Alert archive / Colorado / Red Flag Warnings in 2025
Red Flag Warning 27, NWS Pueblo, CO
NWS Pueblo, CO issued this red flag warning at Apr 25, 2025, 2:38 PM MDT for 5 counties in Colorado. It took effect at Apr 26, 2025, 12:00 PM MDT. It was in force for 8 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Apr 25, 2025, 2:38 PM MDT (20:38 UTC)
- In effect from
- Apr 26, 2025, 12:00 PM MDT
- Expired
- Apr 26, 2025, 8:00 PM MDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Pueblo, CO
Counties Alamosa County, CO, Conejos County, CO, Costilla County, CO, Rio Grande County, CO, Saguache County, CO
The radar
The Pueblo radar (KPUX), 190 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:41 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM (KABQ), launched 12:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 282 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 4004 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 41 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -61 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 62 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
974 WWUS85 KPUB 252038 RFWPUB URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Pueblo CO 238 PM MDT Fri Apr 25 2025 COZ224-261245- /O.UPG.KPUB.FW.A.0021.250426T1800Z-250427T0200Z/ /O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0027.250426T1800Z-250427T0200Z/ /O.NEW.KPUB.FW.A.0022.250427T1700Z-250428T0300Z/ /O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0026.000000T0000Z-250426T0200Z/ San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache- 238 PM MDT Fri Apr 25 2025 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 224... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT SATURDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 224... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 224... The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Red Flag Warning for gusty winds and low relative humidity, which is in effect from noon to 8 PM MDT Saturday. A Fire Weather Watch has also been issued for gusty winds and low relative humidity from Sunday morning into Sunday evening. * AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zone 224. * WINDS...South 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 55 mph...with the strongest winds expected on Sunday. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 9 percent. * IMPACTS...Extreme fire danger is expected...especially on Sunday. Fires may spread uncontrollably. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$ COZ221-226>231-234>236-261245- /O.NEW.KPUB.FW.A.0022.250427T1700Z-250428T0300Z/ Teller County/Rampart Range Including Pikes Peak and Florissant Fossil Beds National Monument- Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest- Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado Springs-Pueblo County Including Pueblo- Huerfano County Including Walsenburg- Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher- Crowley County Including Ordway-Kiowa County Including Eads- Bent County Including Las Animas-Prowers County Including Lamar- 238 PM MDT Fri Apr 25 2025 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 221, 226, 227, 228, 229, 230, 231, 234, 235, AND 236... The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Fire Weather Watch for gusty winds and low relative humidity, which is in effect from Sunday morning through Sunday evening. * AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zones 221, 226, 227, 228, 229, 230, 231, 234, 235 and 236. * WINDS...Southwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 7 percent. * IMPACTS...Elevated fire danger is expected. Fires will catch and spread rapidly and erratically. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$
4 follow-up statements
824 WWUS85 KPUB 260142 RFWPUB URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Pueblo CO 742 PM MDT Fri Apr 25 2025 COZ224-261745- /O.EXP.KPUB.FW.W.0026.000000T0000Z-250426T0200Z/ /O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0027.250426T1800Z-250427T0200Z/ /O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0022.250427T1700Z-250428T0300Z/ San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache- 742 PM MDT Fri Apr 25 2025 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT SATURDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 224... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 224... ...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 224... * AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zone 224. * WINDS...South 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 55 mph with the strongest gusts expected on Sunday. . * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 6 percent. * IMPACTS...Extreme fire danger is expected, especially on Sunday. Fires may spread uncontrollably. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$ COZ221-226>231-234>236-261745- /O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0022.250427T1700Z-250428T0300Z/ Teller County/Rampart Range Including Pikes Peak and Florissant Fossil Beds National Monument- Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest- Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado Springs-Pueblo County Including Pueblo- Huerfano County Including Walsenburg- Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher- Crowley County Including Ordway-Kiowa County Including Eads- Bent County Including Las Animas-Prowers County Including Lamar- 742 PM MDT Fri Apr 25 2025 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 221, 226, 227, 228, 229, 230, 231, 234, 235, AND 236... * AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zones 221, 226, 227, 228, 229, 230, 231, 234, 235 and 236. * WINDS...Southwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 7 percent. * IMPACTS...Elevated fire danger is expected. Fires will catch and spread rapidly and erratically. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$
