Alert archive / North Carolina / Beach Hazards Statements in 2025
Beach Hazards Statement 52, NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC
NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC issued this beach hazards statement at Aug 18, 2025, 8:20 PM EDT for 4 counties in North Carolina. It was in force for 24 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 18, 2025, 8:20 PM EDT (00:20 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 19, 2025, 8:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 24 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC
Counties Carteret County, NC, Dare County, NC, Hyde County, NC, Onslow County, NC
The radar
The Morehead City radar (KMHX), 61 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:22 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Newport, NC (KMHX), launched 00:00Z, 0.3 hours before the alert went out and 61 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 237 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -77 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1119 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 11 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -10 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 19 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
097
WHUS42 KMHX 190020
CFWMHX
Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
820 PM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025
NCZ195-199-191230-
/O.NEW.KMHX.BH.S.0052.250819T0020Z-250820T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.SU.Y.0006.250819T1600Z-250822T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.CF.A.0001.250819T1600Z-250822T0000Z/
West Carteret-Coastal Onslow-
820 PM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TUESDAY TO 8 PM
EDT THURSDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...
* WHAT...For the Beach Hazards Statement, dangerous rip currents
and large breaking waves in the surf zone. For the High Surf
Advisory, large breaking waves of 8 to 15 feet expected in the
surf zone. For the Coastal Flood Watch, moderate oceanside
inundation above ground level likely in low- lying areas near
shorelines and tidal waterways.
* WHERE...West Carteret and Coastal Onslow Counties.
* WHEN...For the Beach Hazards Statement, through Tuesday
evening. For the High Surf Advisory, from noon Tuesday to 8 PM
EDT Thursday. For the Coastal Flood Watch, from Tuesday
afternoon through Thursday evening.
* IMPACTS...Moderate inundation 2 to 3 feet above ground level is
likely along the oceanside. Large waves will likely cause severe
beach and coastal damage. Waves will likely severely damage dune
structures in some areas. This will likely result in damage to
property along the oceanside including some property located
immediately behind dune structures. Actions should be taken to
protect life and property. Very dangerous swimming and surfing
conditions expected, as well as the wave action resulting in
significant beach erosion. Rip currents can sweep even the best
swimmers away from shore into deeper water. Dangerous shore
break can throw a swimmer or surfer head first into the bottom
causing neck and back injuries.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...This is expected to be a prolonged duration
event, with the potential for roads along the immediate coast to
be impassable at times, especially around times of high tide.
Areas of greatest concern: North Topsail Beach to Atlantic
Beach.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.
Inexperienced swimmers should remain out of the water due to
dangerous surf conditions.
&&
Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.
Beaufort Marine Lab NC
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.0 ft, Moderate 5.5 ft, Major 6.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor -0.8 ft, Moderate -0.3 ft, Major 0.7 ft
Total Total Departure
Day/Time Tide Tide from Norm Waves Flood
ft MLLW ft MHHW ft ft Impact
-------- --------- --------- --------- ------- --------
18/04 PM 4.5 -1.3 0.7 1 None
19/05 AM 3.6 -2.2 0.7 1 None
19/06 PM 4.8 -1.0 0.9 1 None
20/05 AM 3.8 -2.0 0.9 1 None
20/07 PM 5.0 -0.8 1.1 1 Minor
21/07 AM 4.3 -1.5 1.1 1 None
&&
$$
NCZ196-191230-
/O.NEW.KMHX.BH.S.0052.250819T0020Z-250820T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.SU.Y.0006.250819T1600Z-250823T0400Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.CF.A.0001.250819T1600Z-250822T2000Z/
East Carteret-
820 PM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TUESDAY TO
MIDNIGHT EDT FRIDAY NIGHT...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON SOUTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT...
* WHAT...For the Beach Hazards Statement, dangerous rip currents
and large breaking waves in the surf zone. For the High Surf
Advisory, large breaking waves of 15 to 20+ feet expected in the
surf zone north of Cape Lookout, and 8 to 15 feet south of Cape
Lookout. For the Coastal Flood Watch, moderate oceanside
inundation above ground level likely in low- lying areas near
shorelines and tidal waterways.
* WHERE...East Carteret County.
* WHEN...For the Beach Hazards Statement, through Tuesday
evening. For the High Surf Advisory, from noon Tuesday to
midnight EDT Friday night. For the Coastal Flood Watch, from
Tuesday afternoon through Friday afternoon.
* IMPACTS...Moderate beach and coastal damage is likely along the
oceanside, with greatest impacts north of Cape Lookout,
resulting in a significant threat to life and property. Large
dangerous waves will likely inundate and destroy protective dune
structures. Severe flooding will likely extend inland from the
waterfront causing flooding of many homes and businesses with
some structural damage possible. Actions will need to be taken
to protect life and property. Very dangerous swimming and
surfing conditions expected, as well as the wave action
resulting in significant beach erosion. Rip currents can sweep
even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A storm surge watch has been issued for the
areas north of Cape Lookout. This is expected to be a prolonged
duration event. Minor soundside flooding will also be possible
if stronger winds develop over the Pamlico Sound.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.
Inexperienced swimmers should remain out of the water due to
dangerous surf conditions.
&&
Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.
Beaufort Marine Lab NC
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.0 ft, Moderate 5.5 ft, Major 6.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor -0.8 ft, Moderate -0.3 ft, Major 0.7 ft
Total Total Departure
Day/Time Tide Tide from Norm Waves Flood
ft MLLW ft MHHW ft ft Impact
-------- --------- --------- --------- ------- --------
18/04 PM 4.5 -1.3 0.7 1 None
19/05 AM 3.6 -2.2 0.7 1 None
19/06 PM 4.8 -1.0 0.9 1 None
20/05 AM 3.8 -2.0 0.9 1 None
20/07 PM 5.0 -0.8 1.1 1 Minor
21/07 AM 4.3 -1.5 1.1 1 None
&&
$$
NCZ203>205-191230-
/O.NEW.KMHX.BH.S.0052.250819T0020Z-250820T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.SU.Y.0006.250819T1600Z-250823T0400Z/
Northern Outer Banks-Ocracoke Island-Hatteras Island-
820 PM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TUESDAY TO
MIDNIGHT EDT FRIDAY NIGHT...
