Small Craft Advisory 40, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

162 
WHUS71 KPHI 150647
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
247 AM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025

ANZ450>455-152000-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0040.250316T0200Z-250316T1000Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.A.0009.250316T1000Z-250317T0400Z/
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
247 AM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING
TO 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, south winds 10 to 20 kt
  with gusts up to 25 kt and seas 3 to 6 ft expected. For the Gale
  Watch, south winds 20 to 30 kt with gusts up to 35 kt and seas 
  7 to 10 ft possible.

* WHERE...Portions of Atlantic coastal waters. 

* WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, from 10 PM this evening 
  to 6 AM EDT Sunday. For the Gale Watch, from Sunday morning 
  through Sunday evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible
hazardous conditions.  Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter
course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and seas.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-152000-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0040.250316T0200Z-250316T1000Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.A.0009.250316T1000Z-250317T0400Z/
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
247 AM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING
TO 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, south winds 10 to 15 kt
  with gusts up to 25 kt and a moderate chop expected. For the
  Gale Watch, south winds 20 to 30 kt  and very rough waters 
  possible.

* WHERE...Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to 
  Slaughter Beach DE and Delaware Bay waters south of East Point 
  NJ to Slaughter Beach DE.

* WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, from 10 PM this evening 
  to 6 AM EDT Sunday. For the Gale Watch, from Sunday morning 
  through Sunday evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous seas which could
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible
hazardous conditions.  Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter
course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and seas.

&&

$$

Hoeflich

598 
WHUS71 KPHI 151358
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
958 AM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025

ANZ450>455-160300-
/O.NEW.KPHI.MF.Y.0004.250315T1358Z-250315T1800Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0040.250316T0200Z-250316T1000Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.A.0009.250316T1000Z-250317T0400Z/
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
958 AM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING
TO 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...For the Dense Fog Advisory, dense fog will reduce
  visibility to 1/4 to 1/2 NM. For the Small Craft Advisory, south
  winds 10 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt and seas 3 to 6 ft
  expected. For the Gale Watch, south winds 20 to 30 kt with gusts
  to 35 kt and seas 7 to 10 ft possible.

* WHERE...Portions of Atlantic coastal waters. 

* WHEN...For the Dense Fog Advisory, until 2 PM EDT this 
  afternoon. For the Small Craft Advisory, from 10 PM this 
  evening to 6 AM EDT Sunday. For the Gale Watch, from Sunday 
  morning through Sunday evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. Low 
  visibility will make navigation difficult.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible
hazardous conditions.  Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter
course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and seas.

If you must navigate, proceed with caution. Use proper fog
signals. Make sure all running lights are on. Remember to use
your radar and compass.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-160300-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0040.250316T0200Z-250316T1000Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.A.0009.250316T1000Z-250317T0400Z/
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
958 AM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING
TO 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, south winds 10 to 15 kt
  with gusts up to 25 kt and a moderate chop expected. For the
  Gale Watch, south winds 20 to 30 kt with gusts to 35 kt and 
  very rough waters possible. 

* WHERE...Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to 
  Slaughter Beach DE and Delaware Bay waters south of East Point 
  NJ to Slaughter Beach DE.

* WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, from 10 PM this evening 
  to 6 AM EDT Sunday. For the Gale Watch, from Sunday morning 
  through Sunday evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible
hazardous conditions.  Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter
course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and seas.

&&

$$

031 
WHUS71 KPHI 151747
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
147 PM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025

ANZ450>455-160700-
/O.EXT.KPHI.MF.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-250315T2100Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0040.250316T0200Z-250316T1000Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.A.0009.250316T1000Z-250317T0400Z/
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
147 PM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING
TO 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...For the Dense Fog Advisory, dense fog will reduce 
  visibility to 1/4 to 1/2 NM. For the Small Craft Advisory, 
  south winds 10 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt and seas 3 to 6 
  ft expected. For the Gale Watch, south winds 20 to 30 kt with 
  gusts to 35 kt and seas 7 to 10 ft possible.

* WHERE...Portions of Atlantic coastal waters.

