Alert archive / North Carolina / Beach Hazards Statements in 2025
Beach Hazards Statement 64, NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC
NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC issued this beach hazards statement at Sep 10, 2025, 1:46 AM EDT for Dare County, North Carolina. It took effect at Sep 10, 2025, 8:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 12 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 10, 2025, 1:46 AM EDT (05:46 UTC)
- In effect from
- Sep 10, 2025, 8:00 AM EDT
- Expired
- Sep 10, 2025, 8:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 12 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC
County Dare County, NC
The radar
The Morehead City radar (KMHX), 150 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Newport, NC (KMHX), launched 00:00Z, 5.8 hours before the alert went out and 150 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 667 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 18 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 32 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 172 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.1
The text
As transmitted.
780
WHUS42 KMHX 100546
CFWMHX
Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
146 AM EDT Wed Sep 10 2025
NCZ094-194-196-101800-
/O.CON.KMHX.CF.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-250911T0300Z/
Pamlico-Southern Craven-East Carteret-
146 AM EDT Wed Sep 10 2025
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
* WHAT...Up to 1 to 2 feet of inundation above ground level in
low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.
* WHERE...Areas along the Pamlico Sound, Trent, Bay and lower
Neuse Rivers, and adjacent tidal creeks.
* WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT Wednesday.
* IMPACTS...Up to 1 to 2 feet of inundation above ground level is
possible in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways
resulting in a low threat of property damage. Some roads and low
lying property including parking lots, parks, lawns, and homes
adjacent to the waterfront will experience shallow flooding.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.
&&
$$
NCZ195-199-101800-
/O.CON.KMHX.CF.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-250911T0300Z/
West Carteret-Coastal Onslow-
146 AM EDT Wed Sep 10 2025
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
* WHAT...Up to 1 to 2 feet of inundation above ground level in
low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.
* WHERE...Areas along Bogue Banks beaches, Bogue Sound, the
Newport and White Oak Rivers, and adjacent tidal creeks, and
areas in North Topsail Beach, the lower New River, and
adjacent tidal creeks.
* WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT Wednesday.
* IMPACTS...Up to 1 to 2 feet of inundation above ground level is
possible in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways
resulting in a low threat of property damage. Some roads and low
lying property including parking lots, parks, lawns, and homes
adjacent to the waterfront will experience shallow flooding.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.
&&
Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.
Beaufort Marine Lab NC
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.0 ft, Moderate 5.5 ft, Major 6.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor -0.8 ft, Moderate -0.3 ft, Major 0.7 ft
Total Total Departure
Day/Time Tide Tide from Norm Waves Flood
ft MLLW ft MHHW ft ft Impact
-------- --------- --------- --------- ------- --------
09/10 PM 5.0 -0.8 1.1 1 Minor
10/10 AM 5.0 -0.8 0.8 1 Minor
10/11 PM 4.8 -1.0 1.1 1 None
11/11 AM 5.1 -0.7 0.9 1 Minor
12/12 AM 4.6 -1.2 1.1 1 None
12/12 PM 5.1 -0.7 0.9 1 Minor
&&
$$
NCZ203-101800-
/O.NEW.KMHX.BH.S.0064.250910T1100Z-250911T0000Z/
Northern Outer Banks-
146 AM EDT Wed Sep 10 2025
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM EDT THIS MORNING
THROUGH THIS EVENING...
* WHAT...Dangerous rip currents and large breaking waves
expected in the surf zone.
* WHERE...Northern Outer Banks beaches.
* WHEN...From 7 AM EDT this morning through this evening.
* IMPACTS...Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away
from shore into deeper water. Dangerous shore break can throw
a swimmer or surfer head first into the bottom causing neck
and back injuries.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip
currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide,
which will occur around 4 PM this afternoon.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Life-threatening rip currents. If caught in a rip current, remain
calm. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.
Shore break occurs when waves break directly on the beach. It is
extremely important to protect your head and neck whenever you
are in breaking waves by keeping your hands in front of you at
all times.
