Red Flag Warning 33, NWS Pueblo, CO

837 
WWUS85 KPUB 200703
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
103 AM MDT Fri Jun 20 2025

COZ220-223-202315-
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.A.0026.250622T1600Z-250623T0300Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0032.250620T1600Z-250621T0400Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0033.250621T1600Z-250622T0400Z/
Upper Arkansas River Valley Including Lake County and Chaffee
County-
Eastern San Juan Mountains and La Garita Mountains Including Wolf
Creek Pass and Creede-
103 AM MDT Fri Jun 20 2025

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
10 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220 AND 223...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM MDT
SATURDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 220 AND 223...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 220 AND 223...

The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Fire Weather
Watch for gusty winds and low relative humidity, which is in
effect from Sunday morning through Sunday evening.

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zones 220 and 223.

* TIMING...For the first Red Flag Warning, from 10 AM this 
  morning to 10 PM MDT this evening. For the second Red Flag 
  Warning, from 10 AM to 10 PM MDT Saturday. For the Fire 
  Weather Watch, from Sunday morning through Sunday evening.

* WINDS...For today, southwest winds at 15 to 25 mph with gusts to
  40. For Saturday, southwest winds at 20 to 30 mph with gusts to
  50 mph. For Sunday southwest winds at 20 t0 30 mph with gusts to
  50 mph.
 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...For today, in the low teens. For tomorrow,
  in the single digits. For Sunday, in the low teens. 

* IMPACTS...Elevated fire danger is expected. Fires will catch 
  and spread rapidly and erratically.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

755 
WWUS85 KPUB 202033
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
233 PM MDT Fri Jun 20 2025

COZ220-223-211245-
/O.UPG.KPUB.FW.A.0026.250622T1600Z-250623T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0034.250622T1600Z-250623T0400Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0032.000000T0000Z-250621T0400Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0033.250621T1600Z-250622T0400Z/
Upper Arkansas River Valley Including Lake County and Chaffee
County-
Eastern San Juan Mountains and La Garita Mountains Including Wolf
Creek Pass and Creede-
233 PM MDT Fri Jun 20 2025

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS
EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 220 AND 223...

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM MDT
SATURDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 220 AND 223...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM MDT SUNDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
220 AND 223...

The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Red Flag
Warning for gusty winds and low relative humidity, which is in
effect from 10 AM to 10 PM MDT Sunday. The Fire Weather Watch is
no longer in effect.

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zones 220 and 223.

* TIMING...A Red Flag Warning is in effect until 10 PM MDT this
  evening. Red Flag Warnings are also in effect from 10 AM to 10
  PM MDT Saturday and Sunday.

* WINDS...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 9 percent.

* IMPACTS...Elevated fire danger is expected. Fires will catch 
  and spread rapidly and erratically.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

COZ225-211245-
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0034.250622T1600Z-250623T0400Z/
/O.EXA.KPUB.FW.W.0033.250621T1600Z-250622T0400Z/
Southern Front Range Including Sangre De Cristo Mountains/Wet
Mountains/La Veta Pass-
233 PM MDT Fri Jun 20 2025

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM MDT SATURDAY 
FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
225...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM MDT SUNDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 225...

The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Red Flag
Warning for gusty winds and low relative humidity, which is in
effect from 10 AM to 10 PM MDT Saturday. A Red Flag Warning has
also been issued from 10 AM to 10 PM MDT Sunday.

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zone 225.

* TIMING...Red Flag Warnings are in effect from 10 AM to 10 PM MDT
  Saturday and Sunday.

* WINDS...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 11 percent.

