Beach Hazards Statement 68, NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC

348 
WHUS42 KMHX 140849
CFWMHX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
449 AM EDT Sun Sep 14 2025

NCZ203-205-150000-
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0068.250914T1200Z-250915T0000Z/
Northern Outer Banks-Hatteras Island-
449 AM EDT Sun Sep 14 2025

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS 
EVENING...

* WHAT...Dangerous rip currents, large breaking waves expected, 
  and strong longshore currents in the surf zone.

* WHERE...The beaches north of Cape Hatteras.

* WHEN...From 8 AM EDT this morning through this evening.

* IMPACTS...Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away 
  from shore into deeper water. Dangerous shore break can throw 
  a swimmer or surfer head first into the bottom causing neck 
  and back injuries. Strong longshore currents will create 
  dangerous swimming conditions.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip
  currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide,
  which will occur around 7:00 AM Sunday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Life-threatening rip currents. If caught in a rip current, remain
calm. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.

Shore break occurs when waves break directly on the beach. It is
extremely important to protect your head and neck whenever you
are in breaking waves by keeping your hands in front of you at
all times.

Strong longshore currents can sweep swimmers and surfers into rip
currents, piers, jetties and other hazardous areas. In many
cases, the longshore current is strong enough to prevent swimmers
from being able to keep their feet on the bottom making it
difficult to return to shore.

&&

$$

NCZ195-196-199-204-150000-
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0068.250914T1200Z-250915T0000Z/
West Carteret-East Carteret-Coastal Onslow-Ocracoke Island-
449 AM EDT Sun Sep 14 2025

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS 
EVENING...

* WHAT...Strong longshore currents in the surf zone.

* WHERE...The beaches from Ocracoke Inlet to Cape Lookout, the
  beaches from Beaufort Inlet to Surf City, and Ocracoke Island 
  beaches.

* WHEN...From 8 AM EDT this morning through this evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong longshore currents will create dangerous 
  swimming conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Strong longshore currents can sweep swimmers and surfers into rip
currents, piers, jetties and other hazardous areas. In many
cases, the longshore current is strong enough to prevent swimmers
from being able to keep their feet on the bottom making it
difficult to return to shore.

&&

$$

Martin

684 
WHUS42 KMHX 141514
CFWMHX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
1114 AM EDT Sun Sep 14 2025

NCZ203-205-150000-
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0068.000000T0000Z-250915T0000Z/
Northern Outer Banks-Hatteras Island-
1114 AM EDT Sun Sep 14 2025

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Dangerous rip currents, large breaking waves, and 
  strong longshore currents in the surf zone.

* WHERE...The beaches north of Cape Hatteras.

* WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away 
  from shore into deeper water. Dangerous shore break can throw 
  a swimmer or surfer head first into the bottom causing neck 
  and back injuries. Strong longshore currents will create 
  dangerous swimming conditions.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip
  currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide,
  which will occur around 8:30 PM Sunday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Life-threatening rip currents. If caught in a rip current, remain
calm. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.

Shore break occurs when waves break directly on the beach. It is
extremely important to protect your head and neck whenever you
are in breaking waves by keeping your hands in front of you at
all times.

Strong longshore currents can sweep swimmers and surfers into rip
currents, piers, jetties and other hazardous areas. In many
cases, the longshore current is strong enough to prevent swimmers
from being able to keep their feet on the bottom making it
difficult to return to shore.

&&

$$

NCZ195-196-199-204-150000-
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0068.000000T0000Z-250915T0000Z/
West Carteret-East Carteret-Coastal Onslow-Ocracoke Island-
1114 AM EDT Sun Sep 14 2025

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Strong longshore currents in the surf zone.

* WHERE...The beaches from Ocracoke Inlet to Cape Lookout, beaches
  from Beaufort Inlet to Surf City, and Ocracoke Island beaches.

* WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong longshore currents will create dangerous 
  swimming conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Strong longshore currents can sweep swimmers and surfers into rip
currents, piers, jetties and other hazardous areas. In many
cases, the longshore current is strong enough to prevent swimmers
from being able to keep their feet on the bottom making it
difficult to return to shore.