&&
$$3 follow-up statements
149
WHUS42 KMHX 100756
CFWMHX
Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
356 AM EDT Wed Sep 10 2025
NCZ094-194-100900-
/O.CAN.KMHX.CF.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-250911T0300Z/
Pamlico-Southern Craven-
356 AM EDT Wed Sep 10 2025
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...
Strong northeasterly winds have lessened, and any further
inundation is expected to be less than one foot above ground level.
$$
NCZ196-102000-
/O.CON.KMHX.CF.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-250911T0300Z/
East Carteret-
356 AM EDT Wed Sep 10 2025
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
* WHAT...Up to 1 to 2 feet of inundation above ground level in
low- lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.
* WHERE...Areas along the lower Neuse River, Pamlico, Core and
Back Sounds, and adjacent tidal creeks.
* WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT this evening.
* IMPACTS...Up to 1 to 2 feet of inundation above ground level is
possible in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways
resulting in a low threat of property damage. Some roads and
low lying property including parking lots, parks, lawns, and
homes adjacent to the waterfront will experience shallow
flooding.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.
&&
Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.
Beaufort Marine Lab NC
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.0 ft, Moderate 5.5 ft, Major 6.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor -0.8 ft, Moderate -0.3 ft, Major 0.7 ft
Total Total Departure
Day/Time Tide Tide from Norm Waves Flood
ft MLLW ft MHHW ft ft Impact
-------- --------- --------- --------- ------- --------
10/10 AM 5.2 -0.6 1.0 1 Minor
10/11 PM 4.7 -1.1 1.0 1 None
11/11 AM 5.3 -0.5 1.1 1 Minor
12/12 AM 4.7 -1.1 1.2 1 None
12/12 PM 5.3 -0.5 1.1 1 Minor
13/12 AM 4.4 -1.4 1.1 1 None
&&
$$
NCZ195-199-102000-
/O.CON.KMHX.CF.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-250911T0300Z/
West Carteret-Coastal Onslow-
356 AM EDT Wed Sep 10 2025
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
* WHAT...Up to 1 to 2 feet of inundation above ground level in
low- lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.
* WHERE...Areas along Bogue Banks beaches, Bogue Sound, the
Newport and White Oak Rivers, and adjacent tidal creeks, and
areas in North Topsail Beach, the lower New River, and
adjacent tidal creeks.
* WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT this evening.
* IMPACTS...Up to 1 to 2 feet of inundation above ground level is
possible in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways
resulting in a low threat of property damage. Some roads and
low lying property including parking lots, parks, lawns, and
homes adjacent to the waterfront will experience shallow
flooding.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.
&&
Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.
Beaufort Marine Lab NC
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.0 ft, Moderate 5.5 ft, Major 6.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor -0.8 ft, Moderate -0.3 ft, Major 0.7 ft
Total Total Departure
Day/Time Tide Tide from Norm Waves Flood
ft MLLW ft MHHW ft ft Impact
-------- --------- --------- --------- ------- --------
10/10 AM 5.2 -0.6 1.0 1 Minor
10/11 PM 4.7 -1.1 1.0 1 None
11/11 AM 5.3 -0.5 1.1 1 Minor
12/12 AM 4.7 -1.1 1.2 1 None
12/12 PM 5.3 -0.5 1.1 1 Minor
13/12 AM 4.4 -1.4 1.1 1 None
&&
$$
NCZ205-102000-
/O.EXB.KMHX.BH.S.0064.250910T1200Z-250911T0000Z/
Hatteras Island-
356 AM EDT Wed Sep 10 2025
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING
THROUGH THIS EVENING...
* WHAT...Dangerous rip currents.
* WHERE...Hatteras Island beaches north of Cape Hatteras.
* WHEN...From 8 AM EDT this morning through this evening.
* IMPACTS...Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away
from shore into deeper water.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip
currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide,
which will occur around 4:15 PM Wednesday.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Life-threatening rip currents. If caught in a rip current, remain
calm. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.
&&
$$
NCZ203-102000-
/O.EXT.KMHX.BH.S.0064.250910T1200Z-250911T0000Z/
Northern Outer Banks-
356 AM EDT Wed Sep 10 2025
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT NOW IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT THIS
MORNING THROUGH THIS EVENING...
* WHAT...Dangerous rip currents and large breaking waves
expected in the surf zone.
