Flash Flood Warning 61, NWS Nashville, TN

996 
WGUS74 KOHX 240056
FFSOHX

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
756 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

TNC015-240245-
/O.CON.KOHX.FF.W.0061.000000T0000Z-250424T0245Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Cannon TN-
756 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 PM CDT THIS 
EVENING FOR CENTRAL CANNON COUNTY...

At 756 PM CDT, local law enforcement reports flooding near Sunny 
Slope Road and Hollis Creek Road near Hollis Creek due to 
thunderstorms that produced heavy rain across the warned area. 
Between 1 and 3 inches of rain have fallen. Flash flooding is 
ongoing.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Law enforcement reported.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
         drainage and low-lying areas.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Woodbury and Bradyville.

Hollis Creek

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.

&&

LAT...LON 3584 8616 3586 8616 3587 8590 3586 8590
      3571 8601 3573 8617

FLASH FLOOD...OBSERVED

$$

Mueller

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
618 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 618 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

- Afternoon warmth expected through the week with episodes of
  scattered showers and thunderstorms, becoming more numerous on
  Friday. Severe weather threat remains very low.

- Drier and slightly cooler conditions Saturday and Sunday, but
  temperatures trend well above normal early next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Thursday)
Issued at 1155 AM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

An 850 mb ridge remains settled across the Southeast/Carolina Coast
areas. This is favoring a light southerly low-level flow across the
TN Valley which is leading to an increase in boundary layer
moisture. A nice cu field has blossomed on visible satellite
imagery over the past hour. With temperatures forecast to rise
into the mid 70s to low 80s this afternoon, SBCAPE values should
hover in the 1,500- 2,000 J/kg range. Iso/Sct showers and
thunderstorms are expected through the early evening as a result,
generally favoring areas south where greatest PWs will reside.
Mid-level flow is only ~20 kts today, and lapse rates aren't great
(~6 C/km). Thus, we're basically previewing summer convection
which is mainly diurnally driven. Convection will gradually fade
overnight with loss of heating, but a few showers/t-storms could
persist in places due to an approaching shortwave currently near
the ArkLaTex. Patchy fog will also be possible again tonight.

For tomorrow, a similar forecast is in place. Influence from the
decaying shortwave should favor more cloud cover, and perhaps
temperatures will be a couple degrees cooler overall. A better
coverage of afternoon showers/t-storms is expected due to a more
area-wide increase in PWs (1.4-1.6"). Again, no severe weather is
expected.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday Night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 1155 AM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

Guidance continues to suggest a slight increase in backing mid-level
flow on Friday due to a more notable shortwave moving from the Plains
toward the Mississippi Valley. This is expected to translate to the
surface as a low pressure moving east, mainly north of the Ohio
River. A broad area of warm, moist air is expected across much of
the East, including Middle TN. Numerous showers and thunderstorms
are forecast Friday afternoon as a result favorable moisture &
instability, as well as increasing forcing ahead of a front. 500 mb
flow looks to stay 20-30 kts, so shear will be low. No severe
weather is currently expected, but a strong storm or two is possible
if CAPE values run on the higher side. This system will continue
east Friday night and we'll be on the back side of the trough by
Saturday morning with a cold front moving in.

Sunday through Tuesday features a decline in overall rain chances
owing to a drier airmass behind the exiting system Saturday morning.
Sunday looks to be a fantastic weather day with highs in the 70s.
However, medium-range guidance maintains a more amplified pattern
early next week with a deep-layer ridge establishing across the
East, and a trough across the West. This will support temperatures
well above normal Monday through Wednesday with highs in the mid to
upper 80s. Rain chances return on Wednesday with the approach of
the next system.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 618 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

TSRA will continue to be sporadic and short-lived around the area
today. As the sun sets and we enter the 03-06z period, they should
lose their grip and collapse. Winds will turn southerly into
tomorrow and light and variable before picking back up out of the
south at 5-10 knots. TSRA are a risk tomorrow as well in the
afternoon, as well as MVFR or lower conditions.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      63  79  63  80 /  20  60  50  90
Clarksville    62  80  63  79 /  10  50  50  90
Crossville     57  74  59  74 /  30  70  40  90
Columbia       61  79  62  79 /  30  60  40  90
Cookeville     60  76  61  75 /  20  70  50  90
Jamestown      57  75  59  75 /  20  80  40  90
Lawrenceburg   61  78  63  78 /  30  60  40  80
Murfreesboro   61  79  62  80 /  30  60  40  90
Waverly        62  80  63  78 /  10  50  50  90

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...Sizemore
LONG TERM....Sizemore
AVIATION.....Holley

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
331 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

TNZ079-232100-
Grundy TN-
331 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHERN GRUNDY COUNTY THROUGH
400 PM CDT...

At 331 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Tracy City, or 14 miles northwest of Jasper, moving northeast at 20
mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Tracy City, Monteagle, Palmer, and Fiery Gizzard State Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3524 8582 3524 8585 3527 8586 3535 8556
      3532 8556 3530 8564 3530 8566 3529 8569
      3529 8571 3528 8571 3524 8569 3522 8574
      3522 8578
TIME...MOT...LOC 2031Z 246DEG 19KT 3524 8577

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Holley

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
427 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

TNZ057-058-060-232200-
Hickman TN-Lewis TN-Maury TN-
427 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN LEWIS...WEST
CENTRAL MAURY AND SOUTHEASTERN HICKMAN COUNTIES THROUGH 500 PM CDT...

At 426 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Hohenwald, moving northeast at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Hohenwald, Gordonsburg, and Kimmins.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3548 8737 3551 8757 3577 8762 3570 8723
TIME...MOT...LOC 2126Z 213DEG 9KT 3556 8746

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Baggett

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
437 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

TNZ064-065-078-232200-
De Kalb TN-Warren TN-White TN-
437 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN DE KALB...
NORTHEASTERN WARREN AND SOUTHWESTERN WHITE COUNTIES THROUGH 500 PM
CDT...

At 436 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 11
miles southwest of Sparta, moving north at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Sparta, Doyle, and Rock Island State Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3580 8554 3581 8560 3579 8561 3578 8560
      3583 8576 3600 8572 3593 8540
TIME...MOT...LOC 2136Z 200DEG 12KT 3585 8564

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Baggett

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
440 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

TNZ056>058-232215-
Hickman TN-Lewis TN-Perry TN-
440 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN LEWIS...CENTRAL
PERRY AND SOUTHWESTERN HICKMAN COUNTIES THROUGH 515 PM CDT...

At 439 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Linden, moving northeast at 5 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Flatwoods, Linden, Pleasantville, Hohenwald, and Lobelville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3576 8770 3551 8757 3548 8771 3549 8773
      3549 8780 3547 8783 3547 8786 3562 8794
TIME...MOT...LOC 2139Z 232DEG 6KT 3557 8782

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Holley