Severe Thunderstorm Warning 163, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

637 
WWUS51 KPHI 082252
SVSPHI

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
652 PM EDT Tue Jul 8 2025

MDC011-035-041-082315-
/O.CON.KPHI.SV.W.0163.000000T0000Z-250708T2315Z/
Talbot MD-Queen Anne's MD-Caroline MD-
652 PM EDT Tue Jul 8 2025

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM EDT
FOR TALBOT...SOUTH CENTRAL QUEEN ANNE'S AND SOUTHWESTERN CAROLINE
COUNTIES...

At 652 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Skipton to St. Michaels to near Tilghman Island,
moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and ping pong ball size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect 
         considerable tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to 
         mobile homes, roofs, and outbuildings.

Locations impacted include...
Easton, Talbot, Denton, Trappe, St. Michaels, Preston, Oxford,
Tanyard, Harmony, Tilghman Island, Skipton, Copperville, Matthews,
Choptank, Hambleton, Griffin, Windyhill, and Cordova.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Prepare immediately for large hail and damaging winds. People outside
should seek shelter inside a well-built structure and away from
windows.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature's leading
killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to
be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3884 7630 3879 7622 3879 7620 3890 7621
      3892 7621 3888 7583 3870 7585 3857 7603
      3868 7621 3876 7622 3871 7628 3878 7629
      3876 7632 3867 7634 3877 7638 3876 7633
      3882 7630
TIME...MOT...LOC 2252Z 279DEG 27KT 3888 7613 3879 7620 3871 7629 

THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.50 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...70 MPH

$$

Staarmann

473 
WWUS51 KPHI 082307
SVSPHI

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
707 PM EDT Tue Jul 8 2025

MDC011-035-041-082315-
/O.CON.KPHI.SV.W.0163.000000T0000Z-250708T2315Z/
Talbot MD-Queen Anne's MD-Caroline MD-
707 PM EDT Tue Jul 8 2025

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM EDT
FOR TALBOT...SOUTH CENTRAL QUEEN ANNE'S AND SOUTHWESTERN CAROLINE
COUNTIES...

At 707 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Easton to near Hambleton to near Oxford, moving
east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and ping pong ball size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect 
         considerable tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to 
         mobile homes, roofs, and outbuildings.

Locations impacted include...
Easton, Denton, Trappe, St. Michaels, Preston, Oxford, Tanyard,
Harmony, Skipton, Copperville, Matthews, Choptank, Hambleton,
Griffin, Windyhill, and Cordova.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Prepare immediately for large hail and damaging winds. People outside
should seek shelter inside a well-built structure and away from
windows.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature's leading
killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to
be struck by lightning.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with these storms, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3871 7628 3878 7623 3879 7623 3879 7620
      3884 7620 3892 7617 3888 7583 3870 7585
      3857 7603 3868 7621 3876 7622 3872 7627
TIME...MOT...LOC 2307Z 273DEG 22KT 3882 7605 3873 7612 3865 7621 

THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.50 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...70 MPH

$$

Staarmann

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
355 PM EDT Tue Jul 8 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
A slow moving frontal boundary will push southward into the
area tonight and then waffle across the Mid-Atlantic through late
week as additional disturbances move through. Bermuda high
pressure will be in place through the weekend, eventually
breaking down for the start of the new work week. Several
disturbances will pass through over the weekend as well.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect for the entire
area until 9 PM this evening. The Flood Watch remains unchanged
through 10 PM this evening and the Heat Advisory remains
unchanged through 8 PM this evening.

The unsettled, active, and tropical weather pattern will continue
through Wednesday due to a slow-moving front which will work its way
toward the area but won't cross fully through the area until Friday.

This boundary is acting as the main trigger for convection this
afternoon in both the severe and hydro departments. Latest radar and
satellite imagery depict a broken line of thunderstorms over Central
Pennsylvania down into Maryland and northern Virginia. As the
atmosphere continues to destabilize this afternoon, anticipation is
for this line to congeal and strengthen as cold pool consolidation
should occur as the line of storms tracks east into the area. Timing
of storms looks be from now until 8-9 PM tonight from west to east.
The primary threat will be damaging wind gusts up to 70 mph as steep
low-level lapse rates are present in addition to moisture loaded
downdrafts. For this reason, SPC has maintained a SLIGHT risk for
severe weather today for our entire area. There also remains a hydro
threat as PWATs remain high and tall, skinny CAPE profiles are
present in soundings. Any storm will be capable of producing
efficient rainfall rates causing locally heavy rainfall. Thus, WPC
has kept the SLIGHT risk for the entire area this afternoon as well.
The line of storms will push south and east through the urban
corridor around rush hour and towards/off the coast by the evening
hours. Convection largely should be winding down by midnight,
however a few residual showers may remain around the area,
especially toward the coast. Skies tonight will remain mostly
cloudy, keeping temperatures to remain very mild overnight in the
upper 60s to mid 70s.

