Flash Flood Warning 65, NWS Raleigh, NC

957 
WGUS72 KRAH 112305
FFSRAH

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
705 PM EDT Mon Aug 11 2025

NCC127-112315-
/O.CAN.KRAH.FF.W.0065.000000T0000Z-250811T2330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Nash NC-
705 PM EDT Mon Aug 11 2025

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR SOUTHWESTERN NASH COUNTY...

Flooding is no longer expected to pose a threat. Please continue to 
heed remaining road closures.

&&

LAT...LON 3603 7812 3570 7833 3565 7857 3603 7856
      3602 7855 3603 7855

$$

NCC069-101-183-112330-
/O.CON.KRAH.FF.W.0065.000000T0000Z-250811T2330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Franklin NC-Johnston NC-Wake NC-
705 PM EDT Mon Aug 11 2025

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM EDT THIS 
EVENING FOR SOUTHERN FRANKLIN, NORTH CENTRAL JOHNSTON AND 
NORTHEASTERN WAKE COUNTIES...

At 705 PM EDT, emergency management reported a couple of roadways 
closed or washed out near Pilot. Between 2 and 4.5 inches of rain 
have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts up to 1 inch are possible 
in the warned area. Flash flooding is already occurring.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Emergency management reported.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
         drainage and low-lying areas.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Raleigh, Wake Forest, Garner, Zebulon, Bunn, Knightdale, Wendell, 
  Rolesville, Youngsville and Pilot.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3603 7812 3570 7833 3565 7857 3603 7856
      3602 7855 3603 7855

FLASH FLOOD...OBSERVED

$$

AS

376 
WGUS52 KRAH 112307
FFWRAH
NCC069-101-183-120100-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FF.W.0065.000000T0000Z-250812T0100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
707 PM EDT Mon Aug 11 2025

The National Weather Service in Raleigh has extended the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Southern Franklin County in central North Carolina...
  North Central Johnston County in central North Carolina...
  Northeastern Wake County in central North Carolina...

* Until 900 PM EDT.

* At 707 PM EDT, emergency management reported a couple roadways 
  closed or washed out near Pilot. Between 2 and 4.5 inches of rain 
  have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts up to 1 inch are possible 
  in the warned area. Flash flooding is already occurring.

  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

  SOURCE...Emergency management reported.

  IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban
           areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as
           other poor drainage and low-lying areas.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Raleigh, Wake Forest, Garner, Zebulon, Bunn, Knightdale, Wendell, 
  Rolesville, Youngsville and Pilot.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.

&&

LAT...LON 3603 7812 3570 7833 3565 7857 3603 7856
      3602 7855 3603 7855

FLASH FLOOD...OBSERVED

$$

AS

389 
WGUS72 KRAH 120054 RRA
FFSRAH

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
854 PM EDT Mon Aug 11 2025

NCC069-101-183-120104-
/O.EXP.KRAH.FF.W.0065.000000T0000Z-250812T0100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Franklin NC-Johnston NC-Wake NC-
854 PM EDT Mon Aug 11 2025

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR 
SOUTHERN FRANKLIN, NORTH CENTRAL JOHNSTON AND NORTHEASTERN WAKE 
COUNTIES...

Creeks and streams have crested and flood waters are beginning to 
recede, which will end the flash flood threat. Please continue to 
heed remaining road closures.

&&

LAT...LON 3603 7812 3570 7833 3565 7857 3603 7856
      3602 7855 3603 7855

$$

AS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
205 PM EDT Mon Aug 11 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure centered off the Mid Atlantic coast will drift toward
Bermuda through mid-week. A weak, backdoor cold front will move
south through NC Friday or Friday night.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 145 PM Monday...

While one band of rain developed along the US-64 corridor and moved
north this morning, the next area of rain that appears likely to
impact the region is currently developing across northern South
Carolina and southern North Carolina, moving from south to north
oriented along an east-to-west line. Multiple runs of the HRRR seem
to have a good handle on this, and have heavily blended the forecast
towards the HRRR-time lagged ensemble. This forecast brings the line
into southern counties during the mid afternoon and fading out
around sunset as it approaches US 64. The band is moving slowly to
the north, and with high moisture content in the atmosphere, cannot
rule out the possibility for some isolated flooding. Luckily, it
does not appear that much training of showers should occur, although
the entire area is under a marginal (level 1 of 4) risk for
excessive rainfall. Conditions should dry out this evening before
another area of rain develops across the southwest late tonight.
Below normal highs continue, with values ranging from the upper 70s
to the mid 80s. Lows will be similar to last night, in the upper 60s
and lower 70s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT/...
As of 145 PM Monday...

