High Wind Warning 5, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

575 
WWUS74 KMAF 190247
NPWMAF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
747 PM MST Sat Jan 18 2025

NMZ027-TXZ271-191100-
/O.NEW.KMAF.DU.Y.0002.250119T0247Z-250119T0600Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.HW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-250119T1000Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.CW.Y.0002.250119T0600Z-250119T1600Z/
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Guadalupe and Delaware
Mountains-
Including the cities of Guadalupe Mountains National Park, Queen,
and Pine Springs
747 PM MST Sat Jan 18 2025 /847 PM CST Sat Jan 18 2025/

...BLOWING DUST ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM MST /MIDNIGHT CST/ 
THIS EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM MST /4 AM CST/ 
SUNDAY...
...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM MST /MIDNIGHT 
CST/ THIS EVENING TO 9 AM MST /10 AM CST/ SUNDAY...

* WHAT...For the Blowing Dust Advisory, visibility between 
  one-quarter and one mile in blowing dust. For the High Wind 
  Warning, northeast winds 30 to 50 mph with gusts up to 55 mph. For 
  the Cold Weather Advisory, very cold wind chills as low as 4 below 
  expected.

* WHERE...In New Mexico, Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County. In 
  Texas, Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains.

* WHEN...For the Blowing Dust Advisory, until 11 PM MST /midnight 
  CST/ this evening. For the High Wind Warning, until 3 AM MST /4 AM 
  CST/ Sunday. For the Cold Weather Advisory, from 11 PM MST 
  /midnight CST/ this evening to 9 AM MST /10 AM CST/ Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Hazardous driving conditions due to reduced visibility. 
  In addition to reduced visibility, strong winds will be hazardous 
  to trailers and other high-profile vehicles. Gusty winds may blow 
  around unsecured objects.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons with respiratory problems should make preparations to stay 
indoors until the storm passes. Be ready for a sudden drop in 
visibility to near zero. If you encounter blowing dust or blowing 
sand on the roadway or see it approaching, pull off the road as far 
as possible and put your vehicle in park. Turn the lights all the 
way off and keep foot off the brake pedal. Remember, 'Pull Aside, 
Stay Alive'.

Slow down, use low-beam headlights, and leave plenty of distance 
between you and other vehicles.

Winds will be particularly hazardous at higher elevations where the 
strongest winds are likely to occur. Be especially careful driving 
in these mountainous areas. People driving high-profile vehicles 
should strongly consider postponing travel in these areas until the 
winds subside.

Use caution while traveling outside. Wear appropriate clothing, a 
hat, and gloves.

Bring pets indoors, or ensure that they have warm, dry shelter.



&&

$$

NMZ028-TXZ272>274-277-278-191100-
/O.NEW.KMAF.DU.Y.0002.250119T0247Z-250119T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KMAF.WI.Y.0002.250119T0247Z-250119T0600Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.CW.Y.0002.250119T0600Z-250119T1600Z/
Eddy County Plains-Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern
Culberson-Reeves County Plains-Davis Mountains-Davis Mountains
Foothills-
Including the cities of Carlsbad, Carlsbad Caverns NP, Van Horn,
Artesia, Pecos, Fort Davis, and Alpine
747 PM MST Sat Jan 18 2025 /847 PM CST Sat Jan 18 2025/

...BLOWING DUST ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM MST /MIDNIGHT CST/ 
THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM MST /MIDNIGHT CST/ THIS 
EVENING...
...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM MST /MIDNIGHT 
CST/ THIS EVENING TO 9 AM MST /10 AM CST/ SUNDAY...

* WHAT...For the Blowing Dust Advisory, visibility between 
  one-quarter and one mile in blowing dust. For the Wind Advisory, 
  north winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 55 mph. For the Cold 
  Weather Advisory, very cold wind chills as low as 3 above expected.

* WHERE...In New Mexico, Eddy County Plains. In Texas, Davis 
  Mountains, Davis Mountains Foothills, Van Horn and Highway 54 
  Corridor, and Reeves County Plains, and Eastern Culberson County.

