Severe Thunderstorm Warning 74, NWS Mobile, AL

784 
WWUS54 KMOB 250100
SVSMOB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
800 PM CDT Sat May 24 2025

ALC025-131-250110-
/O.CAN.KMOB.SV.W.0074.000000T0000Z-250525T0130Z/
Clarke AL-Wilcox AL-
800 PM CDT Sat May 24 2025

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN CLARKE AND
WESTERN WILCOX COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have weakened below severe
limits. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 3227 8744 3225 8742 3224 8739 3220 8736
      3220 8733 3214 8728 3214 8725 3212 8726
      3209 8721 3183 8747 3181 8752 3178 8752
      3166 8763 3192 8805 3199 8798 3199 8767
      3200 8763 3213 8762 3213 8752 3227 8751
TIME...MOT...LOC 0058Z 296DEG 15KT 3224 8744 3189 8778 

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
653 PM CDT Sat May 24 2025

...New Aviation...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 401 PM CDT Sat May 24 2025

Now Through Sunday Night...

24.12Z upper air analysis shows a low-level ridge axis centered
over the Bahamas, resulting in a warm, moist, and unstable
southwesterly flow in place over the forecast area. To the north,
straddling the northern CWA boundary, is a quasi-stationary
front. South of the boundary, surface based instability ranges
2000-4000 J/KG with isolated to widely scattered showers and storms
continuing to pop-up through the afternoon. Storms have been
spreading north and northeast. A few of the storms have contained
some concentrated, frequent lightning activity and enough structure
for the issuance of a few SPS's. Overall, with High Cape-Low Shear
environment, storms have been upright with cores collapsing quickly
and resulting in short life-spans. At any rate, in addition to
lightning, storms will continue to pose a gusty wind and brief heavy
rain threat.

Atop the front, a high-level west northwest flow exists.
Upstream, forecasters see an organized convective complex embedded
in the flow aloft dropping east-southeastward and moving out of
eastern AR. Will be watching the progress of this feature through
the remainder of the day and into the evening. A small area of
slight risk of severe storms remains over Wayne Co. MS to Choctaw
and northern Wilcox Co's in AL. Elsewhere, a marginal risk of severe
weather extends north of a line from northern Mobile Co. to a
Florala AL Line. If the more organized storms upstream can hold
together, an isolated strong to severe storm with localized damaging
winds and large hail cannot be ruled out. Considering that the
convective line is approaching the MS Delta, impacts if any from the
line may not make into our area until early evening at the earliest.
All guidance shows storms quickly fading by the time they would
approach the coast tonight. Considering the flow, we may begin to
see a return to early AM slight chance of showers and storms over
the Gulf waters and coast which is consistent with the latest WPC
QPF. Patchy late night fog possible tonight over potions of the
interior.

Isolated to scattered storms are possible once again Sunday
afternoon. However, upper level shortwave ridging will be a little
more pronounced tomorrow and this may result in the best coverage
of storms staying north of our region. Will maintain a 20-40% rain
chance for Sunday, highest it appears to be over inland areas. For
Sunday night, a small chance of showers/storms up along the US Hwy
84 corridor. Potential also exists for patchy late night fog
formation.

It will certainly feel like Memorial Day weekend with highs in the
upper 80s near the coast to the lower half of the 90's inland.
Heat indices in some areas will approach or exceed 100. /10 /34

Memorial Day Through Friday...

Unsettled is the name of the game as we roll into the holiday and
onwards through the week. We aren't looking at a washout, but there
will definitely be active periods (in terms of storms) throughout
the week.

We transition to a zonal-ish flow aloft (mix of zonal and
southwesterly flow) early next week with weak ridging to our south.
A parade of subtle shortwaves dive through the flow aloft between
the weak ridging and a trough drifting across the Northern Plains
and Upper Midwest. Timing out these subtle shortwaves is difficult
at this time range, but the best chances for storms throughout the
week looks to be on Tuesday afternoon and Wednesday afternoon as
more notable shortwaves pivot through the area with increasing deep
layer moisture (especially with a weakening front lingering across
the region). Expect more of a typical summertime diurnal pattern
with the storms next week with the highest chances for rain in the
afternoon and early evening hours. Highest rainfall totals will
remain generally northwest of the I-65 corridor, across parts of
southeast Mississippi and southwest Alabama, where 3+ inches of rain
will fall. Minor/nuisance type flooding is possible, especially if
storms repeatedly move over the same locations.

