River Flood Warning 1, NWS St. Louis, MO

051 
WGUS83 KLSX 020041
FLSLSX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
741 PM CDT Tue Apr 1 2025

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Black River near Annapolis.

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted. The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions change.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at https://water.noaa.gov/wfo/lsx

&&

MOC179-031245-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0001.250403T1648Z-000000T0000Z/
/ANNM7.1.ER.250403T1648Z.250405T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
741 PM CDT Tue Apr 1 2025

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING UNTIL 
FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Black River near Annapolis.

* WHEN...From Thursday morning until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 9.0 feet, County Road 372 will begin flooding near 
  this height.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:15 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 4.4 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    late Thursday morning and continue rising to a crest of 10.0
    feet Friday evening.
  - Flood stage is 8.0 feet.



&&


             Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location     Stg    Stage    Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Black River
  Annapolis  8.0     4.4     7.6   9.5   9.8   8.9   MSG



&&

LAT...LON 3743 9086 3746 9080 3738 9079 3735 9075
      3721 9076 3721 9080 3732 9080 3737 9085


$$

Elmore

441 
WGUS43 KLSX 021432
FLWLSX

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service St Louis MO
932 AM CDT Wed Apr 2 2025

...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity and 
increased in duration for the following rivers in Missouri...

  Black River near Annapolis.

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at https://water.noaa.gov/wfo/lsx

&&

MOC179-040245-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0001.250405T0342Z-250408T0130Z/
/ANNM7.2.ER.250405T0342Z.250405T1800Z.250406T1930Z.NO/
932 AM CDT Wed Apr 2 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING TO MONDAY 
EVENING...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Black River near Annapolis.

* WHEN...From Friday evening to Monday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 20.5 feet, One house on Circle Drive in Lesterville 
  will flood near this height.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:15 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 4.4 feet.
  - Forecast...The river will rise to 4.6 feet tomorrow morning.
    It will then fall to 4.4 feet tomorrow evening. It will rise
    above flood stage late Friday evening to 20.0 feet early
    Saturday afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage early
    Sunday afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 8.0 feet.



&&


             Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location     Stg    Stage    Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Black River
  Annapolis  8.0     4.4     4.6   4.5   16.7  9.3   7.0



&&

LAT...LON 3743 9086 3746 9080 3738 9079 3735 9075
      3721 9076 3721 9080 3732 9080 3737 9085


$$

Walsh

987 
WGUS83 KLSX 030234
FLSLSX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
934 PM CDT Wed Apr 2 2025

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Black River near Annapolis.

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted. The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions change.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at https://water.noaa.gov/wfo/lsx

&&

MOC179-041445-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0001.250405T0349Z-250408T2000Z/
/ANNM7.2.ER.250405T0349Z.250406T0000Z.250407T1400Z.NO/
934 PM CDT Wed Apr 2 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING TO TUESDAY 
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Black River near Annapolis.

* WHEN...From Friday evening to Tuesday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 20.5 feet, One house on Circle Drive in Lesterville 
  will flood near this height.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:15 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 4.7 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 20.0
    feet Saturday evening. It will then fall below flood stage
    late Monday morning.
  - Flood stage is 8.0 feet.



&&


             Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location     Stg    Stage    Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Black River
  Annapolis  8.0     4.7     5.4   14.6  15.9  8.1   MSG



&&

LAT...LON 3743 9086 3746 9080 3738 9079 3735 9075
      3721 9076 3721 9080 3732 9080 3737 9085


$$

Britt

447 
WGUS83 KLSX 031055
FLSLSX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
555 AM CDT Thu Apr 3 2025

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Black River near Annapolis.

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted. The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions change.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at https://water.noaa.gov/wfo/lsx

&&

MOC179-042300-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0001.250405T0054Z-250408T2000Z/
/ANNM7.2.ER.250405T0054Z.250406T0000Z.250407T1400Z.NO/
555 AM CDT Thu Apr 3 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING TO TUESDAY 
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Black River near Annapolis.

* WHEN...From Friday evening to Tuesday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 20.5 feet, One house on Cirle Drive in Lesterville 
  will flood near this height.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 5:15 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 6.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river will rise to 7.2 feet this afternoon. It
    will then fall to 6.1 feet tomorrow morning. It will rise
    above flood stage tomorrow evening to 20.0 feet Saturday
    evening. It will then fall below flood stage late Monday
    morning.
  - Flood stage is 8.0 feet.



