Alert archive / Florida / River Flood Warnings in 2025
River Flood Warning 4, NWS Melbourne, FL
NWS Melbourne, FL issued this river flood warning at Oct 27, 2025, 11:48 AM EDT for Seminole County, Florida. It took effect at Oct 28, 2025, 2:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 20 days.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 27, 2025, 11:48 AM EDT (15:48 UTC)
- In effect from
- Oct 28, 2025, 2:00 PM EDT
- Expired
- Nov 17, 2025, 10:48 AM EST
- In force
- 20 days
- Issued by
- NWS Melbourne, FL
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
County Seminole County, FL
The radar
The Melbourne radar (KMLB), 78 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point St. Johns River above Lake Harney (GENF1). The gauge peaked at 8.18 ft at Nov 2, 2025, 1:00 AM EDT.
- Action stage
- 6 ft
- Minor stage
- 8 ft
- Moderate stage
- 9 ft
- Major stage
- 10 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02234000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted.
561
WGUS42 KMLB 271548
FLWMLB
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
1148 AM EDT Mon Oct 27 2025
...The National Weather Service in Melbourne FL has issued a Flood
Warning for the following rivers in Florida...
St Johns River Near Above Lake Harney affecting Seminole County.
.The Saint Johns River above Lake Harney near Geneva is forecast to
steadily rise to Minor Flood Stage by midday on Tuesday due to heavy
rainfall that fell across the basin this weekend. Once reaching
Minor Flood, the river at Geneva is forecast to crest around 8.3
feet by this weekend.
For the St. Johns River...including Above Lake Harney...Minor
flooding is forecast.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued late tonight at midnight EDT.
&&
FLC117-280400-
/O.NEW.KMLB.FL.W.0004.251028T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/GENF1.1.ER.251028T1800Z.251031T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1148 AM EDT Mon Oct 27 2025
...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER
NOTICE...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...St Johns River near Above Lake Harney.
* WHEN...From Tuesday afternoon until further notice.
* IMPACTS...At 8.3 feet, Docks are partially submerged along the
river between Lake Harney and Lemon Bluff.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 10:30 AM EDT Monday the stage was 7.7 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 6.0 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
early tomorrow afternoon and continue rising to 8.3 feet
Friday morning. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
- Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (2 pm)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
St Johns River
Above Lake Harne 8.0 7.7 Mon 10 am 8.0 8.1 8.2 8.3 8.3
&&
LAT...LON 2870 8123 2879 8117 2873 8100 2854 8090
$$
Schaper22 follow-up statements
387
WGUS82 KMLB 280107
FLSMLB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
907 PM EDT Mon Oct 27 2025
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
St Johns River Near Above Lake Harney affecting Seminole County.
.The Saint Johns River above Lake Harney near Geneva is forecast to
steadily rise to minor flood stage by Tuesday night due to recent
heavy rainfall. Once reaching minor flood, the river at Geneva is
forecast to crest around 8.3 feet by this weekend.
For the St. Johns River...including Above Lake Harney...Minor
flooding is forecast.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued Tuesday morning at 1100 AM EDT.
&&
FLC117-281500-
/O.CON.KMLB.FL.W.0004.251028T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/GENF1.1.ER.251029T0000Z.251031T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
907 PM EDT Mon Oct 27 2025
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL
FURTHER NOTICE...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...St Johns River near Above Lake Harney.
* WHEN...From Tuesday afternoon until further notice.
* IMPACTS...At 8.3 feet, Docks are partially submerged along the
river between Lake Harney and Lemon Bluff.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 8:30 PM EDT Monday the stage was 7.7 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 6.0 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
tomorrow evening and continue rising to 8.3 feet on Friday.
Additional rises are possible thereafter.
- Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (8 pm)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
St Johns River
Above Lake Harne 8.0 7.7 Mon 8 pm 8.0 8.1 8.2 8.3 8.3
&&
LAT...LON 2870 8123 2879 8117 2873 8100 2854 8090
$$
Schaper653
WGUS82 KMLB 281426
FLSMLB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
1026 AM EDT Tue Oct 28 2025
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in
Florida...
St Johns River Near Above Lake Harney affecting Seminole County.
.The Saint Johns River above Lake Harney near Geneva is forecast to
steadily rise to minor flood stage tonight due to recent heavy
rainfall. Once reaching minor flood, the river at Geneva is forecast
to crest around 8.2 feet by this weekend.
For the St. Johns River...including Above Lake Harney...Minor
flooding is forecast.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued this evening at 1100 PM EDT.
&&
FLC117-290300-
/O.EXT.KMLB.FL.W.0004.251029T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/GENF1.1.ER.251029T0600Z.251030T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1026 AM EDT Tue Oct 28 2025
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER
NOTICE...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...St Johns River near Above Lake Harney.
* WHEN...From late tonight until further notice.
* IMPACTS...At 8.3 feet, Docks are partially submerged along the
river between Lake Harney and Lemon Bluff.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 9:30 AM EDT Tuesday the stage was 7.8 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 6.0 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
just after midnight tonight and continue rising to 8.2 feet
early Thursday morning. Additional rises are possible
thereafter.
- Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (8 am)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
St Johns River
Above Lake Harne 8.0 7.8 Tue 9 am 8.1 8.2 8.2 8.2 8.2
&&
LAT...LON 2870 8123 2879 8117 2873 8100 2854 8090
$$
Schaper389
WGUS82 KMLB 290118
FLSMLB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
918 PM EDT Tue Oct 28 2025
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
St Johns River Near Above Lake Harney affecting Seminole County.
.The Saint Johns River above Lake Harney, near Geneva, is forecast
to steadily rise to minor flood stage after midnight. The river is
then forecast to rise to 8.2 feet later in the week.
For the St. Johns River...including Above Lake Harney...Minor
flooding is forecast.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued Wednesday morning at 1100 AM EDT.
&&
FLC117-291500-
/O.CON.KMLB.FL.W.0004.251029T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/GENF1.1.ER.251029T0600Z.251030T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
918 PM EDT Tue Oct 28 2025
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER
NOTICE...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...St Johns River near Above Lake Harney.
* WHEN...From late tonight until further notice.
* IMPACTS...At 8.3 feet, Docks are partially submerged along the
river between Lake Harney and Lemon Bluff.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 8:30 PM EDT Tuesday the stage was 7.9 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 6.0 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
after midnight and continue rising to 8.2 feet by Thursday.
Additional rises are possible thereafter.
- Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (8 pm)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
St Johns River
Above Lake Harne 8.0 7.9 Tue 8 pm 8.1 8.2 8.2 8.2 8.2
&&
LAT...LON 2870 8123 2879 8117 2873 8100 2854 8090
$$
Schaper613
WGUS82 KMLB 291356
FLSMLB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
956 AM EDT Wed Oct 29 2025
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
St Johns River Near Above Lake Harney affecting Seminole County.
.The Saint Johns River above Lake Harney, near Geneva, is forecast
to steadily rise to minor flood stage later today. The river is then
forecast to crest near 8.2 feet this weekend.
For the St. Johns River...including Above Lake Harney...Minor
flooding is forecast.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued this evening at 1100 PM EDT.
&&
FLC117-300300-
/O.CON.KMLB.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GENF1.1.ER.251029T1800Z.251101T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
956 AM EDT Wed Oct 29 2025
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...St Johns River near Above Lake Harney.
* WHEN...Until further notice.
* IMPACTS...At 8.3 feet, Docks are partially submerged along the
river between Lake Harney and Lemon Bluff.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 9:30 AM EDT Wednesday the stage was 8.0 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 6.0 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
this afternoon and continue rising to a crest of 8.2 feet
Friday evening.
- Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (8 am)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
St Johns River
Above Lake Harne 8.0 8.0 Wed 9 am 8.1 8.1 8.2 8.2 8.1
&&
LAT...LON 2870 8123 2879 8117 2873 8100 2854 8090
$$
Schaper711
WGUS82 KMLB 300137
FLSMLB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
937 PM EDT Wed Oct 29 2025
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
St Johns River Near Above Lake Harney affecting Seminole County.
.The Saint Johns River above Lake Harney, near Geneva, is forecast
to slowly rise through minor flood stage, cresting near 8.2 feet
into the weekend.
For the St. Johns River...including Above Lake Harney...Minor
flooding is forecast.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued Thursday morning at 1100 AM EDT.
&&
FLC117-301500-
/O.CON.KMLB.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GENF1.1.ER.251029T1800Z.251101T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
937 PM EDT Wed Oct 29 2025
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...St Johns River near Above Lake Harney.
* WHEN...Until further notice.
* IMPACTS...At 8.3 feet, Docks are partially submerged along the
river between Lake Harney and Lemon Bluff.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 8:30 PM EDT Wednesday the stage was 8.0 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 6.0 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
ending at 8:30 PM EDT Wednesday was 8.1 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 8.2
feet into the weekend.
- Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (8 pm)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
St Johns River
Above Lake Harne 8.0 8.0 Wed 8 pm 8.1 8.2 8.2 8.2 8.1
&&
LAT...LON 2870 8123 2879 8117 2873 8100 2854 8090
$$
Law516
WGUS82 KMLB 301312
FLSMLB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
912 AM EDT Thu Oct 30 2025
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
St Johns River Near Above Lake Harney affecting Seminole County.
.The Saint Johns River above Lake Harney, near Geneva, is forecast
to slowly rise through Minor Flood Stage, cresting near 8.1 feet.
For the St. Johns River...including Above Lake Harney...Minor
flooding is forecast.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued this evening at 1100 PM EDT.
&&
FLC117-310300-
/O.CON.KMLB.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GENF1.1.ER.251029T1800Z.251030T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
912 AM EDT Thu Oct 30 2025
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...St Johns River near Above Lake Harney.
* WHEN...Until further notice.
* IMPACTS...At 8.0 feet, Water moves into yards on Prevatt Road off
State Road 46 near Lake Harney. Flooding of boat ramps and roads
occurs in Mullet Lake Park.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 8:30 AM EDT Thursday the stage was 8.1 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 6.0 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
ending at 8:30 AM EDT Thursday was 8.1 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to remain steady above flood
stage at 8.1 feet.
- Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (8 am)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
St Johns River
Above Lake Harne 8.0 8.1 Thu 8 am 8.1 8.1 8.1 8.1 8.1
&&
LAT...LON 2870 8123 2879 8117 2873 8100 2854 8090
$$
Schaper110
WGUS82 KMLB 310110
FLSMLB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
910 PM EDT Thu Oct 30 2025
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
St Johns River Near Above Lake Harney affecting Seminole County.
.The Saint Johns River above Lake Harney, near Geneva, is forecast
to slowly rise through Minor Flood Stage, cresting near 8.2 feet.
For the St. Johns River...including Above Lake Harney...Minor
flooding is forecast.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued Friday afternoon at noon EDT.
&&
FLC117-311600-
/O.CON.KMLB.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GENF1.1.ER.251029T1800Z.251101T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
910 PM EDT Thu Oct 30 2025
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...St Johns River near Above Lake Harney.
* WHEN...Until further notice.
* IMPACTS...At 8.3 feet, Docks are partially submerged along the
river between Lake Harney and Lemon Bluff.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 8:30 PM EDT Thursday the stage was 8.1 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 6.0 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
ending at 8:30 PM EDT Thursday was 8.1 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 8.2
feet tomorrow evening.
- Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (8 pm)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
St Johns River
Above Lake Harne 8.0 8.1 Thu 8 pm 8.2 8.2 8.1 8.1 8.1
&&
LAT...LON 2870 8123 2879 8117 2873 8100 2854 8090
$$
Sedlock854
WGUS82 KMLB 311320
FLSMLB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
920 AM EDT Fri Oct 31 2025
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
St Johns River Near Above Lake Harney affecting Seminole County.
.The Saint Johns River above Lake Harney, near Geneva, is forecast
to crest in Minor Flood Stage near 8.2 feet into this weekend. The
river is then expected to remain just above Minor Flood Stage into
early next week.
For the St. Johns River...including Above Lake Harney...Minor
flooding is forecast.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued this evening at 930 PM EDT.
&&
FLC117-010130-
/O.CON.KMLB.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GENF1.1.ER.251029T1800Z.251031T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
920 AM EDT Fri Oct 31 2025
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...St Johns River near Above Lake Harney.
* WHEN...Until further notice.
* IMPACTS...At 8.3 feet, Docks are partially submerged along the
river between Lake Harney and Lemon Bluff.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 8:30 AM EDT Friday the stage was 8.2 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 6.0 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
ending at 8:30 AM EDT Friday was 8.2 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 8.2
feet this afternoon.
- Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (8 am)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
St Johns River
Above Lake Harne 8.0 8.2 Fri 8 am 8.2 8.1 8.1 8.1 8.0
&&
LAT...LON 2870 8123 2879 8117 2873 8100 2854 8090
$$
Leahy498
WGUS82 KMLB 010050
FLSMLB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
850 PM EDT Fri Oct 31 2025
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
St Johns River Near Above Lake Harney affecting Seminole County.
.The Saint Johns River above Lake Harney, near Geneva, is forecast
to crest in Minor Flood Stage near 8.2 feet into this weekend. The
river is then expected to remain just above Minor Flood Stage into
early next week.
For the St. Johns River...including Above Lake Harney...Minor
flooding is forecast.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued Saturday afternoon at noon EDT.
&&
FLC117-011600-
/O.CON.KMLB.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GENF1.1.ER.251029T1800Z.251101T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
850 PM EDT Fri Oct 31 2025
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...St Johns River near Above Lake Harney.
* WHEN...Until further notice.
* IMPACTS...At 8.3 feet, Docks are partially submerged along the
river between Lake Harney and Lemon Bluff.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 8:30 PM EDT Friday the stage was 8.2 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 6.0 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
ending at 8:30 PM EDT Friday was 8.2 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 8.2
feet just after midnight tonight.
- Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (8 pm)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
St Johns River
Above Lake Harne 8.0 8.2 Fri 8 pm 8.2 8.1 8.1 8.0 8.0
&&
LAT...LON 2870 8123 2879 8117 2873 8100 2854 8090
$$066
WGUS82 KMLB 011320
FLSMLB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
920 AM EDT Sat Nov 1 2025
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
St Johns River Near Above Lake Harney affecting Seminole County.
.The Saint Johns River above Lake Harney near Geneva is forecast
to crest in Minor Flood Stage near 8.2 feet this weekend. The river
will then gradually decline within Minor Flood Stage towards the
middle of next week.
For the St. Johns River...including Above Lake Harney...Minor
flooding is forecast.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued this evening at 1100 PM EDT.
&&
FLC117-020300-
/O.CON.KMLB.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GENF1.1.ER.251029T1800Z.251101T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
920 AM EDT Sat Nov 1 2025
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...St Johns River near Above Lake Harney.
* WHEN...Until further notice.
* IMPACTS...At 8.3 feet, Docks are partially submerged along the
river between Lake Harney and Lemon Bluff.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 8:30 AM EDT Saturday the stage was 8.2 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 6.0 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
ending at 8:30 AM EDT Saturday was 8.2 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 8.2
this weekend before slowly declining back to 8.0 feet towards
the middle of next week.
- Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (9 am)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
St Johns River
Above Lake Harne 8.0 8.2 Sat 8 am 8.2 8.1 8.1 8.0 8.0
&&
LAT...LON 2870 8123 2879 8117 2873 8100 2854 8090
$$
Tollefsen852
WGUS82 KMLB 020102
FLSMLB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
902 PM EDT Sat Nov 1 2025
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
St Johns River Near Above Lake Harney affecting Seminole County.
.The Saint Johns River above Lake Harney near Geneva is forecast
to crest in Minor Flood Stage near 8.2 feet this weekend. The river
will then gradually decline within Minor Flood Stage into the middle
of next week.
For the St. Johns River...including Above Lake Harney...Minor
flooding is forecast.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued Sunday morning at 1100 AM EST.
&&
FLC117-021600-
/O.CON.KMLB.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GENF1.1.ER.251029T1800Z.251102T0500Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
902 PM EDT Sat Nov 1 2025
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...St Johns River near Above Lake Harney.
* WHEN...Until further notice.
* IMPACTS...At 8.3 feet, Docks are partially submerged along the
river between Lake Harney and Lemon Bluff.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 8:30 PM EDT Saturday the stage was 8.2 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 6.0 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
ending at 8:30 PM EDT Saturday was 8.2 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 8.2
feet just after midnight tonight.
- Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (8 pm)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
St Johns River
Above Lake Harne 8.0 8.2 Sat 8 pm 8.2 8.1 8.1 8.0 8.0
&&
LAT...LON 2870 8123 2879 8117 2873 8100 2854 8090
$$807
WGUS82 KMLB 021256
FLSMLB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
756 AM EST Sun Nov 2 2025
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
St Johns River Near Above Lake Harney affecting Seminole County.
.The Saint Johns River above Lake Harney near Geneva is forecast
to hold near the crest of 8.2 feet through the day today. The river
will then gradually decline within Minor Flood Stage into the middle
of next week.
For the St. Johns River...including Above Lake Harney...Minor
flooding is forecast.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued this evening at 1100 PM EST.
&&
FLC117-030400-
/O.CON.KMLB.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GENF1.1.ER.251029T1800Z.251102T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
756 AM EST Sun Nov 2 2025
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...St Johns River near Above Lake Harney.
* WHEN...Until further notice.
* IMPACTS...At 8.3 feet, Docks are partially submerged along the
river between Lake Harney and Lemon Bluff.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 7:30 AM EST Sunday the stage was 8.2 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 6.0 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
ending at 7:30 AM EST Sunday was 8.2 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to hold at a crest of 8.2
feet this afternoon.
- Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 am)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
St Johns River
Above Lake Harne 8.0 8.2 Sun 7 am 8.1 8.1 8.0 8.0 8.0
&&
LAT...LON 2870 8123 2879 8117 2873 8100 2854 8090
$$
Kelly193
WGUS82 KMLB 030056
FLSMLB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
756 PM EST Sun Nov 2 2025
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
St Johns River Near Above Lake Harney affecting Seminole County.
.The Saint Johns River above Lake Harney near Geneva is forecast
to hold near the crest of 8.2 feet into the day on Monday. The river
will then gradually decline within Minor Flood Stage into late next
week.
For the St. Johns River...including Above Lake Harney...Minor
flooding is forecast.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued Monday morning at 1100 AM EST.
&&
FLC117-031600-
/O.CON.KMLB.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GENF1.1.ER.251029T1800Z.251103T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
756 PM EST Sun Nov 2 2025
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...St Johns River near Above Lake Harney.
* WHEN...Until further notice.
* IMPACTS...At 8.3 feet, Docks are partially submerged along the
river between Lake Harney and Lemon Bluff.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 7:30 PM EST Sunday the stage was 8.2 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 6.0 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
ending at 7:30 PM EST Sunday was 8.2 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 8.2
feet just after midnight tonight.
- Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 pm)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
St Johns River
Above Lake Harne 8.0 8.2 Sun 7 pm 8.1 8.1 8.0 8.0 8.0
&&
LAT...LON 2870 8123 2879 8117 2873 8100 2854 8090
$$841
WGUS82 KMLB 031413
FLSMLB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
913 AM EST Mon Nov 3 2025
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
St Johns River Near Above Lake Harney affecting Seminole County.
.The Saint Johns River above Lake Harney near Geneva is forecast
to continue a gradual decline within Minor Flood Stage, falling into
Action Stage late this week.
For the St. Johns River...including Above Lake Harney...Minor
flooding is forecast.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued this evening at 1100 PM EST.
&&
FLC117-040400-
/O.CON.KMLB.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GENF1.1.ER.251029T1800Z.251103T1800Z.251107T0000Z.NO/
913 AM EST Mon Nov 3 2025
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...St Johns River near Above Lake Harney.
* WHEN...Until further notice.
* IMPACTS...At 8.0 feet, Water moves into yards on Prevatt Road off
State Road 46 near Lake Harney. Flooding of boat ramps and roads
occurs in Mullet Lake Park.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 8:30 AM EST Monday the stage was 8.2 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 6.0 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
ending at 8:30 AM EST Monday was 8.2 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to continue a gradual
decline through Minor Flood Stage, falling below flood stage
late this week.
- Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 am)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
St Johns River
Above Lake Harne 8.0 8.2 Mon 8 am 8.1 8.1 8.0 7.9 7.8
&&
LAT...LON 2870 8123 2879 8117 2873 8100 2854 8090
$$
Tollefsen932
WGUS82 KMLB 040102
FLSMLB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
802 PM EST Mon Nov 3 2025
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
St Johns River Near Above Lake Harney affecting Seminole County.
.The Saint Johns River above Lake Harney near Geneva is forecast
to continue a gradual decline within Minor Flood Stage, falling into
Action Stage late this week.
For the St. Johns River...including Above Lake Harney...Minor
flooding is forecast.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued Tuesday morning at 1100 AM EST.
&&
FLC117-041600-
/O.EXT.KMLB.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-251107T0600Z/
/GENF1.1.ER.251029T1800Z.251104T0600Z.251107T0000Z.NO/
802 PM EST Mon Nov 3 2025
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...St Johns River near Above Lake Harney.
* WHEN...Until early Friday morning.
* IMPACTS...At 8.3 feet, Docks are partially submerged along the
river between Lake Harney and Lemon Bluff.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 7:30 PM EST Monday the stage was 8.2 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 6.0 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
ending at 7:30 PM EST Monday was 8.2 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 8.2
feet just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below
flood stage Thursday evening.
- Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 pm)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
St Johns River
Above Lake Harne 8.0 8.2 Mon 7 pm 8.1 8.0 8.0 7.9 7.8
&&
LAT...LON 2870 8123 2879 8117 2873 8100 2854 8090
$$082
WGUS82 KMLB 041443
FLSMLB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
943 AM EST Tue Nov 4 2025
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
St Johns River Near Above Lake Harney affecting Seminole County.
.The Saint Johns River above Lake Harney near Geneva is forecast
to continue a gradual decline within Minor Flood Stage, falling into
Action Stage late this week.
For the St. Johns River...including Above Lake Harney...Minor
flooding is forecast.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued this evening at 1100 PM EST.
&&
FLC117-050400-
/O.CON.KMLB.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-251107T0600Z/
/GENF1.1.ER.251029T1800Z.251103T0700Z.251107T0000Z.NO/
943 AM EST Tue Nov 4 2025
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...St Johns River near Above Lake Harney.
* WHEN...Until early Friday morning.
* IMPACTS...At 8.0 feet, Water moves into yards on Prevatt Road off
State Road 46 near Lake Harney. Flooding of boat ramps and roads
occurs in Mullet Lake Park.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 8:30 AM EST Tuesday the stage was 8.1 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 6.0 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
ending at 8:30 AM EST Tuesday was 8.2 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
Thursday night and continue falling to 7.7 feet Sunday
morning.
- Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 am)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
St Johns River
Above Lake Harne 8.0 8.1 Tue 8 am 8.1 8.0 7.9 7.8 7.7
&&
LAT...LON 2870 8123 2879 8117 2873 8100 2854 8090
$$
Kelly691
WGUS82 KMLB 050147
FLSMLB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
847 PM EST Tue Nov 4 2025
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
St Johns River Near Above Lake Harney affecting Seminole County.
.The Saint Johns River above Lake Harney near Geneva is forecast
to continue a gradual decline within Minor Flood Stage, falling into
Action Stage late this week.
For the St. Johns River...including Above Lake Harney...Minor
flooding is forecast.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued Wednesday morning at 1100 AM EST.
&&
FLC117-051600-
/O.CON.KMLB.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-251107T0600Z/
/GENF1.1.ER.251029T1800Z.251103T0700Z.251107T0000Z.NO/
847 PM EST Tue Nov 4 2025
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...St Johns River near Above Lake Harney.
* WHEN...Until early Friday morning.
* IMPACTS...At 8.0 feet, Water moves into yards on Prevatt Road off
State Road 46 near Lake Harney. Flooding of boat ramps and roads
occurs in Mullet Lake Park.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 8:30 PM EST Tuesday the stage was 8.1 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 6.0 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
ending at 8:30 PM EST Tuesday was 8.2 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 8.1
feet just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below
flood stage Thursday evening.
- Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 pm)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
St Johns River
Above Lake Harne 8.0 8.1 Tue 8 pm 8.0 8.0 7.9 7.8 7.7
&&
LAT...LON 2870 8123 2879 8117 2873 8100 2854 8090
$$629
WGUS82 KMLB 051251
FLSMLB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
751 AM EST Wed Nov 5 2025
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
St Johns River Near Above Lake Harney affecting Seminole County.
.The Saint Johns River above Lake Harney near Geneva is forecast
to continue a gradual decline within Minor Flood Stage, falling into
Action Stage late this week.
For the St. Johns River...including Above Lake Harney...Minor
flooding is forecast.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued this evening at 1000 PM EST.
&&
FLC117-060300-
/O.CON.KMLB.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-251107T0600Z/
/GENF1.1.ER.251029T1800Z.251103T0700Z.251107T0000Z.NO/
751 AM EST Wed Nov 5 2025
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...St Johns River near Above Lake Harney.
* WHEN...Until early Friday morning.
* IMPACTS...At 8.0 feet, Water moves into yards on Prevatt Road off
State Road 46 near Lake Harney. Flooding of boat ramps and roads
occurs in Mullet Lake Park.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 7:30 AM EST Wednesday the stage was 8.1 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 6.0 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
ending at 7:30 AM EST Wednesday was 8.1 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 8.1
feet this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage
tomorrow evening.
- Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 am)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
St Johns River
Above Lake Harne 8.0 8.1 Wed 7 am 8.0 7.9 7.8 7.7 7.6
&&
LAT...LON 2870 8123 2879 8117 2873 8100 2854 8090
$$
Leahy200
WGUS82 KMLB 060220
FLSMLB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
920 PM EST Wed Nov 5 2025
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
St Johns River Near Above Lake Harney affecting Seminole County.
.The Saint Johns River above Lake Harney near Geneva is forecast
to continue a gradual decline into Action Stage late this week.
For the St. Johns River...including Above Lake Harney...Minor
flooding is forecast.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued Thursday morning at 930 AM EST.
&&
FLC117-061430-
/O.CON.KMLB.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-251107T0600Z/
/GENF1.1.ER.251029T1800Z.251103T0700Z.251107T0000Z.NO/
920 PM EST Wed Nov 5 2025
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...St Johns River near Above Lake Harney.
* WHEN...Until early Friday morning.
* IMPACTS...At 8.0 feet, Water moves into yards on Prevatt Road off
State Road 46 near Lake Harney. Flooding of boat ramps and roads
occurs in Mullet Lake Park.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 8:30 PM EST Wednesday the stage was 8.1 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 6.0 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
ending at 8:30 PM EST Wednesday was 8.1 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
tomorrow evening.
- Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 pm)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
St Johns River
Above Lake Harne 8.0 8.1 Wed 8 pm 8.0 7.8 7.7 7.7 7.6
&&
LAT...LON 2870 8123 2879 8117 2873 8100 2854 8090
$$
Heil482
WGUS82 KMLB 061441
FLSMLB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
941 AM EST Thu Nov 6 2025
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in
Florida...
St Johns River Near Above Lake Harney affecting Seminole County.
.The Saint Johns River above Lake Harney near Geneva is forecast to
drop from Minor Flood Stage to Action Stage in the next day or two,
then continue a very slow decline through Action Stage for several
weeks.
For the St. Johns River...including Cocoa 9w, Above Lake Harney,
Sanford, Deland, Astor...Minor flooding is forecast.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued this evening at 1100 PM EST.
&&
FLC117-070400-
/O.EXT.KMLB.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-251107T1200Z/
/GENF1.1.ER.251029T1800Z.251103T0700Z.251107T0600Z.NO/
941 AM EST Thu Nov 6 2025
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TOMORROW MORNING...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...St Johns River near Above Lake Harney.
* WHEN...Until tomorrow morning.
* IMPACTS...At 8.0 feet, Water moves into yards on Prevatt Road off
State Road 46 near Lake Harney. Flooding of boat ramps and roads
occurs in Mullet Lake Park.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 8:30 AM EST Thursday the stage was 8.0 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 6.0 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
ending at 8:30 AM EST Thursday was 8.1 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
just after midnight tonight and continue falling to 7.5 feet
Tuesday morning.
- Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 am)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
St Johns River
Above Lake Harne 8.0 8.0 Thu 8 am 7.9 7.8 7.8 7.7 7.5
&&
LAT...LON 2870 8123 2879 8117 2873 8100 2854 8090
$$
Haley211
WGUS82 KMLB 061446
FLSMLB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
946 AM EST Thu Nov 6 2025
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
St Johns River Near Above Lake Harney affecting Seminole County.
.The Saint Johns River above Lake Harney near Geneva is forecast to
drop from Minor Flood Stage to Action Stage in the next day or two,
then continue a very slow decline through Action Stage for several
weeks.
For the St. Johns River...including Above Lake Harney...Minor
flooding is forecast.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued this evening at 1115 PM EST.
&&
FLC117-070415-
/O.CON.KMLB.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-251107T1200Z/
/GENF1.1.ER.251029T1800Z.251103T0700Z.251107T0600Z.NO/
946 AM EST Thu Nov 6 2025
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL TOMORROW MORNING...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...St Johns River near Above Lake Harney.
* WHEN...Until tomorrow morning.
* IMPACTS...At 8.0 feet, Water moves into yards on Prevatt Road off
State Road 46 near Lake Harney. Flooding of boat ramps and roads
occurs in Mullet Lake Park.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 8:30 AM EST Thursday the stage was 8.0 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 6.0 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
ending at 8:30 AM EST Thursday was 8.1 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
just after midnight tonight and continue falling to 7.5 feet
Tuesday morning.
- Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 am)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
St Johns River
Above Lake Harne 8.0 8.0 Thu 8 am 7.9 7.8 7.8 7.7 7.5
&&
LAT...LON 2870 8123 2879 8117 2873 8100 2854 8090
$$
Haley014
WGUS82 KMLB 070114
FLSMLB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
814 PM EST Thu Nov 6 2025
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
St Johns River Near Above Lake Harney affecting Seminole County.