055 WWUS85 KPUB 260909 RFWPUB URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Pueblo CO 309 AM MDT Sat Apr 26 2025 COZ224-270115- /O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0027.250426T1800Z-250427T0200Z/ /O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0022.250427T1700Z-250428T0300Z/ San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache- 309 AM MDT Sat Apr 26 2025 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 224... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 224... * AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zone 224. * WINDS...South 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 10 percent. * IMPACTS...Elevated fire danger is expected. Fires will catch and spread rapidly and erratically. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$ COZ221-226>231-234>236-270115- /O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0022.250427T1700Z-250428T0300Z/ Teller County/Rampart Range Including Pikes Peak and Florissant Fossil Beds National Monument- Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest- Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado Springs-Pueblo County Including Pueblo- Huerfano County Including Walsenburg- Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher- Crowley County Including Ordway-Kiowa County Including Eads- Bent County Including Las Animas-Prowers County Including Lamar- 309 AM MDT Sat Apr 26 2025 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 221, 226, 227, 228, 229, 230, 231, 234, 235, AND 236... * AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zones 221, 226, 227, 228, 229, 230, 231, 234, 235 and 236. * WINDS...South 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 55 mph. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 8 percent. * IMPACTS...Extreme fire danger is expected. Fires will uncontrollably spread and be very destructive. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$
765 WWUS85 KPUB 262033 RFWPUB URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Pueblo CO 233 PM MDT Sat Apr 26 2025 COZ224-271245- /O.UPG.KPUB.FW.A.0022.250427T1700Z-250428T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0028.250427T1700Z-250428T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KPUB.FW.A.0023.250428T1700Z-250429T0200Z/ /O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0027.000000T0000Z-250427T0200Z/ San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache- 233 PM MDT Sat Apr 26 2025 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 224... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT SUNDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 224... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 224... The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Red Flag Warning for gusty winds and low relative humidity, which is in effect from 11 AM to 9 PM MDT Sunday. A Fire Weather Watch has also been issued from Monday morning through Monday evening. * AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zone 224. * WINDS...Southwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts of 50 to 60 mph. Strongest winds are expected on Sunday. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 9 percent. * IMPACTS...Extreme fire danger is expected on Sunday. Fires will spread uncontrollably. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$ COZ227>231-234>236-271245- /O.UPG.KPUB.FW.A.0022.250427T1700Z-250428T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0028.250427T1700Z-250428T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KPUB.FW.A.0023.250428T1700Z-250429T0200Z/ Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado Springs-Pueblo County Including Pueblo- Huerfano County Including Walsenburg- Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher- Crowley County Including Ordway-Kiowa County Including Eads- Bent County Including Las Animas-Prowers County Including Lamar- 233 PM MDT Sat Apr 26 2025 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT SUNDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 227, 228, 229, 230, 231, 234, 235, AND 236... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 227, 228, 229, 230, 231, 234, 235, AND 236... The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Red Flag Warning for gusty winds and low relative humidity, which is in effect from 11 AM to 9 PM MDT Sunday. A Fire Weather Watch has also been issued from Monday morning through Monday evening. * AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zones 227, 228, 229, 230, 231, 234, 235 and 236. * WINDS...Southwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. The strongest winds are expected on Sunday. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 8 percent. * IMPACTS...Extreme fire danger is expected on Sunday. Fires will spread uncontrollably. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$ COZ221-226-271245- /O.UPG.KPUB.FW.A.0022.250427T1700Z-250428T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0028.250427T1700Z-250428T0300Z/ Teller County/Rampart Range Including Pikes Peak and Florissant Fossil Beds National Monument- Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest- 233 PM MDT Sat Apr 26 2025 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT SUNDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 221 AND 226... The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Red Flag Warning for gusty winds and low relative humidity, which is in effect from 11 AM to 9 PM MDT Sunday. * AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zones 221 and 226. * WINDS...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 11 percent. * IMPACTS...Fires will catch and spread quickly. Exercise extreme caution with any outdoor burning. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$