* WHEN...For the Dense Fog Advisory, until 5 PM EDT this 
  afternoon. For the Small Craft Advisory, from 10 PM this 
  evening to 6 AM EDT Sunday. For the Gale Watch, from Sunday 
  morning through Sunday evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. Low 
  visibility will make navigation difficult.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible
hazardous conditions.  Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter
course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and seas.

If you must navigate, proceed with caution. Use proper fog
signals. Make sure all running lights are on. Remember to use
your radar and compass.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-160700-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0040.250316T0200Z-250316T1000Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.A.0009.250316T1000Z-250317T0400Z/
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
147 PM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING
TO 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, south winds 10 to 15 kt 
  with gusts up to 25 kt and a moderate chop expected. For the 
  Gale Watch, south winds 20 to 30 kt with gusts to 35 kt and 
  very rough waters possible.

* WHERE...Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to 
  Slaughter Beach DE and Delaware Bay waters south of East Point 
  NJ to Slaughter Beach DE.

* WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, from 10 PM this evening 
  to 6 AM EDT Sunday. For the Gale Watch, from Sunday morning 
  through Sunday evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible
hazardous conditions.  Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter
course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and seas.

&&

$$

226 
WHUS71 KPHI 152018
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
418 PM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025

ANZ450>455-160930-
/O.EXT.KPHI.MF.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-250316T1200Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0040.250316T0200Z-250316T1000Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.A.0009.250316T1000Z-250317T0400Z/
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
418 PM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SUNDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING
TO 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...For the Dense Fog Advisory, dense fog will reduce 
  visibility to 1 to 2 NM. For the Small Craft Advisory, south 
  winds 10 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt and seas 3 to 5 ft 
  expected. For the Gale Watch, south winds 20 to 30 kt with 
  gusts up to 35 kt and seas 7 to 10 ft possible.

* WHERE...Portions of Atlantic coastal waters. 

* WHEN...For the Dense Fog Advisory, until 8 AM EDT Sunday. For 
  the Small Craft Advisory, from 10 PM this evening to 6 AM EDT 
  Sunday. For the Gale Watch, from Sunday morning through Sunday 
  evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. Low 
  visibility will make navigation difficult.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible
hazardous conditions.  Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter
course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and seas.

If you must navigate, proceed with caution. Use proper fog
signals. Make sure all running lights are on. Remember to use
your radar and compass.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-160930-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0040.250316T0200Z-250316T1000Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.A.0009.250316T1000Z-250317T0400Z/
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
418 PM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING
TO 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, south winds 10 to 20 kt 
  with gusts up to 25 kt and choppy waters expected. For the 
  Gale Watch, south winds 20 to 30 kt with gusts up to 35 kt and 
  very rough waters possible.

* WHERE...Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to 
  Slaughter Beach DE and Delaware Bay waters south of East Point 
  NJ to Slaughter Beach DE.

* WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, from 10 PM this evening 
  to 6 AM EDT Sunday. For the Gale Watch, from Sunday morning 
  through Sunday evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible
hazardous conditions.  Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter
course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and seas.

&&

$$

MJL

164 
WHUS71 KPHI 152341
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
741 PM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025

ANZ430-431-161000-
/O.EXA.KPHI.MF.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-250316T1200Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0040.250316T0200Z-250316T1000Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.A.0009.250316T1000Z-250317T0400Z/
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
741 PM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SUNDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EDT SUNDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...For the Dense Fog Advisory, dense fog will reduce
  visibility to 1 NM. For the Small Craft Advisory, south winds 
  10 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt and choppy waters expected. 
  For the Gale Watch, south winds 20 to 30 kt with gusts up to 35 
  kt and very rough waters possible.

* WHERE...Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to 
  Slaughter Beach DE and Delaware Bay waters south of East Point 
  NJ to Slaughter Beach DE.

* WHEN...For the Dense Fog Advisory, until 8 AM EDT Sunday. For 
  the Small Craft Advisory, until 6 AM EDT Sunday. For the Gale 
  Watch, from 6 AM EDT Sunday through Sunday evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous seas which could
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. Low visibility
  will make navigation difficult.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible
hazardous conditions.  Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter
course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and seas.