* WHAT...For the Beach Hazards Statement, dangerous rip currents
and large breaking waves in the surf zone. For the High Surf
Advisory, large breaking waves of 15 to 20+ feet expected in the
surf zone.
* WHERE...The beaches from Duck to Ocracoke.
* WHEN...For the Beach Hazards Statement, through Tuesday
evening. For the High Surf Advisory, from noon Tuesday to
midnight EDT Friday night.
* IMPACTS...Extreme beach and coastal damage is likely along the
oceanside, resulting in a significant threat to life and
property. Large dangerous waves will likely inundate and destroy
protective dune structures. Severe flooding will likely extend
inland from the waterfront causing flooding of many homes and
businesses with some structural damage possible. Numerous roads
will likely be impassable under several feet of water and
vehicles will likely be submerged. Actions will need to be taken
to protect life and property. Very dangerous swimming and
surfing conditions expected, as well as the wave action
resulting in significant beach erosion.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A storm surge watch has been issued for the
Outer Banks. This is expected to be a prolonged duration event,
with the potential for portions of NC-12 and secondary roads
along the Outer Banks, in particular on Hatteras and Ocracoke
Islands, to be impassable and/or inaccessible for several days
due to significant wave run up. Minor soundside flooding of 1 to
2 feet above ground level will also be possible for areas
adjacent to the southern Pamlico Sound.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Inexperienced swimmers should remain out of the water due to
dangerous surf conditions.
Shore break occurs when waves break directly on the beach. It is
extremely important to protect your head and neck whenever you
are in breaking waves by keeping your hands in front of you at
all times.
&&
$$
Martin3 follow-up statements
630
WHUS42 KMHX 190745
CFWMHX
Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
345 AM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
NCZ195-192000-
/O.UPG.KMHX.CF.A.0001.250819T1600Z-250822T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMHX.CF.Y.0005.250819T1900Z-250822T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.SU.Y.0006.250819T1600Z-250822T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0052.000000T0000Z-250820T0000Z/
West Carteret-
345 AM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS
EVENING...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM
EDT THURSDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
8 PM EDT THURSDAY...
* WHAT...For the Beach Hazards Statement, dangerous rip currents
and large breaking waves in the surf zone. For the High Surf
Advisory, large breaking waves of 5 to 10 feet expected in the
surf zone. For the Coastal Flood Advisory, minor oceanside
inundation expected in low- lying areas near shorelines and
tidal waterways.
* WHERE...West Carteret County.
* WHEN...For the Beach Hazards Statement, through this evening.
For the High Surf Advisory, from noon today to 8 PM EDT
Thursday. For the Coastal Flood Advisory, from 3 PM this
afternoon to 8 PM EDT Thursday.
* IMPACTS...Up to 1 to 2 feet of inundation above ground level is
possible in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways
resulting in a low threat of property damage. Some roads and low
lying property including parking lots, parks, lawns, and homes
adjacent to the waterfront will experience shallow flooding.
Very dangerous swimming and surfing conditions and localized
beach erosion. Everyone is strongly urged to stay out of the
water.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.
Everyone should remain out of the water due to extremely dangerous
surf conditions.
&&
Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.
Beaufort Marine Lab NC
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.0 ft, Moderate 5.5 ft, Major 6.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor -0.8 ft, Moderate -0.3 ft, Major 0.7 ft
Total Total Departure
Day/Time Tide Tide from Norm Waves Flood
ft MLLW ft MHHW ft ft Impact
-------- --------- --------- --------- ------- --------
19/05 AM 3.6 -2.2 0.7 0-1 None
19/06 PM 4.7 -1.1 0.8 1 None
20/06 AM 3.8 -2.0 0.8 1-2 None
20/06 PM 5.0 -0.8 1.1 2 Minor
21/07 AM 4.6 -1.2 1.4 2 None
21/07 PM 5.4 -0.4 1.5 1 Minor
&&
$$
NCZ196-192000-
/O.UPG.KMHX.CF.A.0001.250819T1600Z-250822T2000Z/
/O.NEW.KMHX.CF.Y.0005.250819T1900Z-250822T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.SU.Y.0006.250819T1600Z-250823T0400Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0052.000000T0000Z-250820T0000Z/
East Carteret-
345 AM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS
EVENING...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO
MIDNIGHT EDT FRIDAY NIGHT...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
8 PM EDT THURSDAY SOUTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT...
* WHAT...For the Beach Hazards Statement, dangerous rip currents
and large breaking waves in the surf zone. For the High Surf
Advisory, large breaking waves of 10 to 20 feet expected in the
surf zone north of Cape Lookout, 3 to 5 feet south of Cape
Lookout on Shackleford Island. For the Coastal Flood Advisory,
up to 1 to 2 feet of inundation above ground level expected in
low- lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways south of
Cape Lookout.
* WHERE...East Carteret County.
* WHEN...For the Beach Hazards Statement, through this evening.
For the High Surf Advisory, from noon today to midnight EDT
Friday night. For the Coastal Flood Advisory, from 3 PM this
afternoon to 8 PM EDT Thursday.
* IMPACTS...Moderate to major beach damage is likely along the
oceanside north of Cape Lookout, resulting in a significant
threat to life and property. Large dangerous waves will likely
inundate and destroy protective dune structures.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.
Everyone should remain out of the water due to extremely dangerous
surf conditions.
&&
Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.
