Special Weather Statement, NWS Nashville, TN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1225 PM CDT Mon Jul 7 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1221 PM CDT Mon Jul 7 2025

- Better rain chances Today and Tomorrow, but medium to high
  thunderstorm chances return for the second half of the week. The
  severe weather threat is low.

- Localized flash flooding, frequent lightning, and gusty winds will
  be possible with storms this week.

- Heat indices will reach the upper 90s to low 100s today through
  Tuesday across most of Middle Tennessee west of the Cumberland
  Plateau, with the heat easing up starting on Wednesday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Tuesday)
Issued at 1152 AM CDT Mon Jul 7 2025

Medium rain chances continue through tomorrow evening. Temperatures
rise into the low 90s with heat index values creeping into the low
100s west of the Plateau. Scattered storms have already begun to
develop across the CWA. Any of these storms have the potential to
lead to localized flooding as PWAT values are near 1.5" across the
mid-state. Any of these storms are also capable of producing
frequent lightning, and wind gusts up to 50mph. Remain weather aware
and monitor the radar if you have any outdoor plans today. Storm
activity is expected to end between 9-11pm. Patchy fog begins to
develop overnight into the early morning hours, especially for areas
that receive rain today.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday Night through next Monday)
Issued at 1152 AM CDT Mon Jul 7 2025

As high pressure begins to move out of the area, we enter into an
unsettled weather pattern through the end of the week. Rain chances
begin to increase Wednesday through the weekend as an upper level
trough moves into our area from the Northwest. The best time for
thunderstorm development is late morning through early evening.
The threat for severe weather remains low. However, any storm that
develops will have the potential to produce gusty winds and heavy
rainfall that can lead to localized flooding. Temperatures will
start to relax to seasonal averages throughout the rest of the
week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1221 PM CDT Mon Jul 7 2025

Showers and thunderstorms have developed across the area a little
ahead of schedule today. We currently have TSRA impacting BNA,
MQY, and SRB; these TAFs have TEMPOs as a result. Additional
convection is possible throughout the afternoon which could impact
any airfield. Winds favor a SW or WSW direction at 5-8 kts through
the afternoon hours. Storms could cause brief wind gusts in
addition to brief reduction in visibility. Conditions calm during
the evening with VFR expected. Weather conditions tomorrow
afternoon will be very similar to that of today.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      73  92  74  91 /  20  60  30  80
Clarksville    72  90  73  88 /  20  40  30  70
Crossville     67  87  67  86 /  10  60  40  80
Columbia       71  92  71  90 /  20  60  40  80
Cookeville     69  87  70  87 /  20  50  40  70
Jamestown      68  86  67  86 /  20  60  40  70
Lawrenceburg   71  91  70  89 /  20  60  40  80
Murfreesboro   71  92  72  91 /  20  60  30  80
Waverly        71  89  71  88 /  20  50  30  70

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...Unger
LONG TERM....Unger
AVIATION.....Sizemore

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
102 PM CDT Mon Jul 7 2025

TNZ062-071830-
Rutherford TN-
102 PM CDT Mon Jul 7 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL RUTHERFORD COUNTY
THROUGH 130 PM CDT...

At 102 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Smyrna, or 9 miles northwest of Murfreesboro, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Murfreesboro, Smyrna, La Vergne, Walterhill, and Lascassas.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 24 between mile markers 66 and 81.
 Interstate 840 between mile markers 50 and 62.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3597 8627 3579 8634 3590 8662 3604 8655
TIME...MOT...LOC 1802Z 286DEG 24KT 3595 8652

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

27

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
119 PM CDT Mon Jul 7 2025

TNZ027-071845-
Davidson TN-
119 PM CDT Mon Jul 7 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHERN DAVIDSON COUNTY THROUGH
145 PM CDT...

At 119 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Belle Meade, or near Nashville, moving east at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Nashville, Forest Hills, Oak Hill, Belle Meade, Bellevue, Berry Hill,
and Bells Bend.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 40 between mile markers 196 and 217.
 Interstate 65 between mile markers 75 and 86.
 Interstate 24 between mile markers 47 and 57.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3619 8664 3600 8670 3604 8679 3605 8689
      3607 8697 3620 8692
TIME...MOT...LOC 1819Z 281DEG 15KT 3613 8689

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

40/Sizemore

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
136 PM CDT Mon Jul 7 2025

TNZ024-025-057-071900-
Hickman TN-Dickson TN-Humphreys TN-
136 PM CDT Mon Jul 7 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN DICKSON...
SOUTHEASTERN HUMPHREYS AND NORTHWESTERN HICKMAN COUNTIES THROUGH 200
PM CDT...

At 135 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles northwest of Centerville, moving northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Pinewood and Bucksnort.

This includes Interstate 40 between mile markers 148 and 166.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3580 8764 3589 8773 3607 8749 3590 8736
TIME...MOT...LOC 1835Z 236DEG 35KT 3588 8760

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Clements

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
145 PM CDT Mon Jul 7 2025

TNZ027-028-071915-
Davidson TN-Wilson TN-
145 PM CDT Mon Jul 7 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHERN DAVIDSON AND WEST
CENTRAL WILSON COUNTIES THROUGH 215 PM CDT...

At 145 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Belle Meade, or near Nashville, moving east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Nashville, La Vergne, Mount Juliet, Forest Hills, Oak Hill, Belle
Meade, Hermitage, Rural Hill, Bellevue, Antioch, Belinda City, Berry
Hill, Bells Bend, and Percy Priest Lake.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 40 between mile markers 195 and 229.
 Interstate 65 between mile markers 75 and 87.
 Interstate 24 between mile markers 47 and 63.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3619 8644 3610 8650 3609 8650 3610 8652
      3606 8653 3608 8653 3609 8655 3607 8655
      3606 8656 3604 8656 3601 8661 3597 8661
      3599 8668 3604 8679 3605 8691 3607 8699
      3621 8688
TIME...MOT...LOC 1845Z 276DEG 21KT 3611 8682

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Clements

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