Severe Thunderstorm Warning 48, NWS Pueblo, CO

075 
WWUS55 KPUB 290208
SVSPUB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
808 PM MDT Wed May 28 2025

COC043-290215-
/O.CON.KPUB.SV.W.0048.000000T0000Z-250529T0215Z/
Fremont CO-
808 PM MDT Wed May 28 2025

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM MDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN FREMONT COUNTY...

At 808 PM MDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Penrose, or 26
miles northwest of Pueblo, moving southeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Penrose.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3858 10494 3836 10494 3861 10520 3865 10505
TIME...MOT...LOC 0208Z 315DEG 23KT 3848 10501 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

MG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
510 PM MDT Wed May 28 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Severe thunderstorms likely this afternoon and evening across the
southeast plains with very large hail, damaging winds, and even an
isolated tornado possible.

- Strong to marginally severe thunderstorms possible across the
southern Sangre De Cristo mountains and southern I-25 corridor
Thursday afternoon, otherwise, cooler with showers and thunderstorms.

- Heating up with daily afternoon thunderstorms, mainly over the
  mountains through the extended.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Issued at 208 PM MDT Wed May 28 2025

Thunderstorm coverage and strength will be the main concern this
afternoon and evening as energy rotating around the Upper Midwest
low pressure system increases upper forcing and sends a cold front
through the area.  This front is currently positioned across east
central CO, just passing through KCOS around 18z.  Across the plains
a sharpening dry line/trough axis extends southwest of the
surface low across eastern Las Animas into northeast Baca
counties with dew points at KTAD in the upper 30s, and dew
points in Baca county in the lower 60s. This has yielded
plentiful amounts of CAPE across our eastern plains with 2500+
J/kg resolved by meso-analysis and HREF. Deep layer shears
around 40-50 kts will result in supercells, particularly out
ahead of the cold front and along the dry line. Eventually, a line
of thunderstorms will develop along the cold front which drops
southward through the plains this evening. Greater severe risk
looks done by 8-9 PM as activity coalesces into an MCS across
southwest KS and the TX/OK Panhandle.

Very large hail up to 2.5 inches in diameter, wind gusts around 70
mph (perhaps greater) and an isolated tornado will be possible.
Greatest tornado risk maximizes across Kiowa and Prowers
counties, though any quick updraft development within area of
stout CAPE out east across the eastern counties could result in
a quick landspout/spin up this afternoon. Along the I-25
corridor, falling dew points will keep hail and max wind gusts a
little lower, with 1.25 inch hail and 65 mph gusts possible.
There could be another round of thunderstorms fire along the
I-25 corridor this evening behind the front with any easterly
surging outflows. CAPE does not look as great into the evening
hours which should lessen the severe risk after after 6 PM.

Low level flow shifts out of the east to southeast overnight
which will spread widespread low clouds, fog and sprinkles back
into the eastern mountains. Thursday will be cooler with clouds
likely to hang tight across the eastern mountains/I-25 corridor
into the afternoon. Lower dew points (40s) spread in from the
north though low 50 dew points may hang in along the southern
I-25 corridor and mountains/plains interface. While it is likely
to remain cool and stable across the plains, another round of
thunderstorms will fire over the mountains during the afternoon.
Depending on how much insolation we get, there may be
sufficient instability for thunderstorms to persist into the
adjacent plains, especially along the Raton Mesa. Will keep
highest pops across the mountains and trim back pops for the
eastern plains where we may stay too cool and stable for
activity to maintain.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 208 PM MDT Wed May 28 2025

It is a messy pattern into the extended, with energy from the
Pacific northwest cutting through the upper ridge on Friday and
dropping southeastward on Saturday.  Overall, we stay under the
northwest flow side of the upper ridge for Friday and Saturday with
sufficient forcing and upslope flow for showers and thunderstorms
across the mountains and adjacent plains each day. Can't rule
out some stronger storms depending on shear and CAPE parameters
which look more marginal but could be adequate. Temperatures
gradually warm through this period.

Southwest flow increases late weekend into early next week, with
energy ejecting out of the Desert Southwest and across CO in
several waves. Moisture increases across the western mountains
which should bring a better chance for showers/thunderstorms and
much needed rain across the Continental Divide for Monday.
Southwest flow may bring some drying into the I-25 corridor but
timing of the shortwave in the extended models and ensembles
varies with the potential for a dry line to be positioned
somewhere across the eastern plains. Will need to monitor this
area for potential thunderstorm development. Otherwise, drier,
warmer and windier weather spreads in for mid week as the next
upper low takes shape across the Great Basin and kicks out to
the north. Daily thunderstorm chances will continue over the
mountains while the plains remain dry, windy and warm. -KT

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 510 PM MDT Wed May 28 2025

KALS: VFR conditions expected through 24 hours. West winds will
weaken overnight, with mid and high level clouds sticking around.
Thursday afternoon, more clouds will move in and west-northwest
winds will increase a bit as showers and storms form in the area.

KCOS and KPUB: Active and unsettled weather will persist through the
next 24 hours. This evening, showers and thunderstorms will persist
near both terminals, with intermittent gusty winds and outflow from
nearby convection. Cloud cigs will remain right around the upper
bounds of MVFR. There is a low chance of more showers moving into
the area of KPUB between 02-06Z, have included as PROB30 group for
now. By 06Z, low stratus and some fog is expected to set in at both
terminals, leading to IFR conditions well into Thursday. Thursday
afternoon, southeast winds at both terminals will slowly increase,
as we see another chance for late afternoon showers and
thunderstorms.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

SHORT TERM...KT
LONG TERM...KT
AVIATION...GARBEROGLIO

Hazardous Weather Outlook...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1147 AM MDT Wed May 28 2025

COZ058>089-093>099-291700-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
1147 AM MDT Wed May 28 2025

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Scattered to numerous strong to severe thunderstorms will be
possible today, with the greatest risk over the southeast plains.
Damaging wind gusts up to 70 mph, large hail up to 2.5 inches in
diameter, heavy rainfall and even a tornado or two will be
possible this afternoon and early evening, especially across
Kiowa, Bent, Prowers and Baca counties. The primary timeframe for
severe storms will be between 2 PM and 5 PM for the I-25 corridor
counties, and 3 PM to 8 PM for the southeast plains.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Widespread showers and thunderstorms will continue on Thursday
across much of southern Colorado. Hail, wind and locally heavy
rainfall will all be possible mainly near the southeast mountains.

More isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible
Friday and Saturday, mainly across the higher terrain. Convection
chances increase for Sunday through Tuesday across the western
half of the forecast area, especially along the Continental
Divide.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will
be likely over portions of the region.

31/31

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
634 PM MDT Wed May 28 2025

COZ098-099-290100-
Springfield Vicinity/Baca County CO-Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County CO-
634 PM MDT Wed May 28 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTH CENTRAL PROWERS AND
NORTHEASTERN BACA COUNTIES THROUGH 700 PM MDT...

At 634 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles northeast of Two Buttes, or 20 miles northwest of The Saunders
Elevator, moving southeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Two Buttes and Walsh.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 PM MDT for southeastern
Colorado.

&&

LAT...LON 3736 10232 3761 10246 3773 10233 3760 10204
      3750 10204
TIME...MOT...LOC 0034Z 307DEG 18KT 3765 10232

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Hodanish

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
659 PM MDT Wed May 28 2025

COZ086-087-290130-
Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet CO-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Ft CO-
659 PM MDT Wed May 28 2025

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTH CENTRAL HUERFANO AND
SOUTHWESTERN PUEBLO COUNTIES THROUGH 730 PM MDT...

At 659 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 9 miles southwest of Pueblo West to near Pueblo
Reservoir to 11 miles southwest of Salt Creek. Movement was east at
20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Pueblo Reservoir, Salt Creek, Blende, Pueblo, Pueblo West, and
Colorado City.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

If on or near Pueblo Reservoir, get out of the water and move
indoors or inside a vehicle. Remember, lightning can strike out to
10 miles from the parent thunderstorm. If you can hear thunder, you
are close enough to be struck by lightning. Move to safe shelter
now! Do not be caught on the water in a thunderstorm.

&&

LAT...LON 3835 10488 3831 10456 3802 10443 3782 10476
      3810 10483 3824 10490 3830 10491
TIME...MOT...LOC 0059Z 290DEG 19KT 3825 10485 3821 10474 3815 10477

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

Ehr

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
702 PM MDT Wed May 28 2025

COZ087-088-290130-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Ft CO-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Ft CO-
702 PM MDT Wed May 28 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT EAST CENTRAL HUERFANO AND NORTH
CENTRAL LAS ANIMAS COUNTIES THROUGH 730 PM MDT...

At 701 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 18
miles northeast of Walsenburg, or 36 miles south of Pueblo, moving
southeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of east central
Huerfano and north central Las Animas Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 PM MDT for
southeastern Colorado.

&&

LAT...LON 3778 10463 3787 10458 3775 10412 3747 10431
TIME...MOT...LOC 0101Z 305DEG 18KT 3775 10447

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

MG

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
729 PM MDT Wed May 28 2025

COZ094-098-099-290215-
Springfield Vicinity/Baca County CO-Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County CO-
Eastern Las Animas County CO-
729 PM MDT Wed May 28 2025

...A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMs WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN
PROWERS...BACA AND EAST CENTRAL LAS ANIMAS COUNTIES THROUGH 815 PM
MDT...

At 728 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms near Pritchett, or 11 miles southwest of Springfield,
moving southeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Walsh, Campo, Springfield, Vilas, Two Buttes, Stonington, and
Pritchett.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 PM MDT for southeastern
Colorado.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 PM MDT for
southeastern Colorado.

&&

LAT...LON 3700 10299 3751 10345 3765 10204 3700 10204
TIME...MOT...LOC 0128Z 303DEG 33KT 3731 10279

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

MG

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
730 PM MDT Wed May 28 2025

COZ086-088-093-094-290200-
Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet CO-
Eastern Las Animas County CO-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County CO-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Ft CO-
730 PM MDT Wed May 28 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN OTERO...NORTH
CENTRAL LAS ANIMAS AND SOUTHEASTERN PUEBLO COUNTIES THROUGH 800 PM
MDT...

At 730 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Delhi, or 37 miles southwest of La Junta, moving southeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Delhi and Thatcher.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 PM MDT for
southeastern Colorado.

&&

LAT...LON 3757 10429 3779 10418 3753 10357 3730 10376
TIME...MOT...LOC 0130Z 303DEG 33KT 3762 10406

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

MG

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
732 PM MDT Wed May 28 2025

COZ076-077-081-083-085-290200-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Ft CO-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County CO-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range Below
7400 Ft CO-Northwestern Fremont County  Above 8500Ft CO-
Teller County/Rampart Range above 7500fT/Pike's Peak Between 7500 And
11000 Ft CO-
732 PM MDT Wed May 28 2025

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN FREMONT...SOUTHERN
TELLER AND SOUTHWESTERN EL PASO COUNTIES THROUGH 800 PM MDT...

At 731 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 11 miles southeast of Guffey to near Fountain.
Movement was south at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Victor, Fountain, Security-Widefield, Fort Carson, and Hanover.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3873 10456 3853 10439 3852 10552 3870 10550
      3870 10533 3871 10533
TIME...MOT...LOC 0131Z 342DEG 16KT 3862 10540 3867 10479

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

Ehr