Moist flow out of the south will continue on Tuesday as an upper
level low to the east of Florida drifts closer to land. There will
already be some showers across western counties from the overnight
hours with coverage expanding to the east during the day.
Instability looks to be slightly higher than today, although shear
should still be minimal, minimizing any severe weather potential.
However, the area will still remain under a marginal (level 1 of 4)
risk for excessive rainfall. The HREF indicates that the heaviest
rainfall would be likely to occur across southern counties during
the morning hours. Highs will rise a few degrees from today, with
nearly all locations in the 80s. An isolated low temperature in the
upper 60s is possible, but most locations will be in the low to mid
70s.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 205 PM Monday...

*Showers and storms Wednesday, with heat returning Thursday.
*The weekend is expected to be mostly dry with near normal
temperatures.

A few upper level shortwaves will move across the region Wednesday
budging up against a ridge centered over Florida that is building
north. By late week and over the weekend the ridge will expand
across much of the Southeast. At the surface a few frontal
boundaries are expected to  to move over the Midwest and into the
Northeast mid to late week generally staying north of Central NC.
Wednesday is expected to be the best day for showers and storms as
the surface trough moves across the Mid-Atlantic Wednesday into
Thursday. Thursday through Friday afternoon showers and storms are
still expected to develop as PW values of 2+ inches will stick
around until the surface trough moves off the coast and weak high
pressure builds in. Isolated flash flooding is possible over
portions of Central NC through Friday as vertical wind shear will be
weak, most models are indicating shear values of 10 kts or less
Thursday and Friday (days with higher chance for flash flooding).

As upper level ridging and high pressure builds into the region over
the weekend drier weather along with slightly below normal
temperatures is expected. Saturday a backdoor cold front will try
and push through the region, but expected to wash out before making
it through the region. Isolated afternoon showers and storms are
possible Saturday and Sunday but models seem to be trending dry.
Monday another day of afternoon showers and storms are possible but
limited PoPs to slight chance (< 24%) as confidence is low.

Temperatures will start off below normal on Wednesday with highs in
the mid to upper 80s. Temperatures will warm up Thursday (warmest
day in the forecast) with high in the upper 80s to low 90s. Friday
into the weekend temperatures will be near normal with most areas in
the upper 80s and warmer spots reaching the low 90s.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 200 PM Monday...

Onshore flow will maintain a very moist airmass that will favor
redevelopment of LIFR-IFR ceilings tonight-Tue morning, after MVFR
to low VFR ones this afternoon. Generally scattered showers and
storms will concentrate along merged outflow and become briefly
numerous, most likely in the near term at FAY and also GSO/INT this
afternoon.

Outlook: Like Mon, ceilings on Tue will lift through MVFR and
scatter to VFR from mid to late morning through early to mid-
afternoon. The forecast for the rest of the week will be
characterized by mostly afternoon-evening showers/storms and patches
of overnight-early morning fog and/or low stratus.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MWS
NEAR TERM...Green
SHORT TERM...Green
LONG TERM...CA
AVIATION...MWS

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
431 AM EDT Mon Aug 11 2025

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-120930-
Person-Granville-Vance-Warren-Halifax-Forsyth-Guilford-Alamance-
Orange-Durham-Franklin-Nash-Edgecombe-Davidson-Randolph-Chatham-Wake-
Johnston-Wilson-Stanly-Montgomery-Moore-Lee-Harnett-Wayne-Anson-
Richmond-Scotland-Hoke-Cumberland-Sampson-
431 AM EDT Mon Aug 11 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

There is a marginal risk (level 1 out of 4) of excessive rainfall
today into tonight. Locally heavy rainfall and isolated pockets of
minor flooding are possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Isolated areas of excessive rainfall are again possible Tuesday, as
well as Thursday and Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.