Wednesday will virtually be a rinse and repeat kind of day in terms
of the overall forecast, except the frontal boundary will have made
its way closer to the area, suppressing the overall threat of
convection a bit further south. Expecting partly cloudy skies in the
morning to give way to mostly cloudy skies come the afternoon. With
the tropical and deep moisture airmass persisting, in addition to
the nearby frontal boundary, yet another round of showers and
thunderstorms will develop mid-late afternoon on Wednesday. Greatest
threat will be from Philadelphia on south, where better atmospheric
parameters overlap with one another, so SPC has introduced a SLIGHT
risk in those areas, with a MARGINAL risk remaining elsewhere.
Similarly, WPC has kept a SLIGHT risk for excessive rainfall for
most of the area on Wednesday as little change in the overall
atmospheric environment is expected. Have considered extending the
current Flood Watch through Wednesday night, but due to there being
a large gap in between potential heavy rain periods, will have
future shifts consider another Flood Watch tonight. All in all
another muggy and humid day is expected. Temperatures will be a few
degrees cooler due to more cloud cover compared to today where heat
indicies will largely remain in the 90s for the majority of the
area. Looks like we'll fall short of needing any heat headlines
though.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A warm and humid airmass will be over the Northeast and Mid-
Atlantic for the Short Term period. Surface dew points will be
in the low to mid 70s, along with highs generally in the mid
80s. This will yield heat index values in the low to mid 90s.
These high dew points will also keep low temperatures at night
quite warm, and lows will generally be in the lower 70s.

Unsettled weather will remain on tap as a frontal boundary will
hover over the area. Abundant low level moisture will be in
place given those high dew points, and PWATs will be up to and
in excess of 2 inches. Lingering showers and thunderstorms
Wednesday evening will be capable of locally heavy rain and
flash flooding. With SB CAPE values up to 1500 J/kg and 30 to 35
kt of 0-6 km Bulk Shear, cannot rule out damaging winds from
thunderstorms.

Another round of showers and thunderstorms will impact the area
Thursday afternoon and evening as shortwave energy approaches
from the west and passes through the region. Given how warm and
humid conditions will be, locally heavy rain and damaging wind
gusts are possible once again. This pattern continues on Friday.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Fairly typical summertime pattern on tap for the Long Term
period with warm and humid conditions. Surface dew points will
generally be in the mid 70s or so from Friday night through
around Sunday, and then dew points look to come down a bit for
the start of the new work week, generally in the upper 60s to
low 70s. It is also possible that during the peak heating of the
day that dew points drop by a few degrees due to mixing. Highs
will generally be in the mid to upper 80s, possibly around 90 in
some spots. This will give way to max heat index values in the
low to mid 90s.

A series of disturbances will pass through the region from time
to time, but confidence in timing and placement is low. Will
generally follow the NBM and go with 30 to 50 percent PoPs for
most of this time, though the NBM is indicating 60 percent PoPs
for the southern Poconos, Lehigh Valley, and Berks county on
Sunday due to a stronger system possibly approaching then.
Important to note that any showers and thunderstorms will mostly
be in the afternoon and evening hours, and there are not many
factors indicating precipitation would be widespread and
organized at this time.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Rest of Today...Primarily VFR for the rest of the afternoon.
Scattered thunderstorms move into the area after 20Z, so have TEMPO
group at all terminals. VSBY/CIGs restrictions possible in
thunderstorms with locally gusty winds. Southwest winds around 5-10
kt with gusts up to 15 kt. Moderate confidence.

Tonight...VFR expected with MVFR ceilings possible after 06Z as some
stratus develops, however confidence is low, and generally have SCT
ceilings below 3000 ft to cover this potential. Showers and
thunderstorms will wane into the evening hours and taper off by
midnight. Southwest winds around 3-5 kt. Moderate-low confidence.

Wednesday...Primarily VFR with another round of showers and
thunderstorms developing by mid-late afternoon. Any showers and
storms may cause localized areas of VSBY/CIG restrictions.
Southwest winds around 5-10 kt. Moderate confidence.

Outlook...

Wednesday night through Sunday...Overall, VFR conditions.
However, afternoon and evening SHRA/TSRA may result in brief
sub-VFR conditions if a given storm passes over a terminal. Sub-
VFR conditions possible at night due to fog and low clouds, but
confidence low on timing and placement.

&&

.MARINE...
No marine headlines are in effect through Wednesday. South-southwest
winds around 10-20 kt this afternoon, diminish to around 5-10 kt
tonight, before increasing again on Wednesday to around 10-15 kt.
Seas of 3-4 feet. Showers and thunderstorms expected later this
afternoon into this evening, where localized wind gusts in excess of
34 kt are possible. Another round of thunderstorms expected on
Wednesday afternoon.

