM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. && $$ AMS
6 follow-up statements
187 WWUS71 KRNK 160347 NPWRNK URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Blacksburg VA 1047 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025 NCZ001>003-018-019-VAZ014>017-022>024-032>035-161600- /O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0007.250216T1700Z-250217T2100Z/ Ashe-Alleghany NC-Surry-Watauga-Wilkes-Montgomery-Grayson-Carroll- Floyd-Roanoke-Botetourt-Rockbridge-Patrick-Franklin-Bedford- Amherst- Including the cities of Boone, Troutdale, Buena Vista, Rocky Mount, West Jefferson, Blacksburg, Stuart, Amherst, Dobson, Sparta, Independence, Whitetop, Salem, Bedford, Volney, Wilkesboro, Galax, Fincastle, Roanoke, Floyd, and Lexington 1047 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON SUNDAY TO 4 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...West winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of north central and northwest North Carolina and central, south central, southwest, and west central Virginia. * WHEN...From noon Sunday to 4 PM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. && $$ NCZ004>006-020-VAZ043>047-058-059-161600- /O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0007.250216T1700Z-250217T2100Z/ Stokes-Rockingham-Caswell-Yadkin-Henry-Pittsylvania-Campbell- Appomattox-Buckingham-Halifax-Charlotte- Including the cities of Martinsville, Danbury, Lynchburg, Appomattox, South Boston, Yadkinville, Danville, Eden, Keysville, and Yanceyville 1047 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON SUNDAY TO 4 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of north central and northwest North Carolina and central and south central Virginia. * WHEN...From noon Sunday to 4 PM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. && $$ VAZ007-009>013-018>020-WVZ042>044-507-508-161600- /O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0007.250216T1700Z-250217T1800Z/ Tazewell-Smyth-Bland-Giles-Wythe-Pulaski-Craig-Alleghany VA-Bath- Mercer-Summers-Monroe-Eastern Greenbrier-Western Greenbrier- Including the cities of Bland, Bluefield, Pulaski, White Sulphur Springs, Duo, Lewisburg, Marion, Union, New Castle, Tazewell, Flat Top, Radford, Covington, Hinton, Alderson, Wytheville, Rainelle, Hot Springs, Hix, Quinwood, Pearisburg, and Clifton Forge 1047 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON SUNDAY TO 1 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of southwest and west central Virginia and southeast West Virginia. * WHEN...From noon Sunday to 1 PM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Many tree limbs that were broken or partially broken during the freezing rain earlier this week may be blown down resulting in debris on roads and additional power outages. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use caution parking or working around trees that may have broken or weak branches. Be prepared for debris on roadways and sidewalks. && $$ EB
804 WWUS71 KRNK 160728 NPWRNK URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Blacksburg VA 228 AM EST Sun Feb 16 2025 WVZ508-161600- /O.NEW.KRNK.CW.Y.0012.250217T0600Z-250217T1400Z/ /O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0007.250216T1700Z-250217T1800Z/ Western Greenbrier- Including the cities of Duo, Rainelle, and Quinwood 228 AM EST Sun Feb 16 2025 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 1 PM EST MONDAY... ...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM EST MONDAY... * WHERE...Western Greenbrier County. * WHEN...For the Wind Advisory, from noon today to 1 PM EST Monday. For the Cold Weather Advisory, from 1 AM to 9 AM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. The cold wind chills as low as 10 below zero could result in hypothermia if precautions are not taken. Wind chill values can lead to hypothermia with prolonged exposure. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use caution while traveling outside. Wear appropriate clothing, a hat, and gloves. Keep pets indoors as much as possible. Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. && $$ NCZ001>003-018-019-VAZ014>017-022>024-032>035-161600- /O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0007.250216T1700Z-250217T2100Z/ Ashe-Alleghany NC-Surry-Watauga-Wilkes-Montgomery-Grayson-Carroll- Floyd-Roanoke-Botetourt-Rockbridge-Patrick-Franklin-Bedford- Amherst- Including the cities of Boone, Troutdale, Buena Vista, Rocky Mount, West Jefferson, Blacksburg, Stuart, Amherst, Dobson, Sparta, Independence, Whitetop, Salem, Bedford, Volney, Wilkesboro, Galax, Fincastle, Roanoke, Floyd, and Lexington 228 AM EST Sun Feb 16 2025 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 4 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...West winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of north central and northwest North Carolina and central, south central, southwest, and west central Virginia. * WHEN...From noon today to 4 PM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. && $$ NCZ004>006-020-VAZ043>047-058-059-161600- /O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0007.250216T1700Z-250217T2100Z/ Stokes-Rockingham-Caswell-Yadkin-Henry-Pittsylvania-Campbell- Appomattox-Buckingham-Halifax-Charlotte- Including the cities of Martinsville, Danbury, Lynchburg, Appomattox, South Boston, Yadkinville, Danville, Eden, Keysville, and Yanceyville 228 AM EST Sun Feb 16 2025 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 4 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of north central and northwest North Carolina and central and south central Virginia. * WHEN...From noon today to 4 PM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. && $$ VAZ007-009>013-018>020-WVZ042>044-507-161600- /O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0007.250216T1700Z-250217T1800Z/ Tazewell-Smyth-Bland-Giles-Wythe-Pulaski-Craig-Alleghany VA-Bath- Mercer-Summers-Monroe-Eastern Greenbrier- Including the cities of Bland, Bluefield, Pulaski, White Sulphur Springs, Lewisburg, Marion, Union, New Castle, Tazewell, Flat Top, Radford, Covington, Hinton, Alderson, Wytheville, Hot Springs, Hix, Pearisburg, and Clifton Forge 228 AM EST Sun Feb 16 2025 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 1 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of southwest and west central Virginia and southeast West Virginia. * WHEN...From noon today to 1 PM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. && $$ EB
