Flash Flood Warning 29, NWS Pueblo, CO

385 
WGUS75 KPUB 300155 RRA
FFSPUB

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
755 PM MDT Tue Jul 29 2025

COC101-300205-
/O.CAN.KPUB.FF.W.0029.000000T0000Z-250730T0245Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Pueblo CO-
755 PM MDT Tue Jul 29 2025

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR NORTHEASTERN PUEBLO COUNTY...

The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a 
threat. Please continue to heed remaining road closures.

A Flood Watch remains in effect until 900 PM MDT for portions of 
central, east central, and southeast Colorado.

&&

LAT...LON 3815 10439 3844 10424 3847 10406 3799 10407

$$

Simcoe

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
507 PM MDT Tue Jul 29 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect through 9 PM this
  evening for the Pikes Peak region, though area burn scars,
  urban centers, and other low lying and flood prone centers
  should also be alert for the potential for the potential for
  excessive rainfall through the rest of this evening.

- The potential for torrential rainfall and Flash Flooding increases
  for tomorrow across the area.

- Drier and hotter for the weekend into early next week.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 341 PM MDT Tue Jul 29 2025

Quick update made to expand the Flash Flood watch to include
Pueblo county where radar trends suggest thunderstorm outflows
and an advancing cold front will help congeal thunderstorms into
a cluster which will push eastward with time. Very heavy
rainfall rates of 1 to 2 inches per hour will be possible under
the stronger cells with localized rainfall amounts of up to 4
inches of rainfall possible, perhaps a little more if storms
train over the same area. -KT

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 224 PM MDT Tue Jul 29 2025

Currently..

Showers and thunderstorms have formed all along our mountain ranges,
with scattered to numerous coverage over our eastern mountains and
Teller County. Steering flow is very weak, and storms are barely
moving in most areas. Cu is pushing north over our southern plains
with overcast mid and upper-level cloud cover over the high country.
Temperatures are in the 80s on the plains. Dewpoints are mostly in
the 50s on the plains, with 60 dewpoints to our north that are
expected to keep coming our way behind the cold front that is
currently backing in in across the region. Winds are already due
north across El Paso County.

Rest of Today and Tonight..

A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect through 9 PM for the Pikes
Peak region this afternoon and this evening. Showers have been
ongoing over Teller County, where portions of the county have
received around 0.3 inches or so of rain as of 1:30 PM. High res
model guidance continues to show numerous showers and thunderstorms
over the region, especially over the Pikes Peak region for the rest
of today and into this evening. Behind the front, dewpoints are
expected to keep climbing. To our north, dewpoints are in the 60s.
Forecast PWATs are above an inch. With weak steering flow, storms
are expected to continue to move very slowly if at all. For this
reason, Flash Flooding is expected to continue to be a concern
through around 9 PM this evening. Most models push convection east
of the I-25 corridor by 9 PM, and further east into Kansas by around
midnight or so at the latest. Temperatures behind the front remain
fairly mild thanks to extensive cloud cover, with much of the plains
remaining the 60s. Many of us will likely start out our Wednesday
with dewpoints in the 60s..

Tomorrow..

Our day two post frontal set up will be even more favorable for
excessive rainfall and flash flooding, especially with more
shortwave energy coming through tomorrow. Models bring our winds
around to easterly and southeasterly by late morning, helping to
develop deep, moisture rich upslope, especially along the I-25
corridor and westwards into the mountains/plains interface. Some
areas may end up being stable enough to avoid torrential rainfall,
depending on how cool and cloudy we end up staying throughout the
day, especially along the Palmer Divide. That said, much of the area
is likely to see very heavy rain and very slow moving, training
thunderstorm activity tomorrow. For now, have decided to hold off on
Watch issuance to assess which areas see highest rainfall totals
today and which areas high res guidance suggest highest
probabilities for throughout the day. PWATs look to range anywhere
from 1.0 - 1.4 inches, and storm motions look to be incredibly slow
once again, leading to another day of very high potential for
excessive rainfall and flash flooding. Chances for Flash Flood Watch
issuance remain high (80%), though the question of exact location
for issuance still remains a bit more uncertain at this time. WPC
has included all of our eastern mountains and eastern plains under a
slight risk, which could very well end up being much of the area
that goes into consideration for watch issuance. Other than the
widespread chances for showers and thunderstorms, and the likelihood
of torrential rain along with those storms, expect lots of cloud
cover, along with cooler than normal temperatures. Our plains look
to keep highs in the mid to upper 80s, with low 80s for our mountain
valleys.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Issued at 325 AM MDT Tue Jul 29 2025

Minor changes to the extended period, with a slight delay in
drier conditions over the weekend across southern Colorado.

