Severe Thunderstorm Warning 73, NWS Mobile, AL

110 
WWUS54 KMOB 242313
SVSMOB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
613 PM CDT Sat May 24 2025

ALC023-242323-
/O.CAN.KMOB.SV.W.0073.000000T0000Z-250524T2330Z/
Choctaw AL-
613 PM CDT Sat May 24 2025

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN CHOCTAW COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 3228 8801 3228 8802 3226 8801 3215 8802
      3214 8804 3211 8805 3209 8804 3206 8807
      3207 8810 3206 8811 3203 8812 3198 8846
      3218 8844 3231 8801
TIME...MOT...LOC 2309Z 255DEG 23KT 3213 8824 

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
402 PM CDT Sat May 24 2025

...New Discussion, Marine...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 401 PM CDT Sat May 24 2025

Now Through Sunday Night...

24.12Z upper air analysis shows a low-level ridge axis centered
over the Bahamas, resulting in a warm, moist, and unstable
southwesterly flow in place over the forecast area. To the north,
straddling the northern CWA boundary, is a quasi-stationary
front. South of the boundary, surface based instability ranges
2000-4000 J/KG with isolated to widely scattered showers and storms
continuing to pop-up through the afternoon. Storms have been
spreading north and northeast. A few of the storms have contained
some concentrated, frequent lightning activity and enough structure
for the issuance of a few SPS's. Overall, with High Cape-Low Shear
environment, storms have been upright with cores collapsing quickly
and resulting in short life-spans. At any rate, in addition to
lightning, storms will continue to pose a gusty wind and brief heavy
rain threat.

Atop the front, a high-level west northwest flow exists.
Upstream, forecasters see an organized convective complex embedded
in the flow aloft dropping east-southeastward and moving out of
eastern AR. Will be watching the progress of this feature through
the remainder of the day and into the evening. A small area of
slight risk of severe storms remains over Wayne Co. MS to Choctaw
and northern Wilcox Co's in AL. Elsewhere, a marginal risk of severe
weather extends north of a line from northern Mobile Co. to a
Florala AL Line. If the more organized storms upstream can hold
together, an isolated strong to severe storm with localized damaging
winds and large hail cannot be ruled out. Considering that the
convective line is approaching the MS Delta, impacts if any from the
line may not make into our area until early evening at the earliest.
All guidance shows storms quickly fading by the time they would
approach the coast tonight. Considering the flow, we may begin to
see a return to early AM slight chance of showers and storms over
the Gulf waters and coast which is consistent with the latest WPC
QPF. Patchy late night fog possible tonight over potions of the
interior.

Isolated to scattered storms are possible once again Sunday
afternoon. However, upper level shortwave ridging will be a little
more pronounced tomorrow and this may result in the best coverage
of storms staying north of our region. Will maintain a 20-40% rain
chance for Sunday, highest it appears to be over inland areas. For
Sunday night, a small chance of showers/storms up along the US Hwy
84 corridor. Potential also exists for patchy late night fog
formation.

It will certainly feel like Memorial Day weekend with highs in the
upper 80s near the coast to the lower half of the 90's inland.
Heat indices in some areas will approach or exceed 100. /10 /34

Memorial Day Through Friday...

Unsettled is the name of the game as we roll into the holiday and
onwards through the week. We aren't looking at a washout, but there
will definitely be active periods (in terms of storms) throughout
the week.

We transition to a zonal-ish flow aloft (mix of zonal and
southwesterly flow) early next week with weak ridging to our south.
A parade of subtle shortwaves dive through the flow aloft between
the weak ridging and a trough drifting across the Northern Plains
and Upper Midwest. Timing out these subtle shortwaves is difficult
at this time range, but the best chances for storms throughout the
week looks to be on Tuesday afternoon and Wednesday afternoon as
more notable shortwaves pivot through the area with increasing deep
layer moisture (especially with a weakening front lingering across
the region). Expect more of a typical summertime diurnal pattern
with the storms next week with the highest chances for rain in the
afternoon and early evening hours. Highest rainfall totals will
remain generally northwest of the I-65 corridor, across parts of
southeast Mississippi and southwest Alabama, where 3+ inches of rain
will fall. Minor/nuisance type flooding is possible, especially if
storms repeatedly move over the same locations.