* WHEN...For the Blowing Dust Advisory and Wind Advisory, until 11 
  PM MST /midnight CST/ this evening. For the Cold Weather Advisory, 
  from 11 PM MST /midnight CST/ this evening to 9 AM MST /10 AM CST/ 
  Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Hazardous driving conditions due to reduced visibility. 
  In addition to reduced visibility, strong winds will be hazardous 
  to trailers and other high-profile vehicles. Gusty winds may blow 
  around unsecured objects.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons with respiratory problems should make preparations to stay 
indoors until the storm passes. Be ready for a sudden drop in 
visibility to near zero. If you encounter blowing dust or blowing 
sand on the roadway or see it approaching, pull off the road as far 
as possible and put your vehicle in park. Turn the lights all the 
way off and keep foot off the brake pedal. Remember, 'Pull Aside, 
Stay Alive'.

Slow down, use low-beam headlights, and leave plenty of distance 
between you and other vehicles.

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution and keep both hands on the 
steering wheel.

Use caution while traveling outside. Wear appropriate clothing, a 
hat, and gloves.

Bring pets indoors, or ensure that they have warm, dry shelter.



&&

$$

NMZ029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-270-275-
276-279>282-191100-
/O.CON.KMAF.CW.Y.0002.250119T0600Z-250119T1600Z/
Northern Lea-Central Lea-Southern Lea-Gaines-Dawson-Borden-Scurry-
Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-Winkler-Ector-Midland-
Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-Terrell-Guadalupe
Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Central
Brewster-Chisos Basin-Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
Including the cities of Jal, Dryden, Kermit, Eunice, Lamesa,
Garden City, Presidio, Lajitas, Seminole, Chisos Basin, Big
Spring, Hobbs, Colorado City, Mentone, Gail, Tatum, Panther
Junction, Monahans, Crane, McCamey, Stanton, Lovington, Castolon,
Sanderson, Marathon, Odessa, Big Lake, Midland, Snyder, Marfa,
Big Bend National Park, Andrews, Rankin, Fort Stockton, and
Guadalupe Mountains National Park
747 PM MST Sat Jan 18 2025 /847 PM CST Sat Jan 18 2025/

...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM MST /MIDNIGHT 
CST/ THIS EVENING TO 9 AM MST /10 AM CST/ SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Very cold wind chills as low as 3 above expected.

* WHERE...Portions of southeast New Mexico and southwest and western 
  Texas.

* WHEN...From 11 PM MST /midnight CST/ this evening to 9 AM MST /10 
  AM CST/ Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Frostbite and hypothermia will occur if unprotected skin 
  is exposed to these temperatures. Wind chill values can lead to 
  hypothermia with prolonged exposure.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use caution while traveling outside. Wear appropriate clothing, a 
hat, and gloves.

Bring pets indoors, or ensure that they have warm, dry shelter.

Make sure outdoor animals have a warm, dry shelter, food, and 
unfrozen water.

&&

$$

Lindsey

715 
WWUS74 KMAF 190605
NPWMAF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1105 PM MST Sat Jan 18 2025

NMZ028-TXZ272>274-277-278-191415-
/O.EXP.KMAF.DU.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-250119T0600Z/
/O.EXP.KMAF.WI.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-250119T0600Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.CW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-250119T1600Z/
Eddy County Plains-Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern
Culberson-Reeves County Plains-Davis Mountains-Davis Mountains
Foothills-
Including the cities of Fort Davis, Pecos, Carlsbad Caverns NP,
Alpine, Carlsbad, Artesia, and Van Horn
1105 PM MST Sat Jan 18 2025 /1205 AM CST Sun Jan 19 2025/

...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM MST /10 AM 
CST/ SUNDAY...
...BLOWING DUST ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...
...WIND ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

* WHAT...Very cold wind chills as low as 3 above.

* WHERE...In New Mexico, Eddy County Plains. In Texas, Davis 
  Mountains, Davis Mountains Foothills, Van Horn and Highway 54 
  Corridor, and Reeves County Plains, and Eastern Culberson County.

* WHEN...Until 9 AM MST /10 AM CST/ Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Frostbite and hypothermia will occur if unprotected skin 
  is exposed to these temperatures. Wind chill values can lead to 
  hypothermia with prolonged exposure.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use caution while traveling outside. Wear appropriate clothing, a 
hat, and gloves.