Wednesday night through Friday...several upper level waves will
drift across southern Colorado from mid to late week, each
bringing rounds of thunderstorms with heavy rainfall ot the
area. PWAT values are forecast to remain in excess of an inch
through Friday, and southerly low level surface flow will keep
dewpoints in the upper 50s to lower 60s across the Plains. While
cooler, daytime heating will lead to modest instability each
afternoon across the region.

Thunderstorms with heavy rainfall will be ongoing Wednesday
evening across the Pikes Peak Region, south along the Eastern
Mountains and I-25 corridor. This activity will be spread
eastward across the Plains, with QPF amounts in excess of an
inch possible, especially along the Eastern Mountains into the
I-25 corridor. Rain rates and amounts will likely vary with
individual storms, but localized flash flooding in areas that
have seen heavy rainfall in recent days, urban areas and burn
scars will be most susceptible. On Thursday, expect another
round of heavy rain producing thunderstorms to develop initially
over the Mountains, then spreading east across the Plains
Thursday night. Flash flooding will continue to be a risk, given
multiple rounds of heavy rain. One last day of widespread
thunderstorms with heavy rainfall is forecast on Friday.
Coverage looks to be slightly less, but storms will still be
capable of producing heavy rainfall. During this period, pay
attention to forecast updates, and be prepared for flash
flooding.

Temperatures will be cooler during this period, with 70s and 80s
across the region.

Saturday through Tuesday...upper level ridging is forecast to
build across the Rockies over the weekend into early next week.
PWAT values are forecast to trend downward, helping to limit
shower and thunderstorm coverage along with precipitation
efficiency. One last upper wave will traverse the region on
Saturday, with showers and thunderstorms developing over the
Mountains, then spreading into the adjacent plains. By Sunday
and prevailing into early next week, drier air and lack of upper
level energy moving through the ridge will lead to dry
conditions for much of the region. Residual moisture over the
Mountains could lead to a few shower and thunderstorms, but
overall, conditions look much drier. Temperatures will also be
on the rise for the weekend into early next week. Highs will
reach back into the 90s across the Plains, and 80s for the San
Luis Valley.  Mozley

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 500 PM MDT Tue Jul 29 2025

Showers and lingering thunderstorms will pull east of the I-25
corridor and the COS and KPUB terminals by 01z. Otherwise expect
lingering VFR cloudiness to continue overnight with winds
diminishing towards 06z. There is a low probability for some
patchy MVFR stratus to develop along the I-25 corridor towards
morning but probabilities appear too low given persistent high
level cloud cover to include in the KCOS TAF. Otherwise, another
round of showers and thunderstorms will be possible for both
terminals with probabilities sufficient to carry a Prob30 group
after 21-22z.

KALS may see some intermittent -SHRA through 06z, under variable
mid and high level cloud cover. Winds will diminish overnight
and remain light through Wednesday morning. Another round of
showers and thunderstorms will be possible after 22z, though
have stuck with VCSH for now given uncertainties on coverage and
proximity to terminal. -KT

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch until 9 PM MDT this evening for COZ081-082-084>086.

&&

UPDATE...KT
SHORT TERM...EHR/MOZLEY
LONG TERM...MOZLEY
AVIATION...KT

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1135 AM MDT Tue Jul 29 2025

COZ058>089-093>099-301745-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
1135 AM MDT Tue Jul 29 2025

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorm can be expected
this afternoon and evening, with the best coverage over and near
the higher terrain. Slow movement of these storms, along with
increased available moisture, will lead to the potential for
heavy rainfall and localized flash flooding with all storms. Areas
with highest risk for Flash Flooding will include area burn scars,
the Chalk Cliffs, urban centers, and the entire Pikes Peak
region, where a Flash Flood Watch is in place through 9 PM this
evening. Other storm threats include gusty winds up to 45 mph and
small hail. One or two storms across northern portions of the
southeast plains could also produce strong winds up to 60 mph.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Thunderstorms with heavy rainfall are forecast Wednesday through
Friday across southern Colorado. The main concerns for
thunderstorms will be lightning and heavy rainfall. Flash flooding
will be possible, especially in areas that have seen recent heavy
rainfall, urban areas and burn scars. Thursday could see the
highest potential for flash flooding, depending on how much and
where rain falls Tuesday and Wednesday.

