Severe Thunderstorm Warning 971, NWS Norman, OK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
1238 AM CDT Mon Aug 4 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1228 AM CDT Mon Aug 4 2025

 - Showers and thunderstorms possible tonight through Monday
   morning. Storms may become severe, especially across western
   and central Oklahoma and into adjacent portions of western
   north Texas with damaging winds possible.

 - Gradual warming trend through the next week with triple digits
   returning by the middle of next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Rest of tonight)
Issued at 1141 PM CDT Sun Aug 3 2025

A line of storms is expected to continue to move through the
western and central of the area tonight into Monday morning.
Strong to severe wind gusts may accompany this line as it moves
through the area. By sunrise, most of this activity should be
south of the area, although there may be some lingering showers
until mid morning. The remainder of Monday should be mostly dry
with highs into the mid 80s to low 90s. Overnight lows Monday into
Tuesday will dip down into the upper 60s to low 70s.

Bunker

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Monday through Tuesday night)
Issued at 1141 PM CDT Sun Aug 3 2025

Tuesday will begin our warming trend as a mid-level ridge moves
closer to the southern Plains. Afternoon highs will get up to the
low to mid 90s across the entire area. There is a low chance of
thunderstorms to move off the central Plains Tuesday afternoon and
evening, but confidence in this activity is too low to warrant any
mentionable precipitation chances.

Wednesday will be even warmer with highs in the mid 90s to low
100s. Heat indices are expected to be in the 105-110F range for a
good portion of the area, so if this trend continues, would expect
heat products to be issued across much of the area. Once again,
we will remain dry through Wednesday.

Bunker

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through next Sunday)
Issued at 1141 PM CDT Sun Aug 3 2025

During the long term, we will see increased temperatures across
the whole area as a mid-level ridge hangs out to the west. 850mb
temperatures will begin to increase as the low-level thermal ridge
strengthens. Southerly surface flow will continue to advect low-
level moisture into the area with a potential for dangerous heat
indices towards the end of the week. Any precipitation chances
will be contingent on the progression of the ridge and any
developing shortwaves. Northwesterly flow aloft can bring an
increased potential for overnight convection off the High Plains.
As of right now, the forecast remains dry, but some longer range
guidance suggests that the the ridge breaks down by the end next
weekend with the potential for cooler temperatures and additional
rain chances.

Bunker

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1228 AM CDT Mon Aug 4 2025

A thunderstorm complex moving across central and southern
Oklahoma will impact terminals at OKC/OUN/LAW/SPS with gusty
winds and MVFR conditions. Most of the precipitation is expected
to end by 8Z at these sites. There is a lower chance of storms in
and around PNC/SWO, but MVFR conditions are possible if storms
occur. The precipitation has ended at WWR/CSM and mainly VFR
conditions will prevail at these sites. If the storms hold
together, they may impact the DUA site after 9Z.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  87  69  91  72 /  20   0   0   0
Hobart OK         90  68  95  73 /  10   0   0   0
Wichita Falls TX  91  71  96  74 /  20   0   0   0
Gage OK           89  66  93  71 /   0  10   0   0
Ponca City OK     85  67  89  70 /  10   0   0  10
Durant OK         89  70  93  71 /  40   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

NEAR TERM...13
SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM....13
AVIATION...06

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Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Norman OK
1016 PM CDT Sun Aug 3 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1000 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     4 WNW Camargo           36.04N 99.36W
08/03/2025  M60 MPH          Dewey              OK   Mesonet

&&

BT

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Norman OK
1100 PM CDT Sun Aug 3 2025

OKZ011-015>018-021>024-035-040430-
Major OK-Kiowa OK-Kingfisher OK-Washita OK-Canadian OK-Dewey OK-
Caddo OK-Beckham OK-Custer OK-Blaine OK-
1100 PM CDT Sun Aug 3 2025

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of Washita, southwestern
Kingfisher, northern Caddo, Custer, northeastern Kiowa, Blaine,
eastern Dewey, eastern Beckham, south central Major and western
Canadian Counties through 1130 PM CDT...

At 1059 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 5 miles west of Okeene to near Hydro to near
Dill City. Movement was southeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Elk City, Weatherford, Clinton, Watonga, Hobart, Cordell, Fairview,
Hinton, Burns Flat, Carnegie, Geary, Okeene, Thomas, Hydro, Sentinel,
Arapaho, Mountain View, Binger, Canton, and Dill City.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3595 9795 3521 9819 3490 9903 3546 9942
      3586 9897 3640 9865
TIME...MOT...LOC 0359Z 313DEG 41KT 3610 9842 3553 9859 3532 9915

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

Schueth

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Norman OK
1130 PM CDT Sun Aug 3 2025

OKZ011-012-016>018-022>024-027-035-038-040500-
Major OK-Garfield OK-Grady OK-Kiowa OK-Kingfisher OK-Washita OK-
Canadian OK-Caddo OK-Comanche OK-Custer OK-Blaine OK-
1130 PM CDT Sun Aug 3 2025

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of Washita, northwestern
Comanche, Kingfisher, northern Grady, Caddo, southeastern Custer,
eastern Kiowa, Blaine, southwestern Garfield, eastern Major and
Canadian Counties through MIDNIGHT CDT...

At 1130 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 5 miles west of Hennessey to 3 miles northwest
of Concho to near Lookeba to 4 miles east of Hobart. Movement was
southeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Western Oklahoma City, El Reno, Chickasha, Weatherford, Anadarko,
Watonga, Kingfisher, Hobart, Cordell, Yukon, Mustang, Tuttle,
Piedmont, Hinton, Hennessey, Carnegie, Union City, Minco, Apache, and
Geary.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3604 9767 3531 9767 3507 9791 3468 9880
      3521 9926 3562 9877 3590 9851 3646 9835
TIME...MOT...LOC 0430Z 306DEG 35KT 3609 9800 3565 9804 3535 9835 3501
9901

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

Schueth

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Norman OK
1159 PM CDT Sun Aug 3 2025

OKZ011>013-017>019-022>025-027>029-035-038-039-040530-
Garfield OK-Oklahoma OK-Logan OK-Washita OK-Canadian OK-Stephens OK-
Cleveland OK-McClain OK-Comanche OK-Blaine OK-Noble OK-Major OK-
Grady OK-Kiowa OK-Kingfisher OK-Caddo OK-
1159 PM CDT Sun Aug 3 2025

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of southeastern Washita,
northeastern Comanche, Kingfisher, Grady, Caddo, Oklahoma,
northeastern Kiowa, eastern Blaine, Logan, Canadian, western McClain,
northwestern Stephens, southwestern Noble, northwestern Cleveland,
southern Garfield and southeastern Major Counties through 1230 AM
CDT...

At 1159 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 3 miles west of Bison to near Piedmont to 4
miles northwest of Pocasset to near Fort Sill. Movement was east at
35 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Oklahoma City, southwestern Norman, Edmond, Moore, Midwest City,
Enid, Duncan, Del City, El Reno, Chickasha, Guthrie, Newcastle,
Blanchard, Anadarko, Marlow, Kingfisher, Yukon, Bethany, Mustang, and
Choctaw.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3626 9741 3560 9721 3507 9749 3442 9799
      3497 9891 3533 9851 3582 9823 3642 9828
TIME...MOT...LOC 0459Z 278DEG 29KT 3619 9795 3568 9777 3523 9803 3476
9835

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Schueth