&&


             Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location     Stg    Stage    Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Black River
  Annapolis  8.0     6.5     6.1   14.6  15.9  8.1   MSG



&&

LAT...LON 3743 9086 3746 9080 3738 9079 3735 9075
      3721 9076 3721 9080 3732 9080 3737 9085


$$

Glass

662 
WGUS83 KLSX 031438
FLSLSX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
938 AM CDT Thu Apr 3 2025

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Black River near Annapolis.

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted. The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions change.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at https://water.noaa.gov/wfo/lsx

&&

MOC179-050245-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0001.250405T0030Z-250409T1200Z/
/ANNM7.2.ER.250405T0030Z.250406T0000Z.250408T0600Z.NO/
938 AM CDT Thu Apr 3 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING TO WEDNESDAY 
MORNING...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Black River near Annapolis.

* WHEN...From Friday evening to Wednesday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 20.5 feet, One house on Cirle Drive in Lesterville 
  will flood near this height.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:15 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 6.4 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 20.0
    feet Saturday evening. It will then fall below flood stage
    early Tuesday morning.
  - Flood stage is 8.0 feet.



&&


             Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location     Stg    Stage    Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Black River
  Annapolis  8.0     6.4     6.5   16.9  17.7  9.0   7.7



&&

LAT...LON 3743 9086 3746 9080 3738 9079 3735 9075
      3721 9076 3721 9080 3732 9080 3737 9085


$$

Tilly

397 
WGUS83 KLSX 040103
FLSLSX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
803 PM CDT Thu Apr 3 2025

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Missouri...

  Black River near Annapolis.

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted. The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions change.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at https://water.noaa.gov/wfo/lsx

&&

MOC179-051315-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0001.250405T0030Z-250409T1200Z/
/ANNM7.2.ER.250405T0030Z.250406T0000Z.250408T0600Z.NO/
803 PM CDT Thu Apr 3 2025

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING TO WEDNESDAY 
MORNING...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Black River near Annapolis.

* WHEN...From Friday evening to Wednesday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 20.5 feet, One house on Cirle Drive in Lesterville 
  will flood near this height.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:15 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 6.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    tomorrow evening to a crest of 20.0 feet Saturday evening. It
    will then fall below flood stage early Tuesday morning.
  - Flood stage is 8.0 feet.



&&


             Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location     Stg    Stage    Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed

Black River
  Annapolis  8.0     6.0     16.9  17.7  9.0   7.7   MSG



&&

LAT...LON 3743 9086 3746 9080 3738 9079 3735 9075
      3721 9076 3721 9080 3732 9080 3737 9085


$$

Delia

497 
WGUS83 KLSX 041500
FLSLSX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
1000 AM CDT Fri Apr 4 2025

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Black River near Annapolis.

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted. The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions change.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at https://water.noaa.gov/wfo/lsx

&&

MOC179-060300-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0001.250405T0208Z-250409T1000Z/
/ANNM7.2.ER.250405T0208Z.250406T0000Z.250408T0400Z.NO/
1000 AM CDT Fri Apr 4 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING TO LATE TUESDAY 
NIGHT...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Black River near Annapolis.

* WHEN...From this evening to late Tuesday night.

* IMPACTS...At 20.5 feet, One house on Cirle Drive in Lesterville 
  will flood near this height.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:15 AM CDT Friday the stage was 5.8 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    late this evening to a crest of 20.0 feet tomorrow evening.
    It will then fall below flood stage late Monday evening.
  - Flood stage is 8.0 feet.



&&


             Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location     Stg    Stage    Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed

Black River
  Annapolis  8.0     5.8     16.4  15.7  8.9   7.7   6.9



&&

LAT...LON 3743 9086 3746 9080 3738 9079 3735 9075
      3721 9076 3721 9080 3732 9080 3737 9085


$$

Maples

749 
WGUS83 KLSX 050045
FLSLSX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
745 PM CDT Fri Apr 4 2025

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Black River near Annapolis.

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted. The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions change.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at https://water.noaa.gov/wfo/lsx

&&

MOC179-061245-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0001.250405T0045Z-250409T1000Z/
/ANNM7.2.ER.250404T2115Z.250406T0000Z.250408T0400Z.NO/
745 PM CDT Fri Apr 4 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING TO LATE TUESDAY 
NIGHT...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is 
  forecast.

