Flash Flood Warning 47, NWS Pueblo, CO

741 
WGUS75 KPUB 192018
FFSPUB

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
218 PM MDT Tue Aug 19 2025

COC041-192115-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.W.0047.000000T0000Z-250819T2115Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
El Paso CO-
218 PM MDT Tue Aug 19 2025

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 315 PM MDT THIS 
AFTERNOON FOR NORTHWESTERN EL PASO COUNTY...

At 218 PM MDT, The heavy rain has ended in the immediate Monument 
and Palmer Lake regions. Radar estimated between 1.5 and 2.5 inches 
of rain has fallen in the region. Although the rain has ended, flash 
flooding may still be occurring in the Monument and Palmer Lake 
regions.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Radar.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
         drainage and low-lying areas.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Monument and Palmer Lake.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3906 10492 3913 10492 3913 10491 3913 10484
      3913 10483 3913 10477 3906 10477

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED

$$

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927 
WGUS75 KPUB 192124
FFSPUB

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
324 PM MDT Tue Aug 19 2025

COC041-192134-
/O.EXP.KPUB.FF.W.0047.000000T0000Z-250819T2115Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
El Paso CO-
324 PM MDT Tue Aug 19 2025

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR NORTHWESTERN EL PASO COUNTY...

Flooding is no longer expected to pose a threat. Please continue to 
heed remaining road closures.

&&

LAT...LON 3906 10492 3913 10492 3913 10491 3913 10484
      3913 10483 3913 10477 3906 10477

$$

Hodanish

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1130 AM MDT Tue Aug 19 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Another round of gusty thunderstorms this afternoon/evening,
  especially across the eastern mountains and I-25 corridor.

- Hot temperatures and daily mountain showers/storms will
  continue through most of this week.

- After a brief lull in activity Wednesday-Thursday, more active
  weather will return to the area late week and into this
  weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 324 AM MDT Tue Aug 19 2025

Today and Tonight...Upper-level ridge continues to drift westward
through Colorado today, with the center of the upper high near the 4
corners by late this evening. At the surface, easterly outflow winds
across the plains/I-25 corridor have shoved moister air westward
into the mountains, with dewpoints in the 50s over the higher
terrain just west of I-25, while 40s were in place farther west.
Usual mix of competing factors will drive thunderstorm chances this
afternoon, on the positive side moisture/instability are a little
deeper and farther west than Mon, though afternoon mixing will
continue to keep CAPE under 1000 J/KG by the time convection forms.
On the negative side, less in the way of upper forcing in place
given ridge overhead, and deep layer shear will be fairly low with
light winds though the column. Overall, expect a slight uptick in
storms over the eastern mountains, little change with isolated to
scattered storms along I-25, and a downturn in storm chances on
the plains as steering currents weaken. Again, lightning and gusty
outflow winds the main storm threats, with low shear and warm temps
aloft limiting hail production. Suppose a storm or two could produce
some brief moderate rainfall, though like the past few days, most
convection will produce only sprinkles to a tenth of inch of
precipitation. Activity gradually winds down in the evening, though
abundance of outflows may drive a few weak showers/storms past
sunset, especially along/east of I-25. Max temps may drift up a
degf or 2 from Monday's readings as upper ridge is overhead, with
temps continuing above seasonal average temps another day.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
Issued at 324 AM MDT Tue Aug 19 2025

The upper-level high will settle over Colorado Wednesday-Thursday,
giving us a brief period of mostly dry conditions across the area.
Though some isolated-scattereed afternoon convection will be
possible, showers and storms will be fairly weak and confined to the
Continental Divide. Temperatures will remain warm and steady, with
mid-high 90s over the plains and 80s over the high valleys.

As we move into the end of the work week, the high pressure will
meander just a bit further to the west. Meanwhile, a passing trough
along the Canadian border will send a cold front down into our area,
sometime on Friday. The front will bring more widespread
precipitation to the entire forecast area, while also greatly
cooling down temperatures. Will have to keep an eye on flash
flooding concerns over the higher terrain and other flood-prone
areas, as storms could produce heavy rainfall. Temperatures will
cool down to around seasonal levels, with some guidance keeping
highs this weekend in the 70s-80s across our CWA.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1123 AM MDT Tue Aug 19 2025

Isolated convection over the higher terrain this afternoon and eve
could produce intermittent MVFR to IFR conditions over mt passes due
to lowering clouds and lowered vsby. Otherwise, VFR conditions
anticipated for much of the forecast area over the next 24 hours,
including the three main TAF sites of KCOS, KPUB and KALS.

KCOS & KPUB: VFR with typical diurnal surface flow generally
under 12 kts. PROB30 for -TSRA and variable gusts to 25 kts from
roughly 21z-02z. Decreasing mid level clouds through remainder
of the night, then mostly clear overnight through tomorrow
morning.

KALS: VFR conditions expected. Gusty east winds to 22 kts from 21z-
06z for outflow from storms over higher terrain to the east.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

SHORT TERM...PETERSEN
LONG TERM...GARBEROGLIO
AVIATION...MOORE

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1101 AM MDT Tue Aug 19 2025

COZ058>089-093>099-201300-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
1101 AM MDT Tue Aug 19 2025

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon
and evening, especially across the eastern mountains and I-25
corridor. Storms will initially form over the mountains early in the
afternoon, then spread eastward across the I-25 corridor and
portions of the southeast plains during the late afternoon and
evening hours. Most storms will produce gusty winds to 45 mph,
occasional cloud to ground lightning and brief rainfall.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

A brief drying trend will set in Wednesday-Thursday, with only
isolated to scattered showers and storms over the Continental
Divide. A front moves in on Friday, bringing cooler temperatures and
widespread precipitation chances to most of our area. Flash flooding
may become a primary concern as the wet monsoon conditions persist
into this weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters will not be needed this afternoon or tonight.

10/GARBEROGLIO

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
129 PM MDT Tue Aug 19 2025

COZ081-084-191945-
Teller County/Rampart Range above 7500fT/Pike's Peak Between 7500 And
11000 Ft CO-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below 7500 Ft
CO-
129 PM MDT Tue Aug 19 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN EL PASO COUNTY
THROUGH 145 PM MDT...

At 129 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Monument, or 18 miles north of Colorado Springs, moving southeast at
5 mph.

HAZARD...Pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor hail damage to vegetation is possible.

Locations impacted include...
Monument, Air Force Academy, Palmer Lake, and Gleneagle.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3900 10485 3904 10498 3913 10494 3913 10464
TIME...MOT...LOC 1929Z 293DEG 6KT 3909 10486

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...<30 MPH

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