Beaufort Marine Lab NC
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.0 ft, Moderate 5.5 ft, Major 6.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor -0.8 ft, Moderate -0.3 ft, Major 0.7 ft
Total Tota to Atlantic
Beachl Departure
Day/Time Tide Tide from Norm Waves Flood
ft MLLW ft MHHW ft ft Impact
-------- --------- --------- --------- ------- --------
19/05 AM 3.6 -2.2 0.7 0-1 None
19/06 PM 4.7 -1.1 0.8 1 None
20/06 AM 3.8 -2.0 0.8 1-2 None
20/06 PM 5.0 -0.8 1.1 2 Minor
21/07 AM 4.6 -1.2 1.4 2 None
21/07 PM 5.4 -0.4 1.5 1 Minor
&&
$$
NCZ199-192000-
/O.EXT.KMHX.CF.A.0001.250819T1900Z-250822T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.SU.Y.0006.250819T1600Z-250822T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0052.000000T0000Z-250820T0000Z/
Coastal Onslow-
345 AM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS
EVENING...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM
EDT THURSDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...
* WHAT...For the Beach Hazards Statement, dangerous rip currents
and large breaking waves in the surf zone. For the High Surf
Advisory, large breaking waves of 6 to 14 feet expected in the
surf zone. For the Coastal Flood Watch, moderate oceanside
inundation above ground level likely in low- lying areas near
shorelines and tidal waterways.
* WHERE...Coastal Onslow County.
* WHEN...For the Beach Hazards Statement, through this evening.
For the High Surf Advisory, from noon today to 8 PM EDT
Thursday. For the Coastal Flood Watch, from 3 PM EDT this
afternoon through Thursday evening.
* IMPACTS...Moderate inundation 2 to 3 feet above ground level is
likely along the oceanside. Large waves will likely cause severe
beach and coastal damage. Waves will likely severely damage dune
structures in some areas. This will likely result in damage to
property along the oceanside including some property located
immediately behind dune structures. Actions should be taken to
protect life and property.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...This is expected to be a prolonged duration
event, with the potential for roads along the immediate coast to
be impassable at times, especially around times of high tide.
Areas of greatest concern: North Topsail Beach.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.
Everyone should remain out of the water due to extremely dangerous
surf conditions.
&&
$$
NCZ203>205-192000-
/O.CON.KMHX.SU.Y.0006.250819T1600Z-250823T0400Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0052.000000T0000Z-250820T0000Z/
Northern Outer Banks-Ocracoke Island-Hatteras Island-
345 AM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS
EVENING...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO
MIDNIGHT EDT FRIDAY NIGHT...
* WHAT...For the Beach Hazards Statement, dangerous rip currents
and large breaking waves in the surf zone. For the High Surf
Advisory, destructive large breaking waves of 10 to 20+ feet
expected in the surf zone.
* WHERE...The beaches from Duck to Ocracoke.
* WHEN...For the Beach Hazards Statement, through this evening.
For the High Surf Advisory, from noon today to midnight EDT
Friday night.
* IMPACTS...Extreme beach and coastal damage is likely along the
oceanside, resulting in a significant threat to life and
property. Large dangerous waves will likely inundate and destroy
protective dune structures. Severe flooding will likely extend
inland from the waterfront causing flooding of many homes and
businesses with some structural damage possible. Numerous roads
will likely be impassable under several feet of water and
vehicles will likely be submerged. Actions will need to be taken
to protect life and property. Very dangerous swimming and
surfing conditions expected, as well as the wave action
resulting in significant beach erosion.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A storm surge watch has been issued for the
Outer Banks. This is expected to be a prolonged duration event,
with the potential for portions of NC-12 and secondary roads
along the Outer Banks, in particular on Hatteras and Ocracoke
Islands, to be impassable and/or inaccessible for at least
several days due to significant wave run up.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Everyone should remain out of the water due to extremely dangerous
surf conditions.
&&
$$599
WHUS42 KMHX 191508
CFWMHX
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
1108 AM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
NCZ195-200315-
/O.UPG.KMHX.CF.Y.0005.250819T1900Z-250822T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMHX.CF.W.0001.250819T1900Z-250822T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.SU.Y.0006.250819T1600Z-250822T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0052.000000T0000Z-250820T0000Z/
West Carteret-
1108 AM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THURSDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
8 PM EDT THURSDAY...
* WHAT...For the Beach Hazards Statement, dangerous rip currents
and large breaking waves in the surf zone. For the High Surf
Advisory, large breaking waves of 7 to 12 feet expected in the
surf zone. For the Coastal Flood Warning, 2 to 3 feet of inundation
above ground level expected in low-lying areas near shorelines
and tidal waterways.
* WHERE...Oceanside beaches in west Carteret County.
* WHEN...For the Beach Hazards Statement, until 8 PM EDT this
evening. For the High Surf Advisory, until 8 PM EDT Thursday.
For the Coastal Flood Warning, from 3 PM this afternoon to 8
PM EDT Thursday.
* IMPACTS...Moderate inundation 2 to 3 feet above ground level
likely along the oceanside. Large waves will likely cause
severe beach and coastal damage. Waves will likely severely
damage dune structures in some areas. This will likely result in
damage to property along the oceanside including some property
located immediately behind dune structures. Actions should be
taken to protect life and property. Dangerous swimming and
surfing conditions and significant beach erosion. Rip currents
can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper
water. Dangerous shore break can throw a swimmer or surfer head
first into the bottom causing neck and back injuries.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...This is expected to be a prolonged duration
event for the oceanside, impacting several high tide cycles.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property. If
travel is required, do not drive around barricades or through
water of unknown depth.
Inexperienced swimmers should remain out of the water due to
dangerous surf conditions.
Life-threatening rip currents. If caught in a rip current, remain
calm. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.
Shore break occurs when waves break directly on the beach. It is
extremely important to protect your head and neck whenever you
are in breaking waves by keeping your hands in front of you at
all times.
&&
Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.
Beaufort Marine Lab NC
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.0 ft, Moderate 5.5 ft, Major 6.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor -0.8 ft, Moderate -0.3 ft, Major 0.7 ft
Total Total Departure
Day/Time Tide Tide from Norm Waves Flood
ft MLLW ft MHHW ft ft Impact
-------- --------- --------- --------- ------- --------
19/05 AM 3.6 -2.2 0.7 0-1 None
19/06 PM 4.7 -1.1 0.8 1 None
20/06 AM 3.8 -2.0 0.8 1-2 None
20/06 PM 5.0 -0.8 1.1 2 Minor
21/07 AM 4.6 -1.2 1.4 2 None
21/07 PM 5.4 -0.4 1.5 1 Minor
&&
$$
NCZ196-200315-
/O.UPG.KMHX.CF.Y.0005.250819T1900Z-250822T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMHX.CF.W.0001.250819T1900Z-250822T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.SU.Y.0006.250819T1600Z-250823T0400Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0052.000000T0000Z-250820T0000Z/
East Carteret-
1108 AM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT FRIDAY
NIGHT...
