Tornado Warning 39, NWS Lubbock, TX

528 
WWUS54 KLUB 070142
SVSLUB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
842 PM CDT Fri Jun 6 2025

TXC263-433-070200-
/O.CON.KLUB.TO.W.0039.000000T0000Z-250607T0200Z/
Kent TX-Stonewall TX-
842 PM CDT Fri Jun 6 2025

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT FOR EASTERN
KENT AND SOUTHWESTERN STONEWALL COUNTIES...

At 841 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Peacock, or 11 miles west of Aspermont, moving east
at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and two inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Aspermont, Swenson, and Peacock.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3314 10054 3321 10050 3321 10018 3296 10019
      3296 10048
TIME...MOT...LOC 0141Z 291DEG 26KT 3313 10042 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...2.00 IN

$$

12

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
655 PM CDT Fri Jun 6 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

 - Scattered severe thunderstorms to continue into this evening
   with the possibility for wind gusts up to 90 mph, hail up to
   softball size, localized flash flooding and tornadoes.

 - Severe thunderstorm chances remain expected each
   afternoon/evening through the end of the next week.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1110 AM CDT Fri Jun 6 2025

We will have a similar severe weather setup to yesterday with some
subtle differences. Height changes aloft will be just about neutral
today within the southwesterly flow aloft. Although this will result
in a lack of subsidence today, there will still be a lack of large
scale ascent. The subsidence yesterday clearly did not affect the
strengthen of convection. Ultimately though, today may bring more
scattered convection rather than only a single supercell
thunderstorm like what we saw yesterday afternoon. A complicating
issue is the near surface wind fields. An outflow boundary was still
slowly dipping southward which originated from the Texas Panhandle
early this morning. Behind the boundary, winds immediately back to
the northeast but farther north, winds have already begun to veer
back to the east/southeast. The latest RAP forecasts generally have
a good handle on this feature and back the winds to the
east/southeast across the central South Plains this afternoon. Winds
will likely behave this way due to the strengthening surface low in
southeastern New Mexico. This surface boundary still appears to be
in the RAP forecast this afternoon around the time of initiation but
remains very subtle by that time. This will ultimately maximize low
level convergence around the southwestern South Plains into Lea
County New Mexico or so in close proximity to the surface low and
remnant outflow boundary.

The lack of low stratus today will yield much warmer surface
temperatures and therefore deeper boundary layer mixing and higher
cloud bases. This will not negate a tornado threat but will bring
lower probabilities than what we saw yesterday. Supercell
thunderstorms will continue to likely be surface based within the
deeply mixed boundary layer. The deeper mixing will also cause
surface dew points to mix out a bit more than yesterday dropping
into the upper 50s in southeastern New Mexico and lower 60s in the
southwestern South Plains. A strong surge of low level theta-e air
will occur within the southeasterly low level flow this afternoon.
It will orient itself into the peak area of low level convergence
where convective initiation is expected. This strong low level
moisture will also allow storms to sustain themselves well eastward
this evening into the eastern South Plains and Rolling Plains.
Although surface dew points will mix out a bit more today, warmer
temperatures will allow the cap to be breached roughly around 20Z or
so. Mixed layer instability values are forecast to be between 2500
and 3500 J/kg with continued steep mid level lapse rates and
relatively cool mid-level temperatures. Hodographs will be nearly
straight line promoting splitting supercells. Low level turning will
not initially be impressive with weaker near surface winds but will
increase late afternoon as a low level jet ramps up. The remnant
outflow boundary may locally enhance low level turning increasing
tornado probabilities. Otherwise, very large hail is anticipated
with a stronger chance of damaging wind gusts over what was observed
yesterday owing to the deeper mixed boundary layer. Lastly, a
precipitable water anomaly between 125 and 150 percent of normal will
exist along the remnant boundary promoting another flash flooding
threat within this corridor.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 213 PM CDT Fri Jun 6 2025

Much less convective activity is expected for Saturday. Large scale
ascent will continue to be absent with more zonal but stronger flow
aloft. An overnight MCS rolling across Colorado into Kansas will
send a convectively enhanced cold front through the area on Saturday
morning. Strong heating will continue to garner impressive
instability values with surface dew points in the 60s. However, this
front/outflow will most likely keep us capped during the afternoon
hours. Despite the front, temperatures will rise into the upper 80s
to lower 90s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through next Thursday)
Issued at 213 PM CDT Fri Jun 6 2025