113 WWUS71 KRNK 160800 NPWRNK URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Blacksburg VA 300 AM EST Sun Feb 16 2025 WVZ508-161800- /O.UPG.KRNK.WI.Y.0007.250216T1700Z-250217T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KRNK.HW.W.0001.250216T1700Z-250217T1800Z/ /O.CON.KRNK.CW.Y.0012.250217T0600Z-250217T1400Z/ Western Greenbrier- Including the cities of Duo, Quinwood, and Rainelle 300 AM EST Sun Feb 16 2025 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 1 PM EST MONDAY... ...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM EST MONDAY... * WHERE...Western Greenbrier County. * WHEN...For the High Wind Warning, from noon today to 1 PM EST Monday. For the Cold Weather Advisory, from 1 AM to 9 AM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. The cold wind chills as low as 10 below zero could result in hypothermia if precautions are not taken. Wind chill values can lead to hypothermia with prolonged exposure. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Watch for falling debris and tree limbs. Use caution if you must drive. Use caution while traveling outside. Wear appropriate clothing, a hat, and gloves. Keep pets indoors as much as possible. && $$ NCZ001-002-018-VAZ014>017-022>024-032>035-161800- /O.UPG.KRNK.WI.Y.0007.250216T1700Z-250217T2100Z/ /O.NEW.KRNK.HW.W.0001.250216T1700Z-250217T2100Z/ Ashe-Alleghany NC-Watauga-Montgomery-Grayson-Carroll-Floyd- Roanoke-Botetourt-Rockbridge-Patrick-Franklin-Bedford-Amherst- Including the cities of Galax, Stuart, Whitetop, Independence, Roanoke, Fincastle, Lexington, Salem, Volney, Rocky Mount, Buena Vista, Amherst, Sparta, Blacksburg, Boone, Floyd, Bedford, West Jefferson, and Troutdale 300 AM EST Sun Feb 16 2025 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 4 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...West winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 55 mph expected. Locally higher gusts are possible at higher elevations. * WHERE...Portions of northwest North Carolina and central, south central, southwest, and west central Virginia. * WHEN...From noon today to 4 PM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and power outages may result. Many tree limbs that were broken or partially broken during the freezing rain earlier this week may be blown down resulting in debris on roads and additional power outages. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use caution parking or working around trees that may have broken or weak branches. Be prepared for debris on roadways and sidewalks. && $$ VAZ007-009>013-018>020-WVZ042>044-507-161800- /O.UPG.KRNK.WI.Y.0007.250216T1700Z-250217T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KRNK.HW.W.0001.250216T1700Z-250217T1800Z/ Tazewell-Smyth-Bland-Giles-Wythe-Pulaski-Craig-Alleghany VA-Bath- Mercer-Summers-Monroe-Eastern Greenbrier- Including the cities of Radford, Flat Top, Hot Springs, Bluefield, Pearisburg, Tazewell, Alderson, Hix, Pulaski, Lewisburg, Marion, New Castle, Bland, White Sulphur Springs, Clifton Forge, Union, Wytheville, Covington, and Hinton 300 AM EST Sun Feb 16 2025 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 1 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 30 mph with gusts up to 55 mph expected. Locally higher gusts are possible at higher elevations. * WHERE...Portions of southwest and west central Virginia and southeast West Virginia. * WHEN...From noon today to 1 PM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Many tree limbs that were broken or partially broken during the freezing rain earlier this week may be blown down resulting in debris on roads and additional power outages. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use caution parking or working around trees that may have broken or weak branches. Be prepared for debris on roadways and sidewalks. && $$ NCZ003>006-019-020-VAZ043>047-058-059-161800- /O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0007.250216T1700Z-250217T2100Z/ Surry-Stokes-Rockingham-Caswell-Wilkes-Yadkin-Henry-Pittsylvania- Campbell-Appomattox-Buckingham-Halifax-Charlotte- Including the cities of Dobson, Yanceyville, Wilkesboro, Danville, Lynchburg, South Boston, Keysville, Eden, Danbury, Yadkinville, Martinsville, and Appomattox 300 AM EST Sun Feb 16 2025 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 4 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...West winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 45 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of north central and northwest North Carolina and central and south central Virginia. * WHEN...From noon today to 4 PM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. && $$ EB
