Beach Hazards Statement 15, NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC

477 
WHUS42 KMHX 130000
CFWMHX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
Issued by National Weather Service Wilmington NC
800 PM EDT Mon May 12 2025

NCZ195-196-199-204-205-131200-
/O.EXP.KMHX.BH.S.0015.000000T0000Z-250513T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMHX.BH.S.0016.250513T1000Z-250514T0000Z/
West Carteret-East Carteret-Coastal Onslow-Ocracoke Island-
Hatteras Island-
800 PM EDT Mon May 12 2025

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EDT TUESDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...A High risk of rip currents is expected.

* WHERE...The beaches from Cape Hatteras to Surf City NC.

* WHEN...From 6 AM EDT Tuesday through Tuesday evening.

* IMPACTS...Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away
  from shore into deeper water.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip
  currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide,
  which will occur around 215 PM Tuesday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain out of the water to avoid hazardous swimming conditions.

&&

$$

NCZ203-131200-
/O.NEW.KMHX.BH.S.0016.250513T1000Z-250514T0000Z/
Northern Outer Banks-
800 PM EDT Mon May 12 2025

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EDT TUESDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...A High risk of rip currents is expected.

* WHERE...The beaches from Oregon Inlet to north of Cape 
  Hatteras.

* WHEN...From 6 AM EDT Tuesday through Tuesday evening.

* IMPACTS...Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away
  from shore into deeper water.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip
  currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide,
  which will occur around 215 PM Tuesday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain out of the water to avoid hazardous swimming conditions.

&&

$$

TRA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
Issued by National Weather Service Wilmington NC
441 PM EDT Mon May 12 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
A slow moving low will continue to bring an extended period of
unsettled weather to the area through mid week. This system will
eventually weaken and dissipate by then, with a ridge of high
pressure building in behind it by late week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 345 PM Monday...An upper level low over the Deep South
is becoming negatively tilted today allowing for deep moist
convergence across ENC. Increasing lapse rates in the vicinity
of the upper level low has enabled sufficient instability
despite only tepid surface heating. ML CAPE vals only in the 500
to 1,000 J/KG range based on latest RAP analysis. However,
solid low level shear with veering of winds has allowed for some
briefly rotating storms to form within the band of rain. This
is expected to continue through the remainder of the evening
into tonight as low level veering of winds persists. High PW's
approaching 2" will continue to pose a threat for areas of
heavy rain, esp where some banding of heavy showers or storms
occur. Already we have received reports of over 5" of rain in
portions of Onslow county from today's convection. A long
standing moderate drought is in place across most of ENC, so no
severe flooding is expected, although some roads being shut down
isn't out of the question. Expanded the flood watch to encompass
the entire CWA with this update, with additional bands of
rainfall tonight and tomorrow gradually shifting north and east.

A break in the heavier rain rates through first part of the
evening, before reinvigoration of heavier rain rates arrives
after 6Z with frontal forcing arriving first in the Coastal
Plain counties, and then further east towards daybreak Tue.
Heavy rain rates will return through late tonight for SW areas.
Additional rainfall of 1-3" is expected, with isolated totals of
4+ inches possible where heavier bands set up shop.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY/...
As of 4 PM Monday...The axis of greatest moisture will become more
progressive through the day on Tuesday, shifting the area of
heaviest rain from the southwestern counties in the morning to the
OBX by the afternoon. Given PWATs around 2" and the heavy rain
already occurring ahead of Tuesday's round, flooding will be a
concern. Have expanded the flood watch to include the entire CWA
for the heavy bands of rain moving through the region. The
antecedent surface conditions will work in our favor given the
ongoing drought, but efficient rain rates may still cause
issues. The new flood watch is until 5AM, although south and
west portions of the watch may be dropped earlier as the final band
moves east.

There is also a low end threat of a brief spin up and strong
wind gusts, especially along the coastal plain, Tuesday
afternoon and evening. Sufficient instability and veering of
winds at the lowest levels should cause some storms to rotate.
The uncertainty is on the coverage of storms, as mid layer
subsidence may prevent the storms from strengthening. If we
observe rotation, any tornadoes that may occur will likely be
very weak and brief in nature.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 3 PM Monday...

Aloft: By late Wednesday, upper low will become absorbed into
the shortwave across the Mid-Atlantic states. The axis of the
upper trough will traverse ENC late Wednesday/early Thursday
with weak upper ridging briefly building in it's wake. A weak,
quick hitting shortwave will pass Friday night followed by
another, slightly stronger shortwave on Saturday with zonal flow
taking over on Sunday.

Surface: The warm front associated with a surface low will lift
north across ENC Tuesday into Wednesday, putting us firmly in
the warm sector. From there, the next FROPA won't be until
Saturday, although not much of an airmass change is expected.

Tuesday night - Wednesday...We get dry slotted Tuesday night,
which may keep portions of the CWA completely dry through
Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. Wednesday afternoon
however, ample instability and upper level forcing will remain
in the area on Wednesday, which will support the continuation of
likely to categorical PoPs. Thunderstorms will be likely in the
afternoon, especially along any seabreeze boundary. And with a
slightly drier column, rain rates will not be as efficient as
they will be on Tuesday.