725 WWUS85 KPUB 270146 RFWPUB URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Pueblo CO 746 PM MDT Sat Apr 26 2025 COZ224-271800- /O.EXP.KPUB.FW.W.0027.000000T0000Z-250427T0200Z/ /O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0028.250427T1700Z-250428T0300Z/ /O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0023.250428T1700Z-250429T0200Z/ San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache- 746 PM MDT Sat Apr 26 2025 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT SUNDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 224... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 224... ...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 224... * AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zone 224. * WINDS...Southwest 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 55 mph. Strongest winds are expected on Sunday, with southwest winds gusting up to 40 mph on Monday. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 9 percent. * IMPACTS...Elevated fire danger is expected. Fires will catch and spread rapidly and erratically. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$ COZ227>231-234>236-271800- /O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0028.250427T1700Z-250428T0300Z/ /O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0023.250428T1700Z-250429T0200Z/ Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado Springs-Pueblo County Including Pueblo- Huerfano County Including Walsenburg- Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher- Crowley County Including Ordway-Kiowa County Including Eads- Bent County Including Las Animas-Prowers County Including Lamar- 746 PM MDT Sat Apr 26 2025 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT SUNDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 227, 228, 229, 230, 231, 234, 235, AND 236... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 227, 228, 229, 230, 231, 234, 235, AND 236... * AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zones 227, 228, 229, 230, 231, 234, 235 and 236. * WINDS...On Sunday, southwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 55 mph. On Monday, southwest 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 8 percent. * IMPACTS...Extreme fire danger is expected. Fires will uncontrollably spread and be very destructive. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$ COZ221-226-271800- /O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0028.250427T1700Z-250428T0300Z/ Teller County/Rampart Range Including Pikes Peak and Florissant Fossil Beds National Monument- Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest- 746 PM MDT Sat Apr 26 2025 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT SUNDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 221 AND 226... * AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zones 221 and 226. * WINDS...On Sunday, southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph. On Monday, southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 11 percent. * IMPACTS...Fires will catch and spread quickly. Exercise extreme caution with any outdoor burning. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Pueblo, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Apr 25, 11:49 AM MDT, 2 hours 49 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- Areas of light rain/drizzle today and tonight, especially over the eastern mountains and I-25 corridor. An isolated thunderstorm possible as well, mainly over the eastern mountains/along the NM border
- Critical fire weather conditions remain in the forecast today and Saturday for the San Luis Valley, with widespread high fire danger becoming more and more likely on Sunday and Monday.
Area forecast discussion, Apr 25, 11:49 AM MDT, 2 hours 49 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pueblo CO 1149 AM MDT Fri Apr 25 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Areas of light rain/drizzle today and tonight, especially over the eastern mountains and I-25 corridor. An isolated thunderstorm possible as well, mainly over the eastern mountains/along the NM border - Critical fire weather conditions remain in the forecast today and Saturday for the San Luis Valley, with widespread high fire danger becoming more and more likely on Sunday and Monday. .UPDATE... Issued at 1137 AM MDT Fri Apr 25 2025 Working on an update to reduce or eliminate thunderstorm chances for many locations today/this evening, as instability looks limited given low clouds and very cool conditions across the area. Will keep some isolated pops in place for the ern mountains and along the NM border, where a few 100 J/KG of instability may develop late in the day, and will continue tsra chance over the far sern plains for much of the night, as a few CAMs suggest ern NM convection may brush ern Las Animas/Baca Counties late. For the afternoon package, will likely lower pops and tsra chance for many locations Sat, as models show limited CAPE and SPC has shifted the SWODY2 marginal out of the area. More on this in the afternoon discussion. && .SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... Issued at 303 AM MDT Fri Apr 25 2025 Currently.. On the broad scale, satellite imagery reveals troughing to our west, with our incoming low still off the coast of the Pacific Northwest. This incoming low will define our weather pattern for the next several days. Closer to home though, satellite imagery shows low clouds already developing over much of the I-25 corridor and our southeast plains, with ongoing showers and weaker thunderstorms over the lower Arkansas River Valley as of 2 AM. Temperatures are mainly in the 50s and low 60s as of 2 AM, with dewpoints in the 40s and 50s on the plains. Today.. For many of us, today's forecast will be characterized by cooler than normal temperatures, chances for showers and weak thunderstorms, and lots of cloud cover. As the trough to our west amplifies and southwest flow aloft increases though, the San Luis Valley and our westernmost mountains will see temperatures closer to normal