Severe Thunderstorm Warning 331, NWS Pueblo, CO

697 
WWUS55 KPUB 100450
SVSPUB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1050 PM MDT Sat Aug 9 2025

COC061-100500-
/O.CON.KPUB.SV.W.0331.000000T0000Z-250810T0500Z/
Kiowa CO-
1050 PM MDT Sat Aug 9 2025

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM MDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN KIOWA COUNTY...

At 1050 PM MDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Sheridan Lake,
or 21 miles south of Cheyenne Wells, moving northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Sheridan Lake, Chivington, Brandon, and Towner.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3837 10252 3851 10258 3861 10244 3861 10205
      3838 10205
TIME...MOT...LOC 0450Z 236DEG 26KT 3851 10237 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

kam

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
803 PM MDT Sat Aug 9 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Severe storms near certain later today; with strong to severe
  possible during the overnight hours.

- Strong to severe storms (with greater chance for heavier rain)
  tomorrow afternoon and evening.

- Drier and warmer for much of next week, though isolated
  thunderstorms will remain possible each afternoon over the
  mountains.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 801 PM MDT Sat Aug 9 2025

Updated forecast grids for expiration of the Red Flag Warning,
and to incorporate latest obs data. Extension of the ongoing
Severe Thunderstorm Watch is likely and forthcoming as more
storms blossom across the eastern plains. Moore

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 208 PM MDT Sat Aug 9 2025

Rest of Today...

Main concern is severe potential today into the overnight hours.
Severe storms are near certain, the question is how strong will they
be when the instability pushes back west later this evening and
redevelop along the mtns/plains interface (I-25 corridor region)?.
Recent SWOMCD from SPC is indicating potential for very large
destructive hail (up to 3.5") and a watch is near certain for later
this afternoon. Severe storms developing over the Palmer Divide is
high, with large hail. damaging winds and isolated tors possible.
What I believe will happen with this initial round of storms is that
a very moist outflow boundary will push back to the west and hit the
mtns later this evening/overnight, and this will initiate a round of
robust convection along the mtns/plains interface. The concern will
be how intense will these storms be and will we see another Aug 6
2018 Hail event along the I-25 corridor? Given the potential for the
air to be quite unstable and shear will likely be 40 knots or
greater (due to IMPRESSIVE short wave ejecting east-southeasta out
of Montana), the potential exist for a destructive hailstorm(s) to
affect the population centers along the I-25 corridor.

Looking at the latest CAMS guidance, the best potential for strong
to severe storms initiating along the mtns/plains interface will be
7 pm to midnight. These values are subject to change as severe
nocturnal convection initiating along the I-25 corridor is not
common.

As mentioned, initial storms will likely affect the plains generally
east of I-25 and generally north of US50 this afternoon and early
evening, Later tonight, the storms are likely to be more widespread
and will be more of severe wind event with lesser size hail over the
far eastern plains.

The greatest tornado threat will be with the initial round of storms
over the plains during the 5 to 9 pm time period.

Locally heavy rain cant be ruled out this afternoon and overnight,
especially out east.

Tomorrow...

Another round of strong to severe storms is likely. However shear is
not as strong as today and CAPE values will likely be less (may see
lots of AM clouds).However better moisture will likely be in place
so threat tomorrow may be more on the heavy rain side with severe
being more marginal. WPC has put CO plains in slight for tomorrow
with marginal outlooks from SPC. \/Hodanish

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Issued at 208 PM MDT Sat Aug 9 2025

Drying trend begins on Monday as deeper moisture and instability
get pushed south into NM. Still enough moisture around for at
least isolated to scattered afternoon storms, with the best
chance for rain along the srn I-25 corridor where CAPE climbs
close to 1000 J/KG by late afternoon. Severe threat appears
lower Mon as shear weakens into the 20-30 kt range, with the
greatest risk of a strong storm near the NM border, where
low/mid level winds are slightly stronger. Max temps to remain
cool again, with 70s/80s widespread.

Warmer and drier weather then returns from Tue into the end of
the week, though just enough recycled moisture will hang around
to produce isolated afternoon mountain convection each day.
Temps will climb back to above average levels, and a few spots
on the plains will get close to the 100f mark by mid-late week.
Some model hints of perhaps a brief surge of deeper monsoon
moisture will be possible next weekend, though timing and
details still a little amorphous this far out.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 522 PM MDT Sat Aug 9 2025

Thunderstorms could impact KCOS and KPUB this evening into the
overnight hours with hail possible at the KCOS terminal through 04Z.
KPUB has a lower chance for hail, so will maintain -TSRA for now.
TSRA will percolate along the mountains and plains through the
overnight hours though chances for storms at the terminals decreases
after 06z.  VFR cloudiness will linger through the overnight hours
before clearing Sunday morning.  Another round of -TSRA could impact
the terminals after 20-21z which could be strong to severe, though
odds look lower on Sunday.

