Severe Thunderstorm Warning 939, NWS Norman, OK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
453 PM CDT Fri Jul 25 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 448 PM CDT Fri Jul 25 2025

 - Scattered thunderstorms are possible this afternoon and
   evening.

 - Dangerous heat continues into the middle of next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Rest of today and tonight)
Issued at 1239 PM CDT Fri Jul 25 2025

Another day of scattered afternoon/evening thunderstorms, primarily
along a boundary stretching from southwest to north central
Oklahoma. A similar environment to yesterday will yield a risk for
downburst winds and localized flooding. These storms will initially
be diurnally driven, but a modest low level jet may help sustain
convection into the overnight hours.

Heat is the other story that continues today with heat indices
rising into the 102 to 108 range across all but northwestern and
parts of western Oklahoma. A heat advisory remains in effect for
southern Oklahoma and north texas.

Day

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Saturday through Sunday night)
Issued at 1239 PM CDT Fri Jul 25 2025

The upper level ridge shifts west over our area this weekend,
suppressing rain chances and locking in the heat. CAMs suggest some
isolated diurnal showers will be possible on Saturday, but most
areas should remain dry.

Heat indices will continue in the 102 to 110 range over the weekend.
A heat advisory has been issued for Satuday across all but northwest
Oklahoma, and another heat advisory will likely be needed Sunday.

Day

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday through Thursday)
Issued at 115 AM CDT Fri Jul 25 2025

Deterministic models and ensemble members indicate the ridge may
strengthen further by early to middle part of next week across the
Southern Plains. Therefore, temperatures are forecast to slowly
rise through Wednesday with highs in the upper 90s and low 100s
deg F with limited/near zero chances for rain.

Toward the latter half of next week, there is some potential that
the ridge may retrograde far enough to the west to place the
Southern Plains into northwest or northerly flow aloft. Given this
potential, there is at least a low chance (20 to 30%) of showers
of storms late Wednesday through Friday. In addition, if the ridge
retrogrades far enough to the west, a cold front may even advance
to the south. However, forecast uncertainty on the location of the
ridge remains high. For example, probabilistic guidance indicates
a 10 to 15 deg F spread between the 10th and 90th percentile high
temperatures by Thursday and Friday.

Mahale

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 448 PM CDT Fri Jul 25 2025

Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible this
evening, with a marginal risk of severe storms capable of
producing wind gusts up to 70 mph. Greater storm chances are for
KPNC and KSWO. Moderate southerly winds with gusts of 15 to 20 mph
are expected with VFR ceilings.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  76  97  76  96 /  20  10   0   0
Hobart OK         75 101  76  99 /  20   0   0   0
Wichita Falls TX  76 100  77  97 /   0   0   0  10
Gage OK           69  98  73  98 /  20   0   0   0
Ponca City OK     74  96  76  96 /  40  10   0   0
Durant OK         76  95  77  95 /   0  20   0  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Heat Advisory from 1 PM to 8 PM CDT Saturday for OKZ005>008-
     011>013-017>020-023>048-050>052.

     Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for OKZ032>048-050>052.

TX...Heat Advisory from 1 PM to 8 PM CDT Saturday for TXZ083>090.

     Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for TXZ083>090.

&&

NEAR TERM...14
SHORT TERM...14
LONG TERM....10
AVIATION...01

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Norman OK
553 PM CDT Fri Jul 25 2025

OKZ012-017-018-024-252330-
Garfield OK-Kingfisher OK-Canadian OK-Blaine OK-
553 PM CDT Fri Jul 25 2025

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of western Kingfisher,
southeastern Blaine, south central Garfield and northwestern Canadian
Counties through 630 PM CDT...

At 553 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 4 miles southwest of Bison to near Loyal to 5
miles east of Greenfield. Movement was northeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Enid, Hennessey, Waukomis, Fairmont, Loyal, Bison, Vance Air Force
Base, and Omega.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3639 9762 3571 9812 3567 9839 3599 9816
      3637 9788
TIME...MOT...LOC 2253Z 215DEG 15KT 3617 9797 3598 9810 3574 9829

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

JT

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Norman OK
603 PM CDT Fri Jul 25 2025

OKZ007-008-012-013-252330-
Garfield OK-Kay OK-Grant OK-Noble OK-
603 PM CDT Fri Jul 25 2025

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southwestern Kay,
northwestern Noble, southeastern Grant and northeastern Garfield
Counties through 630 PM CDT...

At 603 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 5
miles east of Hunter, moving northeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Garber, Billings, Lamont, and Hunter.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3638 9758 3648 9776 3679 9752 3662 9725
TIME...MOT...LOC 2303Z 218DEG 16KT 3653 9756

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

JT

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>