Bring pets indoors, or ensure that they have warm, dry shelter.

Make sure outdoor animals have a warm, dry shelter, food, and 
unfrozen water.

&&

$$

NMZ027-TXZ271-191415-
/O.EXP.KMAF.DU.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-250119T0600Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.HW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-250119T1000Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.CW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-250119T1600Z/
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Guadalupe and Delaware
Mountains-
Including the cities of Guadalupe Mountains National Park, Pine
Springs, and Queen
1105 PM MST Sat Jan 18 2025 /1205 AM CST Sun Jan 19 2025/

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM MST /4 AM CST/ 
SUNDAY...
...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM MST /10 AM 
CST/ SUNDAY...
...BLOWING DUST ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

* WHAT...For the High Wind Warning, northeast winds 30 to 50 mph 
  with gusts up to 55 mph. For the Cold Weather Advisory, very cold 
  wind chills as low as 4 below.

* WHERE...In New Mexico, Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County. In 
  Texas, Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains.

* WHEN...For the High Wind Warning, until 3 AM MST /4 AM CST/ 
  Sunday. For the Cold Weather Advisory, until 9 AM MST /10 AM CST/ 
  Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds may blow around unsecured objects. Frostbite 
  and hypothermia will occur if unprotected skin
  is exposed to these temperatures. Wind chill values can lead to 
  hypothermia with prolonged exposure.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds will be particularly hazardous at higher elevations where the 
strongest winds are likely to occur. Be especially careful driving 
in these mountainous areas. People driving high-profile vehicles 
should strongly consider postponing travel in these areas until the 
winds subside.

Use caution while traveling outside. Wear appropriate clothing, a 
hat, and gloves.

Bring pets indoors, or ensure that they have warm, dry shelter.

Make sure outdoor animals have a warm, dry shelter, food, and 
unfrozen water.

&&

$$

NMZ029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-270-275-
276-279>282-191415-
/O.CON.KMAF.CW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-250119T1600Z/
Northern Lea-Central Lea-Southern Lea-Gaines-Dawson-Borden-Scurry-
Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-Winkler-Ector-Midland-
Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-Terrell-Guadalupe
Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Central
Brewster-Chisos Basin-Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
Including the cities of Seminole, Mentone, Crane, Lajitas, Fort
Stockton, Presidio, Stanton, Rankin, Marathon, Chisos Basin,
Eunice, Big Lake, Castolon, Big Bend National Park, Garden City,
Jal, Big Spring, Midland, Lamesa, Hobbs, Monahans, Gail, Tatum,
Marfa, Colorado City, Odessa, Kermit, Lovington, Panther
Junction, McCamey, Sanderson, Dryden, Guadalupe Mountains
National Park, Snyder, and Andrews
1105 PM MST Sat Jan 18 2025 /1205 AM CST Sun Jan 19 2025/

...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM MST /10 AM 
CST/ SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Very cold wind chills as low as 3 above.

* WHERE...Portions of southeast New Mexico and southwest and western 
  Texas.

* WHEN...Until 9 AM MST /10 AM CST/ Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Frostbite and hypothermia will occur if unprotected skin 
  is exposed to these temperatures. Wind chill values can lead to 
  hypothermia with prolonged exposure.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use caution while traveling outside. Wear appropriate clothing, a 
hat, and gloves.

Bring pets indoors, or ensure that they have warm, dry shelter.

Make sure outdoor animals have a warm, dry shelter, food, and 
unfrozen water.

&&

$$

Lamberson

683 
WWUS74 KMAF 191011
NPWMAF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
311 AM MST Sun Jan 19 2025

NMZ027-TXZ271-191815-
/O.EXP.KMAF.HW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-250119T1000Z/
/O.NEW.KMAF.EC.A.0001.250121T0000Z-250121T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KMAF.HW.A.0004.250121T0000Z-250121T1200Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.CW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-250119T1600Z/
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Guadalupe and Delaware
Mountains-
Including the cities of Queen, Guadalupe Mountains National Park,
and Pine Springs
311 AM MST Sun Jan 19 2025 /411 AM CST Sun Jan 19 2025/

...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM MST /10 AM 
CST/ THIS MORNING...
...EXTREME COLD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH 
TUESDAY MORNING...
...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE 
MONDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...For the Cold Weather Advisory, very cold wind chills as low 
  as 5 below. For the Extreme Cold Watch, dangerously cold wind 
  chills as low as 15 to 20 below possible. For the High Wind Watch, 
  northeast winds 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 55 mph possible.