Beach Forecast - Rip current risk remains LOW through the holiday,
but increases to MODERATE Tuesday through Wednesday. 07/mb

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 652 PM CDT Sat May 24 2025

A line of storms advancing into Wayne county Mississippi and
working across Choctaw county Alabama will weaken while moving
further into the area this evening and dissipate by near midnight.
Gusty winds and IFR/MVFR conditions will accompany the stronger
storms. Patchy fog is anticipated to develop late tonight, then
isolated to scattered showers and storms develop Sunday afternoon.
Winds become light and variable this evening (outside of the
storms), then a south to southwest flow at 5-10 knots develops on
Sunday. /29

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 401 PM CDT Sat May 24 2025

A generally light onshore flow will prevail this weekend into
next week. The seabreeze will enhance winds across area bays in
the afternoon hours, becoming moderate at times, especially over
north Mobile Bay. /10

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      72  90  73  90  73  89  71  87 /  30  20  10  20  10  50  30  60
Pensacola   76  88  76  87  77  87  75  87 /  20  20   0  10  10  40  30  50
Destin      76  88  77  88  77  88  77  87 /  20  20   0  10  10  30  20  40
Evergreen   68  93  70  93  70  91  69  89 /  30  30  10  40  30  60  40  70
Waynesboro  68  93  70  92  70  90  68  87 /  40  20  20  50  30  70  40  70
Camden      68  92  69  91  70  89  68  87 /  30  40  30  50  40  70  50  70
Crestview   69  93  70  93  70  91  69  91 /  20  20  10  20  10  40  30  60

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

This product is also available on the web at:
www.weather.gov/mob

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
356 PM CDT Sat May 24 2025

ALZ060-242130-
Covington AL-
356 PM CDT Sat May 24 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN COVINGTON COUNTY
THROUGH 430 PM CDT...

At 356 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Opp, moving northeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Opp.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3121 8627 3137 8637 3146 8628 3146 8626
      3144 8626 3144 8619 3124 8619
TIME...MOT...LOC 2056Z 231DEG 14KT 3130 8629

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

10

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
507 PM CDT Sat May 24 2025

MSZ075-242245-
Perry MS-
507 PM CDT Sat May 24 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL PERRY COUNTY THROUGH 545
PM CDT...

At 506 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 5
miles east of Brooklyn, or 15 miles north of Wiggins, moving
northeast at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 30 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
New Augusta and Beaumont.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3116 8914 3129 8896 3114 8884 3105 8884
      3095 8910 3102 8915
TIME...MOT...LOC 2206Z 237DEG 9KT 3107 8909

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...30 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
545 PM CDT Sat May 24 2025

ALZ051-242330-
Choctaw AL-
545 PM CDT Sat May 24 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL CHOCTAW COUNTY THROUGH
630 PM CDT...

At 545 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Butler, moving east at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 30 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Butler and Pennington.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3223 8801 3215 8802 3214 8804 3211 8805
      3209 8804 3206 8807 3207 8810 3205 8812
      3201 8812 3200 8809 3201 8809 3198 8806
      3198 8807 3196 8807 3197 8809 3195 8811
      3193 8830 3211 8836 3222 8802
TIME...MOT...LOC 2245Z 253DEG 13KT 3205 8826

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...30 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
617 PM CDT Sat May 24 2025

ALZ051-250000-
Choctaw AL-
617 PM CDT Sat May 24 2025

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT CHOCTAW COUNTY THROUGH 700 PM
CDT...

At 616 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 3 miles east of Alamucha to Stonewall. Movement
was southeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Gilbertown, Lisman, Toxey, Pennington, and Butler.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3231 8809 3229 8802 3218 8801 3215 8802
      3214 8804 3209 8804 3206 8807 3207 8810
      3205 8812 3201 8811 3201 8809 3198 8806
      3196 8808 3194 8806 3196 8810 3195 8812
      3192 8809 3181 8832 3188 8847 3231 8842
TIME...MOT...LOC 2316Z 294DEG 36KT 3235 8842 3214 8883

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
645 PM CDT Sat May 24 2025

MSZ067-250030-
Wayne MS-
645 PM CDT Sat May 24 2025

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT WAYNE COUNTY THROUGH 730 PM
CDT...

At 645 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from Crandall to 4 miles west of Ellisville.
Movement was southeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Waynesboro, Clara, and Buckatunna.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3182 8894 3183 8892 3185 8865 3189 8847
      3152 8845 3143 8863 3143 8894
TIME...MOT...LOC 2345Z 301DEG 26KT 3198 8852 3160 8928

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
720 PM CDT Sat May 24 2025

ALZ051>053-MSZ067-075-076-250115-
Clarke AL-Choctaw AL-Washington AL-Perry MS-Greene MS-Wayne MS-
720 PM CDT Sat May 24 2025

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN CHOCTAW...
NORTHWESTERN WASHINGTON...NORTHWESTERN CLARKE...PERRY...WAYNE AND
NORTHERN GREENE COUNTIES THROUGH 815 PM CDT...

At 720 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 7 miles southeast of Crandall to West
Hattiesburg. Movement was southeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Toxey, Clara, New Augusta, Silas, Chatom, Coffeeville, McLain,
Waynesboro, Gilbertown, Beaumont, State Line, Richton, Millry, and
Buckatunna.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3143 8915 3143 8894 3169 8894 3184 8872
      3189 8848 3200 8846 3172 8783 3097 8901
      3107 8915
TIME...MOT...LOC 0020Z 300DEG 21KT 3189 8846 3132 8937

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH