Severe Thunderstorm Warning 72, NWS Milwaukee, WI

674 
WWUS53 KMKX 232331
SVSMKX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
631 PM CDT Mon Jun 23 2025

WIC027-039-047-131-240030-
/O.CON.KMKX.SV.W.0072.000000T0000Z-250624T0030Z/
Fond du Lac WI-Green Lake WI-Washington WI-Dodge WI-
631 PM CDT Mon Jun 23 2025

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM CDT
FOR FOND DU LAC...EASTERN GREEN LAKE...WASHINGTON AND DODGE
COUNTIES...

At 629 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 7 miles northeast of Rush Lake to near Watertown,
moving east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated and reports from law enforcement. Scattered 
         tree damage occurred earlier with these storms in Green 
         Lake and Columbia Counties. 
       

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Fond Du Lac, West Bend, Watertown, Beaver Dam, Hartford, Waupun,
Ripon, Jackson, Berlin, Mayville, Slinger, North Fond Du Lac,
Kewaskum, Horicon, Juneau, Germantown, Lomira, Campbellsport,
Markesan, and Theresa.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4398 8889 4390 8888 4389 8841 4394 8840
      4394 8817 4354 8816 4354 8815 4319 8817
      4320 8901 4398 8899
TIME...MOT...LOC 2329Z 277DEG 36KT 4397 8871 4324 8876 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

GEHRING

970 
WWUS53 KMKX 232336
SVSMKX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
636 PM CDT Mon Jun 23 2025

WIC047-232344-
/O.CAN.KMKX.SV.W.0072.000000T0000Z-250624T0030Z/
Green Lake WI-
636 PM CDT Mon Jun 23 2025

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN GREEN LAKE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM CDT for
south central, southeastern and east central Wisconsin.

LAT...LON 4354 8816 4354 8815 4319 8817 4320 8901
      4363 8900 4363 8889 4390 8888 4389 8841
      4394 8840 4394 8817
TIME...MOT...LOC 2334Z 277DEG 36KT 4397 8866 4324 8871 

$$

WIC027-039-131-240030-
/O.CON.KMKX.SV.W.0072.000000T0000Z-250624T0030Z/
Fond du Lac WI-Washington WI-Dodge WI-
636 PM CDT Mon Jun 23 2025

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM CDT
FOR FOND DU LAC...WASHINGTON AND DODGE COUNTIES...

At 634 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 6 miles southwest of Oshkosh to near Watertown, moving
east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Law enforcement. Scattered trees were reported down earlier 
         when these storms moved through Columbia and Green Lake 
         Counties. 

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Fond Du Lac, West Bend, Watertown, Beaver Dam, Hartford, Waupun,
Ripon, Jackson, Mayville, Slinger, North Fond Du Lac, Kewaskum,
Horicon, Juneau, Germantown, Lomira, Campbellsport, Theresa,
Hustisford, and Oakfield.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4354 8816 4354 8815 4319 8817 4320 8901
      4363 8900 4363 8889 4390 8888 4389 8841
      4394 8840 4394 8817
TIME...MOT...LOC 2334Z 277DEG 36KT 4397 8866 4324 8871 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

GEHRING

144 
WWUS53 KMKX 232359
SVSMKX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
659 PM CDT Mon Jun 23 2025

WIC027-039-131-240030-
/O.CON.KMKX.SV.W.0072.000000T0000Z-250624T0030Z/
Fond du Lac WI-Washington WI-Dodge WI-
659 PM CDT Mon Jun 23 2025

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM CDT
FOR FOND DU LAC...WASHINGTON AND EASTERN DODGE COUNTIES...

At 658 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near St Anna to near Lisbon, moving east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Public. Uprooted trees were reported in Waupun at 638 PM 
         CDT. 

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Fond Du Lac, West Bend, Watertown, Hartford, Jackson, Mayville,
Slinger, North Fond Du Lac, Kewaskum, Horicon, Juneau, Germantown,
Lomira, Campbellsport, Theresa, Hustisford, Oakfield, Iron Ridge,
Southern Lake Winnebago, and Richfield.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4354 8816 4354 8815 4319 8817 4320 8881
      4363 8860 4365 8859 4389 8852 4389 8841
      4394 8840 4394 8817
TIME...MOT...LOC 2358Z 274DEG 47KT 4393 8823 4320 8828 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

GEHRING

308 
WWUS53 KMKX 240015
SVSMKX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
715 PM CDT Mon Jun 23 2025

WIC027-240024-
/O.CAN.KMKX.SV.W.0072.000000T0000Z-250624T0030Z/
Dodge WI-
715 PM CDT Mon Jun 23 2025

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN DODGE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM CDT for
southeastern and east central Wisconsin.