If you must navigate, proceed with caution. Use proper fog
signals. Make sure all running lights are on. Remember to use
your radar and compass.

&&

$$

ANZ450>455-161000-
/O.CON.KPHI.MF.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-250316T1200Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0040.250316T0200Z-250316T1000Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.A.0009.250316T1000Z-250317T0400Z/
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
741 PM EDT Sat Mar 15 2025

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SUNDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EDT SUNDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...For the Dense Fog Advisory, dense fog will reduce
  visibility to 1 NM. For the Small Craft Advisory, south winds 
  10 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt and seas 3 to 5 ft expected. 
  For the Gale Watch, south winds 20 to 30 kt with gusts up to 35 
  kt and seas 7 to 10 ft possible.

* WHERE...Portions of Atlantic coastal waters. 

* WHEN...For the Dense Fog Advisory, until 8 AM EDT Sunday. For 
  the Small Craft Advisory, until 6 AM EDT Sunday. For the Gale 
  Watch, from 6 AM EDT Sunday through Sunday evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. Low 
  visibility will make navigation difficult.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible
hazardous conditions.  Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter
course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and seas.

If you must navigate, proceed with caution. Use proper fog
signals. Make sure all running lights are on. Remember to use
your radar and compass.

&&

$$

MJL

510 
WHUS71 KPHI 160701
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
301 AM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

ANZ430-162015-
/O.CAN.KPHI.SC.Y.0040.000000T0000Z-250316T1000Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.MF.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-250316T1200Z/
/O.UPG.KPHI.GL.A.0009.250316T1000Z-250317T0400Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.SC.Y.0041.250316T1000Z-250317T0700Z/
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
301 AM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THIS MORNING TO 3 AM
EDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...For the Dense Fog Advisory, dense fog will reduce 
  visibility to 1/4 NM or less. For the Small Craft Advisory, 
  south winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt and rough 
  waters expected.

* WHERE...Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to 
  Slaughter Beach DE.

* WHEN...For the Dense Fog Advisory, until 8 AM EDT this 
  morning. For the Small Craft Advisory, from 6 AM this morning 
  to 3 AM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. Low 
  visibility will make navigation difficult.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A few gale force gusts are possible this
  afternoon and evening.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

If you must navigate, proceed with caution. Use proper fog
signals. Make sure all running lights are on. Remember to use
your radar and compass.

&&

$$

ANZ431-162015-
/O.CAN.KPHI.MF.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-250316T1200Z/
/O.CAN.KPHI.SC.Y.0040.000000T0000Z-250316T1000Z/
/O.UPG.KPHI.GL.A.0009.250316T1000Z-250317T0400Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.SC.Y.0041.250316T1000Z-250317T0700Z/
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
301 AM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THIS MORNING TO 3 AM
EDT MONDAY...
...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...South winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt and 
  rough waters expected.

* WHERE...Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to 
  Slaughter Beach DE.

* WHEN...From 6 AM this morning to 3 AM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A few gale force gusts are possible this
  afternoon and evening.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ450>452-162015-
/O.CAN.KPHI.SC.Y.0040.000000T0000Z-250316T1000Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.MF.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-250316T1200Z/
/O.UPG.KPHI.GL.A.0009.250316T1000Z-250317T0400Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.SC.Y.0041.250316T1000Z-250318T1000Z/
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
301 AM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 AM
EDT TUESDAY...

* WHAT...For the Dense Fog Advisory, dense fog will reduce 
  visibility to 1/4 NM or less. For the Small Craft Advisory, 
  southwest winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt and seas 6 
  to 11 ft expected.

* WHERE...Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ 
  out 20 nm, Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg 
  Inlet NJ out 20 nm and Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to 
  Great Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm.

* WHEN...For the Dense Fog Advisory, until 8 AM EDT this 
  morning. For the Small Craft Advisory, from 6 AM this morning 
  to 6 AM EDT Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. Low 
  visibility will make navigation difficult.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A few gale force gusts are possible this
  afternoon and evening.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

If you must navigate, proceed with caution. Use proper fog
signals. Make sure all running lights are on. Remember to use
your radar and compass.