* WHERE...Black River near Annapolis.

* WHEN...From this evening to late Tuesday night.

* IMPACTS...At 20.5 feet, One house on Cirle Drive in Lesterville 
  will flood near this height.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:15 PM CDT Friday the stage was 9.3 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 7:15 PM CDT Friday was 9.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 20.0
    feet tomorrow evening. It will then fall below flood stage
    late Monday evening.
  - Flood stage is 8.0 feet.



&&


             Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location     Stg    Stage    Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu

Black River
  Annapolis  8.0     9.3     15.7  8.9   7.7   6.9   MSG



&&

LAT...LON 3743 9086 3746 9080 3738 9079 3735 9075
      3721 9076 3721 9080 3732 9080 3737 9085


$$

Britt

448 
WGUS83 KLSX 050725
FLSLSX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
225 AM CDT Sat Apr 5 2025

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Black River near Annapolis.

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted. The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions change.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at https://water.noaa.gov/wfo/lsx

&&

MOC179-061930-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-250409T1000Z/
/ANNM7.2.ER.250404T2115Z.250406T0000Z.250408T0400Z.NO/
225 AM CDT Sat Apr 5 2025

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is 
  forecast.

* WHERE...Black River near Annapolis.

* WHEN...Until late Tuesday night.

* IMPACTS...At 20.5 feet, One house on Cirle Drive in Lesterville 
  will flood near this height.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 1:15 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 14.7 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 1:15 AM CDT Saturday was 14.7 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 20.0
    feet this evening. It will then fall below flood stage late
    Monday evening.
  - Flood stage is 8.0 feet.



&&


             Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location     Stg    Stage    Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu

Black River
  Annapolis  8.0     14.7    16.2  8.9   7.7   6.9   MSG



&&

LAT...LON 3743 9086 3746 9080 3738 9079 3735 9075
      3721 9076 3721 9080 3732 9080 3737 9085


$$

Elmore

974 
WGUS83 KLSX 050849
FLSLSX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
349 AM CDT Sat Apr 5 2025

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Black River near Annapolis.

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted. The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions change.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at https://water.noaa.gov/wfo/lsx

&&

MOC179-062100-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-250407T1353Z/
/ANNM7.2.ER.250404T2115Z.250405T1200Z.250406T0753Z.NO/
349 AM CDT Sat Apr 5 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is 
  forecast.

* WHERE...Black River near Annapolis.

* WHEN...Until Monday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 21.0 feet, Highway 21 at Circle Drive in Lesterville 
  begins flooding.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 3:15 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 18.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 3:15 AM CDT Saturday was 18.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 22.0
    feet this morning. It will then fall below flood stage just
    after midnight tonight.
  - Flood stage is 8.0 feet.



&&


             Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location     Stg    Stage    Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu

Black River
  Annapolis  8.0     18.0    6.7   5.5   5.1   5.0   MSG



&&

LAT...LON 3743 9086 3746 9080 3738 9079 3735 9075
      3721 9076 3721 9080 3732 9080 3737 9085


$$

Elmore

702 
WGUS83 KLSX 051446
FLSLSX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
946 AM CDT Sat Apr 5 2025

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Black River near Annapolis.

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted. The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions change.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at https://water.noaa.gov/wfo/lsx

&&

MOC179-070300-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-250409T2000Z/
/ANNM7.2.ER.250404T2115Z.250405T1245Z.250408T1400Z.NO/
946 AM CDT Sat Apr 5 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is 
  forecast.

* WHERE...Black River near Annapolis.

* WHEN...Until Wednesday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 20.5 feet, One house on Cirle Drive in Lesterville 
  will flood near this height.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:15 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 19.9 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 9:15 AM CDT Saturday was 20.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    late Tuesday morning and continue falling to 6.3 feet
    Thursday morning.
  - Flood stage is 8.0 feet.



&&


             Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location     Stg    Stage    Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu

Black River
  Annapolis  8.0     19.9    12.9  9.6   8.1   6.8   6.3



&&

LAT...LON 3743 9086 3746 9080 3738 9079 3735 9075
      3721 9076 3721 9080 3732 9080 3737 9085


$$

Maples

358 
WGUS83 KLSX 060123
FLSLSX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
823 PM CDT Sat Apr 5 2025

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Missouri...

  Black River near Annapolis.