&&

$$

509 
WHUS42 KMHX 142010
CFWMHX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
410 PM EDT Sun Sep 14 2025

NCZ203-205-150815-
/O.NEW.KMHX.CF.Y.0010.250914T2010Z-250917T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMHX.SU.Y.0007.250915T0600Z-250916T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0068.000000T0000Z-250915T0000Z/
Northern Outer Banks-Hatteras Island-
410 PM EDT Sun Sep 14 2025

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT TUESDAY...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 8 PM EDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, 1 to 2 feet of 
  inundation above ground level in low-lying areas near shorelines
  and tidal waterways. For the Beach Hazards Statement, dangerous
  rip currents, large breaking waves, and strong longshore 
  currents in the surf zone. For the High Surf Advisory, large 
  breaking waves of 5 to 10 feet expected in the surf zone.

* WHERE...Northern Outer Banks and Hatteras Island.

* WHEN...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, until 8 PM EDT Tuesday. 
  For the Beach Hazards Statement, until 8 PM EDT this evening. 
  For the High Surf Advisory, from 2 AM to 8 PM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Flooding of lots, parks, and roads with only isolated
  road closures expected. Dangerous swimming and surfing
  conditions and localized beach erosion. Rip currents can sweep
  even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water.
  Dangerous shore break can throw a swimmer or surfer head first
  into the bottom causing neck and back injuries. Strong longshore
  currents will create dangerous swimming conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.

Inexperienced swimmers should remain out of the water due to
dangerous surf conditions.

Life-threatening rip currents. If caught in a rip current, remain
calm. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.

Shore break occurs when waves break directly on the beach. It is
extremely important to protect your head and neck whenever you
are in breaking waves by keeping your hands in front of you at
all times.

Strong longshore currents can sweep swimmers and surfers into rip
currents, piers, jetties and other hazardous areas. In many
cases, the longshore current is strong enough to prevent swimmers
from being able to keep their feet on the bottom making it
difficult to return to shore.

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

Duck NC
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.5 ft, Moderate 6.0 ft, Major 6.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.8 ft, Moderate 2.3 ft, Major 2.8 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 14/02 PM     5.2        1.5        1.1        6       None    
 15/02 AM     4.1        0.4        1.1        6       None    
 15/03 PM     5.3        1.6        1.3        7       None    
 16/03 AM     4.5        0.8        1.5       7-8      None    
 16/04 PM     5.3        1.6        1.4       5-6      None    
 17/05 AM     4.4        0.7        1.2        4       None

&&

$$

NCZ196-150815-
/O.NEW.KMHX.CF.Y.0010.250914T2010Z-250916T0900Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0068.000000T0000Z-250915T0000Z/
East Carteret-
410 PM EDT Sun Sep 14 2025

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT TUESDAY...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, 1 to 2 feet of 
  inundation above ground level in low-lying areas near shorelines
  and tidal waterways. For the Beach Hazards Statement, strong 
  longshore currents in the surf zone.

* WHERE...East Carteret County.

* WHEN...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, until 5 AM EDT Tuesday. 
  For the Beach Hazards Statement, until 8 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Flooding of lots, parks, and roads with only isolated
  road closures expected. Strong longshore currents will create
  dangerous swimming conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.

Strong longshore currents can sweep swimmers and surfers into rip
currents, piers, jetties and other hazardous areas. In many
cases, the longshore current is strong enough to prevent swimmers
from being able to keep their feet on the bottom making it
difficult to return to shore.

&&

$$

NCZ204-150815-
/O.NEW.KMHX.CF.Y.0010.250914T2010Z-250917T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0068.000000T0000Z-250915T0000Z/
Ocracoke Island-
410 PM EDT Sun Sep 14 2025

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT TUESDAY...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, 1 to 2 feet of 
  inundation above ground level in low-lying areas near shorelines
  and tidal waterways. For the Beach Hazards Statement, strong 
  longshore currents in the surf zone.

* WHERE...Ocracoke Island.

* WHEN...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, until 8 PM EDT Tuesday. 
  For the Beach Hazards Statement, until 8 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Flooding of lots, parks, and roads with only isolated
  road closures expected. Strong longshore currents will create
  dangerous swimming conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.

Strong longshore currents can sweep swimmers and surfers into rip
currents, piers, jetties and other hazardous areas. In many
cases, the longshore current is strong enough to prevent swimmers
from being able to keep their feet on the bottom making it
difficult to return to shore.

&&

$$

NCZ094-194-150815-
/O.NEW.KMHX.CF.Y.0010.250914T2010Z-250916T0900Z/
Pamlico-Southern Craven-
410 PM EDT Sun Sep 14 2025

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT TUESDAY...