* WHERE...In New Mexico, Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County. In 
  Texas, Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains.

* WHEN...For the Cold Weather Advisory, until 9 AM MST /10 AM CST/ 
  this morning. For the Extreme Cold Watch, from Monday afternoon 
  through Tuesday morning. For the High Wind Watch, from late Monday 
  afternoon through late Monday night.

* IMPACTS...Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile 
  vehicles like campers, vans, and tractor trailers. The cold wind 
  chills as low as 15 to 20 below zero could result in hypothermia 
  or frostbite if precautions are not taken. Frostbite and 
  hypothermia will occur if unprotected skin is exposed to these 
  temperatures. An extended period of freezing temperatures could 
  cause ruptured water pipes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain indoors if possible. Cover all exposed skin and limit time 
outside if you must go out. Dress in layers including a hat, face 
mask, and gloves.

Cover outdoor faucets. To prevent water pipes from freezing wrap or 
drain or allow them to drip slowly.

Bring pets indoors, or ensure that they have warm, dry shelter.

Make sure outdoor animals have a warm, dry shelter, food, and 
unfrozen water.

Monitor the latest forecasts and warnings for updates.

Delay travel through Guadalupe Pass or find another route, if 
possible.

&&

$$

TXZ270-191815-
/O.NEW.KMAF.EC.A.0001.250121T0000Z-250121T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KMAF.HW.A.0004.250121T0000Z-250121T1200Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.CW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-250119T1600Z/
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Including the cities of Guadalupe Mountains National Park
311 AM MST Sun Jan 19 2025

...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM MST THIS 
MORNING...
...EXTREME COLD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH 
TUESDAY MORNING...
...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE 
MONDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...For the Cold Weather Advisory, very cold wind chills as low 
  as 5 below. For the Extreme Cold Watch, dangerously cold wind 
  chills as low as 20 below possible. For the High Wind Watch, 
  northeast winds 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 55 mph possible.

* WHERE...Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet.

* WHEN...For the Cold Weather Advisory, until 9 AM MST this morning. 
  For the Extreme Cold Watch, from Monday afternoon through Tuesday 
  morning. For the High Wind Watch, from Monday afternoon through 
  late Monday night.

* IMPACTS...The dangerously cold wind chills as low as 20 below zero 
  could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes. 
  Frostbite and hypothermia will occur if unprotected skin is 
  exposed to these temperatures. An extended period of freezing 
  temperatures could cause ruptured water pipes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain indoors if possible. Cover all exposed skin and limit time 
outside if you must go out. Dress in layers including a hat, face 
mask, and gloves.

Cover outdoor faucets. To prevent water pipes from freezing wrap or 
drain or allow them to drip slowly.

Bring pets indoors, or ensure that they have warm, dry shelter.

Use caution while traveling outside. Wear appropriate clothing, a 
hat, and gloves.

Make sure outdoor animals have a warm, dry shelter, food, and 
unfrozen water.

Monitor the latest forecasts and warnings for updates.

&&

$$

NMZ028-029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-272>280-
191815-
/O.NEW.KMAF.EC.A.0001.250121T0000Z-250121T1800Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.CW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-250119T1600Z/
Eddy County Plains-Northern Lea-Central Lea-Southern Lea-Gaines-
Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-
Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-Van
Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson-Reeves County
Plains-Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-Davis
Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster-Chisos Basin-
Including the cities of Hobbs, Kermit, Snyder, Marathon, McCamey,
Pecos, Monahans, Eunice, Big Spring, Rankin, Big Lake, Fort
Davis, Panther Junction, Tatum, Gail, Jal, Chisos Basin,
Seminole, Lamesa, Marfa, Fort Stockton, Garden City, Andrews,
Midland, Lovington, Carlsbad, Big Bend National Park, Alpine,
Crane, Artesia, Carlsbad Caverns NP, Mentone, Stanton, Van Horn,
Odessa, and Colorado City
311 AM MST Sun Jan 19 2025 /411 AM CST Sun Jan 19 2025/

...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM MST /10 AM 
CST/ THIS MORNING...
...EXTREME COLD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH 
TUESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...For the Cold Weather Advisory, very cold wind chills as low 
  as 3 above. For the Extreme Cold Watch, dangerously cold wind 
  chills as low as 10 below possible in the higher terrain areas and 
  as low as zero to 5 below possible in the lower terrain areas.