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted. The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions change.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at https://water.noaa.gov/wfo/lsx

&&

MOC179-071330-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-250409T0130Z/
/ANNM7.2.ER.250404T2115Z.250405T1245Z.250407T1930Z.NO/
823 PM CDT Sat Apr 5 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Black River near Annapolis.

* WHEN...Until Tuesday evening.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:15 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 14.4 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 7:15 PM CDT Saturday was 20.1 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    early Monday afternoon and continue falling to 6.0 feet
    Thursday evening.
  - Flood stage is 8.0 feet.



&&


             Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location     Stg    Stage    Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri

Black River
  Annapolis  8.0     14.4    8.4   7.2   6.6   6.1   MSG



&&

LAT...LON 3743 9086 3746 9080 3738 9079 3735 9075
      3721 9076 3721 9080 3732 9080 3737 9085


$$

Delia

231 
WGUS83 KLSX 061432
FLSLSX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
932 AM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Black River near Annapolis.

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at https://water.noaa.gov/wfo/lsx

&&

MOC179-080245-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-250409T0600Z/
/ANNM7.2.ER.250404T2115Z.250405T1245Z.250408T0000Z.NO/
932 AM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Black River near Annapolis.

* WHEN...Until late Tuesday night.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:15 AM CDT Sunday the stage was 12.8 feet and falling.
  - Recent Activity...The river crested near 20.3 feet on the
    morning of April 5.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    tomorrow evening and continue a slow fall over the coming
    week.
  - Flood stage is 8.0 feet.



&&


             Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location     Stg    Stage    Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri

Black River
  Annapolis  8.0     12.8    8.9   7.4   6.5   6.1   5.8



&&

LAT...LON 3743 9086 3746 9080 3738 9079 3735 9075
      3721 9076 3721 9080 3732 9080 3737 9085


$$

Kimble

716 
WGUS83 KLSX 070049
FLSLSX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
749 PM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Missouri...

  Black River near Annapolis.

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at https://water.noaa.gov/wfo/lsx

&&

MOC179-081300-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-250409T0600Z/
/ANNM7.2.ER.250404T2115Z.250405T1245Z.250408T0000Z.NO/
749 PM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Black River near Annapolis.

* WHEN...Until late Tuesday night.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:15 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 10.4 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 7:15 PM CDT Sunday was 13.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    tomorrow evening and continue falling to 5.7 feet Friday
    evening.
  - Flood stage is 8.0 feet.



&&


             Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location     Stg    Stage    Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

Black River
  Annapolis  8.0     10.4    7.4   6.5   6.0   5.8   MSG



&&

LAT...LON 3743 9086 3746 9080 3738 9079 3735 9075
      3721 9076 3721 9080 3732 9080 3737 9085


$$

Delia

812 
WGUS83 KLSX 071453
FLSLSX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
953 AM CDT Mon Apr 7 2025

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following river in 
Missouri...

  Black River near Annapolis.

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at https://water.noaa.gov/wfo/lsx

&&

MOC179-090300-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-250409T1200Z/
/ANNM7.2.ER.250404T2115Z.250405T1245Z.250408T0600Z.NO/
953 AM CDT Mon Apr 7 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Black River near Annapolis.

* WHEN...Until Wednesday morning.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:15 AM CDT Monday the stage was 8.8 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    late tonight.
  - Flood stage is 8.0 feet.



&&


             Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location     Stg    Stage    Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

Black River
  Annapolis  8.0     8.8     7.7   6.7   6.1   5.8   5.6



&&

LAT...LON 3743 9086 3746 9080 3738 9079 3735 9075
      3721 9076 3721 9080 3732 9080 3737 9085


$$

Gosselin

750 
WGUS83 KLSX 080038
FLSLSX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
738 PM CDT Mon Apr 7 2025

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Missouri...

  Black River near Annapolis.

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at https://water.noaa.gov/wfo/lsx

&&

MOC179-091200-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-250409T1200Z/
/ANNM7.2.ER.250404T2115Z.250405T1245Z.250408T0600Z.NO/
738 PM CDT Mon Apr 7 2025

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Black River near Annapolis.

* WHEN...Until Wednesday morning.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:15 PM CDT Monday the stage was 8.2 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 7:15 PM CDT Monday was 8.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    just after midnight tonight and continue falling to 5.5 feet
    Saturday evening.
  - Flood stage is 8.0 feet.