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
8 PM EDT THURSDAY...
* WHAT...For the Beach Hazards Statement, dangerous rip currents
and large breaking waves in the surf zone. For the High Surf
Advisory, large breaking waves of 10 to 20 feet expected in the
surf zone north of Cape Lookout, and 5 to 8 feet south of Cape
Lookout for Shackleford Island. For the Coastal Flood Warning, 2
to 4 feet of inundation above ground level expected north of
Cape Lookout, and 2 to 3 feet above ground level south of Cape
Lookout. Minor inundation 1 to 3 feet above ground level
expected for soundside areas adjacent to the southern Pamlico
Sound and Core Sound.
* WHERE...East Carteret County.
* WHEN...For the Beach Hazards Statement, until 8 PM EDT this
evening. For the High Surf Advisory, until midnight EDT Friday
night. For the Coastal Flood Warning, from 3 PM this afternoon
to 8 PM EDT Thursday.
* IMPACTS...Moderate to major beach damage is likely along the
oceanside north of Cape Lookout, resulting in a significant
threat to life and property. Large dangerous waves will likely
inundate and destroy protective dune structures. Minor soundside
flooding expected for areas adjacent to the southern Pamlico
Sound. Dangerous swimming and surfing conditions and significant
beach erosion. Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers
away from shore into deeper water. Dangerous shore break can
throw a swimmer or surfer head first into the bottom causing
neck and back injuries.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...This is expected to be a prolonged duration
event for the oceanside, impacting several high tide cycles.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property. If
travel is required, do not drive around barricades or through
water of unknown depth.
Inexperienced swimmers should remain out of the water due to
dangerous surf conditions.
Life-threatening rip currents. If caught in a rip current, remain
calm. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.
Shore break occurs when waves break directly on the beach. It is
extremely important to protect your head and neck whenever you
are in breaking waves by keeping your hands in front of you at
all times.
&&
Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.
Beaufort Marine Lab NC
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.0 ft, Moderate 5.5 ft, Major 6.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor -0.8 ft, Moderate -0.3 ft, Major 0.7 ft
Total Total Departure
Day/Time Tide Tide from Norm Waves Flood
ft MLLW ft MHHW ft ft Impact
-------- --------- --------- --------- ------- --------
19/05 AM 3.6 -2.2 0.7 0-1 None
19/06 PM 4.7 -1.1 0.8 1 None
20/06 AM 3.8 -2.0 0.8 1-2 None
20/06 PM 5.0 -0.8 1.1 2 Minor
21/07 AM 4.6 -1.2 1.4 2 None
21/07 PM 5.4 -0.4 1.5 1 Minor
&&
$$
NCZ199-200315-
/O.UPG.KMHX.CF.A.0001.250819T1900Z-250822T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMHX.CF.W.0001.250819T1900Z-250822T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.SU.Y.0006.250819T1600Z-250822T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0052.000000T0000Z-250820T0000Z/
Coastal Onslow-
1108 AM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THURSDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
8 PM EDT THURSDAY...
* WHAT...For the Beach Hazards Statement, dangerous rip currents
and large breaking waves in the surf zone. For the High Surf
Advisory, large breaking waves of 8 to 14 feet expected in the
surf zone. For the Coastal Flood Warning, 2 to 3 feet above
ground level with locally higher amounts possible near North
Topsail Beach.
* WHERE...Oceanside beaches in coastal Onslow County.
* WHEN...For the Beach Hazards Statement, until 8 PM EDT this
evening. For the High Surf Advisory, until 8 PM EDT Thursday.
For the Coastal Flood Warning, from 3 PM this afternoon to 8
PM EDT Thursday.
* IMPACTS...Moderate inundation 2 to 3 feet above ground level
likely along the oceanside, with locally higher amounts
possible. Large waves will likely cause severe beach and coastal
damage. Waves will likely severely damage dune structures in
some areas. This will likely result in damage to property along
the oceanside including some property located immediately behind
dune structures. Actions should be taken to protect life and
property. Dangerous swimming and surfing conditions and
significant beach erosion. Rip currents can sweep even the best
swimmers away from shore into deeper water. Dangerous shore
break can throw a swimmer or surfer head first into the bottom
causing neck and back injuries.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...This is expected to be a prolonged duration
event, with the potential for roads along the immediate coast to
be impassable at times, especially around times of high tide.
Areas of greatest concern: North Topsail Beach.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property. If
travel is required, do not drive around barricades or through
water of unknown depth.
Inexperienced swimmers should remain out of the water due to
dangerous surf conditions.
Life-threatening rip currents. If caught in a rip current, remain
calm. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.
Shore break occurs when waves break directly on the beach. It is
extremely important to protect your head and neck whenever you
are in breaking waves by keeping your hands in front of you at
all times.
&&
$$
NCZ094-194-200315-
/O.NEW.KMHX.CF.Y.0006.250820T2200Z-250821T2100Z/
Pamlico-Southern Craven-
1108 AM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM WEDNESDAY TO 5 PM
EDT THURSDAY...
* WHAT...Minor inundation 1 to 3 feet above ground level.
* WHERE...Areas along the Pamlico Sound, Trent, Bay and lower
Neuse Rivers, and adjacent tidal creeks.
* WHEN...From 6 PM Wednesday to 5 PM EDT Thursday.
* IMPACTS...Flooding of lots, parks, and roads with only isolated
road closures expected.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.
&&
$$
NCZ203>205-200315-
/O.CON.KMHX.SU.Y.0006.250819T1600Z-250823T0400Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0052.000000T0000Z-250820T0000Z/
Northern Outer Banks-Ocracoke Island-Hatteras Island-
1108 AM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT FRIDAY
NIGHT...