785 WWUS71 KRNK 161718 NPWRNK URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Blacksburg VA 1218 PM EST Sun Feb 16 2025 WVZ508-170600- /O.CON.KRNK.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-250217T1800Z/ /O.CON.KRNK.CW.Y.0012.250217T0600Z-250217T1400Z/ Western Greenbrier- Including the cities of Quinwood, Duo, and Rainelle 1218 PM EST Sun Feb 16 2025 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST MONDAY... ...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM EST MONDAY... * WHERE...Western Greenbrier County. * WHEN...For the High Wind Warning, until 1 PM EST Monday. For the Cold Weather Advisory, from 1 AM to 9 AM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. The cold wind chills as low as 5 below zero could result in hypothermia if precautions are not taken. Wind chill values can lead to hypothermia with prolonged exposure. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Watch for falling debris and tree limbs. Use caution if you must drive. Use caution while traveling outside. Wear appropriate clothing, a hat, and gloves. Keep pets indoors as much as possible. && $$ NCZ001-002-018-VAZ014>017-022>024-032>035-170600- /O.CON.KRNK.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-250217T2100Z/ Ashe-Alleghany NC-Watauga-Montgomery-Grayson-Carroll-Floyd- Roanoke-Botetourt-Rockbridge-Patrick-Franklin-Bedford-Amherst- Including the cities of Sparta, West Jefferson, Rocky Mount, Amherst, Floyd, Stuart, Fincastle, Buena Vista, Bedford, Volney, Troutdale, Blacksburg, Independence, Salem, Boone, Galax, Roanoke, Lexington, and Whitetop 1218 PM EST Sun Feb 16 2025 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...West winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 55 mph expected. Locally higher gusts are possible at higher elevations. * WHERE...Portions of northwest North Carolina and central, south central, southwest, and west central Virginia. * WHEN...Until 4 PM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and power outages may result. Many tree limbs that were broken or partially broken during the freezing rain earlier this week may be blown down resulting in debris on roads and additional power outages. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use caution parking or working around trees that may have broken or weak branches. Be prepared for debris on roadways and sidewalks. && $$ VAZ007-009>013-018>020-WVZ042>044-507-170600- /O.CON.KRNK.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-250217T1800Z/ Tazewell-Smyth-Bland-Giles-Wythe-Pulaski-Craig-Alleghany VA-Bath- Mercer-Summers-Monroe-Eastern Greenbrier- Including the cities of Wytheville, Hinton, Flat Top, New Castle, Lewisburg, Marion, Alderson, White Sulphur Springs, Radford, Covington, Hix, Clifton Forge, Pulaski, Pearisburg, Bland, Bluefield, Hot Springs, Tazewell, and Union 1218 PM EST Sun Feb 16 2025 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 30 mph with gusts up to 55 mph expected. Locally higher gusts are possible at higher elevations. * WHERE...Portions of southwest and west central Virginia and southeast West Virginia. * WHEN...Until 1 PM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Many tree limbs that were broken or partially broken during the freezing rain earlier this week may be blown down resulting in debris on roads and additional power outages. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use caution parking or working around trees that may have broken or weak branches. Be prepared for debris on roadways and sidewalks. && $$ NCZ003>006-019-020-VAZ043>047-058-059-170600- /O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-250217T2100Z/ Surry-Stokes-Rockingham-Caswell-Wilkes-Yadkin-Henry-Pittsylvania- Campbell-Appomattox-Buckingham-Halifax-Charlotte- Including the cities of Danbury, Yadkinville, Keysville, Lynchburg, Eden, Yanceyville, Martinsville, Danville, Dobson, Wilkesboro, Appomattox, and South Boston 1218 PM EST Sun Feb 16 2025 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...West winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 40 mph. * WHERE...Portions of north central and northwest North Carolina and central and south central Virginia. * WHEN...Until 4 PM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. && $$ AMS
450 WWUS71 KRNK 170331 NPWRNK URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Blacksburg VA 1031 PM EST Sun Feb 16 2025 WVZ508-171145- /O.CON.KRNK.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-250217T1800Z/ /O.CON.KRNK.CW.Y.0012.250217T0600Z-250217T1400Z/ Western Greenbrier- Including the cities of Rainelle, Duo, and Quinwood 1031 PM EST Sun Feb 16 2025 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST MONDAY... ...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST MONDAY... * WHERE...Western Greenbrier County. * WHEN...For the High Wind Warning, until 1 PM EST Monday. For the Cold Weather Advisory, until 9 AM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. Power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. The cold wind chills as low as 10 below zero could result in hypothermia if precautions are not taken. Wind chill values can lead to hypothermia with prolonged exposure. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Watch for falling debris and tree limbs. Use caution if you must drive. Use caution while traveling outside. Wear appropriate clothing, a hat, and gloves. Keep pets indoors as much as possible. && $$ NCZ001-002-018-VAZ014>017-022>024-032>035-171145- /O.CON.KRNK.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-250217T2100Z/ Ashe-Alleghany NC-Watauga-Montgomery-Grayson-Carroll-Floyd- Roanoke-Botetourt-Rockbridge-Patrick-Franklin-Bedford-Amherst- Including the cities of Roanoke, Troutdale, Amherst, Buena Vista, Blacksburg, Salem, Floyd, Lexington, Whitetop, West Jefferson, Sparta, Bedford, Volney, Boone, Independence, Galax, Rocky Mount, Fincastle, and Stuart 1031 PM EST Sun Feb 16 2025 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Northwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. * WHERE...Portions of northwest North Carolina and central, south central, southwest, and west central Virginia. * WHEN...Until 4 PM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. Power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Watch for falling debris and tree limbs. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ VAZ007-009>013-018>020-WVZ042>044-507-171145- /O.CON.KRNK.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-250217T1800Z/ Tazewell-Smyth-Bland-Giles-Wythe-Pulaski-Craig-Alleghany VA-Bath- Mercer-Summers-Monroe-Eastern Greenbrier- Including the cities of Wytheville, Hinton, Marion, Flat Top, Alderson, Bluefield, Radford, Union, Hix, Clifton Forge, Bland, Pulaski, Covington, Pearisburg, White Sulphur Springs, Hot Springs, New Castle, Lewisburg, and Tazewell 1031 PM EST Sun Feb 16 2025 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph. * WHERE...Portions of southwest and west central Virginia and southeast West Virginia. * WHEN...Until 1 PM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. Power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Watch for falling debris and tree limbs. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ NCZ003>006-019-020-VAZ043>047-058-059-171145- /O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-250217T2100Z/ Surry-Stokes-Rockingham-Caswell-Wilkes-Yadkin-Henry-Pittsylvania- Campbell-Appomattox-Buckingham-Halifax-Charlotte- Including the cities of Martinsville, Wilkesboro, Lynchburg, South Boston, Eden, Danville, Danbury, Appomattox, Yadkinville, Keysville, Yanceyville, and Dobson 1031 PM EST Sun Feb 16 2025 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...West winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. * WHERE...Portions of north central and northwest North Carolina and central and south central Virginia. * WHEN...Until 4 PM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. && $$ WP
017 WWUS71 KRNK 170935 NPWRNK URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Blacksburg VA 435 AM EST Mon Feb 17 2025 NCZ003>006-019-020-VAZ043>047-058-059-171045- /O.CAN.KRNK.WI.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-250217T2100Z/ Surry-Stokes-Rockingham-Caswell-Wilkes-Yadkin-Henry-Pittsylvania- Campbell-Appomattox-Buckingham-Halifax-Charlotte- Including the cities of Wilkesboro, Yanceyville, Keysville, Eden, Martinsville, Dobson, South Boston, Lynchburg, Appomattox, Danbury, Danville, and Yadkinville 435 AM EST Mon Feb 17 2025 ...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... The threat has ended. $$ WVZ508-171800- /O.CON.KRNK.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-250217T1800Z/ /O.CON.KRNK.CW.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-250217T1400Z/ Western Greenbrier- Including the cities of Rainelle, Quinwood, and Duo 435 AM EST Mon Feb 17 2025 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... ...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS MORNING... * WHERE...Western Greenbrier County. * WHEN...For the High Wind Warning, until 1 PM EST this afternoon. For the Cold Weather Advisory, until 9 AM EST this morning. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. Power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. The cold wind chills as low as 10 below zero could result in hypothermia if precautions are not taken. Wind chill values can lead to hypothermia with prolonged exposure. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use caution parking or working around trees that may have broken or weak branches. Be prepared for debris on roadways and sidewalks. && $$ NCZ001-002-018-VAZ014>017-022>024-032>035-171800- /O.CON.KRNK.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-250217T2100Z/ Ashe-Alleghany NC-Watauga-Montgomery-Grayson-Carroll-Floyd- Roanoke-Botetourt-Rockbridge-Patrick-Franklin-Bedford-Amherst- Including the cities of Salem, Boone, Rocky Mount, Galax, Buena Vista, Volney, Independence, Fincastle, Sparta, Amherst, Blacksburg, Roanoke, Bedford, Troutdale, Stuart, Whitetop, West Jefferson, Floyd, and Lexington 435 AM EST Mon Feb 17 2025 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...West winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 55 mph expected. Locally higher gusts are possible at higher elevations. * WHERE...Portions of northwest North Carolina and central, south central, southwest, and west central Virginia. * WHEN...Until 4 PM EST this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. Power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use caution parking or working around trees that may have broken or weak branches. Be prepared for debris on roadways and sidewalks. && $$ VAZ007-009>013-018>020-WVZ042>044-507-171800- /O.CON.KRNK.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-250217T1800Z/ Tazewell-Smyth-Bland-Giles-Wythe-Pulaski-Craig-Alleghany VA-Bath- Mercer-Summers-Monroe-Eastern Greenbrier- Including the cities of Pearisburg, Covington, Alderson, Clifton Forge, Tazewell, Hot Springs, Bland, New Castle, Lewisburg, Flat Top, Marion, Pulaski, Wytheville, Hinton, White Sulphur Springs, Radford, Hix, Union, and Bluefield 435 AM EST Mon Feb 17 2025 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 30 mph with gusts up to 55 mph expected. Locally higher gusts are possible at higher elevations. * WHERE...Portions of southwest and west central Virginia and southeast West Virginia. * WHEN...Until 1 PM EST this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. Power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use caution parking or working around trees that may have broken or weak branches. Be prepared for debris on roadways and sidewalks. && $$ EB
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Blacksburg, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Feb 15, 9:58 AM EST, 4 hours 59 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 15, 9:58 AM EST, 4 hours 59 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
958 AM EST Sat Feb 15 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
A large storm system over the central United States will spread
rain and freezing rain across parts of the Mid-Atlantic today.