* WHERE...Northern Outer Banks beaches.
* WHEN...From 8 AM EDT this morning through this evening.
* IMPACTS...Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away
from shore into deeper water. Dangerous shore break can throw
a swimmer or surfer head first into the bottom causing neck
and back injuries.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip
currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide,
which will occur around 4:15 PM Wednesday.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Life-threatening rip currents. If caught in a rip current, remain
calm. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.
Shore break occurs when waves break directly on the beach. It is
extremely important to protect your head and neck whenever you
are in breaking waves by keeping your hands in front of you at
all times.
&&
$$273
WHUS42 KMHX 101454
CFWMHX
Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
1054 AM EDT Wed Sep 10 2025
NCZ196-110300-
/O.CON.KMHX.CF.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-250911T0300Z/
East Carteret-
1054 AM EDT Wed Sep 10 2025
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
* WHAT...Up to 1 to 2 feet of inundation above ground level in
low- lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.
* WHERE...Areas along the lower Neuse River, Pamlico, Core and
Back Sounds, and adjacent tidal creeks.
* WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT this evening.
* IMPACTS...Up to 1 to 2 feet of inundation above ground level is
possible in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways
resulting in a low threat of property damage. Some roads and low
lying property including parking lots, parks, lawns, and homes
adjacent to the waterfront will experience shallow flooding.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.
&&
Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.
Beaufort Marine Lab NC
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.0 ft, Moderate 5.5 ft, Major 6.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor -0.8 ft, Moderate -0.3 ft, Major 0.7 ft
Total Total Departure
Day/Time Tide Tide from Norm Waves Flood
ft MLLW ft MHHW ft ft Impact
-------- --------- --------- --------- ------- --------
10/10 AM 5.2 -0.6 1.0 1 Minor
10/11 PM 4.7 -1.1 1.0 1 None
11/11 AM 5.3 -0.5 1.1 1 Minor
12/12 AM 4.7 -1.1 1.2 1 None
12/12 PM 5.3 -0.5 1.1 1 Minor
13/12 AM 4.4 -1.4 1.1 1 None
&&
$$
NCZ195-199-110300-
/O.CON.KMHX.CF.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-250911T0300Z/
West Carteret-Coastal Onslow-
1054 AM EDT Wed Sep 10 2025
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
* WHAT...Up to 1 to 2 feet of inundation above ground level in
low- lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.
* WHERE...Areas along Bogue Banks beaches, Bogue Sound, the
Newport and White Oak Rivers, and adjacent tidal creeks, and
areas in North Topsail Beach, the lower New River, and
adjacent tidal creeks.
* WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT this evening.
* IMPACTS...Up to 1 to 2 feet of inundation above ground level is
possible in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways
resulting in a low threat of property damage. Some roads and
low lying property including parking lots, parks, lawns, and
homes adjacent to the waterfront will experience shallow
flooding.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.
&&
Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.
Beaufort Marine Lab NC
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.0 ft, Moderate 5.5 ft, Major 6.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor -0.8 ft, Moderate -0.3 ft, Major 0.7 ft
Total Total Departure
Day/Time Tide Tide from Norm Waves Flood
ft MLLW ft MHHW ft ft Impact
-------- --------- --------- --------- ------- --------
10/10 AM 5.2 -0.6 1.0 1 Minor
10/11 PM 4.7 -1.1 1.0 1 None
11/11 AM 5.3 -0.5 1.1 1 Minor
12/12 AM 4.7 -1.1 1.2 1 None
12/12 PM 5.3 -0.5 1.1 1 Minor
13/12 AM 4.4 -1.4 1.1 1 None
&&
$$
NCZ203-205-110000-
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0064.000000T0000Z-250911T0000Z/
Northern Outer Banks-Hatteras Island-
1054 AM EDT Wed Sep 10 2025
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
* WHAT...Dangerous rip currents.
* WHERE...The beaches north of Cape Hatteras.
* WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening.
* IMPACTS...Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away
from shore into deeper water.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip
currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide,
which will occur around 4:00 PM Wednesday.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Life-threatening rip currents. If caught in a rip current, remain
calm. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.