&&

$$

ANZ453>455-162015-
/O.CAN.KPHI.MF.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-250316T1200Z/
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0040.000000T0000Z-250318T1000Z/
/O.CAN.KPHI.GL.A.0009.250316T1000Z-250317T0400Z/
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
301 AM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT TUESDAY...
...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...
...GALE WATCH IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt and 
  seas 6 to 9 ft.

* WHERE...Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 
  20 nm, Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 
  20 nm and Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island 
  DE out 20 nm.

* WHEN...Until 6 AM EDT Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A few gale force gusts are possible this
  afternoon and evening.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

Hoeflich

426 
WHUS71 KPHI 161053
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
653 AM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

ANZ450>452-170000-
/O.CAN.KPHI.MF.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-250316T1200Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-250318T1000Z/
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
653 AM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT
TUESDAY...
...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt and 
  seas 6 to 11 ft.

* WHERE...Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ 
  out 20 nm, Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg 
  Inlet NJ out 20 nm and Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to 
  Great Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm.

* WHEN...Until 6 AM EDT Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A few gale force gusts are possible this 
  afternoon and evening.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ430-170000-
/O.CON.KPHI.MF.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-250316T1200Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-250317T0700Z/
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
653 AM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...For the Dense Fog Advisory, dense fog will reduce 
  visibility to 1/4 NM or less. For the Small Craft Advisory, 
  south winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt and rough 
  waters.

* WHERE...Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to 
  Slaughter Beach DE.

* WHEN...For the Dense Fog Advisory, until 8 AM EDT this 
  morning. For the Small Craft Advisory, until 3 AM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. Low 
  visibility will make navigation difficult.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A few gale force gusts are possible this 
  afternoon and evening.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

If you must navigate, proceed with caution. Use proper fog
signals. Make sure all running lights are on. Remember to use
your radar and compass.

&&

$$

ANZ431-170000-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-250317T0700Z/
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
653 AM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...South winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt and 
  rough waters.

* WHERE...Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to 
  Slaughter Beach DE.

* WHEN...Until 3 AM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A few gale force gusts are possible this 
  afternoon and evening.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ453>455-170000-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0040.000000T0000Z-250318T1000Z/
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
653 AM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt and 
  seas 6 to 9 ft.

* WHERE...Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 
  20 nm, Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 
  20 nm and Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island 
  DE out 20 nm.

* WHEN...Until 6 AM EDT Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A few gale force gusts are possible this 
  afternoon and evening.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

Hoeflich

644 
WHUS71 KPHI 161344
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
944 AM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

ANZ430-431-170245-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-250316T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.GL.W.0014.250316T2200Z-250317T0600Z/
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
944 AM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 AM EDT
MONDAY...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, south winds 15 to 25 kt
  with gusts up to 30 kt and rough waters. For the Gale Warning,
  south winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 35 kt and rough waters
  expected.

* WHERE...Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to 
  Slaughter Beach DE and Delaware Bay waters south of East Point 
  NJ to Slaughter Beach DE.

* WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 6 PM EDT this 
  evening. For the Gale Warning, from 6 PM this evening to 2 AM 
  EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ450>452-170245-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-250316T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.GL.W.0014.250316T2200Z-250317T0600Z/
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
944 AM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 AM EDT
MONDAY...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, south winds 15 to 25 kt 
  with gusts up to 30 kt and seas 6 to 9 ft. For the Gale 
  Warning, south winds around 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt and 
  seas 7 to 11 ft expected.

* WHERE...Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ 
  out 20 nm, Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg 
  Inlet NJ out 20 nm and Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to 
  Great Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm.

* WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 6 PM EDT this 
  evening. For the Gale Warning, from 6 PM this evening to 2 AM 
  EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ453>455-170245-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0040.000000T0000Z-250316T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.GL.W.0014.250316T2200Z-250317T0600Z/
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
944 AM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 AM EDT
MONDAY...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, south winds 20 to 25 kt
  with gusts up to 30 kt and seas 6 to 9 ft. For the Gale Warning,
  south winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 35 kt and seas 7 to 9 
  ft expected.

