Flash Flood Warning 1, NWS North Platte, NE

866 
WGUS73 KLBF 150553
FFSLBF

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service North Platte NE
1253 AM CDT Thu May 15 2025

NEC041-071-115-150603-
/O.EXP.KLBF.FF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-250515T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Custer NE-Garfield NE-Loup NE-
1253 AM CDT Thu May 15 2025

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 1 AM CDT EARLY THIS MORNING 
FOR NORTHEASTERN CUSTER, SOUTHWESTERN GARFIELD AND SOUTHEASTERN LOUP 
COUNTIES...

The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a 
threat. Please continue to heed remaining road closures.

&&

LAT...LON 4184 9892 4174 9896 4174 9905 4174 9906
      4174 9907 4174 9909 4174 9910 4174 9911
      4174 9912 4174 9919 4174 9921 4171 9921
      4170 9921 4169 9929 4184 9929

$$

Buttler

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
619 PM CDT Wed May 14 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- There is a Slight risk (level 2 of 5) of severe storms this
afternoon and evening with very large hail and strong winds being
the main threats although the risk of a tornado cannot be ruled out.

- Cooler temperatures arrive for the end of the week and into the
first half of the weekend.

- Rain showers and thunderstorms return on Saturday night lasting
through Tuesday with the risk of severe storms being low at this
time.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 313 AM CDT Wed May 14 2025

An upper level trough  will continue to dig southward across the
Rockies allowing for a developing low pressure system to bring some
more active weather briefly to the region. A cold front is currently
draped across western Nebraska. This front has been the initiation
point for several showers and weak thunderstorms already this
afternoon. However, cloud cover has keep instability at bay so far,
but current satellite shows breaks occurring allowing for instability
to increase across the region. The latest analysis shows a steady
increase of CAPE values to near 2000 J/kg as well as steep low level
lapse rates across northern Nebraska and into the Sandhills. This
correlates well with where we're currently seeing storm development.
However, as the boundary continues to cause initiation and
instability increases even more, we'll expect some more organized
and stronger convection leading to severe storms. Threats remain
basically unchanged with very large hail (potentially greater than 2
inches) and strong winds (up to 65 mph) being the primary threats.
However, a tornado threat cannot be ruled out completely especially
with this first round of storms when storms are more discrete and
have better access to instability and moisture. At this time, the
greatest concern for the strongest storms will be between 4pm and
8pm.

Hi-res models continue to hint at a secondary round of storms aided
by a trough pushing off the Front Ranges of Colorado and Wyoming.
This secondary round will impact mainly southwest Nebraska, the I-80
corridor, and into portions of the southern Sandhills with strong
winds (potentially up to 75 mph or greater) being the main threat.
Despite inconsistency amongst models in this second round,
certainty remains moderate in this development. Current thinking is
that convection will move into the western fringes of the CWA by 8pm
CT and push eastward through Midnight. Winds are expected diminish
slightly as they move eastward, however, some stronger to briefly
severe storms may continue into the early hours of Thursday morning.

Lingering showers and thunderstorms will likely continue into
Thursday morning and possibly even into the afternoon. Showers
should continue to dissipate from south to north, but areas in
northern Nebraska could continue to see some wrap-around
precipitation due to the strong cut-off low across the northern
Plains. Severe storms are not anticipated with the activity Thursday
into Thursday afternoon as the environment will remain well mixed
with little instability present to tap into.

In addition to storms, this cold front and low pressure system will
usher in a cooler airmass beginning on Thursday. Highs will only
rise into the low 60s to mid 70s on Thursday with the coldest
temperatures across northern Nebraska where rain showers and clouds
will continue through much of the day.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 313 AM CDT Wed May 14 2025

Across northern Nebraska (north of US-20), showers will continue
through Friday, but as mentioned above, severe storms are not
expected. All precipitation finally comes to an end by Friday night
with a brief dry period for Saturday.

Active weather returns on Saturday night lasting through next
Tuesday as several rounds of disturbances impact the region. At this
time, the severe potential remains low, but some stronger storms may
still be possible especially in the late afternoon and early evening
when instability is highest. Stay tuned to the latest forecasts for
the most up to date information.

Temperatures remain chilly on Friday, but will steadily rise to near
or slightly below normals (highs in low 70s, lows in mid 40s) into
the beginning of next week. Temperatures will drop once again into
the 60s across the CWA on Tuesday mainly due to ongoing rain and
overcast skies.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 620 PM CDT Wed May 14 2025

Widespread thunderstorms persist this evening and into tonight,
with brief MVFR visibilities and gusty, erratic winds
continuing. A secondary threat for strong surface winds is
expected after sunset, as another round of thunderstorms
approaches from northeastern Colorado. This line of
thunderstorms will present a threat for gusts as high as 45 to
55kts from the northwest. Strong northwest winds will persist
into tomorrow morning behind thunderstorms for all area
terminals, with gusts of 35 to 40kts expected.