* WHAT...1 to 2 feet of inundation above ground level in low- 
  lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.

* WHERE...Areas along the Pamlico Sound, Trent, Bay and lower 
  Neuse Rivers, and adjacent tidal creeks.

* WHEN...Until 5 AM EDT Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Flooding of lots, parks, and roads with only isolated
  road closures expected.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.

&&

$$

NCZ195-199-150000-
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0068.000000T0000Z-250915T0000Z/
West Carteret-Coastal Onslow-
410 PM EDT Sun Sep 14 2025

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Strong longshore currents in the surf zone.

* WHERE...Crystal Coast beaches.

* WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong longshore currents will create dangerous 
  swimming conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Strong longshore currents can sweep swimmers and surfers into rip
currents, piers, jetties and other hazardous areas. In many
cases, the longshore current is strong enough to prevent swimmers
from being able to keep their feet on the bottom making it
difficult to return to shore.

&&

$$

799 
WHUS42 KMHX 142356
CFWMHX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
756 PM EDT Sun Sep 14 2025

NCZ203-205-151200-
/O.CAN.KMHX.BH.S.0068.000000T0000Z-250915T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMHX.BH.S.0069.250915T0000Z-250916T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.CF.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-250917T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.SU.Y.0007.250915T0600Z-250916T0000Z/
Northern Outer Banks-Hatteras Island-
756 PM EDT Sun Sep 14 2025

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT
TUESDAY...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 8 PM EDT
MONDAY...

* WHAT...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, 1 to 2 feet of 
  inundation above ground level in low-lying areas near shorelines
  and tidal waterways. For the Beach Hazards Statement, dangerous
  rip currents, large breaking waves expected, and strong 
  longshore currents in the surf zone. For the High Surf Advisory,
  large breaking waves of 5 to 10 feet expected in the surf zone.

* WHERE...Northern Outer Banks and Hatteras Island.

* WHEN...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, until 8 PM EDT Tuesday. 
  For the Beach Hazards Statement, through Monday evening. For 
  the High Surf Advisory, from 2 AM to 8 PM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Flooding of lots, parks, and roads with only isolated
  road closures expected. Dangerous swimming and surfing
  conditions and localized beach erosion. Rip currents can sweep
  even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water.
  Dangerous shore break can throw a swimmer or surfer head first
  into the bottom causing neck and back injuries. Strong longshore
  currents will create dangerous swimming conditions.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip
  currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide,
  which will occur around 8:00 AM Monday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.

Inexperienced swimmers should remain out of the water due to
dangerous surf conditions.

Life-threatening rip currents. If caught in a rip current, remain
calm. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.

Shore break occurs when waves break directly on the beach. It is
extremely important to protect your head and neck whenever you
are in breaking waves by keeping your hands in front of you at
all times.

Strong longshore currents can sweep swimmers and surfers into rip
currents, piers, jetties and other hazardous areas. In many
cases, the longshore current is strong enough to prevent swimmers
from being able to keep their feet on the bottom making it
difficult to return to shore.

&&

$$

NCZ196-151200-
/O.CAN.KMHX.BH.S.0068.000000T0000Z-250915T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMHX.BH.S.0069.250915T0000Z-250916T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.CF.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-250916T0900Z/
East Carteret-
756 PM EDT Sun Sep 14 2025

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT
TUESDAY...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, 1 to 2 feet of 
  inundation above ground level in low-lying areas near shorelines
  and tidal waterways. For the Beach Hazards Statement, dangerous
  rip currents, large breaking waves expected, and strong 
  longshore currents in the surf zone.

* WHERE...East Carteret County.

* WHEN...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, until 5 AM EDT Tuesday. 
  For the Beach Hazards Statement, through Monday evening.

* IMPACTS...Flooding of lots, parks, and roads with only 
  isolated road closures expected. Rip currents can sweep even 
  the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water. Dangerous 
  shore break can throw a swimmer or surfer head first into the 
  bottom causing neck and back injuries. Strong longshore 
  currents will create dangerous swimming conditions.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip
  currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide,
  which will occur around 8:00 AM Monday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.

Life-threatening rip currents. If caught in a rip current, remain
calm. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.