&&
$$066
WHUS42 KMHX 101949
CFWMHX
Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
349 PM EDT Wed Sep 10 2025
NCZ196-110800-
/O.EXT.KMHX.CF.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-250911T1700Z/
East Carteret-
349 PM EDT Wed Sep 10 2025
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EDT THURSDAY...
* WHAT...Up to 1 to 2 feet of inundation above ground level in
low- lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.
* WHERE...Areas along the lower Neuse River, Pamlico, Core and
Back Sounds, and adjacent tidal creeks.
* WHEN...Until 1 PM EDT Thursday.
* IMPACTS...Up to 1 to 2 feet of inundation above ground level
is possible in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal
waterways resulting in a low threat of property damage. Some
roads and low lying property including parking lots, parks,
lawns, and homes adjacent to the waterfront will experience
shallow flooding.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.
&&
Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.
Beaufort Marine Lab NC
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.0 ft, Moderate 5.5 ft, Major 6.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor -0.8 ft, Moderate -0.3 ft, Major 0.7 ft
Total Total Departure
Day/Time Tide Tide from Norm Waves Flood
ft MLLW ft MHHW ft ft Impact
-------- --------- --------- --------- ------- --------
10/11 PM 4.8 -1.0 1.1 1 None
11/11 AM 5.4 -0.4 1.2 1 Minor
12/12 AM 4.7 -1.1 1.2 1 None
12/12 PM 5.2 -0.6 1.0 1 Minor
13/12 AM 4.4 -1.4 1.1 1 None
13/01 PM 5.2 -0.6 1.1 1 Minor
&&
$$
NCZ195-199-110800-
/O.EXT.KMHX.CF.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-250911T1700Z/
West Carteret-Coastal Onslow-
349 PM EDT Wed Sep 10 2025
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EDT THURSDAY...
* WHAT...Up to 1 to 2 feet of inundation above ground level in
low- lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.
* WHERE...Areas along Bogue Banks beaches, Bogue Sound, the
Newport and White Oak Rivers, and adjacent tidal creeks, and
areas in North Topsail Beach, the lower New River, and
adjacent tidal creeks.
* WHEN...Until 1 PM EDT Thursday.
* IMPACTS...Up to 1 to 2 feet of inundation above ground level
is possible in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal
waterways resulting in a low threat of property damage. Some
roads and low lying property including parking lots, parks,
lawns, and homes adjacent to the waterfront will experience
shallow flooding.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.
&&
Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.
Beaufort Marine Lab NC
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.0 ft, Moderate 5.5 ft, Major 6.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor -0.8 ft, Moderate -0.3 ft, Major 0.7 ft
Total Total Departure
Day/Time Tide Tide from Norm Waves Flood
ft MLLW ft MHHW ft ft Impact
-------- --------- --------- --------- ------- --------
10/11 PM 4.8 -1.0 1.1 1 None
11/11 AM 5.4 -0.4 1.2 1 Minor
12/12 AM 4.7 -1.1 1.2 1 None
12/12 PM 5.2 -0.6 1.0 1 Minor
13/12 AM 4.4 -1.4 1.1 1 None
13/01 PM 5.2 -0.6 1.1 1 Minor
&&
$$
NCZ203-205-110000-
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0064.000000T0000Z-250911T0000Z/
Northern Outer Banks-Hatteras Island-
349 PM EDT Wed Sep 10 2025
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
* WHAT...Dangerous rip currents.
* WHERE...The beaches north of Cape Hatteras.
* WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening.
* IMPACTS...Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away
from shore into deeper water.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip
currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide,
which will occur around 4:00 PM Wednesday.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Life-threatening rip currents. If caught in a rip current, remain
calm. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.
&&
$$
MartinWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this beach hazards statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this beach hazards statement went out at Sep 9, 8:10 PM EDT, 5 hours 36 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 9, 8:10 PM EDT, 5 hours 36 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
810 PM EDT Tue Sep 9 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
Low pressure will move north and pass just offshore of ENC through
Wednesday. High pressure will then build back in from the north
and west through late in the week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /TONIGHT/...
As of 745 PM Tuesday...