An active pattern remains expected through the end of next week.
Saturday will be the hottest and subsequently the most capped day.
This will inhibit any convective development, however a few storms
are possible late-day as a weak upper shortwave tracks across the
far SE Panhandle. Sunday looks very favorable for severe
thunderstorms as a broad upper trough and relatively strong surface
cold front approach from the north. Models are in good agreement
considering the lead time that greatest chances will occur across
the far SE Panhandle and Rolling Plains, with all showing a well-
defined MCS persisting through the evening hours. As a large upper
ridge develops to the west, a series of disturbances will
propagate across the area bringing daily afternoon/evening storm
chances each day thereafter.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 635 PM CDT Fri Jun 6 2025

LBB has already been impacted by a severe thunderstorm, with large
hail and torrential rain at the terminal between 22Z and 23Z.
This activity has moved off to the east, with VFR currently in
place. However, additional scattered severe thunderstorms located
over the western South Plains is moving eastward and could impact
LBB and PVW around 01Z. Hail, erratic and strong winds and
torrential rainfall will accompany this activity. Farther east,
convection may impact CDS in the next hour or two, with better
chances later this evening (03Z-06Z, when a PROB30 was included).
Convection will wane and shift to the east of the terminals late.
In general, VFR is expected late tonight, though pockets of sub-
VFR fog/stratus is possible. A convectively aided front will move
through the terminals Saturday morning with a northeasterly wind
shift, and a better shot of MVFR stratus, especially at the
northern terminals, but also possible at LBB. Where stratus does
develop, it will gradually lift/scattered to VFR during the
afternoon. Best storm chances favor points south and east of the
terminals Saturday afternoon and evening.

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....19
AVIATION...23

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
228 PM CDT Fri Jun 6 2025

TXZ021>044-071930-
Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale-Floyd-
Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-King-Yoakum-
Terry-Lynn-Garza-Kent-Stonewall-
228 PM CDT Fri Jun 6 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the South Plains, Rolling
Plains, and the far Southern Texas Panhandle.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Severe thunderstorms are expected to develop across portions of the
Caprock and Rolling Plains this afternoon and evening. Strong wind
gusts up to 90 mph, very large hail up to softball size, and
tornadoes are possible with these thunderstorms. Intense rainfall
rates can be expected resulting in localized flash flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Severe thunderstorm chances return each afternoon and evening
beginning Sunday and continue through next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed.

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
721 PM CDT Fri Jun 6 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0720 PM     Tornado          5 ESE Sundown           33.44N 102.41W
06/06/2025                   Hockley            TX   Trained Spotter

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
737 PM CDT Fri Jun 6 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0732 PM     Tornado          8 W Ropesville          33.43N 102.29W
06/06/2025                   Hockley            TX   Trained Spotter

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
752 PM CDT Fri Jun 6 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0743 PM     Hail             3 E Ropesville          33.41N 102.10W
06/06/2025  M2.00 Inch       Hockley            TX   Public

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
804 PM CDT Fri Jun 6 2025

TXZ025-026-070130-
Childress TX-Hall TX-
804 PM CDT Fri Jun 6 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CHILDRESS AND SOUTHEASTERN HALL
COUNTIES THROUGH 830 PM CDT...

At 804 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 11
miles northwest of Tell, or 13 miles south of Memphis, moving
northeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Childress, Tell, and Estelline.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for the Panhandle
of Texas.

&&

LAT...LON 3474 10000 3446 10000 3431 10044 3431 10049
      3454 10065 3475 10034 3475 10001
TIME...MOT...LOC 0104Z 237DEG 29KT 3453 10047

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

23

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
815 PM CDT Fri Jun 6 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0750 PM     Hail             5 S Wolfforth           33.43N 102.02W
06/06/2025  E1.00 Inch       Lubbock            TX   NWS Employee

0757 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     5 SSW Graham            33.09N 101.50W
06/06/2025  M61 MPH          Garza              TX   Mesonet

            West Texas Mesonet Report.

0812 PM     Hail             New Home                33.33N 101.91W
06/06/2025  M1.75 Inch       Lynn               TX   Emergency Mngr

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
824 PM CDT Fri Jun 6 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0822 PM     Non-Tstm Wnd Gst 7 ESE Silverton         34.43N 101.19W
06/06/2025  M63 MPH          Briscoe            TX   Mesonet

            West Texas Mesonet Report.

&&