Tornado Warning 98, NWS Norman, OK

195 
WWUS54 KOUN 191942
SVSOUN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Norman OK
242 PM CDT Mon May 19 2025

TXC077-192000-
/O.CON.KOUN.TO.W.0098.000000T0000Z-250519T2000Z/
Clay TX-
242 PM CDT Mon May 19 2025

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CDT FOR EAST
CENTRAL CLAY COUNTY...

At 242 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located 8 miles north of Bellevue, moving northeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and golf ball size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
east central Clay County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a storm shelter, safe room, or an interior
room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you
are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest
substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3378 9817 3389 9798 3369 9798 3364 9811
TIME...MOT...LOC 1942Z 243DEG 20KT 3374 9806 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.75 IN

$$

Schueth

706 
WWUS54 KOUN 191953 RRA
SVSOUN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Norman OK
253 PM CDT Mon May 19 2025

TXC077-192000-
/O.CON.KOUN.TO.W.0098.000000T0000Z-250519T2000Z/
Clay TX-
253 PM CDT Mon May 19 2025

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CDT FOR EAST
CENTRAL CLAY COUNTY...

At 253 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located 8 miles south of Terral, moving northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and golf ball size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
east central Clay County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a storm shelter, safe room, or an interior
room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you
are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest
substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3384 9806 3389 9798 3369 9798 3366 9805
TIME...MOT...LOC 1953Z 246DEG 25KT 3377 9797 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.75 IN

$$

Schueth

050 
WWUS54 KOUN 191959
SVSOUN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Norman OK
259 PM CDT Mon May 19 2025

TXC077-192009-
/O.EXP.KOUN.TO.W.0098.000000T0000Z-250519T2000Z/
Clay TX-
259 PM CDT Mon May 19 2025

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL CLAY COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT
300 PM CDT...

The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.

LAT...LON 3384 9806 3389 9798 3369 9798 3366 9805
TIME...MOT...LOC 1959Z 246DEG 25KT 3378 9794 

$$

Schueth

Area Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Norman OK
218 PM CDT Mon May 19 2025

...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1251 PM CDT Mon May 19 2025

 - Severe weather Today/Tonight. Very large hail, damaging winds,
   and strong tornadoes.

 - Shower/storm chances return end of the week into the weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Rest of today and tonight)
Issued at 1251 PM CDT Mon May 19 2025

A severe weather outbreak is possible across parts of our forecast
area this afternoon at least through the evening, impacting
generally the eastern half of our CWA.  The upper trough currently
over the Colorado/New Mexico Rockies will start digging across the
Southern Plains eventually pushing a cold front through late tonight
although the impactful severe weather will initiate early this
afternoon near and east of an advancing dryline.  Very moist in the
low levels with moderate surface-based instability already in place
east of the dryline per this mornings 12Z balloon observation
sounding with a mid-level cap. As this mornings stratus continues to
burn off, diurnal heating along with steepening mid-level lapse
rates will increase the instability strong to extreme (SBCAPE 4000-
5000 Jkg) while breaking the mid-level cap early in the afternoon as
per latest forecast soundings.  Deep-layer shear remains strong and
will perhaps strengthen as the upper wave approaches.

An initial round of severe storms will be possible along and east of
the dryline early in the afternoon across all but our far western
counties bordering the TX/OK Panhandles where the cap should be
eroded.  Elevated convection from shortwaves ejected from the main
wave may also start becoming surface-based by afternoon as well.
However, the timing for the highest severe risk and round #2 near
and east of the dryline will be toward late afternoon with the peak
heating and strongest instability and shear.  Expecting the dryline
to have punched further east across west-central Oklahoma and
adjacent western north Texas by late afternoon, so all areas near to
the east of this advancing dryline will be in the highest risk area
into the evening hours as the main upper wave comes through.
Conditions will be favorable for supercells producing very large
hail, damaging wind gusts, and a potential for strong numerous
tornados.  Storm motion for unbroken cells will be steered to the
northeast. The severe risk will lower behind the dryline.