LAT...LON 4354 8816 4354 8815 4319 8817 4319 8841
      4364 8835 4370 8835 4388 8834 4394 8834
      4394 8817
TIME...MOT...LOC 0014Z 277DEG 36KT 4391 8803 4318 8808 

$$

WIC039-131-240030-
/O.CON.KMKX.SV.W.0072.000000T0000Z-250624T0030Z/
Fond du Lac WI-Washington WI-
715 PM CDT Mon Jun 23 2025

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM CDT
FOR EASTERN FOND DU LAC AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES...

At 714 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Camp Rokilio Scout Camp to near Menomonee Falls,
moving east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Public.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
West Bend, Hartford, Jackson, Slinger, Kewaskum, Germantown,
Campbellsport, Southern Lake Winnebago, Richfield, Addison, Mount
Calvary, Wayne, St. Cloud, Waucousta, Calvary, Marytown, New Fane,
Monches, Johnsburg, and Saint Lawrence.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4354 8816 4354 8815 4319 8817 4319 8841
      4364 8835 4370 8835 4388 8834 4394 8834
      4394 8817
TIME...MOT...LOC 0014Z 277DEG 36KT 4391 8803 4318 8808 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

GEHRING

143 
WWUS53 KMKX 240025
SVSMKX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
725 PM CDT Mon Jun 23 2025

WIC039-131-240035-
/O.EXP.KMKX.SV.W.0072.000000T0000Z-250624T0030Z/
Fond du Lac WI-Washington WI-
725 PM CDT Mon Jun 23 2025

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN FOND DU LAC AND
WASHINGTON COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 730 PM CDT...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM CDT for
southeastern and east central Wisconsin.

LAT...LON 4354 8816 4354 8815 4319 8817 4319 8841
      4364 8835 4370 8835 4388 8834 4394 8834
      4394 8817
TIME...MOT...LOC 0025Z 277DEG 36KT 4390 8791 4317 8796 

$$

GEHRING

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
320 PM CDT Mon Jun 23 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Heat headlines remain in effect until 7 PM CDT.

- A line of thunderstorms is expected to move southeastward
  across the region this afternoon and evening, weakening and
  stalling nearby into the overnight hours. A level 2 out of 5
  severe risk is present, mainly on account of thunderstorm wind
  gusts. Localized heavy rainfall will also be a concern.

- Multiple rounds of thunderstorms and a level 2 out of 4 risk
  for excessive rainfall will be present Tuesday through
  Thursday, as the surface front stalls overhead.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
Issued 320 PM CDT Mon Jun 23 2025

Tonight through Tuesday night:

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in effect west of a Monroe to
Sheboygan line at the moment as we monitor a broken line of
showers and thunderstorms approaching from central WI. With
roughly 3000 joules MLCAPE, and over 1000 joules of DCAPE
(strong cold pooling expected due to dry air aloft), the primary
hazard with these storms will be damaging wind gusts. The line
of storms is expected to track southeastward through the
remainder of this afternoon and evening before weakening into
tonight.

Heat headlines expire at 7 PM CDT today as convection and the
shutdown of daytime heating work together to cool things off.
Even with the stalling cold front and convection, we only drop
to around 70 degrees flat for an overnight low temp tonight.
Though it will be noticeably cooler Tuesday, the air will
remain warm and muggy (dewpoints in the low 70s and highs), with
the warmest temperatures (highs in the upper 80s) expected
further south (pending frontal boundary placement).

Additional rounds of showers and thunderstorms expected on
Tuesday, primarily (but not exclusively) in the afternoon and
early evening hours. Though the severe weather threat decreases
to a level 1 out of 5, the excessive rainfall risk remains a
level 2 out of 4 given the high PWAT values (around 2") overhead
and the potential for training convection.

Sheppard

&&

.LONG TERM...
Issued 320 PM CDT Mon Jun 23 2025

Wednesday through Monday:

As high pressure over Canada interacts with subtropical high
pressure over the southeastern CONUS, the surface baroclinic zone
remains stalled nearby. Periods of showers and thunderstorms are
expected to continue developing along the boundary Wednesday and
Wednesday night (widespread 40-75% rain chances). Exact rain chances
/ amounts, and storm intensity will depend on the exact location of
the boundary (how close it is) and the timing of perturbations
triggering convection along it, both of which are uncertain. With
any convection overhead, training storms and localized heavy
rainfall will remain a possibility (level 2 out of 4 risk, highest
further north). If a lull in activity were to occur in the morning /
early afternoon (allowing for diurnal destabilization) a few
stronger storms could occur. For the time being, most models are
placing the theta-e gradient (boundary) further north, allowing the
majority of Wednesday / Wednesday night's rain to fall closer to
Wausau, though this could easily change, and even those solutions
still place some rain in our region.