&&


             Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location     Stg    Stage    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Black River
  Annapolis  8.0     8.2     6.8   6.1   5.8   5.6   MSG



&&

LAT...LON 3743 9086 3746 9080 3738 9079 3735 9075
      3721 9076 3721 9080 3732 9080 3737 9085


$$

Delia

258 
WGUS83 KLSX 080750
FLSLSX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
250 AM CDT Tue Apr 8 2025

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Black River near Annapolis.

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.

MOC179-080900-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-250408T0750Z/
/ANNM7.2.ER.250404T2115Z.250405T1245Z.250408T0500Z.NO/
250 AM CDT Tue Apr 8 2025

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Black River near Annapolis.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 2:15 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 7.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 5.5 feet Saturday
    evening.



&&


             Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location     Stg    Stage    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Black River
  Annapolis  8.0     7.9     6.8   6.1   5.8   5.6   MSG



&&

LAT...LON 3743 9086 3746 9080 3738 9079 3735 9075
      3721 9076 3721 9080 3732 9080 3737 9085


$$

Pfahler

Area Forecast Discussion...Updated Aviation
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
549 AM CDT Tue Apr 1 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Strong to severe Thunderstorms are possible after midnight
  tonight, primarily across parts of central and northeast
  Missouri. Severe thunderstorms are more likely on Wednesday
  afternoon.

- Periods of heavy rain are likely Thursday through Saturday. The
  threat of river flooding is becoming more likely across parts of
  southeast Missouri and southern Illinois. Flash flooding will
  will also be possible in these areas.

&&

.SHORT TERM...  (Through Late Wednesday Afternoon)
Issued at 425 AM CDT Tue Apr 1 2025

A ridge of high pressure has moved east of the forecast area this
morning, and the wind has turned back to the east-southeast.  Winds
will continue to veer to the southeast and become increase as the
pressure gradient tightens between the high to our east and a
strengthening low pressure system over the central Plains.  The
southeast flow will boost temperatures back into the upper 50s to
mid 60s this afternoon.

The low level jet increases this evening as the low over the Plains
continues to deepen and move east.  All guidance shows moderate to
strong moisture convergence across Missouri and Illinois during the
evening.  However only the GFS of the operational deterministic
models spits out a significant amount of QPF during the evening.  A
few of the CAMs develop spotty showers as well, mostly over central
and northeast Missouri into west central Illinois.  With most models
staying dry through the evening, have lowered PoPs to chance before
midnight.  The real chance for precip develops overnight into
Wednesday morning.  Convection is expected to develop over the
eastern Plains during the evening on the nose of the low level jet
which will be screaming at 60-70kts just ahead of the low.  CAMs
show the storms growing upscale into multiple lines as they move
east through the night.  There are timing differences in when the
storms reach our area, but the consensus is sometime between 08-12Z
Wednesday.  Leaned toward the earlier solutions as the models can be
a little slow in these situations.  Forecast soundings show a very
pronounced low level inversion, so the storms should be elevated by
the time they reach our area.  Given that, large hail should be the
primary severe weather threat with 1000-1500 J/Kg of MUCAPE and
shear in the 50-60kt range.  The low level wind field will be very
strong, with up to 60kts only 2500 feet above the ground, so an
isolated damaging wind gust will be possible as well if a stronger
storm can mix that down through the inversion.

There are still a lot of uncertainty in the severe forecast for
Wednesday.  Morning convection will continue east through the day,
fed by the low level jet which will continue to rip along at 50-60ts
until the low begins accelerating northeast during the late
afternoon.  The clouds and showers could really limit instability,
thereby limiting the strength of afternoon convection.  Several CAMs
seem to show this with weaker afternoon convection than others. Most
notably though, the GFS and RAP show a narrow corridor of recovering
instability during the afternoon just ahead of the front in a
virtually uncapped atmosphere. By 21-22Z MLCAPE hits 1400-1800 J/Kg
and SBCAPE hits 1800-2200 J/Kg. If anything the shear will be
stronger during the afternoon than it was in the morning. This
environment would promote rotating updrafts therefore damaging
winds, very large hail and tornadoes would all be possible.  The
mode still looks messy since the shear is nearly parallel to the
boundary, but lines/clusters of supercells and mergers look likely
if the instability can be realized Wednesday afternoon. The front
will slowing down Wednesday afternoon as the low driving it moves
northeast away from us.  Timing the end of the thunderstorm threat
in our eastern and southern counties is therefore difficult.  Most
guidance has it ending in southeast Missouri and south central
Illinois between 00-03Z.

