Flash Flood Warning 3, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

091 
WGUS74 KMAF 240014
FFSMAF

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
Issued by National Weather Service San Angelo TX
714 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

TXC043-240115-
/O.CON.KMAF.FF.W.0003.000000T0000Z-250424T0115Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Brewster TX-
714 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM CDT THIS 
EVENING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL BREWSTER COUNTY...

At 714 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated that earlier thunderstorms 
have moved out of the area. However, runoff from earlier heavy rains 
is likely ongoing and so flash flooding is still possible.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by earlier thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Radar.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
         drainage and low-lying areas.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Panther Junction, Big Bend National Park and Boquillas Canyon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 2937 10285 2936 10284 2935 10288 2931 10289
      2929 10289 2928 10290 2926 10291 2924 10287
      2922 10287 2921 10290 2922 10291 2919 10292
      2919 10294 2917 10295 2919 10298 2918 10299
      2913 10301 2937 10337 2958 10319 2939 10283

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED

$$

SJH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
Issued by National Weather Service San Angelo TX
407 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 339 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

- Severe storms expected to develop this afternoon/evening. Large
  hail and damaging winds will be the primary threats.

- Additional severe thunderstorms expected to develop Thursday
  afternoon (large hail and damaging winds are the primary
  threats yet again)

- Off-and-on storm chances continue Saturday and early
  next week, especially for the Eastern Permian Basin and Lower
  Trans-Pecos

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Thursday)
Issued at 339 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

A persistent weather pattern continues across the region. Shortwave
impulses within W-SW aloft will continue to translate over the
forecast area this afternoon and evening in advance of an upper-
level trough over the western CONUS. A dryline is located from
far southeast New Mexico to the Davis Mountains foothills this
afternoon. CAPE values generally range between 1500-2500 J/KG
along and east of the surface dryline this afternoon. Isolated to
scattered showers and thunderstorms are developing over the Davis
Mountains and the Stockton Plateau as of 330 PM CDT. Forecast
soundings this afternoon look similar to yesterday, with steep mid
level lapse rates, high downdraft CAPE values in excess of 1000
J/KG, and long and nearly straight hodographs, which will favor
splitting supercells capable of producing large hail to golfball
size (or larger) and damaging winds in excess of 70 mph across the
western Permian Basin, Trans Pecos, and Big Bend region late this
afternoon. A tornado cannot be entirely ruled out over the
Stockton Plateau this evening, but large hail/damaging winds will
be the primary concern. A few storms may develop further east
across the Permian Basin through the evening.

Probably a similar scenario setting up on Thursday, with isolated
to scattered thunderstorms developing from the Permian Basin to
the Trans Pecos/Big Bend along the dryline. Storms will have the
potential to become severe again with large hail and damaging
winds once again being the primary threats. Lows tonight mostly
range in the 50s and 60s with highs on Wednesday topping out in
the 80s over most areas, except low 90s in the Upper Trans Pecos
and in the 90s to around 100 degrees along the Rio Grande.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 339 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

No significant changes to the long term with this forecast.

Yet again, by Thursday night storms push off to the east of our
area. Behind them, subtle mid-to-upper-level ridging sets up over
southeast New Mexico and west Texas Friday morning. Nevertheless,
this will rather quickly push off to the east and southwesterly
flow aloft will continue as troughing strengthens to our west.
Difluence and weak pulses within the mid-to-upper-level flow,
coupled with potential smaller-scale influences to our north (ex:
remnant boundaries), will once again allow for the development of
a few storms early Saturday morning into the afternoon/evening
while the dryline sharpens over western portions of the area.
Right now, it appears the best forcing (and rain chances) will be
found in the Northern/Eastern Permian Basin in particular (30-60%
chances). Like today and Thursday, storms may become strong to
severe given ample moisture/instability (surface dewpoints in the
50s and 60s, MUCAPE of 1500-2500 J/kg) and sufficient 0-6 km shear
(30-40 kts generally, up to 45-50 kts). Of course, details will
be refined closer to time.