The severe risk is expected to end in our forecast area by
midnight as upper level support begins to move out. A cold front
will sweep through overnight scouring out the moisture by morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tuesday through Wednesday night)
Issued at 1251 PM CDT Mon May 19 2025

All storm POPs out of the forecast by sunrise Tuesday with the cold
front pushing across southeast Oklahoma.  Will be sunny, cooler, and
less muggy within a cooler and drier air mass under the exiting
upper trough.  Temperatures Monday will return to more seasonably
average (lower to mid 80s highs) and cooler nights (50s).  Northwest
flow aloft returns Wednesday with a brief return of southerly
surface winds before a weak cold front passage late Wednesday.  Will
see a brief warming trend on Wednesday although meager moisture
return as we should stay dry.  There could be some MCS activity
coming down the Central Plains Wednesday night with the return of
northwest flow although for now would be east of our forecast area
perhaps affecting northeast Oklahoma.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Sunday)
Issued at 201 AM CDT Mon May 19 2025

Low rain chances will return Thursday and continue into the weekend.
Subtle disturbances moving through the mid/upper level flow could
lead to some showers/storms late this week. A shortwave moving
across the northern/central Plains could bring a chance for rain
this weekend. However, there area differences in the models as to
timing/strength/path of this shortwave so definitely uncertainty
with the forecast late this week/weekend.

Another front is expected to move across the area Wednesday
night/Thursday which will lead to slightly cooler temperatures
(compared to Wednesday) on Thursday with highs in the 70s to low/mid
80s. After Thursday, highs in the 80s and 90s are expected into the
weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1213 PM CDT Mon May 19 2025

MVFR ceilings are gradually lifting / shifting eastward. Multiple
rounds of severe thunderstorms are expected over the next 12
hours. Have included PROB30 groups where impacts is most possible.
A cold front will bring northwesterly winds across the region
early Tuesday morning.

Day

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  58  79  56  85 /  50   0   0   0
Hobart OK         57  81  55  90 /  10   0   0   0
Wichita Falls TX  60  82  58  90 /  20   0   0   0
Gage OK           51  81  51  85 /  10   0   0   0
Ponca City OK     56  78  52  81 /  50   0   0   0
Durant OK         64  79  58  85 /  60   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

NEAR TERM...68
SHORT TERM...68
LONG TERM....25
AVIATION...14

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Norman OK
131 PM CDT Mon May 19 2025

OKZ026-030-031-191900-
Pottawatomie OK-Seminole OK-Lincoln OK-
131 PM CDT Mon May 19 2025

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northwestern
Seminole, southeastern Lincoln and northern Pottawatomie Counties
through 200 PM CDT...

At 131 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Shawnee, moving northeast at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor damage to outdoor objects is possible.

Locations impacted include...
Shawnee, Tecumseh, Chandler, Stroud, Prague, Meeker, Davenport,
Johnson, Sparks, Kendrick, Dale, Bethel Acres, Aydelotte, and
Centerview.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3543 9662 3541 9662 3523 9700 3538 9706
      3563 9697 3592 9662 3544 9662 3545 9654
TIME...MOT...LOC 1831Z 221DEG 43KT 3534 9698

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...<30 MPH

Meister

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Norman OK
215 PM CDT Mon May 19 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0212 PM     Hail             1 SW Sulphur            34.50N 96.99W
05/19/2025  E1.75 Inch       Murray             OK   Emergency Mngr

&&

JH

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Norman OK
219 PM CDT Mon May 19 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0215 PM     Hail             1 W Sulphur             34.51N 96.99W
05/19/2025  E1.75 Inch       Murray             OK   Trained Spotter

&&

JH

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Norman OK
220 PM CDT Mon May 19 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0213 PM     Hail             1 NE Sulphur            34.52N 96.96W
05/19/2025  E1.00 Inch       Murray             OK   Public

            Report from mPING: Quarter (1.00 in.).

&&

JH

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Norman OK
227 PM CDT Mon May 19 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0212 PM     Hail             2 SW Sulphur            34.49N 97.00W
05/19/2025  E2.00 Inch       Murray             OK   Public

            Report from mPING: Hen Egg (2.00 in.).

&&

JH

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Norman OK
229 PM CDT Mon May 19 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0228 PM     Hail             1 S Allen               34.86N 96.41W
05/19/2025  M1.00 Inch       Pontotoc           OK   Emergency Mngr

            NWSChat Report.

&&

AZ