One last hazard to mention before moving beyond Wednesday. Gradient
winds will be very strong on Wednesday due to the tight pressure
gradient between the low which will be moving into the Upper Midwest
and the ridge of high pressure over the eastern U.S.  Current
forecast is for sustained winds of 20-25kts with gusts to 40+ kts
until the gradient slackens during the late afternoon and evening.

Carney

&&

.LONG TERM...  (Wednesday Night through Monday)
Issued at 425 AM CDT Tue Apr 1 2025

The remainder of the week looks no less busy than Wednesday, though
for different reasons.  The cold front stalls over Arkansas/west
Tennessee Wednesday night, where it stays until Saturday night.  A
large trough over the Desert Southwest ejects several waves of
vorticity which ripple over the front Thursday through Saturday,
increasing the synoptic scale lift. All the while a strong pressure
gradient between the trough to the west and high pressure over the
western Atlantic and Gulf will keep the low level jet pointed right
at the baroclinic zone over northern Arkansas and Southern Missouri.
Deterministic guidance shows waves of very strong moisture
convergence moving across northern Arkansas and southern Missouri
Thursday through Saturday which will produce periods of heavy rain.
NAEFS P-wat forecasts are showing 1.50+ inches at times which is in
the 99.9th to MAX climatological percentile for early April.  Timing
the waves of heaviest precip is tough as the models never really
stop precipitating and are constantly contaminated with convective
feedback. The latest QPF from WPC for Wednesday through early Sunday
morning ranges from around 2 inches in northeast Missouri to 9+ in
southeast Missouri with as 8+ in southwest and south central
Illinois.  If these amounts are realized, river flooding is a
virtual certainty across the eastern Ozarks into southern Illinois
and flash flooding is a real possibility.  Additionally, the ECMWF
Ensemble Extreme Forecast Index QPF highlights much of southeast
Missouri Friday night with abnormally high QPF, and the Shift of
Tails is +2 indicating the there's some probability that some
members of the ensemble are forecasting QPF greater than the 99th
climate percentile, which adds confidence that this could be an
extreme event.

The heavy rain threat ends Sunday as the long wave trough moves east
into the Plains and Midwest.  Aside from a chance of lingering light
rain Sunday, the remainder of the forecast looks dry.  The deep
trough drags a cold high into the Mississippi Valley Sunday night
into Monday, which has the potential to drop temperatures below
freezing Monday and Tuesday morning.

Carney

&&

.AVIATION...  (For the 12z TAFs through 12z Wednesday Morning)
Issued at 544 AM CDT Tue Apr 1 2025

Winds will increase from the southeast and become gusty today.
Wind gusts of 20-30kts are likely by 00Z and will continue through
the night. If gusts cease at any time tonight, low level wind
shear will become a problem across the area, however guidance
suggests that gusts will persist all night. Otherwise, VFR flight
conditions are expected to prevail until after 06Z when ceilings
are likely to fall to MVFR as an area of showers and thunderstorms
moves in from the west.

VFR flight conditions are expected through the

Carney

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...None.
IL...None.
&&

WFO LSX

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service St Louis MO
731 AM CDT Tue Apr 1 2025

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-021245-
Greene IL-Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Bond IL-Fayette IL-Clinton IL-
Marion IL-Washington IL-Randolph IL-Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-
Calhoun IL-Jersey IL-Madison IL-Saint Clair IL-Monroe IL-Knox MO-
Lewis MO-Shelby MO-Marion MO-Monroe MO-Ralls MO-Pike MO-Boone MO-
Audrain MO-Moniteau MO-Cole MO-Osage MO-Callaway MO-Montgomery MO-
Lincoln MO-Gasconade MO-Warren MO-Saint Charles MO-Franklin MO-
Saint Louis MO-Saint Louis City MO-Jefferson MO-Crawford MO-
Washington MO-Saint Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Iron MO-
Madison MO-Reynolds MO-
731 AM CDT Tue Apr 1 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of eastern and
central Missouri as well as west central and southwest Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Periods of thunderstorms are expected Wednesday through Saturday.
Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible Wednesday afternoon and
early evening.

Periods of heavy rain are possible Thursday through Saturday. The
heaviest rainfall accumulations are expected across parts of
southeast Missouri into southwest Illinois. This heavy rain may
cause river flooding and flash flooding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

Delia