Shore break occurs when waves break directly on the beach. It is
extremely important to protect your head and neck whenever you
are in breaking waves by keeping your hands in front of you at
all times.

Strong longshore currents can sweep swimmers and surfers into rip
currents, piers, jetties and other hazardous areas. In many
cases, the longshore current is strong enough to prevent swimmers
from being able to keep their feet on the bottom making it
difficult to return to shore.

&&

$$

NCZ204-151200-
/O.CAN.KMHX.BH.S.0068.000000T0000Z-250915T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMHX.BH.S.0069.250915T0000Z-250916T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.CF.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-250917T0000Z/
Ocracoke Island-
756 PM EDT Sun Sep 14 2025

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT
TUESDAY...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, 1 to 2 feet of 
  inundation above ground level in low-lying areas near shorelines
  and tidal waterways. For the Beach Hazards Statement, dangerous
  rip currents, large breaking waves expected, and strong 
  longshore currents in the surf zone.

* WHERE...Ocracoke Island.

* WHEN...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, until 8 PM EDT Tuesday. 
  For the Beach Hazards Statement, through Monday evening.

* IMPACTS...Flooding of lots, parks, and roads with only 
  isolated road closures expected. Rip currents can sweep even 
  the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water. Dangerous 
  shore break can throw a swimmer or surfer head first into the 
  bottom causing neck and back injuries. Strong longshore 
  currents will create dangerous swimming conditions.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip
  currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide,
  which will occur around 8:00 AM Monday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.

Life-threatening rip currents. If caught in a rip current, remain
calm. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.

Shore break occurs when waves break directly on the beach. It is
extremely important to protect your head and neck whenever you
are in breaking waves by keeping your hands in front of you at
all times.

Strong longshore currents can sweep swimmers and surfers into rip
currents, piers, jetties and other hazardous areas. In many
cases, the longshore current is strong enough to prevent swimmers
from being able to keep their feet on the bottom making it
difficult to return to shore.

&&

$$

NCZ195-199-150100-
/O.CAN.KMHX.BH.S.0068.000000T0000Z-250915T0000Z/
West Carteret-Coastal Onslow-
756 PM EDT Sun Sep 14 2025

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IS CANCELLED...

$$

NCZ094-194-151200-
/O.CON.KMHX.CF.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-250916T0900Z/
Pamlico-Southern Craven-
756 PM EDT Sun Sep 14 2025

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...1 to 2 feet of inundation above ground level in low- 
  lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.

* WHERE...Areas along the Pamlico Sound, Trent, Bay and lower 
  Neuse Rivers, and adjacent tidal creeks.

* WHEN...Until 5 AM EDT Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Flooding of lots, parks, and roads with only 
  isolated road closures expected.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.

&&

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
632 PM EDT Sat Sep 13 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure builds in from the north through this weekend.
Early next week an offshore front and low pressure meander
closer to the coast which may bring more unsettled conditions to
ENC.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TONIGHT/...
As of 6:25 PM Saturday...The forecast remains on track with no
changes needed.

Previous Discussion...As of 230 PM Saturday...An upper trough
is extending south along the eastern seaboard with sfc high
pressure ridging south into the area and a frontal boundary
stalled offshore and a weak low pressure area roughly 225 nm SE
of Cape Lookout. Little change in the pattern through the short
term with NE flow continuing to bring temps a few degrees below
normal. The developing low will meander a little closer to the
coast overnight and could see a few showers skirting the coast
late, otherwise will have a dry forecast across the area. Lows
will be in the upper 50s/lower 60s inland to mid to upper 60s
coast.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY/...
As of 245 PM Saturday...The upper trough will begin to
transition into a cut-off low Sunday as stronger shortwave
energy pushes east of New England. Meanwhile, the developing low
off the coast continues to meander near the stalled frontal
boundary but will begin to make more of an approach toward the
coast late tonight as the upper low begins to take shape. Mainly
dry conditions expected during the morning but could see widely
scattered showers begin to move inland from the coast during the
afternoon. Breezy conditions continue with NW winds gusting around
20 mph inland and 25-30 mph along the coast. Temps will continue
a few degrees below normal with highs in the upper 70s to lower
80s.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 200 AM Saturday...

Key Messages...