with highs in the 70s for the SLV, and 50s and 60s for higher terrain locations. From the SLV westward, expect dry conditions with gusty southwesterly winds. High fire danger is expected in the San Luis Valley, where a Red Flag Warning remains in effect from Noon through 8 PM. On the plains, highs today look to top out mostly in the mid to upper 50s, with a few low 60s possible over the southern I-25 corridor where downsloping winds and compressional warming will be strongest. With our cooler and more stable airmass in place, chances for severe thunderstorm development seem meager for today for most locations. The main exception will be over the eastern mountains and the southern I-25 corridor, where early clearing will help to bring in some more instability. High res model guidance suggests that these areas could realize anywhere from 700 to 1000 J/Kg of CAPE today, which could lead to a few stronger storms. The other wildcards would be the low end risk for high shear/low CAPE severe development over the southern I-25 corridor or over Fremont County. Both of these areas are forecast to have around 60kt of bulk shear this afternoon, so any storms that do manage to fire in these areas have a low end potential of becoming severe. Tonight.. As easterly and southeasterly upslope continue and even deepens across the I-25 corridor this evening, light showers, drizzle, fog, and low clouds are expected to linger through the overnight hours. High res model guidance suggests that highest chances for precip tonight will be over our mountains/plains interfaces in El Paso, Teller, Fremont, and Pueblo counties, along with the Wet Mountains and the Palmer Divide. Temperatures remain fairly moderate thanks to continued cloud cover. Most plains locations look to fall into the 40s. The San Luis Valley, and many mountain locations, look to fall into the 30s. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... Issued at 303 AM MDT Fri Apr 25 2025 Saturday.. Southwest flow aloft continues to increase on Saturday as the low approaches from our west. Models have slowed its progression somewhat, bringing it onshore over California by Saturday afternoon. Warming and drying will continue for western portions of our mountains and the SLV on Saturday, which has resulted in the continuation of a fire weather watch for the SLV for Saturday afternoon. For our eastern mountains and our plains though, shortwave energy embedded in the longwave trough looks to spark another round of showers and thunderstorms on Saturday, some of which could be on the strong side. Daytime highs on Saturday will be warmer than today but just a few degrees above normal. Most plain locations look to climb into the upper 60s to mid 70s, with low 70s across the San Luis Valley as well. Sunday and Monday.. Models continue to drag the incoming low to our north through this period, which looks to leave us in the "dry and southwest windy" part of this system.. This will likely mean widespread and fairly high end critical fire weather conditions for both Sunday and Monday, depending on where fuels have been deemed critical. All zones are expected to see dry and windy conditions, with only slight chances for showers and thunderstorms over our central mountains and the higher elevations of the Pikes Peak region on Monday as the system finally passes to our north. Temperatures will be the warmest of the period on Sunday, with many plains locations warming well into the mid and upper 80s. A few 90s will be possible. The SLV looks to warm into the 70s as well. We will begin to cool down behind the system on Monday, though temperatures look to remain above normal for most. Tuesday Onwards.. Models show less consistency from mid-week onwards, though most are still showing a secondary low forming further south around the Tuesday/Wednesday timeframe. So far, this second system still looks more promising for precipitation chances, though not all models close the low off, and some pull it further south. So far, ensemble guidance suggests that our best chances for showers and storms will come through on Wednesday, as the low passes to our southeast. Models hint at another low for the late period as well! && .AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/... Issued at 1137 AM MDT Fri Apr 25 2025 At KALS, VFR the next 24 hrs, with a period of gusty(25-30 kt) sw winds this afternoon. At KCOS and KPUB, expect MVFR conditions to trend toward IFR late this afternoon and overnight, as se upslope strengthens and drizzle/fog/light rain become more widespread. Will need to watch for window of LIFR cigs/vis 09z-15z Sat as precip weakens and fog becomes more prevalent, then slowly clearing late Sat morning as clouds/fog begin to mix out 17z-18z. && .PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Red Flag Warning until 8 PM MDT this evening for COZ224. Fire Weather Watch from Saturday afternoon through Saturday evening for COZ224. && UPDATE...PETERSEN SHORT TERM...EHR LONG TERM...EHR AVIATION...PETERSEN
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 25, 11:55 AM MDT, 2 hours 43 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Pueblo CO 1155 AM MDT Fri Apr 25 2025 COZ058>089-093>099-261800- Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet- Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet- Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet- Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet- Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet- Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet- Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet- Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet- La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet- Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below 10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet- Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet- Alamosa Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet- Southern