* WHERE...Portions of southeast New Mexico and southwest and western 
  Texas.

* WHEN...For the Cold Weather Advisory, until 9 AM MST /10 AM CST/ 
  this morning. For the Extreme Cold Watch, from late Monday 
  afternoon through Tuesday morning.

* IMPACTS...Frostbite and hypothermia will occur if unprotected skin 
  is exposed to these temperatures. An extended period of freezing 
  temperatures could cause ruptured water pipes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain indoors if possible. Cover all exposed skin and limit time 
outside if you must go out. Dress in layers including a hat, face 
mask, and gloves.

Cover outdoor faucets. To prevent water pipes from freezing wrap or 
drain or allow them to drip slowly.

Bring pets indoors, or ensure that they have warm, dry shelter.

Use caution while traveling outside. Wear appropriate clothing, a 
hat, and gloves.

Make sure outdoor animals have a warm, dry shelter, food, and 
unfrozen water.

&&

$$

TXZ082-281-282-191600-
/O.CON.KMAF.CW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-250119T1600Z/
Terrell-Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
Including the cities of Presidio, Dryden, Castolon, Lajitas,
Sanderson, and Big Bend National Park
411 AM CST Sun Jan 19 2025

...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CST THIS 
MORNING...

* WHAT...Very cold wind chills as low as 10 above.

* WHERE...Lower Brewster County and Terrell Counties, and Presidio 
  Valley.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM CST this morning.

* IMPACTS...Frostbite and hypothermia will occur if unprotected skin 
  is exposed to these temperatures. Wind chill values can lead to 
  hypothermia with prolonged exposure.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use caution while traveling outside. Wear appropriate clothing, a 
hat, and gloves.

Bring pets indoors, or ensure that they have warm, dry shelter.

Make sure outdoor animals have a warm, dry shelter, food, and 
unfrozen water.

&&

$$

Lindsey

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1140 AM CST Sat Jan 18 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1137 AM CST Sat Jan 18 2025

- A strong cold front moves across the area this evening,
  ushering in temperatures 20-25 degrees below normal through
  early next week. No impactful wintry precipitation expected.

- Dangerously low wind chills will likely (> 80% confidence)
  necessitate cold weather products early next week.

- Temperatures warm closer to normal by the end of the week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Sunday afternoon)
Issued at 410 AM CST Sat Jan 18 2025

Current observations show a cold front moving through the Permian
Basin. This front will drop low temperatures this morning into the
upper 20s to mid 30s across the Permian Basin, while areas along and
south of the Trans Pecos will be a bit warmer ranging from the upper
30s to mid 40s. Today's highs are going to be much different
compared to yesterday as colder air behind the front swoops in
causing temperatures to be roughly 5 degrees below normal across
the Permian Basin. Areas further to the south remain near normal
as the cold front stalls over the higher terrain.

Tonight, a secondary and stronger cold front is expected to impact
the region. Ensemble and deterministic guidance are somewhat in
agreement with the lows ranging from the mid 20s to mid teens. Cloud
coverage and the winds behind the front may moderate temperatures to
being warmer than expected, especially for some portions of the
Permian Basin, southeastern New Mexico, and higher terrain. There is
a very low (5%) chance of flurries for far northern Lea County late
this evening, though moisture profiles and dendritic growth zones do
not look very promising for flurries to occur. Wind chill values may
reach near 5-10 degrees across isolated areas due to the higher
winds behind the cold front. A Cold Weather Advisory is not expected
at this time given the sporadic coverage of the wind chill values.
The cold front will also provide gap winds for Guadalupe Pass. A
brief three to six hour window of winds reaching High Wind Warning
criteria may occur beginning around the late evening into overnight
hours. Winds are expected to decrease significantly by Sunday
morning. A strong high pressure system will build in across the
Texas/Oklahoma Panhandle, as the cold front pushes its way out of
the region, supplying much colder and drier air on Sunday. Chilly
high temperatures (mainly lower 30s to lower 40s) are in store
Sunday. Such chilly temperatures are going to be the trend heading
into early next week.

