Alert archive / Missouri / River Flood Warnings in 2025
River Flood Warning 40, NWS St. Louis, MO
NWS St. Louis, MO issued this river flood warning at Jun 4, 2025, 9:42 AM CDT for Lincoln County, Missouri. It took effect at Jun 4, 2025, 5:00 PM CDT. It was in force for 21 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 4, 2025, 9:42 AM CDT (14:42 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jun 4, 2025, 5:00 PM CDT
- Expired
- Jun 5, 2025, 2:18 PM CDT
- In force
- 21 hr
- Issued by
- NWS St. Louis, MO
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
County Lincoln County, MO
The radar
The St Louis radar (KLSX), 36 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:42 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Cuivre River at Troy (TRYM7). The gauge peaked at 24.71 ft at Jun 5, 2025, 2:00 AM CDT.
- Action stage
- 19 ft
- Minor stage
- 21 ft
- Moderate stage
- 25 ft
- Major stage
- 29 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05514500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted.
576
WGUS43 KLSX 041442
FLWLSX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service St Louis MO
942 AM CDT Wed Jun 4 2025
...The National Weather Service in St Louis has issued a Flood
Warning for the following rivers in Missouri...
Cuivre River near Troy.
River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast
precipitation for the next 24 hours.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even
higher than predicted. The National Weather Service will monitor
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as
conditions change.
This product, along with additional weather and stream information,
is available at https://water.noaa.gov/wfo/lsx
&&
MOC113-060245-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FL.W.0040.250604T2200Z-250606T2100Z/
/TRYM7.1.ER.250604T2200Z.250605T0600Z.250605T1500Z.NO/
942 AM CDT Wed Jun 4 2025
...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO FRIDAY AFTERNOON...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Cuivre River near Troy.
* WHEN...From this afternoon to Friday afternoon.
* IMPACTS...At 23.0 feet, Considerable agricultural land is flooded
between Troy and Moscow Mills.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 9:30 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 18.8 feet.
- Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage late this
afternoon to 23.0 feet just after midnight tonight. It will
then fall below flood stage late tomorrow morning to 6.9 feet
Tuesday morning. It will rise to 7.0 feet early Tuesday
afternoon. It will then fall again and remain below flood
stage.
- Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location Stg Stage Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
Cuivre River
Troy 21.0 18.8 22.5 11.8 8.1 7.3 7.1
&&
LAT...LON 3901 9106 3906 9100 3903 9098 3903 9095
3897 9089 3894 9083 3889 9079 3886 9080
3886 9087 3890 9087 3893 9093 3899 9098
$$
Elmore3 follow-up statements
466
WGUS83 KLSX 050238
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
938 PM CDT Wed Jun 4 2025
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Missouri...
Dardenne Creek at St. Peters.
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in
Missouri...
Cuivre River near Troy.
River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast
precipitation for the next 24 hours.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.
This product, along with additional weather and stream information,
is available at https://water.noaa.gov/wfo/lsx
&&
MOC183-061445-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-250607T0730Z/
/DRCM7.1.ER.250605T0037Z.250605T1200Z.250606T0130Z.UU/
938 PM CDT Wed Jun 4 2025
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Dardenne Creek at St. Peters.
* WHEN...Until late Friday night.
* IMPACTS...At 19.4 feet, Ball fields at Sports Center Park become
flooded.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 9:10 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 18.6 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
ending at 9:10 PM CDT Wednesday was 18.6 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 19.3
feet tomorrow morning. It will then fall below flood stage
tomorrow evening.
- Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location Stg Stage Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Dardenne Creek
St. Peters 18.0 18.6 16.2 12.7 9.7 5.9 1.8
&&
LAT...LON 3873 9067 3875 9069 3876 9065 3878 9066
3881 9066 3885 9063 3885 9053 3881 9057
3879 9063 3875 9062
$$
MOC113-061445-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-250607T0031Z/
/TRYM7.1.ER.250604T1706Z.250605T0600Z.250605T1831Z.NO/
938 PM CDT Wed Jun 4 2025
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Cuivre River near Troy.
* WHEN...Until Friday evening.
* IMPACTS...At 24.8 feet, Near this height...Second Street in Moscow
Mills begins flooding near the Byrd Street intersection.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 9:30 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 24.3 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
ending at 9:30 PM CDT Wednesday was 24.3 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 24.4
feet just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below
flood stage early tomorrow afternoon.
- Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location Stg Stage Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Cuivre River
Troy 21.0 24.3 11.9 7.9 6.8 6.5 6.4
&&
LAT...LON 3901 9106 3906 9100 3903 9098 3903 9095
3897 9089 3894 9083 3889 9079 3886 9080
3886 9087 3890 9087 3893 9093 3899 9098
$$
19914
WGUS83 KLSX 051331
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
831 AM CDT Thu Jun 5 2025
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in
Missouri...