Rain and possibly thunderstorms are possible tonight and Sunday
increasing the threat of flooding. Windy conditions arrive
Sunday afternoon, with much colder conditions Sunday night
and monday as the vigorous storm system moves across New
England.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 945 AM EST Saturday
Key message:
1) Winter Weather Advisory today for freezing rain along the
Blue Ridge and into the WV/VA Highlands.
2) Flood Watch for potential flooding from excessive rainfall
and snowmelt through Sunday along and west of the Blue Ridge.
3) High Wind Watch Sunday for the mountains and foothills.
Leading edge of rain had advanced to a Lewisburg to Roanoke to
Martinsville line. Still seeing a large numbers of
observations with temperatures at or just below 32 degrees,
especially along and on either side of the Blue Ridge. As the
rain begins dew points were rising quickly into the upper 20s
and temperatures were dropping at a much slower rate.
Have adjusted the location of freezing rain based on current and
forecast temperature trends. No changes planned to Winter
Weather Advisories at this time.
Previous Discussion
As of 430 AM EST Saturday
Mid-CONUS winter storm will intensify as it moves into the Ohio
Valley and Great Lakes region today. We are on the warm side of
the system so not expecting any snow today, but we are flirting
with the freezing mark in a few areas which may promote some
light icing as the rain begins later this morning.
Models are forecasting a corridor of strong isentropic lift
(warm front) to become aligned west to east along the Hwy460/I64
corridors this afternoon promoting moderate to occasionally
heavy rainfall...6hr QFP of close to one inch from Bluefield and
Lewisburg to near Lexington and Amherst, VA. This will be the
area to watch for potential flooding this afternoon as snowmelt
may also contribute to the runoff in addition to the rain. South
of the warm front, the precipitation should be lighter in
nature but still leading to the need for an umbrella or frogg
toggs.
Temperatures today will struggle to rise, a result of a
wedge of cold air trapped near the surface. Readings this
morning were in the lower 30s, but should go through a limited
rise today with highs in the upper 30s this afternoon. Exception
will be the west side of the Appalachian Divide where warm air
advection and lack of a wedge will allow for much warmer
temperatures there...close to 60 in Bristol. The highest
elevations of the NC high country may also experience a boost
from warming aloft yielding readings in the 40s this afternoon.
Tonight, the warm front is expected to move north closer to the
Mason-Dixon, which should lead to a lull in the rain activity
over our region...temperatures steady or rising through the
night.
I mention the HIGH WIND WATCH in the Key Points of the near
term discussion so that it does not go unnoticed and we get the
word out to everyone that is going through the clean-up process
and power restoration of the recent ice storm. There are a lot
of hanging hazards out there...damaged tree limbs that are left
hanging over buildings, sidewalks, highways that can easily be
dislodged from the winds that are expected in the wake of this
weekends storm. It is super important to identify these hazards
and either mitigate them today or make a mental note to avoid
them altogether as we transition into windy days Sunday and
Monday. The ground is also super moist and with the rain
expected today and tonight will make it much easier for trees to
be uprooted even with the modest of wind speeds.
&&
.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 400 AM EST Saturday...
Key Messages:
1) A Flood Watch remains in effect for the western part of our area
through Sunday evening as heavy rain moves through.
2) Winds will be elevated Sunday night into Monday with strong
northwest flow behind the front, causing very cold wind chills
Monday morning.
3) Snow showers expected Sunday night into Monday for the western
upslope areas.
Sunday morning will be active as the main cold front from the system
in the Ohio Valley will move through the area. A line of heavy
showers and possibly even a few thunderstorms for the piedmont will
quickly move through by early afternoon. High rainfall rates will
cause some flash flooding concerns, especially for our counties in
West Virginia. There is a marginal risk for excessive rainfall
across our area for Sunday. Total rainfall expected is around an
inch on Sunday, with possible higher amounts northwest of I-81.