Thursday - Sunday...Towards the end of the week, we'll return to a
typical summertime pattern with daily chances of isolated to widely
scattered showers and thunderstorms. Temperatures will steadily
climb through the week, reaching the 90s across the coastal plain
Friday and Saturday. These temps, accompanied by dews in the low-
70s, will generate heat indices ranging from 95-100+.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
SHORT TERM /through 18Z Tuesday/...
As of 4 PM Monday...A mixed bag of observed flight categories
right now as bands of heavy rain move through the region. Local
IFR possible at times esp in heavier showers and storms through
the rest of the afternoon. Lightning chances are generally
confined to the coast where instability is the greatest. A break
in the heavier showers later this evening into tonight, with
flight conditions becoming generally MVFR to even briefly VFR,
before heavy showers and inc thunderstorm chances return from
the west late tonight into Tuesday. This will result in a second
drop in conditions to IFR/LIFR, likely around or after 6Z
Tuesday. Bands of rain shift NE through the day Tuesday, with
dry slot moving into the region. This greatly reduces shower and
tstorm coverage Tuesday afternoon/evening for inland locales.

LONG TERM /Tuesday afternoon through Friday/...
As of 3:50 AM Monday...Prolonged periods of sub-VFR conditions
are possible throughout the period given the active pattern at
play. The heaviest rain will occur on Tuesday, but daily chances
for showers and thunderstorms will persist.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM /through Tuesday/...
As of 4 PM Tuesday...Winds will be generally SE at 15-25 kts
through tonight then becoming 20-30 kt Tuesday afternoon. Seas
4-6 ft this afternoon become 5-7 ft tonight. and 6-8 ft Tuesday
before beginning to abate Tuesday night.

LONG TERM /Tuesday night through Friday/...
As of 430 PM Monday...By Wednesday morning, the winds will have
veered to the southwest, decreasing to 5-15 kt and seas
dropping to 3-4 ft. Pleasant boating conditions for the end of
the work week.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
As of 4 PM Mon...Already 2-6" have fallen where the band of
rainfall has moved through today. An additional 1-3" of
rainfall is expected throughout the CWA, with isolated values of
4"+ through Tuesday night. A Flood watch is now in effect for
the entire CWA.

&&

.EQUIPMENT...
Due to a system upgrade, NOAA Weather Radio from the following
transmitters will be off the air starting 730 AM Monday May 12th
through Wednesday May 14th.

New Bern, NC, KEC84 at 162.400 MHz.
Cape Hatteras, NC, KIG-77 at 162.475 MHz.
Marnie, NC, WWH-26 at 162.425 MHz.
Warsaw, NC, KXI-5 at 162.425 MHz.

Visit www.weather.gov/mhx for the latest forecast information
during the temporary outage. Our internet will NOT be impacted
by the upgrade.

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...Flood Watch through late Tuesday night for NCZ029-044>047-080-
     081-094-193>196-203>205.
     Flood Watch through Tuesday afternoon for NCZ079-090>092-198-
     199.
     Beach Hazards Statement until 8 PM EDT this evening for NCZ195-
     196-199-204-205.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 2 AM to 8 PM EDT Tuesday for AMZ135.
     Small Craft Advisory from 7 AM Tuesday to 4 AM EDT Wednesday
     for AMZ150.
     Small Craft Advisory from 8 PM this evening to 8 AM EDT
     Wednesday for AMZ152-154.
     Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EDT Wednesday for AMZ156-158.
     Small Craft Advisory from 5 AM to 8 PM EDT Tuesday for AMZ231.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MHX
NEAR TERM...RJ
SHORT TERM...RJ
LONG TERM...OJC/RJ
AVIATION...OJC/RJ
MARINE...OJC/RJ
HYDROLOGY...MHX
EQUIPMENT...MHX

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
Issued by National Weather Service Wilmington NC
443 PM EDT Mon May 12 2025

NCZ029-044>047-080-081-094-193-194-132045-
Martin-Pitt-Washington-Tyrrell-Mainland Dare-Beaufort-Mainland Hyde-
Pamlico-Northern Craven-Southern Craven-
443 PM EDT Mon May 12 2025

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ079-090>092-198-132045-
Greene-Duplin-Lenoir-Jones-Inland Onslow-
443 PM EDT Mon May 12 2025

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ196-205-132045-
East Carteret-Hatteras Island-
443 PM EDT Mon May 12 2025

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Beach Hazards Statement.
   Moderate Rip Current Risk.
   Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ195-204-132045-
West Carteret-Ocracoke Island-
443 PM EDT Mon May 12 2025

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Beach Hazards Statement.
   Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ203-132045-
Northern Outer Banks-
443 PM EDT Mon May 12 2025

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...
...MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Moderate Rip Current Risk.
   Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ199-132045-
Coastal Onslow-
443 PM EDT Mon May 12 2025

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Beach Hazards Statement.
   Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
Issued by National Weather Service Wilmington NC
107 PM EDT Mon May 12 2025

NCZ092-195-198-199-121745-
Coastal Onslow NC-West Carteret NC-Jones NC-Inland Onslow NC-
107 PM EDT Mon May 12 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN JONES...SOUTHERN
CRAVEN...EAST CENTRAL ONSLOW AND WEST CENTRAL CARTERET COUNTIES
THROUGH 145 PM EDT...

At 107 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Hammocks Beach State Park, or 14 miles southeast of Camp Lejeune
Center, moving northwest at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Jacksonville, Piney Green, Camp Lejeune Center, Stella, Swansboro,
Hubert, Cape Carteret, Silverdale, Midway Park, Kuhns, Peletier,
Hammocks Beach, Hammocks Beach State Park, and Cedar Point.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3474 7741 3486 7711 3483 7711 3483 7710
      3464 7704 3456 7723
TIME...MOT...LOC 1707Z 152DEG 15KT 3461 7714

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

SGK

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
243 PM EDT Mon May 12 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0144 PM     Flash Flood      2 E Midway Park         34.72N 77.31W
05/12/2025                   Onslow             NC   911 Call Center

            Flooding along Daly Street, cars cant pass.

&&

Heden