Sunday and Monday, the dryline moves farther to the east (though
models differ somewhat as to just how far east). A larger system
will approach the region during this timeframe, but given the
displacement of the dryline storm chances will be confined to
easternmost locations/counties (10-30% chances for these
locations). Otherwise, southerly/southwesterly winds increase over
the weekend into early next week as the aforementioned system
nears and surface pressure gradients tighten in response.

Temperatures remain seasonable/a touch warmer than normal until
the end of the weekend, when widespread highs in the upper 80s
and low 90s look to return on the back of the increasing
southerly/southwesterly winds.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1245 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

Residual MVFR ceilings over portions of the Permian Basin and
Lower Trans Pecos region, including near KMAF and east of KFST
should continue to scatter over the next 1-2 hours. VFR will
generally remain prevalent across the region this afternoon. The
exception will be near scattered TSRA that will develop over
portions of the Permian Basin and Lower Trans Pecos later this
afternoon into early this evening. Confidence in TSRA impact is
highest at KFST, while storms could also develop nearby KPEQ and
KINK late this afternoon/early this evening. MVFR/IFR visibility
reductions in heavy rain/hail will be possible near the strongest
storms. Localized erratic winds with strong to severe gusts can
also be expected with the strongest convection.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               64  84  63  87 /  30  30  20  20
Carlsbad                 56  89  55  90 /  10   0   0  10
Dryden                   66  86  65  89 /  30  20  10  10
Fort Stockton            64  88  63  90 /  40  30  10  20
Guadalupe Pass           57  80  58  82 /   0   0   0  10
Hobbs                    58  86  58  87 /  20  10  10  10
Marfa                    54  84  53  86 /  10  10   0  20
Midland Intl Airport     65  85  63  86 /  20  20  10  20
Odessa                   65  85  63  86 /  20  20  10  20
Wink                     64  90  63  92 /  20  10   0  10

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...21
LONG TERM....13
AVIATION...21

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1255 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0704 PM     Non-Tstm Wnd Gst Midland International   31.95N 102.20W
04/22/2025  M111 MPH         Midland            TX   ASOS

            Corrects previous tstm wnd gst to non-tstm
            wnd gst. This gust occurred from a dry
            microburst associated virga bomb. Damage
            nearby supports the validity of this wind
            gust.

&&

rh

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
115 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0705 PM     Non-Tstm Wnd Dmg 4 NE Odessa             31.89N 102.33W
04/22/2025                   Ector              TX   Public

            6 downed power poles split near the base, an
            overturned semi-trailer truck, and a broken
            stop sign due to strong winds associated
            with a virga bomb.

&&

rh

Preliminary Local Storm Report...Summary
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
116 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0638 PM     Hail             1 E Kermit              31.86N 103.08W
04/22/2025  M2.00 Inch       Winkler            TX   Public

            Hail measured with measuring tape. Several
            images of quarter to egg sized hail stones.

0759 PM     Hail             16 NW The Terrell Gas P 30.51N 102.06W
04/22/2025  M1.75 Inch       Terrell            TX   Public

            Report from mPING: Golf Ball (1.75 in.).

0855 PM     Flash Flood      17 NW The Terrell Gas P 30.53N 102.05W
04/22/2025                   Terrell            TX   Storm Chaser

            Large stretch of FM 2400 under approximately
            6 inches of rushing water. Entire road
            flooded.

0917 PM     Flash Flood      16 NW The Terrell Gas P 30.51N 102.06W
04/22/2025                   Terrell            TX   Storm Chaser

            Road flooded out by at least a foot of
            water. A few vehicles unable to pass road on
            either end.

0638 PM     Hail             2 E Big Lake            31.19N 101.43W
04/22/2025  E0.75 Inch       Reagan             TX   Public

            Report from mPING: Dime (0.75 in.).