Showers will linger behind the front into the evening as the upper-
level trough moves through. Strong northwest flow will move in
behind the front as the pressure gradient remains tight over the
area. Winds of 20-30mph and gusts of 40-50+ mph are expected in the
higher elevations. With elevated northwest winds, snow showers will
be possible for the western slopes Sunday night, with flurries
possible as far east as the Blue Ridge. Snow totals will be minimal
at lower elevations, with flurries to a dusting possible. The NC/VA
mountains into West Virginia may see 1-2"+ while western Greenbrier
County in WV has trended up in snow totals and could see around 3-
5".
Winds begin to lessen Monday morning as the low moves further away
from the area, which will end any remaining snow showers. By Monday
morning, high pressure over the Midwest begins to ridge into the
area. Dry and quiet weather is expected to continue for Monday and
Tuesday, though temperatures will remain well below average.
Speaking of temperatures, Sunday will see a warm day, as strong
southwesterly flow ahead of the front will cause high temperatures
to rise into the 50s/60s. Mid to upper 60s may be possible for the
eastern piedmont before the frontal passage. Much colder air behind
the front will keep highs in the 30s/40s for the early week. With
strong winds and colder temperatures, wind chills will be quite low
Monday morning. Below zero wind chills are increasingly likely for
the highest elevations west of the Blue Ridge, with 5 to 10 below
possible in western Greenbrier County. Single digits will be
along/west of the Blue Ridge at lower elevations while the piedmont
will have wind chills in the teens. Low temperatures remain
consistent through the period, with teens/20s behind the front for
Monday and Tuesday.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 400 AM EST Saturday...
Key Messages:
1) A midweek storm system is increasingly likely to bring wintry
weather back into the area.
2) Well below average temperatures continue through the period.
The quiet weather for the early week comes to an end by midweek, as
yet another winter storm approaches the area. Models have come into
a good general agreement for a low pressure system to develop along
the Gulf Coast and swing up somewhere near the East Coast and head
into the Northeast late next week. The exact track is still
uncertain and will play a vital role into how much precipitation
falls across the area. P-type currently looks to be mostly snow,
with some mixing to the south and east. Models also agree on timing
of the system, with the first snow flakes arriving Wednesday
morning. The most intense snow looks to occur Wednesday night into
early Thursday morning.
Models differ in two main areas with the system: the first being the
track of the low. The ECMWF has the system hugging the coast, which
will keep heavier precipitation over our CWA, while the GFS has the
storm slightly further offshore, meaning less precipitation for our
area. The track difference is only around 100 miles, but will
determine where the heaviest band of snow and/or mixed precipitation
sets up. The other main difference is that the Euro has a much
stronger, deeper upper-level trough compared to the GFS, which would
also support heavier precipitation. Until the models can come into
better agreement on these differences, confidence in precipitation
totals remains low. However, confidence is increasing that an
impactful winter storm will impact the area for the middle of next
week.
The system moves out of the area by midday Thursday, with lingering
upslope snow showers expected on the western mountain faces through
Friday morning. Quiet weather then returns for the late week into
next weekend with high pressure controlling the pattern across the
area.
Temperatures continue to remain well below average, with highs in
the 20s/30s each day. Morning lows will be in the teens/20s midweek,
but by Friday will fall into the single digits west of the Blue
Ridge with low teens for the piedmont. Teens will be expected area-
wide Friday night into Saturday.
&&
.AVIATION /15Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 600 AM EST Saturday...
Mid clouds with bases 8-12kft to persist through 13Z/8AM.
Models then bring increasing low level moisture with MVFR cigs
developing between 13z/8AM-15Z/10AM. Also expecting development
of light rain or freezing rain (pending surface temperature)
late this morning and continuing through the afternoon. A layer
of low level stratus will then develop late in the day and
overnight Saturday night with potential for IFR-LIFR
conditions. Light surface winds are forecast through the 24hr
valid TAF, but they will be increasing aloft, introducing
potential for LLWS.
Models have been slowing down the arrival time of precipitation
with onset mid-late morning. Stable air near the surface will
result in development of a cold wedge along the Blue Ridge
Saturday, keeping temperatures cold enough to support freezing
rain at the onset for KLWB, KBCB, and KROA, lasting 1-4 hours.
Temperature should slowly inch above freezing later in the
afternoon with all precipitation falling as rain.
In general expecting poor flying weather from about 14z/10AM
through the end of the valid TAF. Models suggest potential for
dense fog tonight, but this will depend on whether the cold
wedge persists or if it becomes scoured by increasing warm
southerly winds. The HRRR suggests a fairly large area of LIFR
VSBY developing east of the Blue Ridge tonight and persisting
until a cold front crosses the area Sunday.
.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
A strong cold front will cross the area Sunday. Deep convection
along the front will produce moderate-heavy intensity
rain with potential for embedded thunderstorms, LLWS and
moderate to severe turbulence. Timing of the front Sunday...12-16Z
for BLF/LWB/BCB and 14-18Z ROA/LYH/DAN.
Behind the front ceilings/vsbys improve east of the mountains
but windward slopes may keep sub-VFR with snow showers across
BLF/LWB into early Monday. Also west to northwest winds behind
the front Sunday could gust over 40 mph along/west of the Blue
Ridge.
