Severe Thunderstorm Warning 28, NWS Melbourne, FL

540 
WWUS52 KMLB 020008
SVSMLB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
808 PM EDT Tue Apr 1 2025

FLC117-127-020030-
/O.CON.KMLB.SV.W.0028.000000T0000Z-250402T0030Z/
Seminole FL-Volusia FL-
808 PM EDT Tue Apr 1 2025

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM EDT
FOR CENTRAL SEMINOLE AND SOUTH CENTRAL VOLUSIA COUNTIES...

At 808 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Sanford, moving
northeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Lake Harney, Osteen, Orange City, Farmton, and Geneva.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

If on or near Lake Monroe, get away from the water and move indoors 
or inside a vehicle. remember, lightning can strike out to 15 miles 
from the parent thunderstorm. If you can hear thunder, you are close 
enough to be struck by lightning. Move to safe shelter now!  Do not 
be caught on the water in a thunderstorm.

&&

LAT...LON 2886 8099 2864 8113 2873 8137 2901 8129
TIME...MOT...LOC 0008Z 204DEG 15KT 2878 8125 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Heil

020 
WWUS52 KMLB 020029
SVSMLB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
829 PM EDT Tue Apr 1 2025

FLC117-127-020039-
/O.EXP.KMLB.SV.W.0028.000000T0000Z-250402T0030Z/
Seminole FL-Volusia FL-
829 PM EDT Tue Apr 1 2025

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL SEMINOLE AND SOUTH
CENTRAL VOLUSIA COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 830 PM EDT...

The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.  However gusty
winds are still possible with this thunderstorm.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
Melbourne.

LAT...LON 2886 8099 2864 8113 2873 8137 2901 8129
TIME...MOT...LOC 0029Z 205DEG 15KT 2886 8121 

$$

Heil

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
748 PM EDT Tue Apr 1 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 221 PM EDT Tue Apr 1 2025

-Showers and lightning storms are forecast late this afternoon and
 evening, mainly from Brevard to Osceola northward, as the east
 coast sea breeze forms and pushes inland. Some storms may be
 strong with the primary threat being gusty winds and lightning
 strikes.

-Patchy dense fog will be possible late overnight into early
 Wednesday morning and may reduce visibility less than 1/2 mile in
 spots.

-Warming trend through this week and into the weekend with peak heat
 indices reaching in the lower 90s west of I-95.

-Becoming dry once again mid week with no mentionable rain
 chances through the weekend.

&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
Issued at 221 PM EDT Tue Apr 1 2025

Current-Tonight...Continued warm and humid across ECFL as afternoon
maxes remain well above climo in the U80s inland and in the M80s at
the coast. Peak heat indices into the low 90s W of I-95. The
pressure gradient is weak with light SWRLY winds transitioning
onshore at the coast this afternoon, with this trend slowly
pushing inland thru late day and early evening, quicker inland
across the Treasure Coast. Expect another sea breeze collision
late (early evening) across the central peninsula. Scattered
showers and lightning storms are forecast to develop. The steering
flow will be light westerly with some erratic movement at times,
and some of this activity may drift back toward the Volusia and
north Brevard coasts. Storms will dissipate through late evening,
with highest PoPs (30-40pct) across the I-4 corridor and Osceola
County. There should be less coverage overall than was witnessed
the past couple of days. Dry conditions are then forecast across
land areas through the overnight hours.

A few storms may be strong late today with primary impacts of
frequent lightning strikes, gusty winds up to 50 mph locally, small
hail, and torrential downpours.

925 mb SERLY winds increase to 15-20 kts off the surface overnight,
which should lend toward favoring stratus over fog development, but
will follow persistence from the last couple days of rainfall and
add patchy fog for late overnight into early Wed morning. Would
suspect greatest chances would be inland from the coast where it
could again become locally dense. Overnight lows will remain mild in
the upper 60s, to around 70F with conditions humid.

Wed-Sun...Previous Discussion Modified...Mid-upper level high
pressure across the western Atlc, extending to the Florida
peninsula, will amplify and dominate the local weather pattern. This
high pressure system will slowly shift eastward before weakening
towards the end of the period. At the surface, high pressure across
the Northeast U.S. on Wed will slowly shift southward out into the
western Atlantic through the weekend, with associated ridge axis
building across the Florida peninsula by the weekend. Locally
southeast winds will persist through much of the period, becoming
breezy on Thu (15-20 mph), with speeds generally around 10 mph
across the interior, and 10-15 mph along the coast. Winds shift
south on Sun as the surface high pressure retreats south/east with
the approach of a frontal boundary across the Deep South. The east
coast sea breeze is forecast to form and push inland each afternoon
with no mentionable rain chances through the the period. Temps will
remain well above normal, with afternoon highs reaching in the the
U80s to L90s across the interior, and M80s along the coast. Peak
afternoon heat indices in the L90s W of I-95. Overnight lows will
be U60s to L70s on Wed overnight, and M-U60s Thu night onward.