0342 PM     Hail             12 SE Coyanosa          31.15N 102.89W
04/22/2025  E0.75 Inch       Pecos              TX   Public

            Report from mPING: Dime (0.75 in.).

0345 PM     Hail             11 SSW Grandfalls       31.19N 102.89W
04/22/2025  E1.50 Inch       Pecos              TX   Trained Spotter

            Estimated 1.5 inch hail in hail core roughly
            15-20 miles north of Fort Stockton by storm
            chaser Bill Reed.

0401 PM     Hail             11 SW Imperial          31.15N 102.79W
04/22/2025  E1.00 Inch       Pecos              TX   Public

            Report from mPING: Quarter (1.00 in.).

0408 PM     Hail             13 SW Imperial          31.10N 102.79W
04/22/2025  E0.75 Inch       Pecos              TX   Public

            Report from mPING: Dime (0.75 in.).

0417 PM     Hail             14 SSW Imperial         31.09N 102.79W
04/22/2025  E1.50 Inch       Pecos              TX   Public

            Ping Pong Ball sized hail reported by chaser
            Freddy McKinney.

0420 PM     Hail             13 SW Imperial          31.11N 102.79W
04/22/2025  E1.50 Inch       Pecos              TX   Public

            Report from mPING: Ping Pong Ball (1.50
            in.).

0421 PM     Hail             12 SW Imperial          31.12N 102.79W
04/22/2025  E1.50 Inch       Pecos              TX   Public

            Report from mPING: Ping Pong Ball (1.50
            in.).

0430 PM     Landspout        13 NNE Fort Stockton    31.06N 102.81W
04/22/2025                   Pecos              TX   Public

            Landspout reported by storm chaser over an
            open field for a few minutes.

0440 PM     Landspout        1 N Fort Stockton       30.91N 102.88W
04/22/2025                   Pecos              TX   Emergency Mngr

            Pecos County Emergency Manager reported ping
            pong sized hail and heavy rain north of Ft.
            Stockton on HWY 18.

0453 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     3 NW Fort Stockton      30.92N 102.92W
04/22/2025  M68 MPH          Pecos              TX   ASOS

            ASOS station KFST Fort Stockton.

0455 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Fort Stockton           30.89N 102.88W
04/22/2025                   Pecos              TX   Emergency Mngr

            Roof torn off and canopy shed displaced.

0508 PM     Flash Flood      1 N Fort Stockton       30.90N 102.88W
04/22/2025                   Pecos              TX   Public

            Report from mPING: Street/road flooding;
            Street/road closed; Vehicles stranded.

0509 PM     Landspout        5 SSE Fort Stockton     30.83N 102.84W
04/22/2025                   Pecos              TX   Emergency Mngr

            Pecos County Emergency Manager reported
            tennis ball sized hail roughly 5 miles south
            of Fort Stockton on HWY 285.

0519 PM     Flash Flood      2 NE Fort Stockton      30.91N 102.87W
04/22/2025                   Pecos              TX   Public

            Report from mPING: Street/road flooding;
            Street/road closed; Vehicles stranded.

0530 PM     Hail             7 SE Fort Stockton      30.81N 102.83W
04/22/2025  M1.75 Inch       Pecos              TX   Public

            Report from mPING: Golf Ball (1.75 in.).

0540 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     10 SSE Fort Stockton    30.78N 102.80W
04/22/2025                   Pecos              TX   Emergency Mngr

            18 wheeler flipped over due to the winds 10
            miles south of Fort Stockton on HWY 285.
            Time is approximate.

0615 PM     Hail             25 SE Fort Stockton     30.61N 102.63W
04/22/2025  E2.00 Inch       Pecos              TX   Storm Chaser

            Hail up to and potentially in excess of
            2” on US-285 SE of Fort Stockton, TX.