* IMPACTS...Elevated fire danger is expected. Fires will catch 
  and spread rapidly and erratically.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

052 
WWUS85 KPUB 210345
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
945 PM MDT Fri Jun 20 2025

COZ220-223-211945-
/O.EXP.KPUB.FW.W.0032.000000T0000Z-250621T0400Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0033.250621T1600Z-250622T0400Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0034.250622T1600Z-250623T0400Z/
Upper Arkansas River Valley Including Lake County and Chaffee
County-
Eastern San Juan Mountains and La Garita Mountains Including Wolf
Creek Pass and Creede-
945 PM MDT Fri Jun 20 2025

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM MDT
SATURDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 220 AND 223...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM MDT
SUNDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 220 AND 223...
...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
220 AND 223...

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zones 220 and 223.

* TIMING...For the first Red Flag Warning, from 10 AM to 10 PM 
  MDT Saturday. For the second Red Flag Warning, from 10 AM to 
  10 PM MDT Sunday.

* WINDS...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 9 percent.

* IMPACTS...Elevated fire danger is expected. Fires will catch 
  and spread rapidly and erratically.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

COZ225-211945-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0033.250621T1600Z-250622T0400Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0034.250622T1600Z-250623T0400Z/
Southern Front Range Including Sangre De Cristo Mountains/Wet
Mountains/La Veta Pass-
945 PM MDT Fri Jun 20 2025

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM MDT
SATURDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONE 225...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM MDT
SUNDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONE 225...

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zone 225.

* TIMING...For the first Red Flag Warning, from 10 AM to 10 PM 
  MDT Saturday. For the second Red Flag Warning, from 10 AM to 
  10 PM MDT Sunday.

* WINDS...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 11 percent.

* IMPACTS...Elevated fire danger is expected. Fires will catch 
  and spread rapidly and erratically.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

451 
WWUS85 KPUB 210938
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
338 AM MDT Sat Jun 21 2025


COZ220-223-225-220145-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0033.250621T1600Z-250622T0400Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0034.250622T1600Z-250623T0400Z/
Upper Arkansas River Valley Including Lake County and Chaffee
County-
Eastern San Juan Mountains and La Garita Mountains Including Wolf
Creek Pass and Creede-
Southern Front Range Including Sangre De Cristo Mountains/Wet
Mountains/La Veta Pass-
338 AM MDT Sat Jun 21 2025

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
10 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220 AND 223...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM MDT
SUNDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 220 AND 223...

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zones 220, 223 and 225.

* TIMING...For the first Red Flag Warning, from 10 AM this 
  morning to 10 PM MDT this evening. For the second Red Flag 
  Warning, from 10 AM to 10 PM MDT Sunday.

* WINDS...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 9 percent.

* IMPACTS...Elevated fire danger is expected. Fires will catch 
  and spread rapidly and erratically.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

340 
WWUS85 KPUB 212025
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
225 PM MDT Sat Jun 21 2025

...Red Flag Warnings are in effect from 10 AM until 10 PM Saturday 
 and Sunday across the central and southern mountains...

...Fire Weather Watch has been issued Monday afternoon and evening 
across the central mountains...

COZ220-223-221230-
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.A.0027.250623T1700Z-250624T0200Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0033.000000T0000Z-250622T0400Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0034.250622T1600Z-250623T0400Z/
Upper Arkansas River Valley Including Lake County and Chaffee
County-
Eastern San Juan Mountains and La Garita Mountains Including Wolf
Creek Pass and Creede-
225 PM MDT Sat Jun 21 2025

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS
EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE 
WEATHER ZONES 220 AND 223... 

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM MDT 
SUNDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER 
ZONES 220 AND 223... 

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH 
MONDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 220 AND 223...

The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Fire Weather
Watch for gusty winds and low relative humidity, which is in 
effect from Monday morning through Monday evening.

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zones 220 and 223.

* TIMING...For the first Red Flag Warning, until 10 PM MDT this 
  evening. For the second Red Flag Warning, from 10 AM to 10 PM 
  MDT Sunday. For the Fire Weather Watch, from Monday morning 
  through Monday evening.

* WINDS...Southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 9 percent.

* TEMPERATURES...Up to 77.

* Lightning...

