Flash Flood Warning 19, NWS Pueblo, CO

733 
WGUS75 KPUB 242253
FFSPUB

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
453 PM MDT Thu Jul 24 2025

COC027-101-250015-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.W.0019.000000T0000Z-250725T0015Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Custer CO-Pueblo CO-
453 PM MDT Thu Jul 24 2025

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM MDT THIS 
EVENING FOR EAST CENTRAL CUSTER AND WESTERN PUEBLO COUNTIES...

At 453 PM MDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy 
rain across the warned area. Between 0.5 and 1 inch of rain has 
fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 0.25 to 0.5 inches in 1 hour. 
Additional rainfall amounts of 0.5 to 1 inch are possible in the 
warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly.

Excessive rainfall over the warning area will cause mud slides near 
steep terrain. The mud slide can consist of rock, mud, vegetation 
and other loose materials.

HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing
         flash flooding.

SOURCE...Radar.

IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams,
         urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Oak Ridge Burn Scar.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This is a life threatening situation. Heavy rainfall will cause 
extensive and severe flash flooding of creeks...streams...and 
ditches in the  Burn Scar. Severe debris flows can also be 
anticipated across roads. Roads and driveways may be washed away in 
places. If you encounter flood waters...climb to safety.

&&

LAT...LON 3810 10507 3810 10502 3805 10500 3806 10508

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
EXPECTED RAINFALL RATE...0.25-0.5 INCHES IN 1 HOUR

$$

Hodanish

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
235 PM MDT Thu Jul 24 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Widespread showers and thunderstorms will continue into the
  evening, with the main storm risks being excessive rainfall
  and flash flooding. One or two strong/severe storms are
  possible into early evening along and east of I-25, with
  quarter size hail and wind gusts over 60 mph.

- Flash Flood Watch this afternoon and evening for Huerfano and
  Las Animas counties, along with the Sangre de Cristo
  Mountains. Especially watching the Sangres, where heavy rain
  has fallen the past few days.

- Drier and hot for the weekend into early next week, before
  moisture returns for mid to late next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Issued at 210 PM MDT Thu Jul 24 2025

Widespread shower/thunderstorm activity over the mountains and
valleys at mid-afternoon, with bulk of the activity west of I-25
as of 2 pm. Already seeing some pockets of heavier rainfall over
mainly the higher terrain, and will continue to monitor for
potential flash flooding, especially over the Sangres, where
heavy rainfall/minor flooding has occurred the past few days,
especially above Sand Dunes NP. CAMs suggest activity pushes
east into the I-25 and onto the plains 5pm-8pm time frame, with
perhaps some stronger/windier storms on the plains as larger
scale outflows develop. Suppose we could get some marginally
severe hail out of a storm or two, though shear (0-6km 20-25
kts) and CAPE (700-1400 J/KG) aren't particularly strong/high.

Activity slowly wanes by late evening, though a few showers will
linger past midnight, mainly along and east of I-25. On Friday,
pocket of dry air begins to rotate into the area, which will
begin to suppress convection, especially along the Continental
Divide. Overall, still a chance for an afternoon storm at many
mountain/valley/I-25 locations, though storm strength will be
weaker and rainfall amounts lighter as moisture/instability
decrease. Max temps will begin to creep upward a few degf as air
mass dries out, though readings will still be at or slightly
below seasonal averages.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 322 AM MDT Thu Jul 24 2025

Overall, there is decent agreement between the operational
guidance and low ensemble spreads through the extended period.
Drier and hot conditions are expected over the weekend into
early next week before monsoonal moisture returns to the area.

Friday night through Monday...large high pressure is forecast to
build across the Central Plains, and cut off the main moisture
plume across Colorado. A few thunderstorms will be ongoing
Friday evening, mainly across the Palmer Divide and Raton Mesa.
These storms will quickly weaken as they shift eastward towards
the Kansas border, with dry conditions by Saturday morning.

The main moisture plume is forecast to cut off by Saturday, with
broad southwesterly flow moving across the region. PWAT values
are forecast to fall dramatically, with much drier air across
the Intermountain West. Dewpoints are forecast to fall into the
30s and 40s from the I-25 corridor, west, while dewpoints fall
into the 50s across the Plains. With drier air in place,
thunderstorms potential goes down. Residual moisture over the
Mountains may lead to a couple of thunderstorms Saturday
afternoon, and likely dry across the region on Sunday. Humidity
values will be low along the Continental Divide and San Luis
Valley, and spotty near critical fire weather conditions are
possible Saturday and Sunday. The limiting factor will be winds,
which are forecast to remain under 25 mph. Temperatures will
warm over the weekend with the Plains seeing mid 90s to lower
100s, while the San Luis Valley heats into the 80s for the
weekend.

By Monday, moisture begins to return to the area. PWAT values
increase along with low level moisture. Energy is forecast to
lift northward out of New Mexico by Monday afternoon, with an
increase in showers and thunderstorms forecast across the higher
terrain. Temperatures will remain hot, with the Plains
approaching 100 degrees and 80s across the San Luis Valley.

Tuesday through Thursday...the upper ridge continues over the
Central Plains, with the monsoonal moisture tap increasing
across Colorado. Multiple waves in southerly flow are forecast
to lift northward out of the Desert Southwest for mid to late
week. PWAT values are forecast increase in access of 1 inch, and
daily rounds of showers and thunderstorms are forecast Tuesday
through Friday. This will include the potential for locally
heavy rainfall and possible flash flooding. Initial development
is forecast over the Mountains, then spreading northeast into
the Pikes Peak Region and portions of the Plains each day.
Temperatures will also begin to cool, with highs in the 80s by
Thursday.  Mozley

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 1124 AM MDT Thu Jul 24 2025

VFR early this afternoon, then showers and thunderstorms develop
at mid afternoon and impact the terminals 22z-03z. Reduced CIGS
and VIS in heavy rain along with gusty outflow winds to near 40
kts are possible. VCSH will likely continue at KCOS and KPUB
into this evening before dissipating toward 06z, then VFR
overnight into Fri morning.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch until 9 PM MDT this evening for COZ072>075-087-088-
094.