* WHAT...For the Beach Hazards Statement, dangerous rip currents
and large breaking waves in the surf zone. For the High Surf
Advisory, destructive large breaking waves of 15 to 20+ feet
expected in the surf zone.
* WHERE...The beaches from Duck to Ocracoke.
* WHEN...For the Beach Hazards Statement, until 8 PM EDT this
evening. For the High Surf Advisory, until midnight EDT Friday
night.
* IMPACTS...Extreme beach and coastal damage is likely along the
oceanside, resulting in a significant threat to life and
property. Large dangerous waves will likely inundate and destroy
protective dune structures. Severe flooding will likely extend
inland from the waterfront causing flooding of many homes and
businesses with some structural damage possible. Numerous roads
will likely be impassable under several feet of water and
vehicles will likely be submerged. Actions will need to be taken
to protect life and property. Very dangerous swimming and
surfing conditions expected, as well as the wave action
resulting in significant beach erosion.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A Storm Surge Warning has been issued for
the Outer Banks. This is expected to be a prolonged duration
event, with the potential for portions of NC-12 and secondary
roads along the Outer Banks, in particular on Hatteras and
Ocracoke Islands, to be impassable and/or inaccessible for at
least several days due to significant wave run up.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Inexperienced swimmers should remain out of the water due to
dangerous surf conditions.
Life-threatening rip currents. If caught in a rip current, remain
calm. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.
Shore break occurs when waves break directly on the beach. It is
extremely important to protect your head and neck whenever you
are in breaking waves by keeping your hands in front of you at
all times.
&&
Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.
Duck NC
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.5 ft, Moderate 6.0 ft, Major 6.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.8 ft, Moderate 2.3 ft, Major 2.8 ft
Total Total Departure
Day/Time Tide Tide from Norm Waves Flood
ft MLLW ft MHHW ft ft Impact
-------- --------- --------- --------- ------- --------
19/04 AM 3.9 0.2 1.1 3-4 None
19/05 PM 4.9 1.2 0.9 5 None
20/06 AM 4.0 0.3 0.9 5 None
20/06 PM 5.1 1.4 1.1 5-6 None
21/07 AM 5.2 1.5 2.0 8-10 None
21/07 PM 7.0 3.3 2.9 11 Major
&&
$$146
WHUS42 KMHX 192053
CFWMHX
Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
453 PM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
NCZ195-199-200900-
/O.CON.KMHX.CF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-250822T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.SU.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-250822T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0052.000000T0000Z-250820T0000Z/
West Carteret-Coastal Onslow-
453 PM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT
THURSDAY...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THURSDAY...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
* WHAT...For the Beach Hazards Statement, dangerous rip currents
and large breaking waves in the surf zone. For the High Surf
Advisory, large breaking waves of 7 to 12 feet expected in the
surf zone. For the Coastal Flood Warning, 2 to 3 feet of
inundation above ground level expected in low-lying areas near
shorelines and tidal waterways.
* WHERE...Oceanside beaches in west Carteret County and Onslow
County.
* WHEN...For the Beach Hazards Statement, until 8 PM EDT this
evening. For the High Surf Advisory, until 8 PM EDT Thursday.
For the Coastal Flood Warning, from 3 PM this afternoon to 8
PM EDT Thursday.
* IMPACTS...Moderate inundation 2 to 3 feet above ground level
likely along the oceanside. Large waves will likely cause severe
beach and coastal damage. Waves will likely severely damage dune
structures in some areas. This will likely result in damage to
property along the oceanside including some property located
immediately behind dune structures. Actions should be taken to
protect life and property. Dangerous swimming and surfing
conditions and significant beach erosion. Rip currents can sweep
even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water.
Dangerous shore break can throw a swimmer or surfer head first
into the bottom causing neck and back injuries.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...This is expected to be a prolonged duration
event, with the potential for roads along the immediate coast to
be impassable at times, especially around times of high tide.
Areas of greatest concern: North Topsail Beach.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property. If
travel is required, do not drive around barricades or through
water of unknown depth.
Inexperienced swimmers should remain out of the water due to
dangerous surf conditions, life-threatening rip currents, and
dangerous shore break.
&&
Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.
Beaufort Marine Lab NC
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.0 ft, Moderate 5.5 ft, Major 6.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor -0.8 ft, Moderate -0.3 ft, Major 0.7 ft
Total Total Departure
Day/Time Tide Tide from Norm Waves Flood
ft MLLW ft MHHW ft ft Impact
-------- --------- --------- --------- ------- --------
19/06 PM 4.5 -1.3 0.6 1 None
20/06 AM 3.7 -2.1 0.7 1 None
20/07 PM 5.1 -0.7 1.2 1 Minor
21/07 AM 4.5 -1.3 1.3 1 None
21/07 PM 5.3 -0.5 1.4 1 Minor
22/08 AM 5.3 -0.5 2.0 1 Minor
&&
$$
NCZ196-200900-
/O.CON.KMHX.CF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-250822T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.SU.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-250823T0400Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0052.000000T0000Z-250820T0000Z/
East Carteret-
453 PM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT
THURSDAY...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT FRIDAY
NIGHT...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
* WHAT...For the Beach Hazards Statement, dangerous rip currents
and large breaking waves in the surf zone. For the High Surf
Advisory, large breaking waves of 10 to 20 feet expected in the
surf zone north of Cape Lookout, and 5 to 8 feet south of Cape
Lookout for Shackleford Island. For the Coastal Flood Warning, 2
to 4 feet of inundation above ground level expected north of
Cape Lookout, and 2 to 3 feet above ground level south of Cape
Lookout. Minor inundation 1 to 3 feet above ground level
expected for soundside areas adjacent to the southern Pamlico
Sound and Core Sound.
* WHERE...East Carteret County.
* WHEN...For the Beach Hazards Statement, until 8 PM EDT this
evening. For the High Surf Advisory, until midnight EDT Friday
night. For the Coastal Flood Warning, from 3 PM this afternoon
to 8 PM EDT Thursday.