* IMPACTS...Elevated fire danger is expected. Fires will catch 
  and spread rapidly and erratically.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

COZ225-221230-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0033.000000T0000Z-250622T0400Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0034.250622T1600Z-250623T0400Z/
Southern Front Range Including Sangre De Cristo Mountains/Wet
Mountains/La Veta Pass-
225 PM MDT Sat Jun 21 2025

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS
EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE 
WEATHER ZONE 225... 

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM MDT 
SUNDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER 
ZONE 225...

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zone 225.

* TIMING...For the first Red Flag Warning, until 10 PM MDT this 
  evening. For the second Red Flag Warning, from 10 AM to 10 PM 
  MDT Sunday.

* WINDS...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 9 percent.

* IMPACTS...Elevated fire danger is expected. Fires will catch 
  and spread rapidly and erratically.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

535 
WWUS85 KPUB 220404
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1004 PM MDT Sat Jun 21 2025

...A Red Flag Warning is in effect from 10 AM until 10 PM 
Sunday across the central and southern mountains...

...A Fire Weather Watch is in effect Monday afternoon and 
evening across the central and southwest mountains...

COZ220-223-222015-
/O.EXP.KPUB.FW.W.0033.000000T0000Z-250622T0400Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0034.250622T1600Z-250623T0400Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0027.250623T1700Z-250624T0200Z/
Upper Arkansas River Valley Including Lake County and Chaffee
County-
Eastern San Juan Mountains and La Garita Mountains Including Wolf
Creek Pass and Creede-
1004 PM MDT Sat Jun 21 2025

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM MDT
SUNDAY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220 AND 223...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING 
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 220 AND 223... 
...RED FLAG WARNING FOR THIS EVENING HAS EXPIRED FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 220 AND 223...

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zones 220 and 223.

* TIMING...For the Red Flag Warning, from 10 AM to 10 PM MDT 
  Sunday. For the Fire Weather Watch, from Monday morning 
  through Monday evening.

* WINDS...Southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 12 percent.

* IMPACTS...Fires will catch and spread quickly. Exercise 
  extreme caution with any outdoor burning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

COZ225-222015-
/O.EXP.KPUB.FW.W.0033.000000T0000Z-250622T0400Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0034.250622T1600Z-250623T0400Z/
Southern Front Range Including Sangre De Cristo Mountains/Wet
Mountains/La Veta Pass-
1004 PM MDT Sat Jun 21 2025

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM MDT
SUNDAY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 225...
...RED FLAG WARNING FOR THIS EVENING HAS EXPIRED FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONE 225...

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zone 225.

* TIMING...From 10 AM to 10 PM MDT Sunday.

* WINDS...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 12 percent.

* IMPACTS...Fires will catch and spread quickly. Exercise 
  extreme caution with any outdoor burning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1146 AM MDT Thu Jun 19 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Today begins a period of excessive heat and high fire danger, with
the highest temperatures coming in tomorrow and the strongest winds
coming in on Saturday.

- Red Flag Warnings are in effect over our central and western
  mountains for Friday.

- Heat Advisories are in effect for Friday over El Paso, Pueblo,
  and eastern Fremont counties.

- Hot, breezy, and dry through the weekend. Slightly cooler temperatures
  and thunderstorm chances return next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Issued at 343 AM MDT Thu Jun 19 2025

Currently..

Clear skies and very dry air can be seen on water vapor satellite
imagery across the region as ridging builds from our south.
Temperatures are still in the 60s and low 70s as of 1 am this
morning. Dewpoints are in the 40s over the I-25 corridor and low 50s
elsewhere on our plains. Winds are light but are still mainly
southerly and have not come around to normal drainage directions yet
this morning.

Today and Tonight..

