River Flood Warning 13, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

553 
WGUS84 KMAF 021838
FLSMAF

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
138 PM CDT Tue Sep 2 2025

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Texas...

  Rio Grande at Rio Grande at Presidio Vehicle Bridge affecting 
  Presidio County.

TXC377-021945-
/O.CAN.KMAF.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-250902T1838Z/
/PRST2.1.ER.250901T1957Z.250902T0315Z.250902T1513Z.NO/
138 PM CDT Tue Sep 2 2025

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Rio Grande at Rio Grande at Presidio Vehicle Bridge.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 1:15 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 12.0 feet (3.7 meters).
  - Bankfull stage is 12.0 feet (3.7 meters).
  - Forecast...The river will fall to 6.9 feet (2.1 meters) early
    tomorrow afternoon. It will then rise to 7.0 feet (2.1
    meters) early Thursday afternoon. It will fall to 6.5 feet
    (2.0 meters) Saturday evening. It will then rise to 6.6 feet
    (2.0 meters) early Sunday morning. It will fall again and
    remain below flood stage.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):

                       Fld   Observed        Tue   Wed   Wed   Wed
Location               Stg   Stg   Day/Time  7pm   1am   7am   1pm

Rio Grande
  Rio Grande at Presid 15.5  12.0  Tue 1pm   7.3   6.9   6.9   6.9

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):

                       Fld   Observed        Tue   Wed   Wed   Wed
Location               Stg   Stg   Day/Time  7pm   1am   7am   1pm

Rio Grande
  Rio Grande at Presid 4.7   3.6   Tue 1pm   2.2   2.1   2.1   2.1


&&

LAT...LON 2951 10446 2963 10437 2961 10430 2945 10435
      2949 10443


$$

DeBerry

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
559 AM CDT Tue Sep 2 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 558 AM CDT Tue Sep 2 2025

- Much drier conditions and warmer temperatures are in store
  through the end of the week.

- More seasonable temperatures and low (10-35%) rain chances
  return by the weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Wednesday afternoon)
Issued at 148 AM CDT Tue Sep 2 2025

The short term period looks pretty quiet overall. MAF's 00Z sounding
indicated a PWAT of 0.95 inches, signifying the beginning of a
drying trend that will continue into the long term period. Our
region will stay under northwest/northerly flow aloft on the
periphery of ridging to the west. Given the lack of appreciable
forcing and decreasing atmospheric moisture, rain chances are nil
today and tomorrow. Meanwhile, with the front clear of our area and
thicknesses increasing, temperatures will once again rise into the
low to mid 90s for much of west Texas and southeast New Mexico (80s
in the higher terrain). The warming and drying trend continues into
the beginning of the long term period, though another shot at cooler
and wetter weather looks to be in store by the weekend.

Sprang

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through Monday)
Issued at 148 AM CDT Tue Sep 2 2025

Thursday looks to be the hottest day of the forecast period, with
highs reaching the upper 90s to nearly 100 degrees across the area.
That is a solid 8-10 degrees above normal for this time of year.
Friday will still be hot, albeit a couple of degrees cooler.
However, by Saturday and Sunday things start to look at least a
little bit more interesting. Models indicate a developing system in
the Pacific will cut across northern Mexico into our area, supplying
much better moisture to west Texas and southeast New Mexico.
Meanwhile, a large upper-level system in the Hudson Bay area will
send a cold front down our direction. Vorticity from the post-
tropical system, lift from the cold front, and increased atmospheric
moisture will encourage increasing rain chances (10-35%), along with
more seasonable temperatures. After the weekend, some divergence in
model solutions exists. The GFS suggests hotter temperatures return
under ridging aloft, while the European keeps more fall-like
temperatures and rain chances around a bit longer as ridging sets up
farther west. We will continue to keep an eye on where things trend
over the next few days!

Sprang

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 558 AM CDT Tue Sep 2 2025

VFR continues through the period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               93  65  94  69 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                 92  65  93  68 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                   93  69  95  68 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton            91  66  93  67 /  10   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass           83  64  85  66 /  10   0   0   0
Hobbs                    91  61  91  66 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                    83  56  86  57 /  10   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport     94  67  95  70 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                   93  66  94  69 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                     93  65  94  66 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM....13
AVIATION...29