Moreau River near Jefferson City.
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Missouri...
Cuivre River near Troy.
River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast
precipitation for the next 24 hours.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.
This product, along with additional weather and stream information,
is available at https://water.noaa.gov/wfo/lsx
&&
MOC051-070145-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-250607T0801Z/
/JCMM7.1.ER.250604T2212Z.250605T1800Z.250606T0201Z.NO/
831 AM CDT Thu Jun 5 2025
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* WHERE...Moreau River near Jefferson City.
* WHEN...Until late Friday night.
* IMPACTS...At 20.0 feet, Near this height, Buffalo Road will be
closed. This road is about 8.7 river miles upstream of the gage.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 7:30 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 21.1 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
ending at 7:30 AM CDT Thursday was 21.1 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 21.6
feet this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage late
this evening.
- Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location Stg Stage Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Moreau River
Jefferson City 17.0 21.1 8.2 3.6 2.5 2.2 2.1
&&
LAT...LON 3855 9214 3854 9207 3850 9210 3847 9224
3850 9235 3856 9236 3857 9233 3854 9226
$$
MOC113-062115-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-250606T2101Z/
/TRYM7.1.ER.250604T1706Z.250605T0715Z.250605T1501Z.NO/
831 AM CDT Thu Jun 5 2025
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON...
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.
* WHERE...Cuivre River near Troy.
* WHEN...Until Friday afternoon.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 8:00 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 22.2 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
ending at 8:00 AM CDT Thursday was 24.7 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
late this morning and continue falling to 5.8 feet Thursday,
June 12.
- Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location Stg Stage Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Cuivre River
Troy 21.0 22.2 7.3 6.4 6.1 5.9 5.9
&&
LAT...LON 3901 9106 3906 9100 3903 9098 3903 9095
3897 9089 3894 9083 3889 9079 3886 9080
3886 9087 3890 9087 3893 9093 3899 9098
$$
Elmore366
WGUS83 KLSX 051918
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
218 PM CDT Thu Jun 5 2025
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in
Missouri...
Cuivre River near Troy.
River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast
precipitation for the next 24 hours.
MOC113-052030-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-250605T1918Z/
/TRYM7.1.ER.250604T1706Z.250605T0715Z.250605T1416Z.NO/
218 PM CDT Thu Jun 5 2025
...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
the Cuivre River near Troy.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 2:00 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 15.6 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 5.8 feet
Thursday, June 12.
&&
Fld Observed Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location Stg Stage Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Cuivre River
Troy 21.0 15.6 7.3 6.4 6.1 5.9 5.9
&&
LAT...LON 3901 9106 3906 9100 3903 9098 3903 9095
3897 9089 3894 9083 3889 9079 3886 9080
3886 9087 3890 9087 3893 9093 3899 9098
$$
ElmoreWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jun 4, 6:30 AM CDT, 3 hours 12 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- Isolated severe storms are possible this afternoon over southeast Missouri and southwest Illinois. Damaging winds and locally heavy rainfall are possible with the strongest storms.
- Periods of showers and thunderstorms are expected to continue through the weekend.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 4, 6:30 AM CDT, 3 hours 12 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...Updated Aviation National Weather Service Saint Louis MO 630 AM CDT Wed Jun 4 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Isolated severe storms are possible this afternoon over southeast Missouri and southwest Illinois. Damaging winds and locally heavy rainfall are possible with the strongest storms. - Periods of showers and thunderstorms are expected to continue through the weekend. && .SHORT TERM... (Through Late Thursday Afternoon) Issued at 444 AM CDT Wed Jun 4 2025 I have gone ahead and dropped the flood watch for this morning. Do believe there will be any additional heavy rainfall that will lead to flash flooding early this morning. The cold front currently extends from near a UIN-COU-JLN line and the HREF is showing it only moving halfway through the CWA by 00Z as shortwave trough lifts northeast leaving southwesterly upper flow. The radar mosaic has shown a slow down in the eastward progress of the band of showers over the area with the CAMS consistently keeping this band across the central and eastern part of the CWA through tonight. SPC has highlighted the southeast half of the CWA in a marginal risk this afternoon where the RAP/NAM is showing MLCAPES of 500-1500 J/kg with weak deep layer shear suggesting that there could be localized damaging winds. In addition, PWATS near 2" and slow storm motions could cause some locally heavy rainfall. The HREF is not showing the front moving south of the CWA until Thursday morning under the southwest upper flow. Another weak shortwave will move through the upper flow tonight which will keep likely PoPs across the southeast half of the CWA. The front will not move