Mon-Tue...Previous Discussion Modified...A broad upper-level trough
across the Midwest extending to the Gulf will shift eastward,
reaching the southeast U.S. coastline (near the Carolinas) Tue
night. An accompanying/weakening cold front across the Deep South on
Mon will push southeast across the local area Mon night into Tue
morning. The GFS is the faster solution with the ECMWF bringing the
boundary through on Tue. Either way, this will bring rain chances
back into the forecast. For now, there is a low to medium (20-40
pct) chance of showers and lightning storms across east central
Florida on Mon aftn/night along and ahead of the front before
increasing to 40-50 pct on Tue, depending on timing of this feature.
Prefrontal SW winds on Mon will veer W/NW with approach/passage of
the boundary. Winds continue to veer to N/NE further behind the
boundary, as long as it makes a clean passage.

Warm conditions on Mon, prefrontal, with noticeably cooler
temperatures behind this boundary once it passes. Afternoon highs
will be in the U80s to L90s on Mon, falling into M70s across the I-4
corridor to U70s/L80s south towards Lake Okee/Treasure Coast on Tue,
if the front passes as presently scheduled. Overnight lows into Tue
morning in the U50s north of I-4, L60s southward, except M60s along
the immediate Treasure Coast and adjacent barrier islands.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 221 PM EDT Tue Apr 1 2025

Remainder of afternoon thru Sat...Weak high pressure across the
western Atlc will periodically become reinforced thru late week,
with associated ridge axis settling across the central FL
peninsula by this weekend. Variable light winds early today
transition to SERLY with the local sea breeze regime 6-12 kts. SE
winds increase to 12-16 kts on Wed, and 15-20 kts over the Gulf
Stream Wed night-Thu night before diminishing to around 15 kts
Fri- Sat. Seas 3-4 ft build to 4-5ft Wed night-Thu night (possibly
6 ft well offshore) before slowly subsiding to 3-4 ft again Fri
aftn/Sat. Mostly dry conditions are forecast through the weekend,
except for isolated to scattered showers/lightning storms mainly
Cape Canaveral northward this evening.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFs)
Issued at 730 PM EDT Tue Apr 1 2025

Ongoing TSRA/SHRA along the sea breeze and boundary collisions
has led to gusty winds and brief MVFR/IFR cigs at interior
terminals, with KLEE reaching a gust of 40 knots in the past hour.
Strong to isolated severe storms will persist from KISM to KSFB
thru 01-02Z with gusty winds over 35 knots the primary concern.
Activity will diminish by 02Z across the interior, with coastal
terminals (especially sites south of KMLB) remaining dry.
Overnight, SE winds become variable around 5 knots, with the
potential for patchy fog at a few sites but only have confidence
to include for KDAB at this time - may be needed for KLEE/KSFB as
well. SE winds becoming breezy tomorrow, with gusts of 20-25 kts
after 15Z.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  69  84  69  84 /  30  10   0   0
MCO  71  88  71  88 /  30  10   0  10
MLB  69  83  71  83 /  20   0   0   0
VRB  69  84  71  84 /  10   0   0   0
LEE  69  90  70  90 /  30  10   0  10
SFB  69  88  70  88 /  40  10   0  10
ORL  71  88  71  89 /  30  10   0  10
FPR  69  84  70  84 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
&&

DISCUSSION...Sedlock
AVIATION...Schaper

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
645 PM EDT Tue Apr 1 2025

FLZ044-045-144-012315-
Northern Lake County FL-Orange FL-Southern Lake County FL-
645 PM EDT Tue Apr 1 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT WEST CENTRAL LAKE AND
NORTHWESTERN ORANGE COUNTIES THROUGH 715 PM EDT...

At 644 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Howey-In-the-hills, moving northeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Leesburg, Fruitland Park, Zellwood, Lake Harris, and Mount Dora.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or hard-topped vehicle. Remember, when
thunder roars, go indoors!

&&

LAT...LON 2896 8183 2896 8173 2868 8151 2859 8183
      2871 8195 2884 8195
TIME...MOT...LOC 2244Z 244DEG 13KT 2873 8181

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Heil

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
720 PM EDT Tue Apr 1 2025

FLZ046-012345-
Seminole FL-
720 PM EDT Tue Apr 1 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SEMINOLE COUNTY THROUGH 745 PM
EDT...

At 719 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Winter Springs, moving northeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Chuluota, Longwood, Winter Springs, Lake Jesup, and Oviedo.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 2883 8124 2883 8122 2881 8121 2880 8120
      2880 8118 2878 8118 2879 8116 2864 8104
      2861 8117 2861 8132 2864 8133 2864 8139
      2866 8140
TIME...MOT...LOC 2319Z 236DEG 12KT 2867 8128

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Heil