Today begins a several day stretch of dangerous heat and drying
conditions, with the hottest temperatures rolling in on Friday. For
today though, high pressure continues to build to our south, leaving
us in the northern periphery of the ridge throughout the day. This
will help temperatures to climb as mid-level heights rise and
southerly winds increase across the area. Highs today look to be
around 8 to 10 degrees above normal, with upper 80s over mountain
valleys, 90s for much of the plains, and a few 100s over the Lower
Arkansas River Valley near La Junta and Lamar. A few thunderstorms
may also be possible this afternoon along a weak surface trough that
models drape across our southeastern plains from around Trinidad to
Lamar. Chances for decent rainfall with storms today will be low,
with dewpoint depressions of around 100/40... this setup will
however be favorable for virga and outflow winds with gusts to 60
mph possible. Forecast soundings show inverted V profiles with
around 2000 J/Kg of DCAPE for this afternoon. SPC has this area
outlined for a marginal risk for severe storms as well, with the
main risk being damaging winds. The good news is that synoptic winds
look to remain below critical fire weather thresholds for most
zones, though the San Luis Valley could see brief periods of gusts
over 25 mph, especially along our southern border with NM.
Unfortunately neither our dewpoints recover through the overnight
hours as our dry airmass remains in place and many areas stay mixed
well into the evening. Overnight lows look to be around 7 to 9
degrees warmer than normal heading into Friday morning, with
portions of our eastern plains only cooling off into the mid 70s
(this is 12 degrees above normal for Lamar!) this warm night tonight
will set the stage for excessive heat and Red Flag conditions on
Friday..

Tomorrow..

By Friday we are situated on the backside of the ridge, under strong
southwesterly flow aloft. Downsloping winds will only help us to
warm more efficiently under clear skies and very dry conditions.
Temperatures are expected to climb to around 9 to 12 degrees above
normal tomorrow, which will mean upper 80s for mountain valleys,
upper 90s for our mountain adjacent plains, and low to mid 100s (up
to around 105F) for the rest of the plains. Furthermore,
southwesterly winds are likely to gust up to 35 mph across the area,
with higher gusts over mountain peaks. This will tank our humidities
and lead to very critical meteorological fire weather conditions.
Thankfully, many of our fire weather zones are still very green from
recent rainfall, which has spatially limited the extent our Red Flag
Warnings for tomorrow. For now, only the San Juans, La Garitas, and
central mountains are under Red Flag Warnings for tomorrow, where
fuels have been deemed critical by partners. Continued dry
conditions and above normal temperatures could lead to changes in
fuels and expanded highlights across the I-25 corridor, the San Luis
Valley, and possibly the eastern mountains.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 343 AM MDT Thu Jun 19 2025

An upper-level low will push onshore over the Pacific Northwest as
we move into the weekend, causing breezy southwest flow to settle in
over our area. Downsloping and enhanced heating will continue our
trend of warm temperatures, with Saturday's highs in the 90s to low-
100s over the plains, and 80s over the high valleys. Will have to
monitor incoming trends in cloud cover and moisture in the area to
determine the need for another Heat highlight, but have held off for
now due to low confidence and slightly lower temperatures.
Meanwhile, another day of critical fire weather conditions is
expected, with a Fire Weather Watch in effect for our western
mountains, where fuels are driest. Otherwise, our CWA will remain
generally dry and breezy through the rest of the day.

The upper trough deepens a bit on Sunday, advecting a bit more
potential moisture into the region as southwest winds increase.
Temperatures will level out a bit, just a few degrees shy of
Saturday, with gusty surface winds. Meanwhile, models do hint at a
slight uptick in precipitation chances, particularly over the far
southeast plains. Southerly winds could bring up enough Gulf
moisture for something of a dryline setup, though it is still
unclear if we'll get enough moisture for any strong to severe
storms. As of now, a few isolated thunderstorms will be possible in
the late afternoon to early evening hours.