For Thursday, a 500-250mb trough in the jet begins to interact with
the baroclinic zone, developing a surface low pressure to our west.
This could allow southwesterly sfc flow to develop and lift a warm
sector nearby / overhead. The approach of the low and advection of
unstable air from the south allows for continued 50-80% rain
chances, and exactly how this shakes out will again depend on
initial surface boundary placement and low pressure track.

Precip chances decrease to 20-35% for Friday, given that the
favored model solution is for us to be in the wake of the
departing low pressure, leaving potential for us to be in the
dry slot of the system. Some model solutions do leave the
baroclinic zone nearby (and some additional shower / storm
chances).

Light southerly flow likely to continue into Saturday along with the
25% chances for showers / storms. Low predictability from this
period onwards, but a trough in the jet would suggest an
increase in precip chances into Sunday.

Sheppard

&&

.AVIATION...
Issued 320 PM CDT Mon Jun 23 2025

Scattered to broken diurnal cumulus and breezy southwest winds
are present ahead of the approaching cold front (in central WI
as we speak), ceilings around 4 to 5 thousand feet (VFR).
Clusters of storms along the front in central WI are expected to
evolve into a broken line and push southeastward through the
rest of the afternoon and evening before weakening as the front
stalls out tonight (storms may or may not reach far southeastern
WI, roughly a 50/50 chance). A few strong storms will be
possible, with cumulonimbus bases around 4,500 ft initially,
with some lower ceilings (MVFR) possible behind the storms, and
anywhere storms linger for longer than an hour or two.

Late tonight, storms are expected to decrease in coverage,
though the remnants of the stalled front will be nearby (PROB30
groups for continued showers or weaker storms in the TAFs).

Mostly light and variable winds (predominantly northeast
towards central WI) through Tuesday, with additional rounds of
scattered showers and thunderstorms likely at times.

Sheppard

&&

.MARINE...
Issued 320 PM CDT Mon Jun 23 2025

Gusty southwest winds expected over nearshore zones ahead of the
approaching cold front. The existing Small Craft Advisory
expires at 9 PM CDT this evening, with light westerly winds
behind the front late tonight. Along the front, showers and
thunderstorms are expected. Thunderstorms will be capable of
damaging winds, as well as an abrupt wind shift from southwest
to due west or northwest.

Low pressure around 29.7 inches continues eastward from eastern
Ontario Canada today, with a cold front extending southwest of it
drifting into the northern two thirds of Lake Michigan later this
afternoon into this evening, accompanied by a broken line of
thunderstorms capable of strong wind gusts. Ahead of the front,
breezy south to southwest continue.

The front stalls over the southern end of the lake Tuesday
morning through at least Thursday. As a result, winds will be
modest, with generally north winds through the work week until
south winds return on Thursday as the front briefly lifts north
ahead of approaching low pressure. With the presence of the front,
multiple round of thunderstorms are expected throughout the
upcoming week.

Sheppard

&&

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...Heat Advisory...WIZ046-WIZ047-WIZ051-WIZ052-WIZ056-WIZ057-
     WIZ058-WIZ059-WIZ060-WIZ062-WIZ063-WIZ064-WIZ065-WIZ067-
     WIZ068-WIZ069-WIZ070 until 7 PM Monday.

LM...Small Craft Advisory...LMZ643-LMZ644-LMZ645-LMZ646 until 9 PM
     Monday.

&&

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Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
322 AM CDT Mon Jun 23 2025

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-240830-
Marquette-Green Lake-Fond du Lac-Sheboygan-Sauk-Columbia-Dodge-
Washington-Ozaukee-Iowa-Dane-Jefferson-Waukesha-Milwaukee-
Lafayette-Green-Rock-Walworth-Racine-Kenosha-
322 AM CDT Mon Jun 23 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of east central
Wisconsin, south central Wisconsin and southeast Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Hot and humid conditions stick around today with heat indices
between 100 and 105. Heat headlines continue until this evening.