Should be VFR into late Tuesday maybe even Tuesday night but
another winter storm could bring poor aviation conditions across
the mid-Atlantic/NC midweek.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
As of 545 AM EST Saturday...
Key Message:
-Flood Watch in effect until Sunday evening along and west of
the Blue Ridge
The Dan River at South Boston remains in minor flood but is
falling and is expected to drop below flood stage this morning.
A river flood warning remains out for the Greenbrier River at
Alderson, where 1 to 2 inches of rain at or upstream looks to
bring it to minor flood on Sunday.
Snow melt will also contribute to runoff. Snow remains on the
ground over portions of southeast WV into the Alleghanys and
southern Shenandoah Valley. With the ground saturated, the
runoff efficiency in these areas will be high.
The upcoming rain event is expected to come in two time periods.
The first occurring with the warm front today. The second coming
with the cold front passage Sunday. Don't get caught off guard.
In spite of a lull in rain activity forecast early tonight, the
second wave of rain with the cold front Sunday may tip the
scales with respect to flash flooding. A line of showers with
potential for embedded thunderstorms associated with the cold
front may result in a short duration burst of rain that could
lead to flash flooding Sunday.
At the very least, those near small streams and rivers should
prepare for potential flooding. Small streams and creeks will
rise very quickly when the ground is saturated. Rivers will
respond a little slower (lag time) but can rise just as rapidly
if thunderstorms with heavy rain enter the equation.
The Greenbrier, Upper James, and upper Clinch river valleys are
especially susceptible to river flooding due to the wet
antecedent conditions and headwater higher elevation snow pack.
&&
.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...Flood Watch through Sunday evening for VAZ007-009>020-022>024-
035.
Winter Weather Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for VAZ011-
013>020-022>024-032>035.
High Wind Watch from Sunday afternoon through Monday morning
for VAZ010>020-022>024-032>035.
NC...Flood Watch through Sunday evening for NCZ001-002-018.
Winter Weather Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for
NCZ001>003-018-019.
High Wind Watch from Sunday afternoon through Monday morning
for NCZ001-002-018.
WV...Flood Watch through Sunday evening for WVZ042>044-507-508.
Winter Weather Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for WVZ043-
044-507-508.
High Wind Watch from Sunday afternoon through Monday morning
for WVZ042>044-507-508.
&&
SYNOPSIS...PM
NEAR TERM...AMS/PM
SHORT TERM...JCB
LONG TERM...JCB
AVIATION...PM
HYDROLOGY...PMHazardous weather outlook, Feb 15, 7:31 AM EST, 7 hours 26 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Blacksburg VA 731 AM EST Sat Feb 15 2025 NCZ003-019-161245- Surry-Wilkes- 731 AM EST Sat Feb 15 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central North Carolina and northwest North Carolina. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Weather Advisory. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. Blustery conditions with much colder air comes in for Sunday night and Monday. Another winter storm system may impact the region Wednesday and Thursday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are requested to report hail of any size, as well as any damage caused by thunderstorm winds in their area. NCZ001-002-018-VAZ011-013>020-022>024-035-WVZ043-044-507-508-161245- Ashe-Alleghany NC-Watauga-Giles-Pulaski-Montgomery-Grayson-Carroll- Floyd-Craig-Alleghany VA-Bath-Roanoke-Botetourt-Rockbridge-Amherst- Summers-Monroe-Eastern Greenbrier-Western Greenbrier- 731 AM EST Sat Feb 15 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... ...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY MORNING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest North Carolina, central Virginia, southwest Virginia, west central Virginia and southeast West Virginia. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. Winter Weather Advisory. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. High Wind Watch. Blustery conditions with much colder air comes in for Sunday night and Monday. Another winter storm system may impact the region Wednesday and Thursday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are requested to report hail of any size, as well as any damage caused by thunderstorm winds in their area. NCZ004>006-020-VAZ043>047-058-059-161245- Stokes-Rockingham-Caswell-Yadkin-Henry-Pittsylvania-Campbell- Appomattox-Buckingham-Halifax-Charlotte- 731 AM EST Sat Feb 15 2025 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central North Carolina, northwest North Carolina, central Virginia and south central Virginia. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. There is a low probability for widespread hazardous weather. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. Blustery conditions with much colder air comes in for Sunday night and Monday. Another winter storm system may impact the region Wednesday and Thursday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. VAZ010-012-WVZ042-161245- Bland-Wythe-Mercer- 731 AM EST Sat Feb 15 2025 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... ...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY MORNING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Virginia and southeast West Virginia. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. High Wind Watch. Blustery conditions with much colder air comes in for Sunday night and Monday. Another winter storm system may impact the region Wednesday and Thursday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are requested to report hail of any size, as well as any damage caused by thunderstorm winds in their area. VAZ032>034-161245- Patrick-Franklin-Bedford- 731 AM EST Sat Feb 15 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... ...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY MORNING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Virginia, southwest Virginia and west central Virginia. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Weather Advisory. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. High Wind Watch. Blustery conditions with much colder air comes in for Sunday night and Monday. Another winter storm system may impact the region Wednesday and Thursday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are requested to report hail of any size, as well as any damage caused by thunderstorm winds in their area. VAZ007-009-161245- Tazewell-Smyth- 731 AM EST Sat Feb 15 2025 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Virginia. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. Blustery conditions with much colder air comes in for Sunday night and Monday. Another winter storm system may impact the region Wednesday and Thursday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are requested to report hail of any size, as well as any damage caused by thunderstorm winds in their area.