Lamberson

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through Friday)
Issued at 410 AM CST Sat Jan 18 2025

A broad and deep longwave trough will continue to encompass much
of the central and eastern U.S. late this weekend and will be
reinforced by another trough digging across the Rocky Mountains
and adjacent Plains Monday into Monday night. Our forecast area
will be located along the western periphery of the initial cold
surface ridge of high pressure that will translate from the
central Plains to the Lower Mississippi Valley region and Gulf
Coast states Sunday night into Monday, allowing our winds to shift
more southeasterly to southerly during this time. We will still
remain under the influence of the very cold and dry airmass Sunday
night into Monday, and we expect low temperatures Monday morning
to range from the mid teens to lower 20s over much of our forecast
area. The pressure gradient along the western fringe of the
surface ridge will keep surface winds elevated late Sunday night
into early Monday morning, allowing for wind chill values to drop
well into the single digits across most of southeast New Mexico,
the Permian Basin, Trans Pecos region, and higher terrain areas.
Wind chills also look to range in the lower to mid teens across
much of the the Big Bend region. A Cold Weather Advisory issuance
will likely become necessary from late Sunday night through around
mid morning Monday to account for these very cold wind chill
values. Highs on Monday are forecast to remain well below normal
in the 30s and 40s across our region.

A reinforcing dome of cold surface high pressure will quickly
build southward into the Rockies and southern Plains Monday night
into Tuesday. Winds are forecast to shift northeasterly Monday
night and early Tuesday as this secondary surge of colder air
moves into our forecast area. Lows on Monday night will once again
be very cold in the teens over much of the area (20s over our
southern zones), while the increased northeasterly winds also lend
to wind chill readings below zero in the mountains and perhaps
across far northern portions of our area, with readings in the
single digits to lower teens over most of the rest of our region
during the overnight/early morning hours Monday night/Tuesday
morning. Additional cold weather products will more than likely
become necessary during this time. A brief period of high gap
winds could also impact Guadalupe Pass Monday night into early
Tuesday morning. Highs on Tuesday should once again only reach
into the mid 30s to lower 40s over most of our area. Clouds will
be on the increase late Monday night along the passing front and
also in association with a shortwave trough that will be crossing
our region. There could be enough moisture and weak ascent to
allow for a few light snow flurries over portions of the Trans
Pecos (and possibly the Permian Basin) late Monday night into
Tuesday morning, but the lower levels of the atmosphere will be
relatively dry, so no accumulation or impacts would be expected.
Confidence in light snow occurrence remains very low (10 percent
or less) but is something we will continue to watch for over the
next couple of days.

The cold surface ridge shifts to our east on Wednesday, with lee
troughing looking to develop across eastern New Mexico and west
Texas. Surface winds should once again become southerly to
southwesterly, allowing for warmer temperatures by Wednesday
afternoon. Highs are forecast to reach into the lower to mid 50s.
Yet another upper level trough digging across the northern and
central plains will send another cold front southward into our
region Wednesday night, with slightly cooler temperatures
anticipated on Thursday. Overnight lows remain cold in the 20s for
Thursday night with temperatures back into the 50s on Friday. Dry
weather is expected during the middle to latter part of the week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1137 AM CST Sat Jan 18 2025

VFR will prevail through the period. Light winds will become gusty
from the northeast behind a cold front this evening. Also watching
a disturbance to our north that could bring a lower cloud deck and
snow flurries this evening. Confidence is low so have not included
any flight restrictions yet.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               50  19  36  17 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                 61  20  37  18 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                   70  28  43  23 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton            64  23  40  22 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass           51  22  35  20 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                    53  17  34  17 /   0  10   0   0
Marfa                    57  20  43  15 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport     53  21  37  19 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                   55  22  38  20 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                     58  22  37  20 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...11
LONG TERM....21
AVIATION...29