KALS will see a window of breezy winds early this evening before
winds decrease after sundown. VFR cloudiness will linger overnight
and there is a better chance for -TSRA across the San Luis Valley
Sunday afternoon.  Odds for this to impact the terminal looks too
low at this point for a prob30 group in the TAF, but this will
continue to be assessed for the 06z TAF issuance. -KT

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

UPDATE...MOORE
SHORT TERM...HODANISH
LONG TERM...PETERSEN
AVIATION...KT

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1106 AM MDT Sat Aug 9 2025

COZ058>089-093>099-101715-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
1106 AM MDT Sat Aug 9 2025

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Severe thunderstorms are near certain today across the eastern
plains of Colorado. Large to very large hail, damaging winds and
isolated tornadoes will be possible.

Several rounds of thunderstorms are expected. The storms during
the mid to late afternoon time period will be more isolated, and
will be capable of large hail and damaging winds. the best chance
of thunderstorms, some which will be severe, will generally be
north of US50 and generally east of I-25.

During this evening and into tonight, additional rounds of
thunderstorms are near certain, and some of these storms could be
severe. Additionally, the severe threat will increase along, and
immediately west of the I-25 corridor. This includes the Pueblo
and Colorado Springs metropolitan areas. These storms will then
move east over the plains during the evening and overnight hours.
Large to very large hail, damaging winds and a tornado or two will
be possible. Since numerous storms are expected, flash flooding
of flood prone areas will be possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Severe storms are possible again Sunday afternoon and evening,
mainly from I-25 eastward across the plains. Large hail up 2
inches in diameter and damaging winds over 60 mph will be the
main storm hazards. Thunderstorm coverage and strength decrease
on Monday, with the best chance for storms along the southern I-25
corridor. After Monday, isolated thunderstorms are possible each
afternoon and evening through the week, mainly over the mountains.
Most of these storms will be weak and short-lived, producing
lightning and gusty winds but only brief rainfall.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will
be imminent.

Hodanish

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
705 PM MDT Sat Aug 9 2025

COZ084-085-100130-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range Below
7400 Ft CO-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below 7500 Ft
CO-
705 PM MDT Sat Aug 9 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN EL PASO COUNTY
THROUGH 730 PM MDT...

At 705 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Calhan, or 29 miles east of Colorado Springs, moving northeast at 55
mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Calhan, Ramah, and Ellicott.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3891 10406 3884 10432 3883 10463 3894 10459
      3913 10414 3913 10405
TIME...MOT...LOC 0105Z 240DEG 47KT 3896 10429

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Hodanish

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
757 PM MDT Sat Aug 9 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0736 PM     Hail             6 S Calhan              38.95N 104.28W
08/09/2025  M1.00 Inch       El Paso            CO   Public

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
838 PM MDT Sat Aug 9 2025

COZ089-095-100315-
Crowley County CO-Western Kiowa County CO-
838 PM MDT Sat Aug 9 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN KIOWA AND
NORTHEASTERN CROWLEY COUNTIES THROUGH 915 PM MDT...

At 838 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Wild Horse Point, or 34 miles north of La Junta, moving east at 35
mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Haswell.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3837 10308 3832 10369 3852 10379 3852 10351
      3853 10350 3853 10317 3861 10317 3861 10310
TIME...MOT...LOC 0238Z 266DEG 31KT 3849 10355

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

kam

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
915 PM MDT Sat Aug 9 2025

COZ095-100345-
Western Kiowa County CO-
915 PM MDT Sat Aug 9 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN KIOWA COUNTY
THROUGH 945 PM MDT...

At 915 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles west of Haswell, or 35 miles north of North La Junta, moving
northeast at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Haswell.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM MDT for
southeastern Colorado.

&&

LAT...LON 3838 10312 3832 10338 3840 10350 3852 10342
      3853 10317 3861 10317 3861 10298
TIME...MOT...LOC 0315Z 218DEG 11KT 3847 10333

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

kam

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1004 PM MDT Sat Aug 9 2025

COZ085-086-100445-
Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet CO-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range Below
7400 Ft CO-
1004 PM MDT Sat Aug 9 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN EL PASO AND
NORTHEASTERN PUEBLO COUNTIES THROUGH 1045 PM MDT...

At 1004 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles south of Hanover, or 16 miles north of Pueblo Airport, moving
east at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Hanover.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Pueblo.

&&

LAT...LON 3843 10457 3861 10452 3860 10406 3830 10407
TIME...MOT...LOC 0404Z 280DEG 18KT 3851 10441

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

Moore

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1015 PM MDT Sat Aug 9 2025

COZ083-085-086-100500-
Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet CO-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County CO-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range Below
7400 Ft CO-
1015 PM MDT Sat Aug 9 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT EAST CENTRAL FREMONT...SOUTH
CENTRAL EL PASO AND NORTHWESTERN PUEBLO COUNTIES THROUGH 1100 PM
MDT...

At 1015 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Penrose, or 24 miles northwest of Pueblo, moving east at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Fountain, Penrose, and Pueblo West.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Pueblo.

&&

LAT...LON 3841 10502 3855 10504 3863 10466 3838 10461
TIME...MOT...LOC 0415Z 259DEG 16KT 3849 10497

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

Moore