.The Saint Johns River above Lake Harney near Geneva is forecast to
drop from Minor Flood Stage to Action Stage on Friday morning, then
continue a very slow decline through Action Stage for several weeks.
For the St. Johns River...including Above Lake Harney...Minor
flooding is forecast.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued Friday morning at 700 AM EST.
&&
FLC117-071200-
/O.CON.KMLB.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-251107T1200Z/
/GENF1.1.ER.251029T1800Z.251103T0700Z.251107T0600Z.NO/
814 PM EST Thu Nov 6 2025
...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL TOMORROW MORNING...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...St Johns River near Above Lake Harney.
* WHEN...Until tomorrow morning.
* IMPACTS...At 8.0 feet, Water moves into yards on Prevatt Road off
State Road 46 near Lake Harney. Flooding of boat ramps and roads
occurs in Mullet Lake Park.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 7:30 PM EST Thursday the stage was 8.0 feet.
- Bankfull stage is 6.0 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to fall below 8.0 feet on
Friday morning.
- Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7 pm)
Location Stg Stg Day/Time Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
St Johns River
Above Lake Harne 8.0 8.0 Thu 7 pm 7.9 7.8 7.7 7.6 7.5
&&
LAT...LON 2870 8123 2879 8117 2873 8100 2854 8090
$$
HeilWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Melbourne, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Oct 27, 10:17 AM EDT, 1 hour 31 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- Issued at 425 AM EDT Mon Oct 27 2025
- Warm and humid today with additional showers and storms developing ahead of a cool front. Flood Watch has been extended for Volusia, Lake, Seminole, Orange, Osceola, and Brevard counties through 8PM.
- Drier and cooler conditions will move in Tue with reinforcing cool, dry air for late week.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 27, 10:17 AM EDT, 1 hour 31 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
1017 AM EDT Mon Oct 27 2025
...New MARINE...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 425 AM EDT Mon Oct 27 2025
- Warm and humid today with additional showers and storms
developing ahead of a cool front. Flood Watch has been extended
for Volusia, Lake, Seminole, Orange, Osceola, and Brevard
counties through 8PM.
- Drier and cooler conditions will move in Tue with reinforcing
cool, dry air for late week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 425 AM EDT Mon Oct 27 2025
Today...Warm front will lift just north of our area this morning
placing us in a warm humid airmass. Low pressure will organize
just off the GA coast and scoot eastward dragging the old front
back southward as a cool front late tonight and Tue. Sufficient
moisture will be present with PWATs 1.8"-2.0" combined with
daytime heating to support scattered to numerous showers and
storms today (PoPs 70%). Max temperatures in the mid 80s with
some upper 80s south will contribute to increased surface
instability. In fact, the combination of heat and humidity will
produce a heat index in the mid 90s across southern sections.
Gusty winds and even some small hail may accompany the stronger
storms esp south of Orlando late in the day. Have extended the
Flood Watch primarily due to the excessive rainfall that occurred
yesterday and cannot rule out the potential for locally heavy
rainfall again today but will not experience the excessive
rainfall totals of 10-20" that occurred in portions of north Lake
and north Brevard.
Tue-Sun...Northerly winds behind the front will advect drier and
slightly cooler air with no mentionable PoPs for Tuesday. Max
temps will range from the upper 70s northern Volusia to the mid
80s Martin county. Multiple shortwave troughs are forecast to
carve out deep troughing over the eastern US from mid week
through the weekend. This will allow a stronger cold front to push
cleanly through the area Wed night and with little chance for
rain. Most noticeable will be the cooler temperatures with
afternoon highs holding in the 70s on Thu-Sat and a slow warmup
Sun. Coolest min temps will be Fri and Sat mornings in the upper
40s across north Lake and interior Volusia and 50s elsewhere
(except near 60 coastal Martin).
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1014 AM EDT Mon Oct 27 2025
A frontal boundary stalled north of the local waters today will
push south across the area Tuesday. High pressure then builds east
over the Gulf and Florida into midweek. A dry reinforcing cold
front from another low pressure system working across the eastern
US is forecast to push cleanly through by Thursday.
Winds veer SE today and decrease. Buoy observations show seas
remain up to 7 ft in the nearshore waters north of Sebastian
Inlet, so have extended Small Craft Advisories there through 3 PM.
The offshore (beyond 20nm) Volusia and BRevard waters will hold
onto 7 ft seas until late in the day. NW-N flow develops Tue into
Wed with speeds 12-17 knots Tue and 10-14 knots Wed so poor
conditions are forecast esp over the Gulf Stream. Seas may build
back to 7 ft well offshore Volusia as soon as Tue night.