* IMPACTS...Moderate to major beach damage is likely along the
oceanside north of Cape Lookout, resulting in a significant
threat to life and property. Large dangerous waves will likely
inundate and destroy protective dune structures. Minor soundside
flooding expected for areas adjacent to the southern Pamlico
Sound. Dangerous swimming and surfing conditions and significant
beach erosion. Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers
away from shore into deeper water. Dangerous shore break can
throw a swimmer or surfer head first into the bottom causing
neck and back injuries.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...This is expected to be a prolonged
duration event for the oceanside, impacting several high tide
cycles.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property. If
travel is required, do not drive around barricades or through
water of unknown depth.
Inexperienced swimmers should remain out of the water due to
dangerous surf conditions, life-threatening rip currents, and
dangerous shore break.
&&
Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.
Beaufort Marine Lab NC
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.0 ft, Moderate 5.5 ft, Major 6.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor -0.8 ft, Moderate -0.3 ft, Major 0.7 ft
Total Total Departure
Day/Time Tide Tide from Norm Waves Flood
ft MLLW ft MHHW ft ft Impact
-------- --------- --------- --------- ------- --------
19/06 PM 4.5 -1.3 0.6 1 None
20/06 AM 3.7 -2.1 0.7 1 None
20/07 PM 5.1 -0.7 1.2 1 Minor
21/07 AM 4.5 -1.3 1.3 1 None
21/07 PM 5.3 -0.5 1.4 1 Minor
22/08 AM 5.3 -0.5 2.0 1 Minor
&&
$$
NCZ094-194-200900-
/O.CON.KMHX.CF.Y.0006.250820T2200Z-250821T2100Z/
Pamlico-Southern Craven-
453 PM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM WEDNESDAY
TO 5 PM EDT THURSDAY...
* WHAT...Minor inundation 1 to 3 feet above ground level.
* WHERE...Areas along the Pamlico Sound, Trent, Bay and lower
Neuse Rivers, and adjacent tidal creeks.
* WHEN...From 6 PM Wednesday to 5 PM EDT Thursday.
* IMPACTS...Flooding of lots, parks, and roads with only isolated
road closures expected.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.
&&
$$
NCZ203>205-200900-
/O.CON.KMHX.SU.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-250823T0400Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0052.000000T0000Z-250820T0000Z/
Northern Outer Banks-Ocracoke Island-Hatteras Island-
453 PM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT FRIDAY
NIGHT...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
* WHAT...For the Beach Hazards Statement, dangerous rip currents
and large breaking waves in the surf zone. For the High Surf
Advisory, destructive large breaking waves of 15 to 20+ feet
expected in the surf zone.
* WHERE...The beaches from Duck to Ocracoke.
* WHEN...For the Beach Hazards Statement, until 8 PM EDT this
evening. For the High Surf Advisory, until midnight EDT Friday
night.
* IMPACTS...Extreme beach and coastal damage is likely along the
oceanside, resulting in a significant threat to life and
property. Large dangerous waves will likely inundate and
destroy protective dune structures. Severe flooding will
likely extend inland from the waterfront causing flooding of
many homes and businesses with some structural damage
possible. Numerous roads will likely be impassable under
several feet of water and vehicles will likely be submerged.
Actions will need to be taken to protect life and property.
Very dangerous swimming and surfing conditions expected, as
well as the wave action resulting in significant beach erosion.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A Storm Surge Warning remains in effect
for the Outer Banks. This is expected to be a prolonged duration
event, with the potential for portions of NC-12 and secondary
roads along the Outer Banks, in particular on Hatteras and
Ocracoke Islands, to be impassable and/or inaccessible for at
least several days due to significant wave run up.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Inexperienced swimmers should remain out of the water due to
dangerous surf conditions, life-threatening rip currents, and
dangerous shore break.
&&
$$
MartinWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this beach hazards statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this beach hazards statement went out at Aug 18, 8:14 PM EDT, 6 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 18, 8:14 PM EDT, 6 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
814 PM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front will bring chances of scattered showers and
thunderstorms to the area today, which will be capable of
producing heavy rain and isolated flooding. Hurricane Erin is
forecast to pass offshore late Wednesday/early Thursday with
significant coastal impacts expected, especially along the Outer
Banks.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 8 PM Monday...Scattered showers and thunderstorms
continue to linger across portions of the Coastal Plain as of 8
PM. Coverage should continue to wane over the next couple of
hours with the loss of diurnal heating. As precip chances
decrease, low stratus will begin to overspread the area during
the overnight hours. Fog will also be possible overnight
tonight, especially for areas that saw rain this afternoon.
Lows will be in the low 70s inland and mid-to-upper 70s beaches.
&&
.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY/...
As of 8 PM Monday...Weak frontal boundary/surface trough is
expected to linger across ENC tomorrow. Similar to today,
scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected across the
forecast area. Forecast soundings show 1000-2000 J/kg SBCAPE,
with long, narrow CAPE profiles. Coupled with PWATs near 2",
moist low and mid-levels, and slow storm motions, showers and
thunderstorms will again have the potential to produce heavy
rainfall and localized flash flooding. Outside of thunderstorms,
highs are forecast in the upper 80s with heat indices in the
low-to-mid 90s.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 2 AM Mon...
Key Messages:
- Mainly dry through Wednesday as high pres dominates.
- Hurricane Erin, which is still forecast to remain offshore,
will make its closest pass Wednesday night into Thursday,
with significant coastal impacts expected.
Tuesday...Erly to nerly flow will cont, and seasonably hot
temps prevail. Highs expected 85-90 interior with low/mid 80s on
the OBX. Diurnal afternoon seabreeze showers are possible
(30-40%) with some widely sct thunder potential (15-25%) as
well.
Wednesday...Another day of sct seabreeze showers possible as
weak onshore flow cont, though subsidence well out ahead of
Hurricane Erin will keep chances in the 15-25% range. Breezy
nerly winds develop as gradient inc between approaching Erin and
high pres anchored to the north. Wind gusts in the 15-25 mph
range interior to 20-30 mph coastal areas.
