Alert archive / Virginia / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2025

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 52, NWS Blacksburg, VA

May 16, 20254 counties in Virginia; Mercer County, West Virginia

NWS Blacksburg, VA issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 16, 2025, 1:31 PM EDT for 4 counties in Virginia; Mercer County, West Virginia. It was in force for 59 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
May 16, 2025, 1:31 PM EDT (17:31 UTC)
Expired
May 16, 2025, 2:30 PM EDT
In force
59 min
Issued by
NWS Blacksburg, VA
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
1.25 in
Wind
60.0 mph

Counties Bland County, VA, Smyth County, VA, Tazewell County, VA, Wythe County, VA, Mercer County, WV

The radar

The Roanoke radar (KFCX), 90 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
May 16, 11:10 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Roanoke, VA (KRNK), launched 12:00Z, 5.5 hours before the alert went out and 159 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2025-05-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 486 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2025-05-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 180 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
486 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-63 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
789 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
42 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
180 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
232 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.4
Supercell composite
3.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Blacksburg, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 16, 12:10 PM EDT, 1 hour 21 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 16, 12:10 PM EDT, 1 hour 21 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, May 16, 4:38 AM EDT, 8 hours 53 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
438 AM EDT Fri May 16 2025

VAZ007-009-WVZ042-043-508-170845-
Tazewell-Smyth-Mercer-Summers-Western Greenbrier-
438 AM EDT Fri May 16 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Virginia and
southeast West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Strong to severe storms are possible this afternoon into tonight.
Damaging winds are the main threat, though large hail and tornadoes
could also occur. Heavier downpours from thunderstorms may also
cause localized flash flooding, particularly in already saturated
areas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

There is a low probability for widespread hazardous weather.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed.

NCZ001>006-018>020-VAZ010>020-022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059-WVZ044-
507-170845-
Ashe-Alleghany NC-Surry-Stokes-Rockingham-Caswell-Watauga-Wilkes-
Yadkin-Bland-Giles-Wythe-Pulaski-Montgomery-Grayson-Carroll-Floyd-
Craig-Alleghany VA-Bath-Roanoke-Botetourt-Rockbridge-Patrick-
Franklin-Bedford-Amherst-Henry-Pittsylvania-Campbell-Appomattox-
Buckingham-Halifax-Charlotte-Monroe-Eastern Greenbrier-
438 AM EDT Fri May 16 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central North Carolina,
northwest North Carolina, central Virginia, south central Virginia,
southwest Virginia, west central Virginia and southeast West
Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

There is a slight risk (level 2 of 5) for severe thunderstorms this
afternoon into tonight. Thunderstorms may produce severe wind gusts
and large hail. An isolated tornado and localized flooding are also
possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

An isolated strong to severe storm is possible Saturday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 16, 1:14 PM EDT, 17 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
114 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025

VAZ007-010-012-161745-
Tazewell VA-Bland VA-Wythe VA-
114 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT EAST CENTRAL TAZEWELL...BLAND
AND NORTHWESTERN WYTHE COUNTIES THROUGH 145 PM EDT...

At 114 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Suiter, or near Burkes Garden, moving east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Bland...
Ceres...
Bastian...
Rocky Gap...
Burkes Garden...
Long Spur...
and Mechanicsburg.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 600 PM EDT for
southwestern Virginia...and southeastern West Virginia.

&&

LAT...LON 3713 8142 3730 8098 3727 8101 3718 8090
      3718 8089 3719 8087 3718 8086 3717 8088
      3715 8086 3712 8089 3711 8093 3705 8090
      3700 8136
TIME...MOT...LOC 1714Z 252DEG 37KT 3710 8128

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

BMG

The office that day

Everything else NWS Blacksburg, VA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 16, 1:14 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRNKBland31 min
May 16, 2:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatRNKBland, Craig, Giles, Montgomery, Pulaski, Wythe and 1 more64 min
May 16, 2:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKBland, Smyth, Tazewell, Wythe63 min
May 16, 3:05 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKBedford, Botetourt, Craig, Floyd, Franklin, Giles and 6 more55 min
May 16, 3:14 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRNKAmherst, City of Buena Vista16 min
May 16, 3:36 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKCarroll, Grayson, Smyth, Tazewell, Wythe, City of Galax54 min
May 16, 3:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKBedford, Franklin, Pittsylvania64 min
May 16, 3:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKHenry, Pittsylvania, City of Danville, City of Martinsville20 min
May 16, 4:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKAppomattox, Buckingham33 min
May 16, 4:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatRNKCarroll, Floyd, Franklin, Henry, Patrick, City of Martinsville65 min
May 16, 4:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKCharlotte, Halifax, Henry, Pittsylvania, City of Danville62 min
May 16, 5:19 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRNKCaswell26 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Virginia, 2025Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in West Virginia, 2025Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2025

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.