Radar is currently showing light returns well to the west of
the low pressure offshore, with multiple mPING reports of
drizzle. This appears to be occurring within an area of modest
isentropic ascent ahead of a warm front that is arcing from the
surface low to the coast of ENC. It's unclear how long this will
last, but I updated the forecast to increase the chance of
light rain further west for the next few hours.
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...Cool and somewhat dreary conditions will
continue for the rest of the day as low pressure continues to
develop offshore along a stalled front. Showers have mostly
remained offshore so far today, but recently light returns have
shown up across NE NC, and expect scattered light precip to
continue here and as far west as the Inner Banks through this
evening. Temps have remained well below normal thanks to
widespread low/mid level clouds as well as a stiff NNE wind.
Tonight, the low off the Outer Banks will continue to develop
and drift northward. This will keep a canopy of low and mid
level clouds across Eastern NC, as well as scattered showers
(15-30% chance) along the NE NC coast and OBX. Temperatures
will hold steady along the OBX as onshore develops, while inland
temps will cool into the lower 60s overnight.
&&
.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY/...
As of 3 PM Tue...Stagnant weather conditions persist Wednesday
with a nearly stationary area of low pressure east of the
Carolinas. On the back side of this low, cool N/NE winds will
continue, as well as widespread cloud cover. Some scattered
light showers (15-25% chance) will be possible with some
enhanced convergence and low level moisture on the back side of
the low, mostly remaining north of the US 70 corridor. Highs
should reach the mid to perhaps upper 70s.
&&
.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 3 PM Tuesday...
Key Messages
- Cooler, drier conditions this week
- Coastal trough lingers, best chances of rain Wed along OBX
- Dry end to the work week as high pressure builds again
A second high builds in from the Great Lakes region Wednesday
night. There are some indications of a weak low forming along
the stalled front/coastal trough off the FL/GA/SC coast this
coming weekend into early next week as a deep positively tilted
trough moves through. It is too soon to tell what impacts, if
any, are expected with very low confidence on the timing, track,
and intensity of the low should it form. This results in a
higher degree of uncertainty for the forecast this weekend
onwards.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM /through 00z Thursday/...
As of 745 PM Tuesday...
Key Messages
- Widespread IFR/MVFR conditions through Wednesday
- Gusty north winds through around 03z/11pm this evening
An area of low pressure will slowly move north off the coast of
NC over the next 24 hours. Meanwhile, a weakening warm front
will advance west through parts of ENC, then more or less
dissipate as the low pulls further away from the area. Just
ahead of this front, a modest pressure gradient will continue to
support a risk of gusty north winds (20-25kt) through about 03z
this evening. There will also be periods of -DZ, especially
from KEWN south through KMRH.
Widespread low-level moisture in the wraparound flow of the low
will support MVFR/IFR CIGs through Wednesday (and likely beyond
then). The greatest risk of IFR conditions looks to be from now
through about 15-18z Wednesday. Guidance differs on how quickly
conditions will improve from IFR to MVFR, but it appears the
afternoon hours will have the greatest chance of improvement. A
reinforcing cold front moving through the area during the day
Wednesday may support a round of SCT SHRA with briefly reduced
VIS and CIGs.
LONG TERM /Wednesday Night through Sunday/...
As of 3 PM Tuesday...Lingering low ceilings are possible into
Wednesday night with a slow moving low off the NC coast.
Thereafter, generally VFR flight conditions expected through
the long term, with gusty N/NE winds along the coast.
&&
.MARINE...
SHORT TERM /through Wednesday/...
As of 3 PM Tue...
Key Messages...
- Strong Small Craft conditions continue through tonight, with
improving marine conditions tomorrow
Winds remain NNE at 15-25 kts with gusts to 30 kts early this
afternoon, with a stalled front offshore and low pressure
developing along it. It's expected that winds should shift to
the NE and then E and weaken tonight across much of the waters
as the low drifts north. By early tomorrow morning winds should
become N to NNW at 10-20 kts, and increase slightly through the
day tomorrow. Seas are still 6-10 ft across the coastal waters,
but should soon decrease to 5-8 ft by early tonight. 4-7 ft
seas likely continue for most of tomorrow.