A front is expected to pass over the plains on Monday, as a piece of
energy from the trough ejects far to our north. Temperatures will be
knocked down to near-seasonal levels, typically in the 80s over most
of the lower areas, and moisture will be more abundant. This may
serve to decrease critical fire weather chances, but will certainly
increase the potential for more afternoon showers and thunderstorms
each day through much of next week.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 1139 AM MDT Thu Jun 19 2025

VFR conditions expected over the next 24 hours. Gusty south to
southwest winds will pick up at all three terminals with gusts
to around 20-25 kts through the afternoon. Forecast challenges
revolve around timing of wind shifts and decoupling this
evening. It is possible that winds could stay breezy and
southerly through the night at all three terminals. If winds do
decouple, there is a low end risk for low level wind shear at
times overnight with southwesterly winds just off the surface
around 20-30 kts occuring above light terrain driven winds at
the surface. Have kept LLWS out of the terminals for now until
greater confidence is gained. Potential increases after roughly
05z, particularly for KCOS and KALS.  -KT

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Red Flag Warning from 10 AM to 10 PM MDT Friday for COZ220-223.
Fire Weather Watch from Saturday morning through Saturday
evening for COZ220-223.
Heat Advisory from 10 AM to 9 PM MDT Friday for COZ083>086.

&&

SHORT TERM...EHR
LONG TERM...GARBEROGLIO
AVIATION...KT

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1108 AM MDT Thu Jun 19 2025

COZ058>089-093>099-201715-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
1108 AM MDT Thu Jun 19 2025

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Isolated thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon and early
evening along and east of a line extending from around Trinidad to
Lamar. The primary risks with thunderstorms will be gusty outflow
winds up to 65 mph and lightning. Some brief small hail under 1
inch in diameter will be possible near the Kansas border if
thunderstorms develop during the early to mid afternoon.

Otherwise above normal temperatures can be expected today with
high temperatures cresting 100 across portions of the southeast
plains. Limit time outdoors if you are sensitive to the heat.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Hot, dry, and breezy conditions will persist through late week and
into the weekend. Very hot temperatures will occur Friday afternoon
over portions of I-25 and eastern Fremont County, leading to
potentially hazardous conditions. Take care to limit prolonged
exposure to the sun and hot conditions. A Heat Advisory is in effect
for those areas for most of Friday. Hot temperatures will return
Saturday, though maybe a few degrees lower.

Additionally, dry conditions and gusty winds will result in critical
fire weather conditions, with the greatest danger for rapid fire
spread across the Continental Divide, where fuels are driest. These
conditions will persist Friday and Saturday afternoon, with more
critical conditions expected on Sunday as well. Fuels elsewhere are
currently considered too green to support rapid fire growth,
though critical fire weather conditions will persist.

Thunderstorm chances return to the forecast starting on Sunday,
increasing further as we head into next week. Temperatures will cool
off slightly, though should stay above normal. Thunderstorms are
mainly expected to bring gusty wind and frequent lightning, along
with some small hail.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will
be possible over portions of the region.

31/GARBEROGLIO

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1235 PM MDT Thu Jun 19 2025

COZ071-074-075-191900-
Southern Sangre De Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Ft CO-
Southern San Luis Valley CO-
Southern Sangre De Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Ft CO-
1235 PM MDT Thu Jun 19 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN COSTILLA AND
EASTERN CONEJOS COUNTIES THROUGH 100 PM MDT...

At 1235 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Mesita, or 25 miles north of Questa, moving northeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
San Luis, Mesita, Jaroso, San Acacio, San Pablo, Sanchez Reservoir,
Chama, and Garcia.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3699 10569 3713 10576 3739 10540 3699 10533
TIME...MOT...LOC 1835Z 247DEG 14KT 3708 10563

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

EP

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1253 PM MDT Thu Jun 19 2025

COZ088-191930-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Ft CO-
1253 PM MDT Thu Jun 19 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL LAS ANIMAS COUNTY
THROUGH 130 PM MDT...

At 1253 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles east of Aguilar, or 16 miles north of Trinidad, moving east at
20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Model.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3729 10457 3748 10462 3759 10427 3733 10419
TIME...MOT...LOC 1853Z 256DEG 15KT 3741 10451

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

EP