Drier, hotter conditions move into the region over the weekend
into early next week. Mountain areas could see a few daily
afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will
be likely over portions of the region.

EHR/88

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
449 PM MDT Tue Jul 29 2025

COZ089-093-095-097-292315-
Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County CO-Crowley County CO-
Western Kiowa County CO-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County CO-
449 PM MDT Tue Jul 29 2025

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTHERN OTERO...SOUTHWESTERN
KIOWA...SOUTHEASTERN CROWLEY AND NORTHWESTERN BENT COUNTIES THROUGH
515 PM MDT...

At 449 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms
capable of producing a landspout along a line extending from near
Arlington to near Sugar City to near Manzanola. Movement was east at
10 mph.

HAZARD...Landspouts and wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor damage to outdoor objects is possible. Gusty winds
         could knock down tree limbs and blow around unsecured
         objects.

Locations impacted include...
Manzanola, Sugar City, Haswell, and Arlington.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3847 10301 3819 10342 3808 10378 3805 10405
      3823 10370 3845 10326
TIME...MOT...LOC 2249Z 251DEG 10KT 3838 10331 3821 10359 3809 10395

LANDSPOUT...POSSIBLE
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Simcoe

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
500 PM MDT Tue Jul 29 2025

COZ086-089-093-292330-
Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet CO-Crowley County CO-
La Junta Vicinity/Otero County CO-
500 PM MDT Tue Jul 29 2025

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT WEST CENTRAL OTERO...SOUTHWESTERN
CROWLEY AND EAST CENTRAL PUEBLO COUNTIES THROUGH 530 PM MDT...

At 459 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms along a line extending from 6 miles south of Fowler to
18 miles southwest of Olney Springs to 13 miles south of Avondale.
Movement was north at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Fowler and Olney Springs.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3818 10391 3812 10418 3820 10441 3801 10442
      3793 10419 3797 10400
TIME...MOT...LOC 2259Z 195DEG 15KT 3803 10401 3798 10418 3803 10437

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Simcoe

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
515 PM MDT Tue Jul 29 2025

COZ093-097-292345-
Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County CO-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County CO-
515 PM MDT Tue Jul 29 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT EAST CENTRAL OTERO AND WEST
CENTRAL BENT COUNTIES THROUGH 545 PM MDT...

At 515 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
North La Junta. This thunderstorm was nearly stationary.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
La Junta and North La Junta.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3788 10342 3791 10359 3805 10357 3800 10331
TIME...MOT...LOC 2315Z 200DEG 1KT 3795 10349

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Simcoe

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
518 PM MDT Tue Jul 29 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0516 PM     Flash Flood      4 E Pueblo Reservoir    38.25N 104.68W
07/29/2025                   Pueblo             CO   Emergency Mngr

            Report from EM stated that the water on Red
            Creek has flooded, washing out the road and
            taking out a bridge.

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
520 PM MDT Tue Jul 29 2025

COZ089-093-095-097-292345-
Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County CO-Crowley County CO-
Western Kiowa County CO-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County CO-
520 PM MDT Tue Jul 29 2025

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTHERN OTERO...WESTERN KIOWA...
SOUTHERN CROWLEY AND NORTHWESTERN BENT COUNTIES THROUGH 545 PM MDT...

At 519 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms along a line extending from near Haswell to near
Arlington to near Crowley. Movement was north at 5 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Ordway, Manzanola, Sugar City, Crowley, Haswell, Blue Lake, and
Arlington.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3824 10326 3807 10392 3828 10394 3839 10346
      3852 10324 3853 10317 3856 10317 3862 10309
      3861 10290 3849 10290
TIME...MOT...LOC 2319Z 200DEG 5KT 3846 10311 3826 10338 3816 10384

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Simcoe

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
532 PM MDT Tue Jul 29 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0531 PM     Rain             7 E Colorado City       37.95N 104.73W
07/29/2025  M0.86 Inch       Pueblo             CO   Trained Spotter

&&