LONG TERM /Wednesday night through Sunday/...
As of 3 PM Tuesday...
Key Messages:
- Winds fall below 25kts Wednesday, but near Small Craft
Advisory conditions continue through the remainder of the work
week
- Another chance for Small Craft Advisory conditions late
Friday into the weekend
Seas continue to abate as winds ease into Thursday with seas 3-5
ft. Trough strengthens offshore, maybe resulting in a weak low,
as we approach the weekend. This will result in gusty
north/northeasterly winds 25-30kt late Friday into the weekend.
Higher than normal level of uncertainty with the magnitude of
the winds at the end of the long term period.
&&
.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
As of 745 PM Tuesday...
The combination of persistent (but sub- gale) northeast winds,
and higher than normal astronomical tides will continue to
produce elevated waters levels through most of the work week.
Depending on wind and tide fluctuations, water levels will
likely be a few feet above normal, and as much as 1 to 2 feet
AGL (above ground level). The highest water levels are expected
along the southern Pamlico Sound and adjacent tidal rivers and
creeks, as well as across Core and Bogue Sounds. In this area, a
Coastal Flood Advisory remains in effect to highlight the
potential for minor impacts. Higher water levels are also
expected oceanside, especially north of Cape Hatteras, and
should be limited to minor beach and dune erosion. Areas outside
of dune protection, or where dunes have been weakened by
previous storms, there will continue to be the potential for
minor ocean overwash, with water possible over some sections of
HWY 12 (as was observed during this morning's high tide).
Because of this, a Coastal Flood Advisory was re-issued for this
evening's high tide.
&&
.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...Coastal Flood Advisory until 11 PM EDT Wednesday for NCZ094-
194>196-199.
Coastal Flood Advisory until 1 AM EDT Wednesday for NCZ204-205.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until midnight EDT tonight for AMZ131-135-
137-230-231.
Small Craft Advisory until noon EDT Thursday for AMZ150-152-
154.
Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EDT Thursday for AMZ156.
Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM EDT Wednesday for AMZ158.
&&
SYNOPSIS...MHX
NEAR TERM...RM/SGK
SHORT TERM...SGK
LONG TERM...RJ
AVIATION...RM/RJ
MARINE...SGK/RJ
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...MHXHazardous weather outlook, Sep 9, 11:29 AM EDT, 14 hours 17 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 1129 AM EDT Tue Sep 9 2025 NCZ029-044>047-079-081-090>092-193-198-101530- Martin-Pitt-Washington-Tyrrell-Mainland Dare-Greene-Mainland Hyde- Duplin-Lenoir-Jones-Northern Craven-Inland Onslow- 1129 AM EDT Tue Sep 9 2025 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. NCZ080-094-194-101530- Beaufort-Pamlico-Southern Craven- 1129 AM EDT Tue Sep 9 2025 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT WEDNESDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Coastal Flood Advisory. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Coastal Flood Advisory. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. NCZ205-101530- Hatteras Island- 1129 AM EDT Tue Sep 9 2025 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY... ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Beach Hazards Statement. Coastal Flood Advisory. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. NCZ204-101530- Ocracoke Island- 1129 AM EDT Tue Sep 9 2025 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Beach Hazards Statement. Moderate Rip Current Risk. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. NCZ203-101530- Northern Outer Banks- 1129 AM EDT Tue Sep 9 2025 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Beach Hazards Statement. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. NCZ196-101530- East Carteret- 1129 AM EDT Tue Sep 9 2025 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT WEDNESDAY... ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Beach Hazards Statement. Coastal Flood Advisory. Moderate Rip Current Risk. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Coastal Flood Advisory. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. NCZ195-101530- West Carteret- 1129 AM EDT Tue Sep 9 2025 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT WEDNESDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Coastal Flood Advisory. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Coastal Flood Advisory. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. NCZ199-101530- Coastal Onslow- 1129 AM EDT Tue Sep 9 2025 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT WEDNESDAY... ...MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Coastal Flood Advisory. Moderate Rip Current Risk. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Coastal Flood Advisory. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
Nearby
Beach Hazards Statements in North Carolina, 2025Every beach hazards statement in 2025
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.