Outlook...

Wednesday night through Sunday...Sub-SCA conditions for this
period. Afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms possible
each day. VSBY restrictions possible from time to time,
especially at night.

Rip Currents...

For today, winds shift southwesterly becoming more alongshore
flow around 5-10 mph in the morning increasing to 10-15mph in
the afternoon. Breaking wave heights should be in the 2-4 foot
range depending on beach orientation with a primary SE swell
increasing to 4 feet at a 6-8 second period. Given the tides
will be around low tide in the morning with the increase in
swell, will maintain a HIGH risk for rip currents for the
easterly facing beaches and MODERATE elsewhere.

For Wednesday, similar conditions are expected except we will
confine the HIGH risk of rip currents to the beaches in Atlantic
and Cape May Counties in NJ with a MODERATE risk elsewhere.

Rip currents occur often in the vicinities of jetties and piers and
the speed of the currents are generally maximized at low tides.

For specific beach forecasts, visit weather.gov/beach/phi

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
A Flood Watch for flash flooding remains in effect until midnight.
This is a result of widespread showers/storms expected to overspread
portions of the area capable of producing rainfall rates in excess
of 2 inches per hour. If storms train over any one area for a period
of time, this could result in localized rainfall totals of 3+
inches. Main stem river flooding is not anticipated but flash
flooding of smaller streams/creeks and areas of poor drainage will
be possible. Please heed any road closures and law enforcement
instructions in case of flooding.

Another round of showers and thunderstorms are expected on Wednesday
afternoon and evening. Further flood watches are likely to be needed
at a later time to cover this potential.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for PAZ070-071-
     101>106.
     Flood Watch until midnight EDT tonight for PAZ060>062-070-071-
     101>106.
NJ...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for NJZ008>010-
     012>023-027.
     Flood Watch until midnight EDT tonight for NJZ001-007>010-
     012>027.
     High Risk for Rip Currents until 8 PM EDT this evening for
     NJZ024>026.
DE...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for DEZ001>003.
     Flood Watch until midnight EDT tonight for DEZ001>004.
MD...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for MDZ012-015-019-
     020.
     Flood Watch until midnight EDT tonight for MDZ012-015-019-020.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MPS
NEAR TERM...DeSilva
SHORT TERM...MPS
LONG TERM...MPS
AVIATION...DeSilva/MPS
MARINE...DeSilva/MPS
HYDROLOGY...PHI

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
349 PM EDT Tue Jul 8 2025

MDZ012-015-019-020-092000-
Kent MD-Queen Annes-Talbot-Caroline-
349 PM EDT Tue Jul 8 2025

...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 496 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Maryland.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Heat Advisory.
   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
   Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Several rounds of showers and thunderstorms are expected this week.
A slight risk and a marginal risk for severe weather is outlooked
for Wednesday and Thursday, respectively. Any shower or thunderstorm
will be capable of producing heavy rainfall through the end of the
week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
622 PM EDT Tue Jul 8 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0617 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     2 ESE Kingstown         39.19N 76.01W
07/08/2025  M70 MPH          Queen Anne's       MD   Public

            Personal Weather Station KMDCHEST61 gusted
            to 70.2 mph.

&&

DeSilva

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
623 PM EDT Tue Jul 8 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0612 PM     Flash Flood      1 SSW Feasterville-Trev 40.13N 74.97W
07/08/2025                   Bucks              PA   Dept of Highways

            Flooding on US 1 southbound at TO 2037/0010
            SH. There is a lane restriction.

&&

Hoeflich

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
626 PM EDT Tue Jul 8 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0608 PM     Flash Flood      1 S Lima                39.91N 75.44W
07/08/2025                   Delaware           PA   Emergency Mngr

            Flooded roadways around Middletown Township.
            Time given in report.

&&

Hoeflich

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
627 PM EDT Tue Jul 8 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0619 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     Trenton Mercer Airport  40.28N 74.81W
07/08/2025  M58 MPH          Mercer             NJ   ASOS

            58 mph wind gust occurred at Trenton Mercer
            Airport.

&&

ZC

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
628 PM EDT Tue Jul 8 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0621 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Westampton Twp          40.01N 74.84W
07/08/2025                   Burlington         NJ   Official NWS Obs

            Several tree limbs down. estimated 60 mph
            gust.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
634 PM EDT Tue Jul 8 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0625 PM     Flash Flood      1 SSE Somerton          40.11N 75.00W
07/08/2025                   Philadelphia       PA   Dept of Highways

            Flooding along route 1 near the border of
            Philadelphia and Bensalem.

&&

Hoeflich