too far south of the area on Thursday keeping at least chance PoPs across southeast Missouri and southwest Illinois. Temperatures will be cooler today with the front entering the area and the rain/clouds. Highs today will be in the 70s over the northwest half of the area to the 80s ahead of the front over southeast Missouri and southwest Illinois. Britt && .LONG TERM... (Thursday Night through Tuesday) Issued at 444 AM CDT Wed Jun 4 2025 Late this week into early next week looks active with several upper troughs moving across the area before a upper ridge builds in the middle of next week. Friday looks like a potentially active day as SPC has a slight risk over southeast Missouri. This is for either a MCS that will be continuing from the Plains or thunderstorms redeveloping from a remnant MCV during the heat of the day. Either way, there is some risk for damaging winds over the southern part of the CWA. The LREF is also showing 60-80% of its members producing precipitation of Friday over the area with a weaker trough bringing 30-40% of its members on Sunday. Highs during the period will be in the upper 70s and lower 80s. Britt && .AVIATION... (For the 12z TAFs through 12z Thursday Morning) Issued at 622 AM CDT Wed Jun 4 2025 Showers will continue to affect UIN/COU/JEF through 16Z and STL/SUS/CPS through 03Z. There will be a low threat (<30%) for thunderstorms, but confidence in timing at any one airport is too low to include in the TAF at this point. Ceilings and visibilities in the showers will be MVFR/IFR, but will improve to VFR at UIN this afternoon and at COU/JEF this evening. Winds will remain under 10 knots outside of thunderstorms. Britt && .LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MO...None. IL...None. && WFO LSX
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 4, 4:58 AM CDT, 4 hours 44 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service St Louis MO 458 AM CDT Wed Jun 4 2025 ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027- 034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-051000- Greene IL-Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Bond IL-Fayette IL-Clinton IL- Marion IL-Washington IL-Randolph IL-Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL- Calhoun IL-Jersey IL-Madison IL-Saint Clair IL-Monroe IL-Knox MO- Lewis MO-Shelby MO-Marion MO-Monroe MO-Ralls MO-Pike MO-Boone MO- Audrain MO-Moniteau MO-Cole MO-Osage MO-Callaway MO-Montgomery MO- Lincoln MO-Gasconade MO-Warren MO-Saint Charles MO-Franklin MO- Saint Louis MO-Saint Louis City MO-Jefferson MO-Crawford MO- Washington MO-Saint Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Iron MO- Madison MO-Reynolds MO- 458 AM CDT Wed Jun 4 2025 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of eastern and central Missouri as well as west central and southwest Illinois. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. There is a chance of thunderstorms through tonight. Isolated thunderstorms could produce damaging winds up to 60 mph and locally heavy rainfall over parts of southeast Missouri and southwest Illinois this afternoon and early this evening. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. There is a chance of thunderstorms Thursday through Monday. A few thunderstorms may be severe on Friday across southeast Missouri. Damaging winds will be the primary threat. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed. Britt
The office that day
Everything else NWS St. Louis, MO issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 3, 7:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Callaway, Montgomery, Warren | 48 min |
| Jun 3, 8:35 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | LSX | Boone, Cole, Moniteau | 4 hr |
| Jun 3, 9:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Cole, Moniteau | 43 min |
| Jun 3, 9:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Boone, Callaway, Cole, Osage | 51 min |
| Jun 3, 9:32 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | LSX | Audrain, Callaway, Lincoln, Montgomery, Pike, Ralls and 1 more | 3 hr |
| Jun 3, 10:03 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LSX | Boone | 117 min |
| Jun 3, 10:29 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | LSX | Boone | 8 hr |
| Jun 4, 12:14 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | LSX | Boone | 6 hr |
| Jun 4, 1:59 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | LSX | Cole | 38 hr |
| Jun 4, 2:47 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | LSX | Saint Charles, Saint Louis | 11 min |
| Jun 4, 2:50 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Saint Charles, Saint Louis, City of Saint Louis | 40 min |
| Jun 4, 2:58 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LSX | Saint Charles, Saint Louis | 92 min |
| Jun 4, 3:13 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Saint Charles, Saint Louis | 38 min |
| Jun 4, 3:22 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | LSX | Franklin, Jefferson, Saint Louis | 113 min |
| Jun 4, 3:53 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | LSX | Saint Louis, City of Saint Louis | 97 min |
| Jun 4, 4:12 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LSX | Crawford, Washington | 2 hr |
| Jun 4, 5:46 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | LSX | Saint Louis, City of Saint Louis | 3 hr |
| Jun 4, 6:15 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | LSX | Franklin, Jefferson | 3 hr |
| Jun 4, 6:19 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | LSX | Crawford, Washington | 2 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2025Every river flood warning in 2025
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.