&&

SHORT TERM...PETERSEN
LONG TERM...MOZLEY
AVIATION...PETERSEN

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1201 PM MDT Thu Jul 24 2025

COZ058>089-093>099-251815-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
1201 PM MDT Thu Jul 24 2025

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Showers and thunderstorms will increase in coverage and intensity
today, with the main risks being excessive rainfall and flash
flooding. Quarter size hail, gusty winds over 60 mph, and
frequent lightning will also be possible with the strongest
thunderstorms today from the eastern mountains into the southeast
plains. The highest risk for flash flooding today will be over the
Sangre de Cristo Range and the southern I-25 corridor, where a
Flash Flood Watch is in effect from Noon through 9 PM. Never drive
through flooded roadways and seek higher ground if area creeks
and streams rise out of their banks.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Showers and thunderstorms continue Friday, though we begin to see
a decrease in coverage and intensity, along with lesser rainfall
amounts. Showers and storms will likely remain over and more near
to the mountains on Friday. The main risks with these storms will
be frequent lightning, small hail, and outflow winds gusting to 55
mph.

Drier conditions are expected for the weekend along with hot
temperatures. Highs on the Plains will approach 100 degrees.
Spotty, near critical fire weather conditions will be possible
along the Continental Divide and San Luis Valley over the weekend.

Moisture returns to the region Tuesday through Wednesday, with
increasing showers and thunderstorms across the region. Initial
development is forecast over the Mountains, spreading east into
the Plains during the evening hours.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will
be possible over portions of the region.

10/EHR

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
357 PM MDT Thu Jul 24 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0355 PM     Rain             7 ESE Texas Creek       38.37N 105.46W
07/24/2025  M0.95 Inch       Fremont            CO   Trained Spotter

            Pea sized hail also reported.

&&

mw

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
406 PM MDT Thu Jul 24 2025

COZ079-080-086-242230-
Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet CO-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000Ft CO-
Wet Mountains above 10000 Ft CO-
406 PM MDT Thu Jul 24 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT EAST CENTRAL CUSTER AND WEST
CENTRAL PUEBLO COUNTIES THROUGH 430 PM MDT...THIS INCLUDES THE OAK
RIDGE BURN SCAR.

At 405 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 13
miles north of Greenhorn Mountain, or 28 miles southwest of Pueblo,
moving east at 15 mph.

THIS STORM WILL LIKELY TO AFFECT THE OAK RIDGE BURN SCAR. FLASH
FLOOD WARNINGS MY BE NEEDED SHORTLY.

HAZARD...HEAVY RAIN, Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE OAK RIDGE BURN SCAR.

Locations impacted include...
Beulah and Oak Ridge Burn Scar.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3804 10513 3812 10514 3815 10496 3801 10499
TIME...MOT...LOC 2205Z 266DEG 15KT 3808 10508

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Hodanish

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
419 PM MDT Thu Jul 24 2025

COZ088-094-242245-
Eastern Las Animas County CO-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Ft CO-
419 PM MDT Thu Jul 24 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL LAS ANIMAS COUNTY
THROUGH 445 PM MDT...

At 419 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles southeast of Tyrone, or 27 miles northeast of Trinidad, moving
southeast at 5 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of central Las Animas
County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3744 10420 3753 10404 3738 10388 3727 10417
TIME...MOT...LOC 2219Z 331DEG 6KT 3738 10408

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Hodanish

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
422 PM MDT Thu Jul 24 2025

COZ081-242245-
Teller County/Rampart Range above 7500fT/Pike's Peak Between 7500 And
11000 Ft CO-
422 PM MDT Thu Jul 24 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTH CENTRAL TELLER COUNTY
THROUGH 445 PM MDT...

At 422 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Westcreek, or 27 miles northwest of Colorado Springs, moving
northeast at 5 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of north central
Teller County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3909 10507 3906 10521 3913 10526 3913 10508
TIME...MOT...LOC 2222Z 245DEG 6KT 3912 10516

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Hodanish

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
432 PM MDT Thu Jul 24 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0400 PM     Rain             3 N Hillside            38.31N 105.61W
07/24/2025  M2.23 Inch       Fremont            CO   Public

            Rain gauge north of Hillside, CO.

&&

MG

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
434 PM MDT Thu Jul 24 2025

COZ079-080-242300-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000Ft CO-
Wet Mountains above 10000 Ft CO-
434 PM MDT Thu Jul 24 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT EAST CENTRAL CUSTER COUNTY
THROUGH 500 PM MDT...INCLUDING TH Oak RIDGE BURN SCAR.

At 432 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 13
miles north of Greenhorn Mountain, or 28 miles southwest of Pueblo.
This thunderstorm was nearly stationary. This storm is directly west
of the Oak Ridge Burn scar and was drifting slowly east.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail. Torrential rain
         fall will also occur with this storm.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Oak Ridge Burn Scar.

If this storm moves over the burn scar, a flash flood warning will
likely be issued.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3805 10513 3809 10513 3812 10506 3802 10506
TIME...MOT...LOC 2232Z 269DEG 2KT 3807 10507

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Hodanish