Wednesday Night through Thursday...Core of Hurricane Erin is
forecast to remain offshore but make its closest pass to our
coast Wednesday night into early Thursday. The impacts from Erin
are expected to be confined to marine and coastal interests,
but with a slight westward trend in the track over the past 24
hours, confidence in hazardous conditions has increased (see the
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING section for details). If the track were
to shift slightly more westward, there is potential for some of
the mainland zones west of the OBX to see some tropical storm
force winds. Outer rain bands will afflict mainly the OBX zones
where likelies are now fcst (60-70%) while the mainland zones
will be more sct in nature (30-50%).
Friday through Sunday...Some lingering coastal impacts still
possible into Fri as large back swell from departing Erin keeps
waves high on the OBX. Sensible weather impacts very limited as
high pres builds. The high may break down some by the weekend,
esp the second half of the weekend as next trough/front inc
shower chances.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
SHORT TERM /through 00z Wednesday/...
As of 00Z Tuesday...Latest radar shows lingering showers and
thunderstorms across the Coastal Plain of ENC, with ISO having
the best chance for lingering showers/thunderstorms over the
next couple of hours. Additional thunderstorms in the vicinity
of KETC are moving south/southwestward. Expect these storms to
largely remain out of the Greenville vicinity, but not out of
the question for a shower or two to move over the airport prior
to ~02Z.
Shower activity will continue to wane over the next couple of
hours with the loss of diurnal heating. Attention will then turn
to fog and low stratus potential overnight. Current observations
show an expansive area of low stratus creeping southward into NC
from southern Virginia. Guidance continues to show this low
stratus working its way southward and bringing progressively
lower ceilings to all terminals during the overnight hours.
High confidence in all terminals seeing IFR conditions with
ceilings dropping below 1000 ft (50-70% chance of further
ceiling drops to 500 ft or less, especially for PGV/ISO/OAJ).
With calmer winds and moist low-levels (especially given rain
this evening), also expect fog to bring decreased visibilities
for all terminals.
While fog should mix out rather quickly after sunrise, guidance
indicates low stratus may be a bit slower to lift, with MVFR
conditions potentially lingering as late as the early afternoon
hours. Sub-VFR conditions will then be possible again tomorrow
afternoon with isolated to widely scattered
showers/thunderstorms expected. Trends will continue to be
monitored for future cycles.
LONG TERM /Tue Night through Fri/...
As of 2 PM Mon...High pressure generally in control Tue with
only sct diurnal showers possible. Light winds on Tue expected,
and will inc a bit on Wed with gusts in the 15-20kt range. An
uptick in winds Wed night into Thu as Hurricane Erin makes its
closest approach to ENC, with gusts of 20-30kt possible, though
any tropical storm winds will remain relegated to the coastal
counties. More organized outer rain bands should remain east of
the TAF sites Wed night into Thur, and rain chances are
generally 30% or lower.
&&
.MARINE...
SHORT TERM /through Tonight/...
As of 1515 Monday...Winds will be light and variable for most
of today but will become northeasterly at 10-15 kt by tomorrow
morning. Conditions will start to deteriorate tonight as
Hurricane Erin's powerful long period swell enters our coastal
waters. Seas will be 2-4 ft at 10-12 seconds today and increase
to 5-8 ft at 14-17 seconds by early Tuesday morning. A SCA is
in effect for the coastal waters south of Oregon Inlet starting
at 00z with the northern waters following suit at 06z. Marine
conditions will become increasingly life threatening thereafter.
LONG TERM /Tue through Fri/...
As of 2 PM Mon...Long period swell ramps up through the day and
overnight on Tue, with dangerous 6-9 ft seas by late day Tue
inc to 8-12 ft late Tue night. Extremely treacherous conditions
Wed, peaking Wed night into early Thu as Hurricane Erin makes
her closest approach to ENC with a very large wind field. This
will bring extremely life threatening marine conditions reaching
their worst during this time, with seas peaking 15-20+ ft, and
N to Nerly winds peaking in the 25-35 kt range, gusting to 35-45
kt. Wave heights and wind gusts are subject to change and will
be dependent on Erin's eventual track and intensity, which have
yet to be determined.
&&
.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
As of 2 AM Mon...
Key Messages:
- Coastal Flood Watches and High Surf Advisories remain in
effect through as late as Friday evening. Worst conditions are
expected late Wednesday through Thursday as Hurricane Erin
makes it's closest approach to ENC.
- Life threatening rip currents are expected all week.
Strong long period swell associated with distant but large and
powerful Hurricane Erin will occur simultaneously with higher
astronomical tides, exacerbating coastal flooding threats.
Significant coastal flooding/ocean overwash/erosion is likely,
especially around the high tide cycles. Impacts are expected to
start as early as Tuesday afternoon's high tide cycle, peak
Wednesday into Thursday, and only slowly improve late week.
While all area beaches are expected to see impacts, E to SE
facing beaches are most likely to see the highest waves (10+ ft)
and roughest surf zone conditions. Hatteras and Ocracoke
Islands are especially vulnerable to even higher waves (15-20
ft) and may experience major coastal impacts, including portions
of Highway 12 and secondary roads which may become impassable
and/or inaccessible in places for several days.
Based on the current forecast track, moderate to major flooding
will mainly be focused along the oceanside. However, due to the
expected large wind field with Erin, minor soundside flooding
on lower Pamlico Sound and it's adjacent tributaries are also
possible due to winds reaching or exceeding tropical storm
strength along the coast.
&&
.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...Tropical Storm Watch for NCZ196-203>205.
Coastal Flood Watch from Tuesday afternoon through Thursday
evening for NCZ195-199.
High Surf Advisory from noon Tuesday to 8 PM EDT Thursday for
NCZ195-199.
Storm Surge Watch for NCZ196-203>205.
Coastal Flood Watch from Tuesday afternoon through Friday
afternoon for NCZ196.