 -Rain chances associated with coastal low pick up next week

Models are in better agreement on a low pressure system off of the
NC coast but the level of organization and intensity differs
depending on the model with the NAM developing it more vigorously
than the EC or the GFS. The other piece of the puzzle is the upper
trough becoming cutoff completely and remaining stationary somewhere
over the Carolinas. More southerly and inland solutions bring more
rain to the eastern part of the state early next week and through
midweek. More northerly solutions tend to keep most of the moisture
offshore so we will need to watch how this evolves but safe to say
rain chances increasing quite a bit for midweek. By the end of the
week this feature will either move northward or remain stationary
but weaken and dissipate. Attention will then turn to a potential
new low coming off of the FL coast for next weekend.

High temperatures generally in the low 80s for much of the week
with lows early in the week in the upper 50s inland to low to
mid 60s along the coast, moderating into the low to mid 60s
everywhere by the middle of next week. Temperatures rise into
the mid 80s for most locations by the end of the week.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
SHORT TERM /through Sunday/...
As of 6:30 PM Saturday...VFR conditions are expected through the
period. The overnight hours will have broken to scattered high
clouds with light variable winds, which should keep the boundary
layer mixed enough to preclude any fog development. High clouds
will stick around tomorrow and the stalled boundary offshore
will cause breezy northeasterly winds with gusts up to 20 kt in
the afternoon. Scattered showers may try to move inland from
the coast tomorrow afternoon, but confidence is not high enough
to include VCSH for eastern terminals at this time.

LONG TERM /Sunday night through Thursday/...
As of 2 AM Saturday...Pred VFR flight conditions expected
through the long term, with gusty N/NE winds along the coast. A
slow moving low pressure area may impact the area late Monday
through the middle of the week which may bring periods of sub-
VFR conditions, especially in heavier showers.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM /through Sunday/...
As of 2 PM Saturday...

Key Messages...

 - Rough Marine conditions continue through short term.

High pressure is ridging across the piedmont while frontal
boundary remains stalled off the coast keeping tight pressure
gradients across the region. Latest obs show NE winds 15-20 kt
with gusts around 25-30 kt, and seas 5-7 ft. Expect similar
conditions through the short term. Some guidance shows winds
diminishing a few knots tonight but they pick back up Sunday.
SCA continues for the coastal waters through the short term and
have extended the Pamlico Sound through the period as well with
frequent gusts likely much of the period.

LONG TERM /Sunday night through Thursday/...
As of 2 AM Saturday...

Key Messages:

- Gusty northerly winds continue through the long term

- Small Craft Advisory conditions persist into early next week

- High uncertainty in the marine forecast for next week

Early next week, a weak low may form off the SE coast. Model
guidance remains uncertain regarding the strength, location, and
track of the low, should it even develop. Some solutions
indicate the low will be weaker, which may allow SCA conditions
to gradually taper off through the early part of the work week,
while other solutions depict a stronger low that may yield
another round of gusty winds and high seas. As a result, higher
than normal level of uncertainty with the magnitude of the winds
at the end of the long term period.

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...Beach Hazards Statement until 8 PM EDT this evening for NCZ203-
     205.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT Tuesday for AMZ135.
     Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM EDT Thursday for AMZ150.
     Small Craft Advisory until midnight EDT Wednesday night for
     AMZ152.
     Small Craft Advisory until 5 PM EDT Wednesday for AMZ154.
     Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT Wednesday for AMZ156-158.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MHX
NEAR TERM...SK/OJC
SHORT TERM...SK
LONG TERM...RTE
AVIATION...OJC/ZC
MARINE...SK/ZC

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
205 PM EDT Sat Sep 13 2025

NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>092-094-193>195-198-199-141815-
Martin-Pitt-Washington-Tyrrell-Mainland Dare-Greene-Beaufort-
Mainland Hyde-Duplin-Lenoir-Jones-Pamlico-Northern Craven-
Southern Craven-West Carteret-Inland Onslow-Coastal Onslow-
205 PM EDT Sat Sep 13 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ196-204-141815-
East Carteret-Ocracoke Island-
205 PM EDT Sat Sep 13 2025

...MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Moderate Rip Current Risk.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ205-141815-
Hatteras Island-
205 PM EDT Sat Sep 13 2025

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING
NORTH OF CAPE HATTERAS...
...MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING
SOUTH OF CAPE HATTERAS...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Beach Hazards Statement.
   Moderate Rip Current Risk.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ203-141815-
Northern Outer Banks-
205 PM EDT Sat Sep 13 2025

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Beach Hazards Statement.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.