Severe Thunderstorm Warning 201, NWS Pueblo, CO

026 
WWUS55 KPUB 112238
SVSPUB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
438 PM MDT Fri Jul 11 2025

COC101-112248-
/O.EXP.KPUB.SV.W.0201.000000T0000Z-250711T2245Z/
Pueblo CO-
438 PM MDT Fri Jul 11 2025

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL PUEBLO COUNTY
WILL EXPIRE AT 445 PM MDT...

The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.  However, small
hail, gusty winds and heavy rain are still possible with this
thunderstorm.

&&

LAT...LON 3838 10482 3851 10475 3847 10445 3829 10456
TIME...MOT...LOC 2238Z 298DEG 8KT 3840 10467 

$$

EP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
204 PM MDT Fri Jul 11 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Showers and thunderstorms lasting through the evening over the
southeast plains, marginal severe wx and local heavy rain possible.

- Cooler tomorrow with a lesser amount of showers and
  storms(some still strong w/locally heavy rain).

- Daily afternoon and evening shower and storms are expected
  through the long term period.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 202 PM MDT Fri Jul 11 2025

Currently, early this afternoon scattered showers and thunderstorms
were noted along mtns/plains interface with dry conditions
elsewhere. Temps were in the 80s across nearly all of the plains
with 70s valleys and 50s and 60s mtns. Mesoanalysis indicated about
500-1000 J/kg of CAPE were noted on the plains with 20-25 knts of
shear. PWATs were about normal over the plains but it was quite dry
over the interior valleys.

Showers and tstorms will continue ot increase and push out onto the
plains. Guidance continues to indicate it will be more of a later
show as most of the storms will not get their acts together until
early this evening over the plains. With just modest cape and shear
available, primarily expect strong to marginally svr storms with
some locally heavy rain possible. storms will move slowly east
through the evening hours and I would not be too surprised to see
several storms still ongoing across the far eastern plains around
midnight. Any storms which train could cause some locally flooding
issues over the eastern plains later this evening.

Skies will likely remain rather cloudy tonight over the plains and
some guidance keeps showers going well into the overnight hours. dry
and clear conditions are anticipated over the mtns and valleys.

For tomorrow, skies will gradually clear over the plains, and it
will be rather very cool tomorrow as max temps are only expected to
get into the 70s and 80s over the plains. The San Luis Valley may
actually be warmer than the SE CO plains tomorrow due to the cooler
air advecting onto the plains. There will likely be some showers and
storms tomorrow, but once again it will be a late show due to the
cooler air over the plains. Overall, the best areas of unstable air
tomorrow will likely be along the mtns/plains interface, and this is
where the best chance of precip will be tomorrow. Storms should
clear relatively quickly tomorrow early evening. \/Hodanish

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Issued at 329 AM MDT Fri Jul 11 2025

Sunday - Thursday: Through the long term period, active weather
is expected each day, as showers and storms impact portions of
the region. Overall, not much has changed from previous long
term forecast, with messy northwesterly to northerly expected to
be in place as a ridge of high pressure sits across the
southwestern US. While no major forcing is still expected,
orographic forcing will be in place with this flow pattern,
along with periods of enhanced forcing from frontal surges late
in this period. With these forcing mechanisms, along with
moisture still in place each day, daily afternoon and evening
showers and thunderstorms are expected. The highest coverage of
showers and storms is anticipated to remain along the mountains,
where forcing will be maximized. With that said though, greater
coverage is expected to expand across the plains around midweek
next week as the aforementioned cold fronts push across the
area. And like most summer days, a strong thunderstorm or two
can't be ruled out, with frequent lightning, gusty outflow winds
around 40 mph, small hail, and brief periods of heavy rain the
most likely hazards with any more organized convection. Beyond
all of that, breezy winds and increased afternoon and evening
cloud cover are expected each day. Looking at temperatures,
through Tuesday, near seasonal temperatures are anticipated for
much of the area. Then for Wednesday and Thursday, a cool down
to below seasonal values is expected thanks to the cold front
passage.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1109 AM MDT Fri Jul 11 2025

Thunderstorms are likely to affect to taf sites today,
especially at KCOS late this afternoon and early evening. Gusty
winds will be the main issue with any storms along with brief
periods of locally heavy rain. Otherwise expect VFR conditions
through the remainder of the period.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

SHORT TERM...HODANISH/MOZLEY
LONG TERM...SIMCOE
AVIATION...HODANISH

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1050 AM MDT Fri Jul 11 2025

COZ058>089-093>099-121700-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
1050 AM MDT Fri Jul 11 2025

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon through Tonight

Showers and thunderstorms will develop over the region later this
afternoon, with the brunt of the activity occurring during the
late afternoon time period, and lasting well into the evening
hours.