San Luis Valley- Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet- Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet- Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet- Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet- Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet- Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet- Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet- Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet- Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet- Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between 7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet- Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County- Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below 7500 Feet- Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet- Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet- Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet- Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County- Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County- Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County- Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County- 1155 AM MDT Fri Apr 25 2025 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east central...south central and southeast Colorado. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight Isolated thunderstorms are possible over the eastern mountains and along the New Mexico border from Trinidad eastward this afternoon and evening. Lightning, hail up to dime size and wind gusts of 40-50 mph will be possible with any storms. Over the San Luis valley, critical fire weather conditions are anticipated this afternoon. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday For Saturday, isolated afternoon and evening thunderstorms will be possible, mainly across the eastern mountains and plains. Wind gusts to 45 mph and pea size hail will be possible along with cloud to ground lightning. Over the San Luis valley, critical fire weather conditions are anticipated on Saturday. On Sunday, there is a marginal risk of severe thunderstorms over the far eastern plains of Colorado. Wind gusts to 70 mph and hail up to the size of quarters will be possible. Widespread critical fire weather conditions will be possible on Sunday across a large part of the region due to strong southwest winds and low humidity values. These critical fire weather conditions may continue into Monday along the Colorado and New Mexico border. Into next week, unsettled weather is anticipated and we will likely have a chance of showers and thunderstorms each day over the region. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will be possible over portions of the region. 10/34
In the hours before
Local storm report, Apr 25, 12:47 PM MDT, 1 hour 51 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1247 PM MDT Fri Apr 25 2025
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0820 PM Hail 8 NE Eads 38.57N 102.67W
04/24/2025 M2.50 Inch Kiowa CO Emergency Mngr
Images shared from emergency management of
large hail. Largest hail estimated to around
2.5 inches when compared to baseball in
images. Damage reported to multiple
vehicles.
&&Local storm report, Apr 25, 1:27 PM MDT, 1 hour 11 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
127 PM MDT Fri Apr 25 2025
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0855 PM Hail 4 S Chivington 38.38N 102.54W
04/24/2025 M1.50 Inch Kiowa CO Public
&&Local storm report, Apr 25, 1:28 PM MDT, 1 hour 10 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
128 PM MDT Fri Apr 25 2025
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0756 PM Hail 5 W Blende 38.22N 104.66W
04/24/2025 E0.75 Inch Pueblo CO Public
Report from mPING: Dime (0.75 in.).
&&The office that day
Everything else NWS Pueblo, CO issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 6:29 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | PUB | El Paso | 31 min |
| Apr 24, 6:59 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | PUB | Elbert | 31 min |
| Apr 24, 7:48 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | PUB | Pueblo | 27 min |
| Apr 24, 8:06 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Kiowa | 24 min |
| Apr 24, 8:25 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | PUB | Pueblo | 35 min |
| Apr 24, 8:26 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Kiowa | 34 min |
| Apr 24, 8:45 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Pueblo | 30 min |
| Apr 24, 8:50 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Kiowa | 25 min |
| Apr 24, 9:14 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Kiowa, Prowers | 31 min |
| Apr 24, 9:39 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | PUB | El Paso | 36 min |
| Apr 24, 9:42 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Kiowa, Prowers | 33 min |
| Apr 24, 10:13 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Prowers | 32 min |
| Apr 24, 10:29 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | PUB | El Paso | 46 min |
| Apr 24, 11:57 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | PUB | Crowley | 33 min |
| Apr 25, 12:28 AM MDT | Special Weather Statement | PUB | Crowley | 32 min |
| Apr 25, 12:57 AM MDT | Special Weather Statement | PUB | Crowley | 33 min |
| Apr 25, 1:30 AM MDT | Special Weather Statement | PUB | Crowley | 30 min |
| Apr 25, 1:52 AM MDT | Special Weather Statement | PUB | Crowley | 38 min |
| Apr 25, 2:15 AM MDT | Special Weather Statement | PUB | Bent | 30 min |
| Apr 25, 2:29 AM MDT | Special Weather Statement | PUB | Otero | 31 min |
| Apr 25, 2:56 AM MDT | Special Weather Statement | PUB | Bent | 34 min |
| Apr 25, 2:38 PM MDT | Fire Weather Watch | PUB | Alamosa, Bent, Conejos, Costilla, Crowley, El Paso and 8 more | 24 hr |
Nearby
Red Flag Warnings in Colorado, 2025Every red flag warning in 2025
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.