In the hours before
Local storm report, Feb 15, 1:55 PM EST, 1 hour 2 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
155 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0154 PM Flood Princeton 37.36N 81.09W
02/15/2025 Mercer WV 911 Call Center
Intersection of Trent Street and Stafford
Drive blocked off to due lots of high water
in the road.
&&
VFJLocal storm report, Feb 15, 2:07 PM EST, 50 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
207 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0204 PM Landslide 3 SSW Hinton 37.62N 80.92W
02/15/2025 Summers WV Emergency Mngr
Rockslide on West Virginia State Route 20 on
the way to Bluestone Lake.
&&
VFJLocal storm report, Feb 15, 2:10 PM EST, 47 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
210 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0210 PM Landslide 1 SSE Hix 37.71N 80.81W
02/15/2025 Summers WV Emergency Mngr
Rockslide along Elk Knob Road.
&&
VFJLocal storm report, Feb 15, 2:39 PM EST, 18 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
239 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0130 PM Flood 2 NW Merrimac 37.21N 80.44W
02/15/2025 Montgomery VA NWS Employee
Stroubles Creek is overflowing its banks and
flooding nearby fields close to Stroubles
Creek Road. Local ponds in the vicinity are
also overflowing their banks.
&&
PWLocal storm report, Feb 15, 2:45 PM EST, 12 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
245 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0220 PM Flood 1 NE Ceres 37.31N 81.14W
02/15/2025 Mercer WV Broadcast Media
South Fork Brush Creek is overflowing its
banks and flooding Blue Prince Road in Green
Valley.
&&
PWLocal storm report, Feb 15, 2:53 PM EST, 4 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
253 PM EST Sat Feb 15 2025
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0200 PM Flood Saltville 36.88N 81.76W
02/15/2025 Smyth VA 911 Call Center
Small creeks throughout the town are
overflowing their banks and starting to
flood several roads.
&&
PWThe office that day
Everything else NWS Blacksburg, VA issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 4:23 AM EST | High Wind Watch | RNK | Alleghany, Ashe, Watauga | 11 hr |
| Feb 15, 1:12 PM EST | Areal Flood Advisory | RNK | Bland, Craig, Giles, Montgomery, Pulaski, Roanoke and 6 more | 4 hr |
| Feb 15, 1:30 PM EST | Areal Flood Warning | RNK | Tazewell | 6 hr |
| Feb 15, 1:34 PM EST | Areal Flood Warning | RNK | Alleghany, Bath, City of Covington | 6 hr |
| Feb 15, 1:39 PM EST | Areal Flood Warning | RNK | Amherst, Bedford, Botetourt, Craig, Rockbridge, City of Buena Vista and 1 more | 6 hr |
| Feb 15, 1:47 PM EST | Areal Flood Warning | RNK | Bland, Giles, Montgomery, Pulaski, Roanoke, Smyth and 4 more | 6 hr |
| Feb 15, 2:35 PM EST | Areal Flood Advisory | RNK | Carroll, Franklin, Patrick, City of Galax | 6 hr |
| Feb 15, 2:47 PM EST | River Flood Warning | RNK | Tazewell | 27 hr |
| Feb 15, 3:48 PM EST | Flash Flood Warning | RNK | Smyth, Tazewell | 13 hr |
| Feb 15, 4:40 PM EST | Flash Flood Warning | RNK | Bland, Giles, Montgomery, Pulaski, Roanoke, Wythe and 3 more | 6 hr |
| Feb 15, 4:43 PM EST | Flash Flood Warning | RNK | Alleghany, Bath, Botetourt, Craig, Rockbridge, City of Buena Vista and 2 more | 6 hr |
| Feb 15, 4:57 PM EST | River Flood Warning | RNK | Roanoke, City of Roanoke, City of Salem | 27 hr |
| Feb 15, 5:19 PM EST | Flash Flood Warning | RNK | Tazewell | 15 hr |
| Feb 15, 5:22 PM EST | Flash Flood Warning | RNK | Amherst, Appomattox, Bedford, Campbell, City of Lynchburg | 6 hr |
| Feb 15, 6:01 PM EST | River Flood Warning | RNK | Smyth | 16 hr |
| Feb 15, 3:33 PM EST | Flash Flood Warning | RNK | Mercer, Summers | 16 hr |
Nearby
Wind Advisories in Virginia, 2025Wind Advisories in North Carolina, 2025Wind Advisories in West Virginia, 2025Every wind advisory in 2025
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.