Severe Thunderstorm Warning 330, NWS Memphis, TN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
619 PM CDT Sun May 25 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 619 PM CDT Sun May 25 2025

- Additional rounds of showers and thunderstorms are still
  expected into Tuesday, with a potential for strong to severe
  thunderstorms and heavy rainfall.

- Additional rainfall totals will likely fall between 2 to 4
  inches through Tuesday night.

- Below normal temperatures will continue through the week and
  into the beginning of next weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(This evening through next Saturday)
Issued at 221 PM CDT Sun May 25 2025

Skies have cleared across a large portion of the Mid-South this
afternoon. A warm front continue to lift slowly north across north
Mississippi. Temperatures north of the front are in the lower 60s
to lower 70s while south of the front, reading are in the mid 70s
to mid 80s. The first round of thunderstorms has moved across the
Tennessee River into middle Tennessee with a second round of
thunderstorms approaching northeast Arkansas.

As the second area of thunderstorms continues to move east, it
will eventually encounter the warmer, more unstable air south of
the front. This could strengthen the thunderstorms and produce
severe weather. The main threat from these thunderstorms is
damaging winds but large hail and isolated tornadoes can't be
completely ruled out. A Severe Thunderstorm Watch covers the
southern half of the Mid-South until 9 PM this evening.

Additional rounds of showers and thunderstorms will move through
the region overnight through Tuesday afternoon. Some of thunderstorms
may be strong with gusty winds and small hail. Locally heavy
rainfall is expected with some of the thunderstorms. An
additional 2 to 4 inches of rain may fall through Tuesday
afternoon. Temperatures will remain near to below normal through
Tuesday.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms may occur Wednesday through
Friday as another frontal boundary drops south into the region.
Temperatures will remain below normal through this period. High
pressure will build into the region by Saturday with dry weather
and near normal temperatures.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 619 PM CDT Sun May 25 2025

Impacts to aviation to continue through the TAF period. Storms
continue to fire and move across the Midsouth this evening in two
areas: a line moving to the south across N MS and scattered
thunderstorms to the south of this line. Convection will continue
through at least 02z with -RA/-SHRA following the main line. MVFR
impacts are currently ongoing and will persist into the overnight
hours with CIGs dropping into IFR with time. Another round of
showers, and potentially storms, is likely tomorrow afternoon to
end out the forecast period.

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&

PUBLIC FORECAST...ARS
AVIATION...JAB

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Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Memphis TN
639 PM CDT Sun May 25 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0500 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     6 WNW Blair             34.49N 88.83W
05/25/2025                   Union              MS   Trained Spotter

            Large tree and power lines down on CR 171
            near Parks Baptist Church.

&&

MJ

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Memphis TN
641 PM CDT Sun May 25 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0610 PM     Hail             Senatobia               34.62N 89.97W
05/25/2025  E0.75 Inch       Tate               MS   Public

&&

MJ

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Memphis TN
655 PM CDT Sun May 25 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0640 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     Crowder                 34.17N 90.14W
05/25/2025  M67 MPH          Quitman            MS   Broadcast Media

&&

MJ