* WHERE...Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 
  20 nm, Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 
  20 nm and Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island 
  DE out 20 nm.

* WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 6 PM EDT this 
  evening. For the Gale Warning, from 6 PM this evening to 2 AM 
  EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

835 
WHUS71 KPHI 161934
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
334 PM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

ANZ430-431-170600-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-250316T2200Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0014.250316T2200Z-250317T0600Z/
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
334 PM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, south winds 20 to 25 kt
  with gusts up to 30 kt and rough waters. For the Gale Warning, 
  south winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt and rough waters 
  expected.

* WHERE...Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to 
  Slaughter Beach DE and Delaware Bay waters south of East Point 
  NJ to Slaughter Beach DE.

* WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 6 PM EDT this 
  evening. For the Gale Warning, until 2 AM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ450>452-170600-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0041.000000T0000Z-250316T2200Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0014.250316T2200Z-250317T0600Z/
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
334 PM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, south winds 20 to 25 kt 
  with gusts up to 30 kt and seas 5 to 8 ft. For the Gale 
  Warning, south winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 35 kt and 
  seas 7 to 10 ft expected.

* WHERE...Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ 
  out 20 nm, Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg 
  Inlet NJ out 20 nm and Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to 
  Great Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm.

* WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 6 PM EDT this 
  evening. For the Gale Warning, until 2 AM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ453>455-170600-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0040.000000T0000Z-250316T2200Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0014.250316T2200Z-250317T0600Z/
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
334 PM EDT Sun Mar 16 2025

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, south winds around 25 kt
  with gusts up to 30 kt and seas 5 to 8 ft. For the Gale 
  Warning, south winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 35 kt and seas
  6 to 9 ft expected.

* WHERE...Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 
  20 nm, Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 
  20 nm and Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island 
  DE out 20 nm.

* WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 6 PM EDT this 
  evening. For the Gale Warning, until 2 AM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
307 PM EDT Fri Mar 14 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure extending into our area from the northeast will
gradually weaken tonight into Saturday morning. A warm front lifts
north of our region during Saturday, then a strong cold front moves
through our area Sunday night. High pressure builds in later Monday
and Tuesday before shifting offshore by Wednesday. A potentially
strong cold front then moves through later Thursday into Friday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
High pressure over the Northeast and into the Mid-Atlantic will lift
away late tonight. Strong low pressure currently over the Central
Plains will lift to the north and east tonight, and will be over ,
the Upper Midwest and western Great Lakes by Saturday morning. As
this low continues to lift north into central Canada, it will drag a
warm front north through the region on Saturday.

As high pressure lifts away from the coast, winds will take on more
of a southeast flow. Low level moisture will continue to increase
over the area, and widespread stratus will once again develop
tonight. There will also be areas of fog and drizzle over the area
as surface dew points slowly rise during the overnight hours. Some
light rain may spread into the coastal plain of New Jersey as well
as Delmarva, but measurable QPF will be minimal at best. Locally
dense fog may also be possible over the coastal plain of New Jersey,
but confidence is low in that occurring at this time. Lows will be
in the 30s to around 40.

The forecast on Saturday, although seemingly straightforward, will
actually be pretty tricky, mainly due to how far north that warm
front can get during the day. Although fog will lift and dissipate
in the morning, skies will likely remain cloudy for most of the
morning and into a good part of the afternoon. If the warm front can
lift through at least the southern half of the forecast area, clouds
should scatter out somewhat over Delmarva, the Delaware Valley, and
southern New Jersey in the afternoon. With warm air advection
underway, highs should get into the low to mid 60s. North of the
warm front, clouds will keep temperatures in the 50s. If the warm
front stays south of the area for most of the day, then high
temperatures could end up being some 5 to 10 degrees colder than
what is currently forecast. Even with the warm front lifting north
through the region, there is no upper level support for
precipitation to develop. Outside of some patchy drizzle lingering
in the morning, Saturday will remain dry.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
Changing conditions as a strong cold front moves through later
Sunday. Strong gradient winds, some severe thunderstorm risk
(damaging winds) and locally heavy rain Sunday and Sunday night.