A stronger cold front will push cleanly through Wed night with
increase in W/NW flow 15-20 knots Thu decreasing 10-14 knots Fri
as high pressure builds in from the NW. Seas 7-8 Ft are forecast
to build down the Gulf Stream Wed night-Thu so another round of
SCAs will likely be needed offshore mid to late week.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFs)
Issued at 733 AM EDT Mon Oct 27 2025
A warm front draped across Central Florida is producing some MVFR
CIGs early this morning. The cloud field is discontinuous and
driven by small scale effects, with not much confidence in
evolution, so some ECFL terminals carry TEMPOs for MVFR
conditions. Daytime heating should dissipate/lift CIGS to VFR
after around 13Z. TS/SH over the Atlantic waters will continue to
harass the coastal terminals, primarily KVRB- KSUA through much of
the day. SCT-NUM TS/SH expected later today ahead of a cold
front, but confidence in timing is lower than normal. Highest
chances are after 18Z, but could see initial development before
15Z. TS/SH should be quicker moving than yesterday, but a couple
rounds are possible. Most terminals should be clear of TS/SH
impacts by around 01Z, but impacts could linger along coastal
terminals later. There is potential for IFR-LIFR conditions to
develop late tonight into early Tuesday morning as the front
pushes through.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB 84 67 78 61 / 70 20 0 0
MCO 87 69 82 63 / 70 20 0 0
MLB 84 70 82 66 / 70 30 0 0
VRB 85 68 83 66 / 70 30 0 0
LEE 84 66 80 59 / 70 10 0 0
SFB 85 68 81 61 / 70 20 0 0
ORL 85 68 81 62 / 70 20 0 0
FPR 86 68 84 66 / 70 30 0 0
&&
.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Flood Watch until 8 PM EDT this evening for FLZ041-044>046-053-
141-144-247-347-447-547-647-747.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 3 PM EDT this afternoon for AMZ550-
552.
Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for AMZ570-572.
&&
DISCUSSION...Leahy
AVIATION...HaleyThe office that day
Everything else NWS Melbourne, FL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 8:02 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | MLB | Lake | 118 min |
| Oct 26, 8:04 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | MLB | Brevard | 56 min |
| Oct 26, 8:11 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | MLB | 64 min | |
| Oct 26, 8:18 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | MLB | 117 min | |
| Oct 26, 8:32 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | MLB | Brevard | 88 min |
| Oct 26, 8:40 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | MLB | 2 hr | |
| Oct 26, 8:42 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | MLB | Indian River | 3 hr |
| Oct 26, 8:59 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | MLB | Brevard | 61 min |
| Oct 26, 9:05 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | MLB | 55 min | |
| Oct 26, 9:23 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MLB | Brevard | 52 min |
| Oct 26, 9:29 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | MLB | Lake, Orange | 91 min |
| Oct 26, 9:47 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | MLB | Brevard | 43 min |
| Oct 26, 9:52 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | MLB | Brevard | 4 hr |
| Oct 26, 9:57 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | MLB | Lake | 3 hr |
| Oct 26, 9:59 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | MLB | Brevard | 16 min |
| Oct 26, 10:05 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | MLB | 115 min | |
| Oct 26, 10:11 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | MLB | 57 min | |
| Oct 26, 10:15 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | MLB | Brevard | 60 min |
| Oct 26, 10:18 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | MLB | Lake | 27 min |
| Oct 26, 10:31 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | MLB | Lake, Orange | 119 min |
| Oct 26, 10:59 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | MLB | Lake, Orange | 2 hr |
| Oct 26, 11:44 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | MLB | Lake, Orange, Seminole | 91 min |
| Oct 27, 12:55 AM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | MLB | Lake, Orange | 6 hr |
| Oct 27, 1:51 AM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | MLB | Brevard | 5 hr |
| Oct 27, 7:22 AM EDT | Special Marine Warning | MLB | 38 min | |
| Oct 27, 7:38 AM EDT | Special Marine Warning | MLB | 37 min | |
| Oct 27, 7:54 AM EDT | Special Marine Warning | MLB | 51 min | |
| Oct 27, 8:12 AM EDT | Special Marine Warning | MLB | 48 min | |
| Oct 27, 8:58 AM EDT | Special Marine Warning | MLB | 47 min | |
| Oct 27, 9:47 AM EDT | Special Marine Warning | MLB | 43 min | |
| Oct 27, 4:30 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | MLB | Volusia | 45 min |
| Oct 27, 5:01 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | MLB | Lake | 29 min |
| Oct 27, 5:04 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | MLB | Volusia | 56 min |
| Oct 27, 5:04 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | MLB | Orange | 26 min |
| Oct 27, 5:07 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MLB | Volusia | 22 min |
| Oct 27, 5:09 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | MLB | 96 min | |
| Oct 27, 5:12 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MLB | Lake, Orange | 18 min |
| Oct 27, 5:19 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MLB | Brevard, Orange | 26 min |
| Oct 27, 5:27 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | MLB | Orange | 33 min |
| Oct 27, 5:32 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | MLB | 88 min | |
| Oct 27, 5:36 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | MLB | Brevard | 39 min |
| Oct 27, 5:40 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | MLB | Lake, Orange, Osceola | 95 min |
| Oct 27, 5:56 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | MLB | Lake, Orange | 61 min |
| Oct 27, 6:15 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | MLB | Seminole | 45 min |
| Oct 27, 6:18 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | MLB | Osceola | 27 min |
| Oct 27, 6:27 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | MLB | Orange | 80 min |
| Oct 27, 6:37 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | MLB | 54 min | |
| Oct 27, 7:10 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | MLB | 35 min | |
| Oct 27, 7:47 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | MLB | 107 min | |
| Oct 27, 7:51 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | MLB | 39 min |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Florida, 2025Every river flood warning in 2025
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.