High Surf Advisory from noon Tuesday to midnight EDT Friday
night for NCZ196-203>205.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 11 AM Wednesday to 5 AM EDT Friday
for AMZ131-230.
Tropical Storm Watch for AMZ135-150-152-154-156-158-231.
Small Craft Advisory from 11 AM Wednesday to 8 PM EDT Thursday
for AMZ136-137.
&&
SYNOPSIS...MHX
NEAR TERM...CEB
SHORT TERM...CEB
LONG TERM...CQD/TL
AVIATION...TL/ZC
MARINE...TL/CEB
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...MHXHazardous weather outlook, Aug 18, 5:01 PM EDT, 3 hours 19 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 501 PM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025 NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>092-094-193-194-198-192115- Martin-Pitt-Washington-Tyrrell-Mainland Dare-Greene-Beaufort- Mainland Hyde-Duplin-Lenoir-Jones-Pamlico-Northern Craven- Southern Craven-Inland Onslow- 501 PM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina. .DAY ONE...Tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. NCZ203>205-192115- Northern Outer Banks-Ocracoke Island-Hatteras Island- 501 PM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025 ...STORM SURGE WATCH IN EFFECT... ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT... ...MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TUESDAY TO MIDNIGHT EDT FRIDAY NIGHT... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Moderate Rip Current Risk. Storm Surge Watch. Tropical Storm Watch. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Storm Surge Watch. Tropical Storm Watch. High Surf Advisory. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. NCZ196-192115- East Carteret- 501 PM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025 ...STORM SURGE WATCH IN EFFECT... ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT... ...MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TUESDAY TO MIDNIGHT EDT FRIDAY NIGHT... ...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Moderate Rip Current Risk. Storm Surge Watch. Tropical Storm Watch. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Storm Surge Watch. Tropical Storm Watch. Coastal Flood Watch. High Surf Advisory. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. NCZ195-199-192115- West Carteret-Coastal Onslow- 501 PM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025 ...MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TUESDAY TO 8 PM EDT THURSDAY... ...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Moderate Rip Current Risk. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Coastal Flood Watch. High Surf Advisory. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Aug 18, 2:51 PM EDT, 5 hours 29 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
251 PM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025
NCZ046-080-081-181930-
Beaufort NC-Mainland Hyde NC-Tyrrell NC-
251 PM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN HYDE...EAST CENTRAL
BEAUFORT AND SOUTHWESTERN TYRRELL COUNTIES THROUGH 330 PM EDT...
At 250 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Scranton, or 27 miles southeast of Plymouth, moving east at 10 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Sladesville, Scranton, Fairfield, Ponzer, Rose Bay, and Leechville.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3554 7662 3568 7645 3556 7615 3537 7640
TIME...MOT...LOC 1850Z 290DEG 6KT 3557 7640
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
27Special weather statement, Aug 18, 4:42 PM EDT, 3 hours 38 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
442 PM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025
NCZ029-044-045-080-081-182130-
Beaufort NC-Washington NC-Mainland Hyde NC-Martin NC-Pitt NC-
442 PM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025
...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT WASHINGTON...EAST CENTRAL PITT...
NORTHWESTERN HYDE...SOUTHEASTERN MARTIN AND NORTHERN BEAUFORT
COUNTIES THROUGH 530 PM EDT...
At 441 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms capable of producing a landspout near Wenona, or near
Plymouth. These storms were nearly stationary.
HAZARD...Landspouts and wind gusts up to 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Minor damage to outdoor objects is possible. Gusty winds
could knock down tree limbs and blow around unsecured
objects.
Locations impacted include...
Washington, Williamston, Plymouth, Pinetown, Ponzer, Pungo, Pike
Road, Wenona, Hinson, Westover, Pleasant Grove, Terra Ceia, Old Ford,
Phelps Lake, Pungo Lake, Mackeys, Roper, Long Acre VFD, Jamesville,
and Smithwick.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3597 7648 3559 7645 3557 7713 3589 7706
3589 7703 3587 7705 3586 7703 3590 7692
3586 7689 3582 7690 3581 7688 3585 7684
3589 7683 3586 7677 3587 7674 3592 7672
3593 7674 3594 7673 3595 7669
TIME...MOT...LOC 2041Z 300DEG 3KT 3577 7668
LANDSPOUT...POSSIBLE
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
ZCSpecial weather statement, Aug 18, 5:21 PM EDT, 2 hours 59 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
521 PM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025
NCZ090-198-182200-
Inland Onslow NC-Duplin NC-
521 PM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025
...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN ONSLOW AND
SOUTHEASTERN DUPLIN COUNTIES THROUGH 600 PM EDT...
At 520 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms capable of producing a landspout over Cypress Creek, or
14 miles west of Half Moon, moving southeast at 5 mph.
HAZARD...Landspouts and wind gusts up to 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Minor damage to outdoor objects is possible. Gusty winds
could knock down tree limbs and blow around unsecured
objects.
Locations impacted include...
Jacksonville, Richlands, Beulaville, Cypress Creek, Catherine Lake,
Chinquapin, Petersburg, Albert J Ellis Airport, Richlands South,
Greenevers, Lyman, and Haws Run.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3496 7754 3469 7746 3465 7765 3472 7768
3472 7795 3491 7796
TIME...MOT...LOC 2120Z 334DEG 5KT 3478 7771
LANDSPOUT...POSSIBLE
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
ZCThe office that day
Everything else NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 3:45 AM EDT | Coastal Flood Advisory | MHX | Carteret | 7 hr |
| Aug 19, 11:08 AM EDT | Coastal Flood Warning | MHX | Carteret, Onslow | 60 hr |
| Aug 19, 11:08 AM EDT | Coastal Flood Advisory | MHX | Craven, Pamlico | 60 hr |
| Aug 19, 11:09 AM EDT | Tropical Storm Warning | MHX | Carteret, Dare, Hyde | 60 hr |
| Aug 19, 4:42 PM EDT | Storm Surge Warning | MHX | Carteret, Dare, Hyde | 54 hr |
Nearby
Beach Hazards Statements in North Carolina, 2025Every beach hazards statement in 2025
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.