MVFR/locally IFR CIGs will overspread northern Nebraska
terminals into tomorrow morning, continuing into late Thursday
morning. A return to VFR for all terminals is expected into
Thursday afternoon.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

SHORT TERM...Kulik
LONG TERM...Kulik
AVIATION...Brown

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service North Platte NE
333 PM CDT Wed May 14 2025

NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094-152045-
Sheridan-Eastern Cherry-Keya Paha-Boyd-Brown-Rock-Holt-Garden-Grant-
Hooker-Thomas-Blaine-Loup-Garfield-Wheeler-Arthur-McPherson-Logan-
Custer-Deuel-Keith-Perkins-Lincoln-Chase-Hayes-Frontier-
Western Cherry-
333 PM CDT Wed May 14 2025 /233 PM MDT Wed May 14 2025/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north
central Nebraska.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

The threat for thunderstorms will continue through the evening across
much of the outlook area. Very large hail up to 2 inches or greater
and damaging winds up to 65 mph are the main severe threat. An
isolated tornado threat could also be possible late this afternoon
and into the evening. A second round of thunderstorms pushes into the
region by mid-evening across southwest Nebraska with strong winds
potentially up to 75 mph or greater. The threat for severe storms
will decrease after midnight CT across the area.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Gusty west winds are possible Thursday afternoon across the area.
Wind gusts up to 50 mph  are possible over northern Nebraska.

Thunderstorms are possible Thursday night over northern Nebraska,
however, the threat for severe storms is low.

Thunderstorms are possible Saturday night through Tuesday. At this
time, the threat for severe storms is uncertain.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service North Platte NE
856 PM CDT Wed May 14 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0815 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Imperial                40.52N 101.64W
05/14/2025                   Chase              NE   Emergency Mngr

            Building damage and power poles snapped in
            Imperial.

&&

Brown

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service North Platte NE
905 PM CDT Wed May 14 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0901 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     1 NW Sutherland         41.17N 101.14W
05/14/2025  M67 MPH          Lincoln            NE   Mesonet

&&

Brown

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service North Platte NE
911 PM CDT Wed May 14 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0908 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     11 NE Dickens           40.92N 100.82W
05/14/2025  M71 MPH          Lincoln            NE   Mesonet

&&

Brown

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service North Platte NE
912 PM CDT Wed May 14 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0750 PM     Hail             13 NW North Platte      41.27N 100.95W
05/14/2025  M2.50 Inch       Lincoln            NE   Public

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service North Platte NE
935 PM CDT Wed May 14 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0856 PM     Non-Tstm Wnd Gst 4 NW Paxton             41.17N 101.40W
05/14/2025  M76 MPH          Keith              NE   Mesonet

            Mesonet station UP049 Sarben 5W.

0810 PM     Non-Tstm Wnd Gst 3 WSW Big Springs       41.05N 102.13W
05/14/2025  M69 MPH          Deuel              NE   Mesonet

            Mesonet station UR489 Big Springs 2W.

0831 PM     Non-Tstm Wnd Gst 1 E Brule               41.10N 101.86W
05/14/2025  M69 MPH          Keith              NE   Mesonet

            Mesonet station UP108 Brule 1E.

0822 PM     Non-Tstm Wnd Gst 3 ENE Big Springs       41.07N 102.02W
05/14/2025  M65 MPH          Keith              NE   Mesonet

            Mesonet station UP938 Big Springs 2ENE.

0835 PM     Non-Tstm Wnd Gst 3 WSW Ogallala          41.12N 101.77W
05/14/2025  M60 MPH          Keith              NE   AWOS

            AWOS station KOGA Ogallala Airport.

0849 PM     Non-Tstm Wnd Gst 1 ENE Imperial          40.52N 101.62W
05/14/2025  M60 MPH          Chase              NE   ASOS

            ASOS station KIML Imperial Airport.

0807 PM     Non-Tstm Wnd Gst 6 ESE Oshkosh           41.37N 102.24W
05/14/2025  M59 MPH          Garden             NE   Mesonet

            Mesonet station UP385 Oshkosh 6SE.

0808 PM     Non-Tstm Wnd Gst 5 WNW Chappell          41.12N 102.55W
05/14/2025  M59 MPH          Deuel              NE   Mesonet

            Mesonet station UP219 Chappell 6NW.

0815 PM     Non-Tstm Wnd Gst 6 ESE Big Springs       41.02N 101.97W
05/14/2025  M59 MPH          Keith              NE   Mesonet

            Mesonet station NB085 Big Springs 6NE.

0822 PM     Non-Tstm Wnd Gst 6 W Lemoyne             41.30N 101.91W
05/14/2025  M59 MPH          Keith              NE   Mesonet

            Mesonet station UP402 Lemoyne 7W.

0740 PM     Non-Tstm Wnd Gst 5 WNW Chappell          41.12N 102.55W
05/14/2025  M58 MPH          Deuel              NE   Mesonet

            Mesonet station UP219 Chappell 6NW.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service North Platte NE
942 PM CDT Wed May 14 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0908 PM     Hail             6 ENE Burwell           41.80N 99.02W
05/14/2025  E2.50 Inch       Garfield           NE   Public

            Report with photos. Time estimated from
            radar.

&&

NMJ