A few storms will likely become strong to severe, with hail near
1 inch in diameter and wind gusts in excess of 60 mph. The
strongest storms are expected over the Palmer Divide, the Raton
Mesa and the far eastern plains.

In addition to the severe weather threat, there is more moisture
in the atmosphere today, so locally heavy rainfall capable of
causing localized flash flooding will be possible over all of the
plains later today and into tonight.

All storms will produce dangerous cloud to ground lightning.

Thunderstorms will track east across the Plains and exit into
Kansas late tonight into Saturday morning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Daily afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms are expected
Saturday through Thursday. Saturday has the highest chances of
stronger storms, particularly across the eastern plains, with strong
outflow winds up to 60 mph the primary hazard. Otherwise, the
most likely hazards with any more organized storms will be gusty
outflow winds around 40 mph, small hail, frequent lightning, and
brief periods of heavy rain.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will
be possible over portions of the region.

Hodanish

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
326 PM MDT Fri Jul 11 2025

COZ084-085-112200-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range Below
7400 Ft CO-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below 7500 Ft
CO-
326 PM MDT Fri Jul 11 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY THROUGH
400 PM MDT...

At 326 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Schriever Space Force Base, or 16 miles east of Colorado Springs,
moving southeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Schriever Space Force Base and Ellicott.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3880 10460 3892 10452 3889 10430 3868 10447
TIME...MOT...LOC 2126Z 294DEG 11KT 3881 10452

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

Ehr

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
328 PM MDT Fri Jul 11 2025

COZ087-112200-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Ft CO-
328 PM MDT Fri Jul 11 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT EAST CENTRAL HUERFANO COUNTY
THROUGH 400 PM MDT...

At 328 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles north of Walsenburg, or 37 miles south of Pueblo, moving east
at 5 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Walsenburg.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3765 10486 3783 10486 3786 10458 3760 10457
TIME...MOT...LOC 2128Z 273DEG 6KT 3774 10478

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

EP

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
329 PM MDT Fri Jul 11 2025

COZ085-112200-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range Below
7400 Ft CO-
329 PM MDT Fri Jul 11 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN EL PASO COUNTY
THROUGH 400 PM MDT...

At 329 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Hanover, or 25 miles north of Pueblo Airport, moving south at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Hanover.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3877 10440 3874 10428 3854 10419 3854 10445
      3869 10447
TIME...MOT...LOC 2129Z 350DEG 9KT 3865 10438

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

Ehr

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
330 PM MDT Fri Jul 11 2025

COZ074-088-112200-
Southern Sangre De Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Ft CO-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Ft CO-
330 PM MDT Fri Jul 11 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTH CENTRAL LAS ANIMAS COUNTY
THROUGH 400 PM MDT...

At 330 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Trinidad, moving east at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Trinidad, Starkville, Hoehne, and Raton Pass.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3721 10462 3730 10432 3700 10421 3699 10424
      3699 10457
TIME...MOT...LOC 2130Z 259DEG 14KT 3714 10452

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

EP

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
337 PM MDT Fri Jul 11 2025

COZ086-112200-
Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet CO-
337 PM MDT Fri Jul 11 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN PUEBLO COUNTY
THROUGH 400 PM MDT...

At 337 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8
miles north of Pueblo West, or 16 miles northwest of Pueblo, moving
east at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Pinon and Pueblo West.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3835 10491 3852 10491 3851 10454 3835 10454
TIME...MOT...LOC 2137Z 280DEG 14KT 3846 10478

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

EP

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
343 PM MDT Fri Jul 11 2025

COZ088-094-112215-
Eastern Las Animas County CO-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Ft CO-
343 PM MDT Fri Jul 11 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTH CENTRAL LAS ANIMAS COUNTY
THROUGH 415 PM MDT...

At 342 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Trinchera, or 23 miles northwest of Des Moines, moving east at 10
mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Branson and Trinchera.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3700 10420 3717 10427 3716 10373 3700 10377
TIME...MOT...LOC 2142Z 282DEG 7KT 3707 10404

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

EP