Beach Forecast - Rip current risk remains LOW through the holiday,
but increases to MODERATE Tuesday through Wednesday. 07/mb

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1222 PM CDT Sat May 24 2025

Isolated to widely scattered shra/tsra this afternoon may bring
instances of brief lowering vsby with passage of RA/+RA and gusty
winds. Cigs in and near convection primarily MVFR categories.
Watching a more organized convective complex sinking east
southeast out of Arkansas this afternoon. May see this enter the
northwest zones late in the afternoon and into the early evening.
There are indications in the guidance that activity weakens with
southeast extent into forecast area. Will continue to monitor. /10

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 401 PM CDT Sat May 24 2025

A generally light onshore flow will prevail this weekend into
next week. The seabreeze will enhance winds across area bays in
the afternoon hours, becoming moderate at times, especially over
north Mobile Bay. /10

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      72  90  73  90  73  89  71  87 /  30  20  10  20  10  50  30  60
Pensacola   76  88  76  87  77  87  75  87 /  20  20   0  10  10  40  30  50
Destin      76  88  77  88  77  88  77  87 /  20  20   0  10  10  30  20  40
Evergreen   68  93  70  93  70  91  69  89 /  30  30  10  40  30  60  40  70
Waynesboro  68  93  70  92  70  90  68  87 /  40  20  20  50  30  70  40  70
Camden      68  92  69  91  70  89  68  87 /  30  40  30  50  40  70  50  70
Crestview   69  93  70  93  70  91  69  91 /  20  20  10  20  10  40  30  60

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

This product is also available on the web at:
www.weather.gov/mob

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
149 PM CDT Sat May 24 2025

ALZ055-056-241915-
Monroe AL-Conecuh AL-
149 PM CDT Sat May 24 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL MONROE AND CENTRAL
CONECUH COUNTIES THROUGH 215 PM CDT...

At 149 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Repton, or 9 miles southeast of Monroeville, moving northeast at 20
mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
I65 And US 84, Excel, Evergreen, and Repton.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3130 8724 3145 8736 3167 8707 3145 8689
TIME...MOT...LOC 1849Z 235DEG 19KT 3142 8723

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

10

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
319 PM CDT Sat May 24 2025

MSZ075-076-242045-
Perry MS-Greene MS-
319 PM CDT Sat May 24 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT EAST CENTRAL PERRY AND GREENE
COUNTIES THROUGH 345 PM CDT...

At 319 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 5
miles north of McLain, or 13 miles southeast of Richton, moving
northeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
McLain.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3106 8880 3120 8893 3143 8869 3121 8849
TIME...MOT...LOC 2019Z 232DEG 16KT 3118 8880

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

10

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
342 PM CDT Sat May 24 2025

ALZ057-058-242115-
Butler AL-Crenshaw AL-
342 PM CDT Sat May 24 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN BUTLER AND
NORTHWESTERN CRENSHAW COUNTIES THROUGH 415 PM CDT...

At 342 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 5
miles southeast of Lowndes County Airport, or 5 miles south of Fort
Deposit, moving northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Highland Home.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3178 8652 3192 8666 3197 8661 3196 8641
      3197 8640 3203 8641 3204 8640 3204 8641
      3205 8640 3205 8630 3197 8630 3197 8625
      3196 8625
TIME...MOT...LOC 2042Z 226DEG 34KT 3191 8653

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

10

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
356 PM CDT Sat May 24 2025

ALZ060-242130-
Covington AL-
356 PM CDT Sat May 24 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN COVINGTON COUNTY
THROUGH 430 PM CDT...

At 356 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Opp, moving northeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Opp.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3121 8627 3137 8637 3146 8628 3146 8626
      3144 8626 3144 8619 3124 8619
TIME...MOT...LOC 2056Z 231DEG 14KT 3130 8629

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

10

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
507 PM CDT Sat May 24 2025

MSZ075-242245-
Perry MS-
507 PM CDT Sat May 24 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL PERRY COUNTY THROUGH 545
PM CDT...

At 506 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 5
miles east of Brooklyn, or 15 miles north of Wiggins, moving
northeast at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 30 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
New Augusta and Beaumont.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3116 8914 3129 8896 3114 8884 3105 8884
      3095 8910 3102 8915
TIME...MOT...LOC 2206Z 237DEG 9KT 3107 8909

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...30 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
545 PM CDT Sat May 24 2025

ALZ051-242330-
Choctaw AL-
545 PM CDT Sat May 24 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL CHOCTAW COUNTY THROUGH
630 PM CDT...

At 545 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Butler, moving east at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 30 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Butler and Pennington.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3223 8801 3215 8802 3214 8804 3211 8805
      3209 8804 3206 8807 3207 8810 3205 8812
      3201 8812 3200 8809 3201 8809 3198 8806
      3198 8807 3196 8807 3197 8809 3195 8811
      3193 8830 3211 8836 3222 8802
TIME...MOT...LOC 2245Z 253DEG 13KT 3205 8826

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...30 MPH