As a strong upper-level trough across the Midwest and Plains
gradually shifts eastward, deep surface low pressure tracks across
the Midwest and upper Great Lakes region Saturday and Saturday night.
This will push a warm front north of our area during Saturday. While
the warm air advection increases within the developing warm sector,
the overall forcing for ascent looks to be on the weak and
disorganized side. While some showers cannot be ruled out Saturday
night especially across the northern areas, most of the region may
remain dry. The moisture however will be on the increase as the
southerly flow begins to increase Saturday night. The increase in
the surface dew points should result in some fog especially closer
to the coasts as dew points reach or start to exceed the ocean water
temperatures. Given a southeast to south surface wind off the
chilly ocean, it will be noticeably cooler closer to the coasts.

As we go through Sunday, the aforementioned upper-level trough
continues eastward and the main part of the energy looks to lift up
into Canada, however there is trailing strong energy that maintains
the trough all the way to the Gulf Coast area. As this shifts into
the East by Sunday night, the wind field is forecast to increase
substantially. This along with the tightening of a pressure gradient
within the warm sector will result in an increasing surface wind.
This is expected to peak Sunday afternoon and evening ahead of the
cold front as the boundary layer becomes warmer and deeper mixing
occurs. The peak wind gusts Sunday still look to be in the 35-45 mph
range although cannot rule out some local gusts to 50 mph given some
of the vertical mixing profiles inland from the coast. Therefore, we
may need a Wind Advisory for at least portions of the area. The
winds along the coast could be tempered some given the much warmer
air advecting over the chilly ocean water. Temperatures may actually
hold steady or rise some Saturday night as the southerly winds
increase. It will then be warm on Sunday despite lots of clouds with
high temperatures in the upper 60s to low 70s, but again cooler
along the coasts. The surface dew points are forecast to surge to
near 60 degrees across much of the area through Sunday evening
ahead of the strong cold front.

As the cold front starts to arrive later Sunday afternoon, the
forcing for ascent looks to be tied close to or with the front
itself or a pre-frontal band. The consensus of the guidance is a bit
slower and therefore delayed the PoP increase some more from west to
east. The main widespread shower activity, from west to east, looks
to be late Sunday afternoon through about the first half of Sunday
night. Given the robust wind field in place and strong forcing
arriving, cannot rule out a strengthening convective line with or
just ahead of the cold front. The deep-layer shear profiles will be
very strong however the overall instability looks to be rather weak
(low CAPE/high shear setup). Despite the rather weak instability,
especially given the timing at night, strong forcing tends to drive
a low-topped convective line that produces little or no lightning.
It is within these environments that some of the very strong winds
from aloft get transferred down to the surface resulting in some
damaging wind gusts. As a result, there remains some risk of severe
thunderstorms although again the damaging wind threat from
convection could occur with little or no lightning. A plume of
precipitable water is forecast to reach or exceed 1.5 inches and
therefore areas of heavier hourly rainfall rates look probable.
Given how dry it has been, not expecting much in the way of
flooding, however when hourly rainfall rates peak and especially
when over the urban areas then some roadway flooding is quite
possible late Sunday afternoon and Sunday night. The total
rainfall amounts across the region currently are between
0.75-1.25 inches.

The cold front then swings through Sunday night and this will
start to bring an end to the showers from west to east.

For Monday, as the axis of an upper-level trough slides across our
area this will continue to push a cold front more offshore. Some
guidance is a little slower with this with even a weak surface low
developing along front and therefore keeps showers through early
Monday afternoon. It does look however that the front is progressive
enough and therefore showers end Monday morning especially closer to
the coast and the clouds then start to decrease. High temperatures
will be cooler however still above average, then colder at night
with widespread 30s.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Summary...Strong cold front offshore to start Monday with some
cooling, followed by warming temperatures through mid-week.

Synoptic Overview...The axis of an upper-level trough is forecast to
be offshore to start Tuesday, then the flow aloft turns zonal
through Tuesday night before backing more from the southwest
Wednesday into Thursday. An upper-level trough, which may take on a
negative-tilt, is forecast to pivot across the East Thursday into
Friday. At the surface, high pressure arrives through Tuesday before
it shifts offshore by Wednesday. A potentially strong upper-level
trough then arrives Thursday into Friday with an associated cold
front.

For Tuesday and Wednesday...The flow is more zonal as a ridge
aloft centered across the northern Gulf extends into the Mid-
Atlantic Tuesday before shifting east and south into Wednesday.
Surface high pressure extends across our area Tuesday before it
shifts offshore into Wednesday. Dry conditions are expected as a
result, and with building heights and some warm air advection as the
low-level flow backs to more southerly, will result in daytime
temperatures climbing into the 60s for many locales Tuesday then
some low 70s Wednesday afternoon. Given a light enough flow a more
southerly component develops closer to the coast Tuesday and then
everywhere Wednesday, resulting in it being several degrees cooler
closer to the coasts each day.

For Thursday and Friday...A potentially strong upper-level trough is
forecast pivot across the East during this time frame. This trough
may take on a negative-tilt as strong energy rotates through the
base of the trough and then its east side. As deep low pressure
moves across the Great Lakes and adjacent Canada, its strong cold
front should arrive in our area later Thursday then be offshore by
Friday morning. This timing of course could change, however as of
now a plume of deeper moisture should extend into our area and given
the strengthening wind field and strong trough and cold front
arriving, some heavier rain is quite possible. If the mesoscale
parameters become better defined then some thunderstorms cannot be
ruled out. Temperatures will still be quite mild ahead of the cold
front, then it turns much cooler for Friday along with notable west
to northwest breeze.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG,
KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Rest of today...VFR otherwise. E to SE winds less than 10 kt. High
confidence.

Tonight...IFR conditions develop by 04Z, and then LIFR
conditions develop after 06Z. Light SE winds. Moderate

Saturday...Mostly IFR/MVFR conditions in low clouds for most of the
day. Brief VFR conditions possible late. SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Low
confidence.

Outlook...

Saturday night...MVFR ceilings should develop and some fog is
also possible.

Sunday...MVFR/IFR ceilings should improve some along with any fog
dissipating in the morning. A period of sub-VFR conditions then
occur from west to east late in the afternoon and especially at
night with showers some of which can be heavy. There is some
potential for a low-topped convective line, with little or no
lightning, that moves through at night with the cold front.
Southerly wind gusts 30-40 knots, abruptly shifting to west-
northwest and diminishing at night.

Monday...Some lingering morning showers possible, otherwise VFR with
decreasing clouds. Northwest wind gusts up to 20 knots during the
day.

Tuesday and Wednesday...VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
Sub-Small Craft Advisory conditions tonight through Saturday. NE
winds 10 to 15 kt tonight will turn E tonight, then will become SE
on Saturday. Seas will average 2 to 4 feet.

Outlook...

Saturday night...Small Craft Advisory issued as seas build and winds
increase from south to north. Visibility restrictions possible due
to areas of fog.

Sunday...Some fog possible early. Gale Watch issued as southerly
winds can gust 35-40 knots especially in the afternoon and evening.
Some gusty thunderstorms possible at night.

Monday...Small Craft Advisory conditions mainly due to seas at
or above 5 feet on the ocean zones.

Tuesday and Wednesday...The conditions should be mainly below Small
Craft Advisory criteria as seas continue to subside.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Fire weather conditions are not expected through the weekend.
Minimum relative humidity values on Saturday will be 55 to 65
percent, though as high as 75 percent along the coasts, with
temperatures in the mid 50s to low 60s under partly to mostly
cloudy sky. Southeast winds will average 5 to 10 mph. A widespread
rainfall (total forecast amounts of 0.75-1.25 inches) is
expected late Sunday afternoon and especially Sunday night.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 10 PM Saturday to 6 AM EDT Sunday
     for ANZ430-431-450>455.
     Gale Watch from Sunday morning through Sunday evening for
     ANZ430-431-450>455.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Gorse
NEAR TERM...MPS
SHORT TERM...Gorse
LONG TERM...Gorse
AVIATION...Gorse/MPS
MARINE...Gorse/MPS
FIRE WEATHER...Gorse/MPS