A line of storms will develop over central Wisconsin and move into
southwest and south central Wisconsin during the evening before
weakening. A few strong storms with gusty winds will be possible,
along with locally heavy rainfall.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

There are chances for thunderstorms at times Tuesday through
Thursday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed Monday afternoon and evening.

LMZ643>646-240830-
Sheboygan to Port Washington WI-
Port Washington to North Point Light WI-
North Point Light to Wind Point WI-
Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL-
322 AM CDT Mon Jun 23 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the nearshore waters from
Sheboygan Wisconsin to Winthrop Harbor Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A Small Craft Advisory is in effect Monday through Monday
evening, due to gusty south to southwest winds.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

There are chances for thunderstorms at times Monday afternoon
through Thursday.

LMZ080-261-362-364-366-563-565-567-669-671-673-675-777-779-868-
870-872-874-876-878-240830-
Lake Michigan Michigan City IN to St. Joseph MI 5 NM offshore to
mid-line of lake.-
Lake Michigan from Seul Choix Point to Rock Island Passage 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan South of a line from Seul Choix Point to the
Mackinac Bridge and North of a line from Charlevoix MI to South
Fox Island 5NM offshore-
Lake Michigan from Charlevoix to Point Betsie MI 5NM Offshore to
mid lake-
Lake Michigan from Point Betsie to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Rock Island Passage to Sturgeon Bay WI 5NM
offshore to mid lake-
Lake Michigan from Sturgeon Bay to Two Rivers WI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Two Rivers to Sheboygan WI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from Sheboygan to Port Washington WI 5NM offshore
to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Port Washington to North Point Light WI 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from North Point Light to Wind Point WI 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Winthrop Harbor to Wilmette Harbor IL 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Wilmette Harbor to Michigan City in 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Pentwater to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from Whitehall to Pentwater MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from Grand Haven to Whitehall MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Holland to Grand Haven MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from South Haven to Holland MI 5NM offshore to Mid
lake-
Lake Michigan from St Joseph to South Haven MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
322 AM CDT Mon Jun 23 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the open waters of Lake
Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Thunderstorms capable of gusty winds will move over the northern
two-thirds of the lake this evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

There are chances of thunderstorms at times Tuesday through
Thursday.

www.weather.gov/mkx

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
509 PM CDT Mon Jun 23 2025

WIZ056-057-232300-
Columbia WI-Sauk WI-
509 PM CDT Mon Jun 23 2025

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN COLUMBIA AND
NORTHERN SAUK COUNTIES THROUGH 600 PM CDT...

At 508 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Lyndon Station to 11 miles northeast of
Richland Center. Movement was east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Baraboo, Reedsburg, Wisconsin Dells, Lake Delton, West Baraboo, North
Freedom, La Valle, Rock Springs, Loganville, Ironton, Lime Ridge, and
Hill Point.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 90/94 between mile markers 88 and 99.
 U.S. Highway 12 between mile markers 213 and 219.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM CDT for
south central Wisconsin.

&&

LAT...LON 4354 9019 4364 9003 4364 8955 4363 8949
      4339 8990 4335 9019
TIME...MOT...LOC 2208Z 279DEG 22KT 4366 8989 4346 9022

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

GEHRING

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
617 PM CDT Mon Jun 23 2025

WIZ058-063-064-240000-
Dodge WI-Jefferson WI-Dane WI-
617 PM CDT Mon Jun 23 2025

...GUSTY SHOWERS WILL IMPACT EASTERN DANE...JEFFERSON AND
SOUTHWESTERN DODGE COUNTIES THROUGH 700 PM CDT...

At 617 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking gusty showers over
Marshall, moving east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph with outflow from storms to the
         north.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Eastern Madison, Sun Prairie, Fitchburg, Watertown, Whitewater,
Stoughton, Fort Atkinson, Oregon, Jefferson, McFarland, Monona, Lake
Mills, Marshall, Waterloo, Cottage Grove, Johnson Creek, Deerfield,
Palmyra, Cambridge, and Lac La Belle.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 39/90/94 between mile markers 136 and 137.
 U.S. Highway 12 between mile markers 264 and 273.
 U.S. Highway 151 between mile markers 99 and 112.
 Interstate 39/90 between mile markers 138 and 159.
 Interstate 94 between mile markers 241 and 278.
 Wisconsin Highway 26 between mile markers 16 and 49.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM CDT for
south central and southeastern Wisconsin.

&&

LAT...LON 4291 8947 4328 8918 4328 8853 4284 8855
TIME...MOT...LOC 2317Z 274DEG 39KT 4313 8908

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

KUROSKI