0712 PM     Hail             27 SE Fort Stockton     30.59N 102.60W
04/22/2025  E0.75 Inch       Pecos              TX   Public

            Report from mPING: Dime (0.75 in.).

0723 PM     Flash Flood      13 W Bakersfield        30.86N 102.52W
04/22/2025                   Pecos              TX   Public

            Report from mPING: Street/road flooding;
            Street/road closed; Vehicles stranded.

0731 PM     Hail             24 N Longfellow         30.49N 102.54W
04/22/2025  M1.00 Inch       Pecos              TX   Public

            Report from mPING: Quarter (1.00 in.).

0736 PM     Hail             24 NNE Longfellow       30.49N 102.54W
04/22/2025  E1.75 Inch       Pecos              TX   Storm Chaser

            Storm chaser reported golf ball sized hail
            along US HWY 285.

0743 PM     Hail             22 NNW Sanderson        30.46N 102.48W
04/22/2025  E1.75 Inch       Pecos              TX   Storm Chaser

            Storm chaser reported roughly golf ball
            sized hail along HWY 285.

0803 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Fort Stockton           30.89N 102.88W
04/22/2025                   Pecos              TX   Emergency Mngr

            As per the Pecos County Emergency Manager,
            multiple power lines down in town with
            approximately 2,200 customers affected.
            Minor roof damage from wind and hail and
            roof leaks at some businesses.

0826 PM     Hail             14 N Sanderson          30.35N 102.43W
04/22/2025  E1.50 Inch       Pecos              TX   Storm Chaser

            Storm chaser reported walnut sized hail
            along US HWY 285.

0830 PM     Hail             15 N Sanderson          30.36N 102.45W
04/22/2025  M2.75 Inch       Pecos              TX   NWS Employee

            NWS employee reported baseball sized hail
            along US HWY 285. Time is approximate.

0704 PM     Non-Tstm Wnd Gst Midland International   31.95N 102.20W
04/22/2025  M111 MPH         Midland            TX   ASOS

            Corrects previous tstm wnd gst to non-tstm
            wnd gst. This gust occurred from a dry
            microburst associated virga bomb. Damage
            nearby supports the validity of this wind
            gust.

0705 PM     Non-Tstm Wnd Dmg 4 NE Odessa             31.89N 102.33W
04/22/2025                   Ector              TX   Public

            6 downed power poles split near the base, an
            overturned semi-trailer truck, and a broken
            stop sign due to strong winds associated
            with a virga bomb.

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
Issued by National Weather Service San Angelo TX
350 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

TXZ075-274-232145-
Pecos TX-Reeves County Plains TX-
350 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN PECOS AND EASTERN
REEVES COUNTIES THROUGH 445 PM CDT...

At 348 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 16
miles west of Fort Stockton, moving north at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Fort Stockton-Pecos County Airport, Coyanosa, and Firestone Test
Track.

This includes Interstate 10 between mile markers 236 and 252.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Midland.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
southwestern Texas.

&&

LAT...LON 3086 10316 3094 10329 3132 10319 3098 10262
TIME...MOT...LOC 2048Z 201DEG 14KT 3096 10315

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

TP

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
Issued by National Weather Service San Angelo TX
427 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

TXZ067-075-274-232230-
Pecos TX-Ward TX-Reeves County Plains TX-
427 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN PECOS...SOUTHEASTERN
REEVES AND CENTRAL WARD COUNTIES THROUGH 530 PM CDT...

At 426 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms 22 miles west of Fort Stockton, moving north at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Firestone Test Track, Fort Stockton-Pecos County Airport, Coyanosa, B
F Goodrich Testing Track, and Fort Stockton.

This includes Interstate 10 between mile markers 222 and 260.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Midland.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
western and southwestern Texas.

&&

LAT...LON 3071 10329 3089 10354 3148 10330 3105 10255
TIME...MOT...LOC 2126Z 197DEG 20KT 3091 10326

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

TP